Meengla
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Don't know if anyone has posted the following video or not; if posted then please delete this video. It's a discussion in an Australian university. Some quick take aways (note, these are the main speaker's opinions as I understood).
1) CPEC is mostly an economic corridor benefiting/stabilizing Pakistan but the energy route shortcuts via Gwadar are premature because of the terrain and because of unstable Baluchistan.
2) China sees Pakistan as its 'only real ally' and goodwill for China runs deep and across all political spectrum in Pakistan.
3) USA thinks CPEC is good for Pakistan and USA likes that someone else (China) is helping Pakistan to stabilize.
4) The potentials for CPEC would improve a lot when/if India joins CPEC
5) China had waited until Zardari govt left office and then waited until the considerable security improvements in Pakistan over last couple of years before really launching CPEC--the talk had been there between 2001-2011 but half hearted.
6) China-Pakistan relationship had been 'transactional' where Pakistan mainly bought Chinese defense equipment but, in last couple of years, there is really a change in Chinese policy toward Pakistan.
7) Part of China's cozying up to Pakistan is to expand the Chinese 'image', diversify Chinese economy, and to safeguard the Chinese northwest region.
8) China is likely to not always see eye-to-eye with Pakistan on Afghanistan where Pakistan's failure to bring the Talibans to the table is not something appreciated; China is nervous about ETIM taking hold in Afghanistan.
9) China does not want to sign a defense 'treaty' with Pakistan but can and probably will interfere militarily if Pakistan's fundamental security interests are in jeopardy.
and the last point--pretty interesting!
10) During the Indo-Pak 1965 war, President Ayub of Pakistan made a secret visit to China. He was told by Cho en Lai that, yes, China would military intervene but Pakistan had to take some losses and even lose territory (Lahore) before China would be forced to intervene. Ayub didn't like that at all and went back to Pakistan and sued for peace with India.
1) CPEC is mostly an economic corridor benefiting/stabilizing Pakistan but the energy route shortcuts via Gwadar are premature because of the terrain and because of unstable Baluchistan.
2) China sees Pakistan as its 'only real ally' and goodwill for China runs deep and across all political spectrum in Pakistan.
3) USA thinks CPEC is good for Pakistan and USA likes that someone else (China) is helping Pakistan to stabilize.
4) The potentials for CPEC would improve a lot when/if India joins CPEC
5) China had waited until Zardari govt left office and then waited until the considerable security improvements in Pakistan over last couple of years before really launching CPEC--the talk had been there between 2001-2011 but half hearted.
6) China-Pakistan relationship had been 'transactional' where Pakistan mainly bought Chinese defense equipment but, in last couple of years, there is really a change in Chinese policy toward Pakistan.
7) Part of China's cozying up to Pakistan is to expand the Chinese 'image', diversify Chinese economy, and to safeguard the Chinese northwest region.
8) China is likely to not always see eye-to-eye with Pakistan on Afghanistan where Pakistan's failure to bring the Talibans to the table is not something appreciated; China is nervous about ETIM taking hold in Afghanistan.
9) China does not want to sign a defense 'treaty' with Pakistan but can and probably will interfere militarily if Pakistan's fundamental security interests are in jeopardy.
and the last point--pretty interesting!
10) During the Indo-Pak 1965 war, President Ayub of Pakistan made a secret visit to China. He was told by Cho en Lai that, yes, China would military intervene but Pakistan had to take some losses and even lose territory (Lahore) before China would be forced to intervene. Ayub didn't like that at all and went back to Pakistan and sued for peace with India.
