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China plans petrochemical complex near Karachi

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https://www.dawn.com/news/1351945/china-plans-petrochemical-complex-near-karachi
KARACHI: A Chinese proposal to set up a refinery along with a downstream petrochemical complex near Karachi is advancing steadily as requests for 500-1,000 acres has been submitted to the provincial governments of Sindh and Balochistan.

The estimated cost of the project is about $4 billion.

This was disclosed by Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) President Zubair M. Tufail after a meeting with the visiting Chinese delegation, led by Ms Li-Jial, Director Tianchen Engineering Corporation (TCC), at the Federation House on Wednesday.

Ms Li-Jial and Mr Tufail agreed in principle to establish and exchange investment missions to further enhance trade relations between the two countries.

The Chinese asked for land in Karachi since they found rents in Gwadar Free Zone to be too expensive, Mr Tufail told Dawn. “Port Qasim does not have enough space for a project of this size,” he said. “So they have asked for land a few kilometres away or in the Hub area, which falls in Balochistan”.

The project will cost $4bn; requests for land allotment have been submitted to Sindh, Balochistan govts

They will go with whichever provincial government best facilitates their interests, Mr Tufail added. “Any of the two provincial governments give better deal they would go for it and this would be a win-win situation for both the countries.”

Mr Tufail said both the provincial governments are interested in this project but would depend how they make a land deal with the Chinese investors.

The complex envisions a number of jetties, a refinery with 10 million tonnes per year capacity, as well as downstream processing facilities for naphtha and its component chemicals. “Currently we are importing $2bn worth of these chemicals from the Middle East” Mr Tufail said, adding that the complex could help reduce Pakistan’s external deficit.

Building of the complex will take four to five years, he said, “since they’re starting from scratch”.

Talks on the proposal have been under way for over a year now, but the proposal has begun to take shape more recently with the formal submission of a request for land.

Ms Li-Jial speaking on the occasion said that TCC would like to invest in Pakistan to enhance investment opportunities.

“Over the years, China had been extending cooperation in different sectors of the economy in Pakistan and lately there had been a sudden jump in these relations for the mutual benefit of both countries,” she added.

The FPCCI president said that Pakistan could benefit from the TCC’s vast experience in oil refinery, energy, chemical complexes and other projects and explore investment opportunities mutually beneficial to both the countries.

Published in Dawn, August 17th, 2017
 
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10-million ton means 200,000 bbl. per day throughput. This is not considered the optimum size these days, all the new state of the art refineries are 400,000 bbl. per day or more. Nevertheless along with the petrochemical complex, it will be the most complex refinery in Pakistan.

Welcome news.
 
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10-million ton means 200,000 bbl. per day throughput. This is not considered the optimum size these days, all the new state of the art refineries are 400,000 bbl. per day or more. Nevertheless along with the petrochemical complex, it will be the most complex refinery in Pakistan.

Welcome news.
but if I remember correctly it will still be 5 times bigger than NRL and PARCO is still at planning stage so don't you think in specific scenario of Pakistan it is enough and once our infrastructure gets upgraded to absorb such a refinery only then we can move with further bigger refineries?
 
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The Chinese asked for land in Karachi since they found rents in Gwadar Free Zone to be too expensive, Mr Tufail told Dawn. “Port Qasim does not have enough space for a project of this size,” he said. “So they have asked for land a few kilometres away or in the Hub area, which falls in Balochistan”.

How land in Gwadar zone already more expensive then in Hub/Balochistan or Karachi/Sindh?

10-million ton means 200,000 bbl. per day throughput. This is not considered the optimum size these days, all the new state of the art refineries are 400,000 bbl. per day or more. Nevertheless along with the petrochemical complex, it will be the most complex refinery in Pakistan.

Welcome news.

If I'm not wrong then they are talking about naphta cracker complex which will be first of its kind in Pakistan.

https://www.icis.com/resources/news...-to-build-first-naphtha-cracker-complex-pcma/
http://nation.com.pk/business/22-Ja...t-up-plant-to-produce-petrochemical-feedstock
 
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How land in Gwadar zone already more expensive then in Hub/Balochistan or Karachi/Sindh?



