Chinese-Dragon
RETIRED TTA
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Bad news:
Financial Times - China’s foreign exchange reserves near record $4tn
China’s foreign exchange reserves rose to just shy of $4tn in the first quarter of 2014, roughly the same as its entire equity market and confirming the hand of the central bank in the recent weakening of the renminbi.
Official data released on Tuesday showed China’s FX reserves jumped $129bn in the first three months of the year, to hit an all-time high of $3.95tn. The ramp up in reserves coincided with a rapid fall in the renminbi against the dollar, which many had attributed to deliberate action by the People’s Bank of China.
However, most analysts believe the recent move to weaken the renminbi was designed to ward off speculation by companies and investors who had come to see the currency as a one-way bet. It came just before China announced a widening of the renminbi’s daily trading band. Many still believe that the renminbi will return to its upward path.
“The FX reserve figures confirmed the weakening renminbi is because of [the] PBoC’s intensive intervention,” wrote Liu Li-Gang, ANZ analyst. “Since such unsterilised interventions cannot last and could be self-defeating as shown by the rapidly increasing FX reserves, the renminbi is still under heavy pressure to appreciate.”
Shuang Ding, economist at Citi, said China’s foreign exchange reserves may have jumped as much as $40bn in March, in spite of a trade surplus of $7.7bn, an indication of heavy intervention in the currency markets.
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This is getting silly. We should be diverting more of our reserves into the CIC branch of our currency reserves, i.e. the China Investment Corporation. Which is responsible for investing in real assets across the world, such as "land" in Ireland/Kazakhstan/Ukraine, resources all over Africa, infrastructure in Britain, ports in Greece, etc.
That will give us a better return on our money, and give us more influence in the global economy as well. Real assets are better than treasury bonds any day.
Financial Times - China’s foreign exchange reserves near record $4tn
China’s foreign exchange reserves rose to just shy of $4tn in the first quarter of 2014, roughly the same as its entire equity market and confirming the hand of the central bank in the recent weakening of the renminbi.
Official data released on Tuesday showed China’s FX reserves jumped $129bn in the first three months of the year, to hit an all-time high of $3.95tn. The ramp up in reserves coincided with a rapid fall in the renminbi against the dollar, which many had attributed to deliberate action by the People’s Bank of China.
However, most analysts believe the recent move to weaken the renminbi was designed to ward off speculation by companies and investors who had come to see the currency as a one-way bet. It came just before China announced a widening of the renminbi’s daily trading band. Many still believe that the renminbi will return to its upward path.
“The FX reserve figures confirmed the weakening renminbi is because of [the] PBoC’s intensive intervention,” wrote Liu Li-Gang, ANZ analyst. “Since such unsterilised interventions cannot last and could be self-defeating as shown by the rapidly increasing FX reserves, the renminbi is still under heavy pressure to appreciate.”
Shuang Ding, economist at Citi, said China’s foreign exchange reserves may have jumped as much as $40bn in March, in spite of a trade surplus of $7.7bn, an indication of heavy intervention in the currency markets.
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This is getting silly. We should be diverting more of our reserves into the CIC branch of our currency reserves, i.e. the China Investment Corporation. Which is responsible for investing in real assets across the world, such as "land" in Ireland/Kazakhstan/Ukraine, resources all over Africa, infrastructure in Britain, ports in Greece, etc.
That will give us a better return on our money, and give us more influence in the global economy as well. Real assets are better than treasury bonds any day.