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China's Premier Li sees growth of 7.0 percent in 2015

Raphael

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China's Premier Li sees growth of 7.0 percent in 2015| Reuters

China's economy is expected to grow at 7.0 percent this year, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said on Monday.

Speaking at the headquarters of the United Nations' Latin American arm ECLAC in Chilean capital Santiago, Li said that data in April and May data showed the Chinese economy had maintained momentum.

Economists expect China's economy to expand 7.0 percent this years, which would be the slowest rate in 25 years.

Li has been visiting a number of countries in South America, overseeing a series of deals to boost China's trade and investment in the region.
 
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考虑到中国的经济总量,年增长率百分之7是可以接受的。坦白说,作为工薪阶层,我更关心工资收入能不能增长17%最好是70%,如果是增长7%,说实话,我并不会感到任何惊喜!我们的国家应该更多的考虑国民收入的不均衡,而不是每次拿总量除以人数去计算平均,这样的计算方式是非常愚蠢的,它掩盖了一个最大的事实:贫富差距拉大,国民收入的分配失衡!
 
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To skeptics: Chinese economy is not gonna collapse

China's economy has now entered a new normal. The Chinese government is a capable steward and confident that it can lead the economy to overcome any obstacles that present themselves, keep steady and sustainable growth, and become a strong power to support the world economy.

The confidence of the government results from an objective assessment of China's position.In terms of the economy, though growth has slowed down, the growth rate remains stable and issues of concern such as unemployment, hyperinflation, and debt crisis have not emerged. Against a base of the 7.4 percent growth rate of last year, China's economy had a very steady performance in the first quarter of this year with an improvement in employment and people's living standards.

In terms of potential, the Chinese economy is still on the rise. China is currently sparing no effort to promote new models of industrialization, informatization, urbanization,agricultural modernization, and greenification, which will all contribute to new economic growth. Tertiary industry is also playing its role well in the development of the economy.

In terms of economic aggregate, China is already the world's second largest economy. At its current pace of growth, the annual net growth in China economy equals to the scale of a medium size economy. Its imports and exports, foreign exchange reserves, and foreign investment are all ranked No.1 in the world. Hence China's position as a major engine fueling world economic growth will not change in the foreseeable future.

China's confidence comes from the commitment to deepening reform. China is now committed to transforming the national economic structure and reducing structural risks.In recent years the development of hi-tech industry has been faster than the average paceof industry as a whole. The contribution from tertiary industry has surpassed primaryindustry in the past two years, reaching a historic high. The contribution to the economy from consumption has also exceeded investment. The income gap between urban and ruralresidents has narrowed, the development gap between east, middle, and west is narrowing,and personal incomes are taking a larger portion of GNP.

China has been freeing up and stimulating productive forces with all-round reform. Bystreamlining administrative procedures and delegating power to lower levels, thegovernment is promoting financial and fiscal reform to allow the market to perform itsdecisive role in resource allocation. From extensive to intensive, from low-end to high-end,China's economy will advance and invigorate sustainable development.

Confidence also results from an accurate grasp of cooperation and win-win – the trends ofthe times. China is actively promoting the "One Belt and One Road", which has beenwarmly welcomed by the international community. The construction of the AsianInfrastructure Investment Bank has also achieved its first victories and improvedinternational confidence and expectations of China as a new global investor.

At the same time, China is now in a new active phase of opening up, combining "goingglobal" and "bringing in", and improving the investment environment and the conditionsfor trade. Other priorities are international cooperation and building a community ofcommon benefit, responsibility and destiny.

In this new phase of development, China will bring fresh opportunities to the world. Theinternational community can rely on China to make a steady contribution to nationaleconomic development, as well as to the peaceful and sustainable development of the worldas a whole.
 
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China's Premier Li sees growth of 7.0 percent in 2015| Reuters

China's economy is expected to grow at 7.0 percent this year, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said on Monday.

Speaking at the headquarters of the United Nations' Latin American arm ECLAC in Chilean capital Santiago, Li said that data in April and May data showed the Chinese economy had maintained momentum.

Economists expect China's economy to expand 7.0 percent this years, which would be the slowest rate in 25 years.

Li has been visiting a number of countries in South America, overseeing a series of deals to boost China's trade and investment in the region.

This is Expected.

Chinese Economy has become very large now and there are other factors.

So it will not grow at the rate at which used to grow years ago i.e at 10 to 12%.
 
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A little bit harsh to maintain 7.0, The Bloomberg says two initiate quarters China failed to reach the quota of 7.0% acceleration set by the state council, Due to the disappointed export and manufacturing industry.
Central bank of China is taking more modifications to motivate China's languid economy.
 
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7% is a good rate for an economy of China's size. But expect it to come below 7% in coming years.
 
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To skeptics: Chinese economy is not gonna collapse

China's economy has now entered a new normal. The Chinese government is a capable steward and confident that it can lead the economy to overcome any obstacles that present themselves, keep steady and sustainable growth, and become a strong power to support the world economy.

The confidence of the government results from an objective assessment of China's position.In terms of the economy, though growth has slowed down, the growth rate remains stable and issues of concern such as unemployment, hyperinflation, and debt crisis have not emerged. Against a base of the 7.4 percent growth rate of last year, China's economy had a very steady performance in the first quarter of this year with an improvement in employment and people's living standards.