If I'm not wrong then they are talking about naphta cracker complex which will be first of its kind in Pakistan.

https://www.icis.com/resources/news...-to-build-first-naphtha-cracker-complex-pcma/
http://nation.com.pk/business/22-Ja...t-up-plant-to-produce-petrochemical-feedstock

I am fully conversant with the Naphtha Cracker aka Steam Cracker. It is the unit where a feed of Naphtha and /or LPG is diluted with steam and thermally cracked. Main produce being ethylene, polythene, propylene, polypropylene, and butadiene. Bye- product is usually a mixture of aromatics called pyrolysis gasoline or pye-gas. I came across the news (your first link) in January 2017.

Quote

Pakistan to build first naphtha cracker complex – PCMA

25 January 2017 03:31 Source: ICIS News

SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Pakistan is planning to set up its first petrochemical complex, which would include a naphtha cracker, in the next five to six years with an investment of $6bn-$8bn, according to the country’s chemical industry group.

“Work may start as soon as possible. Currently, we are trying to pull together a feasibility report. It [the complex] may take five-six years to complete,” Iqbal Kidwai, secretary general of the Pakistan Chemical Manufacturers’ Association (PCMA), told ICIS.

“The government will provide the funding, starting with the seed-money. It can also adopt the mode of public-private partnership, depending on the interest,” he added.

PCMA will prepare the feasibility study of the complex, and also work on request for proposals (RFPs), which should have a business plan with complete specifications and timetable for the NCC project. Pakistan’s Planning Commission will then advertise the RFPs in newspapers.

In an exclusive meeting between PCMA and Pakistan’s federal government planning minister Ahsan Iqbal held on 18 January this year, “a historical decision of putting in place [a] naphtha cracker complex was taken”, according to the minutes of the meeting obtained by ICIS.

“The minister instructed his team to announce this approval in principle affirming that [the] government was determined to establish Naphtha Cracker Complex (NCC), acknowledging it as a strategic need,” it stated.

The NCC will be integrated with a petrochemical complex that will produce polypropylene (PP), polyethylene (PE), ethylene glycol, Para xylene (PX), and few other high-value products in the beginning, Tahir Qadir, chief consultant at PMCA, said in a separate e-mail.

The NCC is going to be based mainly on naphtha as the country exports 1m tonnes/year of the material, but may also be able to utilise different feedstock or a mix of feedstock, Qadir added.

Pakistan with a population of about 200m people does not have any petrochemical complex, and relies mostly on imports to meet domestic needs for chemicals.

However, with the start of work on projects falling under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), the south Asian country’s hunger for petrochemicals is set to rise.

The CPEC involves the construction of geographical linkages to improve road, rail and air transportation systems between China and Pakistan and already projects worth more than $50bn have been identified by the two countries.

Kidwai said a cracker and petrochemical complex were essential for Pakistan to meet the growing needs of the country.

“I am sure due to CPEC factor, and this being the first ever naphtha cracker plant, its viability is not a question,” he added.

“This [cracker complex] is a dream we have…this is our need, and we are determined to have it.”

Interview article by Tahir Ikram


Unquote.

https://www.icis.com/resources/news...-to-build-first-naphtha-cracker-complex-pcma/

The report mentions an investment of $6 to –billion; Now it is reduced to $4-billion. We woudn’t know what is to be believed. However establishment any chemical industry is good news for the country

but if I remember correctly it will still be 5 times bigger than NRL and PARCO is still at planning stage so don't you think in specific scenario of Pakistan it is enough and once our infrastructure gets upgraded to absorb such a refinery only then we can move with further bigger refineries?


Honourable Accountant,

PRL & NRL are 1960’s refineries and Parco was incorporated in 1974. At that time economy of scale for the refineries was different.

