Martian2
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Time to call bullsh*t on the idea of a Vietnamese atomic bomb
This is the point in the discussion where I get tired of the fantasy Vietnamese atomic bomb.
I DEMAND a reputable mainstream western source that details a reasonable path for a Vietnamese atomic bomb in the foreseeable future. It doesn't exist. Hence, stop fantasizing about a Vietnamese nuke.
1. Pakistan's atomic bomb is based on an early Chinese blueprint. This was detailed in an old BusinessWeek article. It also wouldn't surprise me that the klystron was supplied by China. This was decades ago and was contingent on the detonation of an Indian atomic bomb.
China is not going to supply an atomic bomb blueprint or materials to Vietnam.
2. The US is still working to shut down the North Korean atomic bomb program.
3. Even a nuclear-capable country like Taiwan cannot obtain an atomic bomb.
The US has demanded and obtained all of Taiwan's plutonium.
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Taiwan tenders spent fuel reprocessing contract - IPFM Blog
"However, under 3.2.1 Management of the Plutonium in the draft contract, Taipower shall transfer ownership of the plutonium within ten years, and the final solution for the plutonium 'in a third party civilian reactors' is to be determined in line with the terms of the U.S. Taiwan nuclear cooperation agreement. The draft contract stipulates: 'For the avoidance of doubts, the Supplier shall never ship back the Plutonium to R.O.C.'
Under the terms of the U.S.-Taiwan agreement, and the proposed contract, only resulting designated nuclear waste is to be returned to Taiwan, with all plutonium and uranium separated at the reprocessing plant to be retained in the reprocessing state."
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Even if Taiwan had plutonium, there is no place to test the bomb in secret.
There are seismic detectors all over the world and neutron-detecting satellites in space. Taiwan cannot detonate an atomic bomb without worldwide sanctions.
Finally, let's say Taiwan has an atomic bomb. An atomic bomb is only 1/100th as powerful as a hydrogen bomb. Also, Taiwan is a tiny country compared to continental China (ie. 9.6 million square kilometers). Taiwan would be destroyed in a nuke war. China would not.
All of these obstacles and weaknesses apply to Vietnam. Additionally, Vietnam is a primitive country that lacks Taiwan's technologies.
The probability of Vietnam obtaining an atomic bomb is pretty close to zero and not worthy of discussion.
This is the point in the discussion where I get tired of the fantasy Vietnamese atomic bomb.
I DEMAND a reputable mainstream western source that details a reasonable path for a Vietnamese atomic bomb in the foreseeable future. It doesn't exist. Hence, stop fantasizing about a Vietnamese nuke.
1. Pakistan's atomic bomb is based on an early Chinese blueprint. This was detailed in an old BusinessWeek article. It also wouldn't surprise me that the klystron was supplied by China. This was decades ago and was contingent on the detonation of an Indian atomic bomb.
China is not going to supply an atomic bomb blueprint or materials to Vietnam.
2. The US is still working to shut down the North Korean atomic bomb program.
3. Even a nuclear-capable country like Taiwan cannot obtain an atomic bomb.
The US has demanded and obtained all of Taiwan's plutonium.
----------
Taiwan tenders spent fuel reprocessing contract - IPFM Blog
"However, under 3.2.1 Management of the Plutonium in the draft contract, Taipower shall transfer ownership of the plutonium within ten years, and the final solution for the plutonium 'in a third party civilian reactors' is to be determined in line with the terms of the U.S. Taiwan nuclear cooperation agreement. The draft contract stipulates: 'For the avoidance of doubts, the Supplier shall never ship back the Plutonium to R.O.C.'
Under the terms of the U.S.-Taiwan agreement, and the proposed contract, only resulting designated nuclear waste is to be returned to Taiwan, with all plutonium and uranium separated at the reprocessing plant to be retained in the reprocessing state."
----------
Even if Taiwan had plutonium, there is no place to test the bomb in secret.
There are seismic detectors all over the world and neutron-detecting satellites in space. Taiwan cannot detonate an atomic bomb without worldwide sanctions.
Finally, let's say Taiwan has an atomic bomb. An atomic bomb is only 1/100th as powerful as a hydrogen bomb. Also, Taiwan is a tiny country compared to continental China (ie. 9.6 million square kilometers). Taiwan would be destroyed in a nuke war. China would not.
All of these obstacles and weaknesses apply to Vietnam. Additionally, Vietnam is a primitive country that lacks Taiwan's technologies.
The probability of Vietnam obtaining an atomic bomb is pretty close to zero and not worthy of discussion.
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