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The investments are increasing on paper. Do they get the same returns or they want more leverage on Pakistan's resources?
Right on, a strong and prosperous Pakistan is in China best interestsSir Chinese are shrewd business men in addition to being our sincere friends. They know that even USD 200 billiion is peanuts in comparison to the return on investment they get and also the benefits of having a strong and healthy ally and friend in the region where two large bullies are pairing up to bite the tail of the dragon. Plus there is no shame in doing business that's mutually beneficial. There is nothing like an HSR to travel from city to city for distances between 300-600 kms
I foresee Pakistan will be developed very quickly in the same effort of China trying to develop Western China.
There is talk of creating 29 industrial zones along the corridor of CPEC and some 21 energy and mineral extraction zones something like that
So even just few medium to large scale industries are established, we are talling about billions of dollars worth of investment. I am sure this is where our other economic partners such as Turkey, UAE, Saudi Arabia, US and Germany will jump in
I like the enthusiasm and share most of it with you. But, some concerns of mine that can potentially dampen those forecasts are:Sir, I've read various assessments on this CPEC program. Almost every Western economic powerhouse is interested in this, and the growth potential of Pakistan. An article in the times magazine has a one pager on this not too long ago, it said that in the next ten years, there will be about 4-6 cities that would look like "new Dubai's", along with over 20-30 business / manufacturing districts across Pakistan supporting business and trade activity.
This article also mentioned that Pakistan would be in the top 16 economies before 2030. By looking at the speed at which the work is getting done, I'd probably guess that this would happen by 2025. Thanks
I like the enthusiasm and share most of it with you. But, some concerns of mine that can potentially dampen those forecasts are:
1. Continued corruption,
2. Poor law and order,
3. Political instability, and
4. Weak judicial system.
If those fundamentals are not addressed sooner than later, then CPEC may never reach the rosy future we are painting! And to be honest, I don't see any of those concerns being addressed currently.
Just my 2 cents.