I was in ESSO was working in Pakistan in 1974 when Parco was conceived. AT that time Pakistan’s product demand was far less. Additionally, Parco being located at Kot Addu, crude feed has to be pumped 500- miles up and any surplus product such as Naphtha had to be transported back 500-miles to Karachi before it could be exported. Size of Parco at 100K bpd was considered best compromise.

That was 45 years ago, at that time there were not too many export refineries in the Middle East. Since then a lot of refining capacity has been added. There is many more export refineries established in the region. ( 400 K bbl. PR day each SASREF & SATCORP at Jubail, SAMREFR & YASREF at Yanbu having 400 K bbl refining capacity each. Abu Dhabi Ruwais refinery has also been expanded from 400 to 817 K bbl per day. Reliance in India is now 1.2- million bbl per day and the new ESSAR refinery at Vadinar with 405, 000 bpd.

Economy scale dictates that processing cost would be higher for the smaller unit. Pakistan could possibly import product cheaper instead of importing the crude and refining it. However, unlike Bosicor and Al Ghurair oil refinery projects which were conceptually flawed from the start; this one appears to be on solid grounds. And as posted earlier, good for the country.
 
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I am fully conversant with the Naphtha Cracker aka Steam Cracker. It is the unit where a feed of Naphtha and /or LPG is diluted with steam and thermally cracked. Main produce being ethylene, polythene, propylene, polypropylene, and butadiene. Bye- product is usually a mixture of aromatics called pyrolysis gasoline or pye-gas. I came across the news (your first link) in January 2017.

Quote

Pakistan to build first naphtha cracker complex – PCMA

25 January 2017 03:31 Source: ICIS News

SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Pakistan is planning to set up its first petrochemical complex, which would include a naphtha cracker, in the next five to six years with an investment of $6bn-$8bn, according to the country’s chemical industry group.

“Work may start as soon as possible. Currently, we are trying to pull together a feasibility report. It [the complex] may take five-six years to complete,” Iqbal Kidwai, secretary general of the Pakistan Chemical Manufacturers’ Association (PCMA), told ICIS.

“The government will provide the funding, starting with the seed-money. It can also adopt the mode of public-private partnership, depending on the interest,” he added.

PCMA will prepare the feasibility study of the complex, and also work on request for proposals (RFPs), which should have a business plan with complete specifications and timetable for the NCC project. Pakistan’s Planning Commission will then advertise the RFPs in newspapers.

In an exclusive meeting between PCMA and Pakistan’s federal government planning minister Ahsan Iqbal held on 18 January this year, “a historical decision of putting in place [a] naphtha cracker complex was taken”, according to the minutes of the meeting obtained by ICIS.

“The minister instructed his team to announce this approval in principle affirming that [the] government was determined to establish Naphtha Cracker Complex (NCC), acknowledging it as a strategic need,” it stated.

The NCC will be integrated with a petrochemical complex that will produce polypropylene (PP), polyethylene (PE), ethylene glycol, Para xylene (PX), and few other high-value products in the beginning, Tahir Qadir, chief consultant at PMCA, said in a separate e-mail.

The NCC is going to be based mainly on naphtha as the country exports 1m tonnes/year of the material, but may also be able to utilise different feedstock or a mix of feedstock, Qadir added.

Pakistan with a population of about 200m people does not have any petrochemical complex, and relies mostly on imports to meet domestic needs for chemicals.

However, with the start of work on projects falling under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), the south Asian country’s hunger for petrochemicals is set to rise.

The CPEC involves the construction of geographical linkages to improve road, rail and air transportation systems between China and Pakistan and already projects worth more than $50bn have been identified by the two countries.

Kidwai said a cracker and petrochemical complex were essential for Pakistan to meet the growing needs of the country.

“I am sure due to CPEC factor, and this being the first ever naphtha cracker plant, its viability is not a question,” he added.

“This [cracker complex] is a dream we have…this is our need, and we are determined to have it.”

