Chinese Century
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No less than 7.2 trillion as many already predict 47 trillion yuan for the 2011 GDP.
the IMF uses the AVERAGE exchange rate during the year, not the year end exchange rate.
u are using the year end exchange rate.
so it depends by how much the rmb appreciates before the end of the year.
edit:
after some calculations and based on the assumption that the chinese gdp is 46 trillion rmb and the year end exchange rate goes to 6.3 which gives an average exchange rate of 6.45, i predict the chinese economy will be around $7 trillion.