In terms of potential, the Chinese economy is still on the rise. China is currently sparing no effort to promote new models of industrialization, informatization, urbanization,agricultural modernization, and greenification, which will all contribute to new economic growth. Tertiary industry is also playing its role well in the development of the economy.

In terms of economic aggregate, China is already the world's second largest economy. At its current pace of growth, the annual net growth in China economy equals to the scale of a medium size economy. Its imports and exports, foreign exchange reserves, and foreign investment are all ranked No.1 in the world. Hence China's position as a major engine fueling world economic growth will not change in the foreseeable future.

China's confidence comes from the commitment to deepening reform. China is now committed to transforming the national economic structure and reducing structural risks.In recent years the development of hi-tech industry has been faster than the average paceof industry as a whole. The contribution from tertiary industry has surpassed primaryindustry in the past two years, reaching a historic high. The contribution to the economy from consumption has also exceeded investment. The income gap between urban and ruralresidents has narrowed, the development gap between east, middle, and west is narrowing,and personal incomes are taking a larger portion of GNP.

China has been freeing up and stimulating productive forces with all-round reform. Bystreamlining administrative procedures and delegating power to lower levels, thegovernment is promoting financial and fiscal reform to allow the market to perform itsdecisive role in resource allocation. From extensive to intensive, from low-end to high-end,China's economy will advance and invigorate sustainable development.

Confidence also results from an accurate grasp of cooperation and win-win – the trends ofthe times. China is actively promoting the "One Belt and One Road", which has beenwarmly welcomed by the international community. The construction of the AsianInfrastructure Investment Bank has also achieved its first victories and improvedinternational confidence and expectations of China as a new global investor.

At the same time, China is now in a new active phase of opening up, combining "goingglobal" and "bringing in", and improving the investment environment and the conditionsfor trade. Other priorities are international cooperation and building a community ofcommon benefit, responsibility and destiny.

In this new phase of development, China will bring fresh opportunities to the world. Theinternational community can rely on China to make a steady contribution to nationaleconomic development, as well as to the peaceful and sustainable development of the worldas a whole.

7% is good for a econmy Chinas size & top of that the global economy is not in the best shape
 
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7% is totally OK, 6-7 is also fine by me. If the growing rate can be stable with more than 6% for ten years, that'll a great achievement.

Many experts say by 2025 China's GDP will overtake that of US.
 
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it's inevitable China and India will overtake US in number in some year. I care quality more, how many Lenovos, Xiaomis and Alibabas China will have matters.

Exactly, bro. For any developing country, there will come the time to make the somewhat painful decision to shift from sheer explosive growth to sustainable and quality growth. China has finally reached to that point. For any government, it might not resonate with the population if the purpose is not explained well enough.

Transition from developing to developed status is much tougher in present world conditions. Developed countries are simply too powerful and already control many key areas and technologies.

That's the price to pay for missing out on the early development cycles.
 
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Exactly, bro. For any developing country, there will come the time to make the somewhat painful decision to shift from sheer growth to sustainable and quality growth. China has finally reached to that point. For any government, it might not resonate with the population if the purpose is not explained well enough.

Transition from developing to developed status is much tougher in present world conditions. Developed countries are simply too powerful and already control many key areas and technologies.

That's the price to pay for missing out on the early development cycles.
Well said. It was the worst time when China missed many development chances. Price has to be paid and Chinese have to work harder.
 
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7% is a good rate for an economy of China's size. But expect it to come below 7% in coming years.

I think there are two key factor in maintaining 7% growth the coming decade. The first one is internal market expansion. This is a period of rather great demographic change because the 50s generation started retiring from 2005 (In China, women retire at 55 and men at 60 for many professions) Depending on how smooth the transition is, the internal market expansion rate may go up or down.

The second factor is external. Export is a considerable part of any nation's economy. EU as a whole is the biggest trading partner of China, if their economy recovers more, there will also be more export for China. I am not holding my breath on that though.
 
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it's inevitable China and India will overtake US in number in some year. I care quality more, how many Lenovos, Xiaomis and Alibabas China will have matters.

I don't see how india is going to overtake US. They need to overtake Italy first

:lol:
 
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I think there are two key factor in maintaining 7% growth the coming decade. The first one is internal market expansion. This is a period of rather great demographic change because the 50s generation started retiring from 2005 (In China, women retire at 55 and men at 60 for many professions) Depending on how smooth the transition is, the internal market expansion rate may go up or down.

The second factor is external. Export is a considerable part of any nation's economy. EU as a whole is the biggest trading partner of China, if their economy recovers more, there will also be more export for China. I am not holding my breath on that though.

Growth comes three factors 1) Capital stock 2) Labor 3) Totally productivity factor. As countries move towards middle income category, it would have squeezed the last out of 1) capital stock 2) labor. So now majorly growth depends on totally productivity factor, and it is very hard to get high and consistent growth rate out of totally productivity factor. This is called growth accounting. This is the reason why developed countries don't have high growth rates.

Then there is also something called 'middle income trap'. Most countries are good at milking growth out of 1) Capital stock 2) Labor, but many countries, given the complexity of totally productivity factor, fail to extract growth of totally productivity factor. Example are lot of South American countries that are trapped as middle income group and failed to make transition into developed economies. So growth is not as easy as you make it sound.
 
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