Interview article by Tahir Ikram


Unquote.

https://www.icis.com/resources/news...-to-build-first-naphtha-cracker-complex-pcma/

The report mentions an investment of $6 to –billion; Now it is reduced to $4-billion. We woudn’t know what is to be believed. However establishment any chemical industry is good news for the country




Honourable Accountant,

PRL & NRL are 1960’s refineries and Parco was incorporated in 1974. At that time economy of scale for the refineries was different.

I was in ESSO was working in Pakistan in 1974 when Parco was conceived. AT that time Pakistan’s product demand was far less. Additionally, Parco being located at Kot Addu, crude feed has to be pumped 500- miles up and any surplus product such as Naphtha had to be transported back 500-miles to Karachi before it could be exported. Size of Parco at 100K bpd was considered best compromise.

That was 45 years ago, at that time there were not too many export refineries in the Middle East. Since then a lot of refining capacity has been added. There is many more export refineries established in the region. ( 400 K bbl. PR day each SASREF & SATCORP at Jubail, SAMREFR & YASREF at Yanbu having 400 K bbl refining capacity each. Abu Dhabi Ruwais refinery has also been expanded from 400 to 817 K bbl per day. Reliance in India is now 1.2- million bbl per day and the new ESSAR refinery at Vadinar with 405, 000 bpd.

Economy scale dictates that processing cost would be higher for the smaller unit. Pakistan could possibly import product cheaper instead of importing the crude and refining it. However, unlike Bosicor and Al Ghurair oil refinery projects which were conceptually flawed from the start; this one appears to be on solid grounds. And as posted earlier, good for the country.
I agree with you but i am talking about the demand side ... so do we have internal and external demands for such large refineries ... economies of scale has its benefits but on the other side capacity utilization is another factor ... so i am asking that from you for my understanding do we have enough demand to establish such refineries ?
 
.
I agree with you but i am talking about the demand side ... so do we have internal and external demands for such large refineries ... economies of scale has its benefits but on the other side capacity utilization is another factor ... so i am asking that from you for my understanding do we have enough demand to establish such refineries ?

According to the data available with me, January to July 2017 petroleum product imports by Pakistan were:
Motor gasoline: 2, 943 K tons
Jet 98 K tons
Gas oil /Diesel: 2,479 K tons

On annualized basis it comes to gasoline 5-million tons, Jet 168 K tons and gas oil 4.2-million tons. Energy demand increases roughly at half the GDP growth. Assuming we target 6% GDP growth; energy demand at 3% annual growth rate would be 35% more in 10 years, making the Pakistan deficit as:

Gasoline: 6.75-million tons
Gas oil /diesel: 5.67-milion tons.

Product yield depends upon the crude quality, the refinery configuration and specification of the products. I personally know of a sophisticated refinery which processes Saudi crude. Even with full conversion (Fluidised Cat Cracker as well a Delayed Coker) and virtually no Fuel Oil; yield from this state of the art refinery is:

LPG 1.5%

Gasoline (95 RON) 23%

Jet 5%

Diesel 51%

Pet coke 9.3%

Sulphur 2%

Petrochemicals 5%

Losses 3.2%

Therefore a 200,000 bpd (10-million ton per year) refinery with the complexity as above would generate about 2.5 -million tons gasoline and 5.1-million tons diesel per year.

I don’t have detailed configuration and / or planned units, but I don’t expect it to have a Coker and Pakistan gasoline octane rating is 90 (?) I estimate actual production to be 25% (2.5-million tons) gasoline and 3 5% (3.5-million ton) of gas oil.

Based upon actual import figures, production from the new refinery is not sufficient to replace Pakistan’s current imports. Therefore Pakistan would still be importing deficit products albeit to a lesser extent.

Refinery takes about 3 to 4 years to build and has an operating life of 30 to 40 years. In my humble opinion, in case of major products, one should plan at least 10 years ahead. Yes I would think that Pakistan could easily manage a refinery with double the capacity.

Admittedly that cost of the project would then increase by minimum of $2-billion and such sums don’t come by easily.
 
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