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Software industry to enjoy rapid growth thanks to policy support - People's Daily Online February 04, 2010

China's software industry is expected to grow by around 25 percent in 2010, remarked the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) February 3, adding that the industry will continue to receive strong policy support.

In 2009, China's software industry revealed a V-shaped recovery trend. Data from MIIT showed that the software industry's annual revenue grew 25.6 percent year on year in 2009 to 951.3 billion yuan (139.36 billion U.S. dollars), the increase rate was 4.2 percentage points lower compared with 2008. The top 100 software enterprises realized profits growth of over 20 percent.

China's software industry will remain far below saturation in 2010, and will be on fast track in the coming several years, said the MIIT.

An official from the MIIT pointed out that the IT applications in the 4 trillion yuan stimulus package, the expansion of the banking industry and the booming 3G construction will bring remarkable demand for software services. In addition, relevant policies and laws will create new chances for the software industry in 2010.

By People's Daily Online
 
Nature 457, 357 (22 January 2009) | doi:10.1038/457357a; Published online 21 January 2009

China's wind-power potential

Top of pageAbstract
The nation can lead the world in wind energy — but its policies need to be more coherent.

A quick glance at China's wind-energy statistics suggests that all the right things are happening. The country has doubled its capacity every year for the past three years; in 2007, it had surpassed a 5-gigawatt target three years ahead of schedule and, in 2008, it hit a revised 10-gigawatt target two years early. Domestic manufacturers are positioned to produce more wind turbines than any other country over the next three years.

But the reality is much more complicated. Many wind projects do not even get off the ground because power companies cannot make enough money from them. Those that do go forward often produce turbines that simply sit, waiting for four months or more — a big delay in financial terms — to be hooked up to the electricity grid. And even when they are connected, they break down more often and are much less efficient at producing energy than those in many other countries (see page 372).

In May 2007, the Global Wind Energy Council, the Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association, and the China Wind Energy Association released a joint memorandum proposing improvements in the industry. More than a year and a half later, the concerns expressed in the memorandum have been borne out and the recommendations remain just as pertinent.


For example, the bidding system used by the government to appoint developers favours companies that agree to supply electricity at cheaper prices — even if that price will render them unprofitable. As a result, many projects haven't even got started. International development companies with more experience and foreign turbine-makers with more efficient machines don't even bother to bid. The memorandum recommends setting 'feed-in tariffs', which offer a guaranteed rate for power supplied and offer developers more consistency and planning. China has moved in this direction, but the process of allocating the projects is still opaque and, from the perspective of developers and turbine-makers, frustrating.

The country also needs to significantly improve its grid, and to coordinate it with renewable-energy developments. Grid companies are understandably not keen to embrace energy produced by wind — an erratic and relatively expensive source — so it will take incentives to make the grid companies want to play ball.

Another way that China has discouraged foreign developers from entering the fray is by preventing companies with less than 51% Chinese ownership from taking advantage of the Clean Development Mechanism, which allows developed countries to offset their carbon-reduction commitments under the Kyoto Protocol by investing in sustainable-energy projects in developing countries. If one has to be protectionist, surely it is better to do so in a way that bolsters domestic companies rather than simply penalizing foreign ones? Although some of China's policies have used this approach — it requires, for instance, that 70% of turbine parts be produced locally, encouraging foreign companies to build manufacturing facilities in China — it would do well to extend this across the board.

China could still learn a lot about turbine manufacturing and wind-farm maintenance and management from countries that have much more experience in wind energy. One place to start would be to end its obsession with the number and capacity of its turbines and focus instead on producing power from them.

The speed with which the nation has scaled up to 10 gigawatts of wind energy is impressive. But if China could harness the 3,000 or so gigawatts of wind estimated to be available in the country, it would be able to cover almost all of its current electricity demand. That figure won't be achieved any time soon. But China should make good on plans to hit a more reasonable target — upping its 2020 projection from 30 gigawatts to 100 gigawatts. Operating at international standards of efficiency could produce 5% of the nation's energy needs and, depending on US policy over the next few years, make China the biggest producer of wind energy in the world. But only if China takes a more aggressive and rational approach will it make the most of its wind.
 
First Changchun-Taipei direct flight takes off
By Hou Lei (chinadaily.com.cn)
Updated: 2010-02-06 17:52

Direct Spring Festival charter flight service between northeast China's Jilin province and Taiwan has begun Saturday, Xinhua News Agency reported.

The charter flight CZ6051 of China Southern Airlines took off Saturday morning from Longjia International Airport in Changchun, capital of Jilin and arrived at Taipei's Songshan Airport three and a half hours later.

This is the first ever direct flight between Jilin and Taiwan.
China Southern planned to carry out four round-trip charter flights on February 6, 13, 20 and 27, each carrying up to 182 passengers. Tickets for flights on February 13 and 20 have all been sold out, news agency China News Service said.

Direct flights between Changchun and Taipei could save travelers three hours.

Zhang Weidong, deputy general manager of China Southern's Jilin branch, told Xinhua the carrier will manage to open regular direct flights between Changchun and cities in Taiwan after the Spring Festival.

Last December, civil aviation authorities from the mainland and Taiwan agreed to open regular direct cross-Strait flights in four more mainland cities: Taiyuan, Changchun, Nanning and Yantai, bringing the total number of mainland terminals to 31.

The mainland and Taiwan have 270 flights between them weekly in January of 2010.
 
China to levy anti-dumping duties on US chicken
By Ding Qingfen (China Daily)
Updated: 2010-02-06 08:55
China said on Friday it would impose preliminary anti-dumping duties of up to 105 percent on broiler chicken imports from the United States.

On its website, the Ministry of Commerce said the US side had dumped broiler chickens in China, the largest importer of US chicken products, which had hurt local producers.

US exporters Tyson Foods and Pilgrim's Pride Corp will be levied duties of 43.1 and 80.5 percent respectively. Firms that did not respond to the Chinese investigation would be levied duty of 105.4 percent. The ruling will come into effect on Feb 13.

The move comes as Beijing and Washington have been embroiled in a series of rifts over US arms sales to China's Taiwan, President Barack Obama's plan to meet the Dalai Lama, and the US leader's vow to get tougher with China on trade and currency issues.

Li Qiang, managing director of Shanghai JC Intelligence, was quoted by Bloomberg as saying that the ruling is "probably a result of political tension, although a trade war between the two economies is unlikely".

Wang Rongjun, professor at the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, disagreed. "The ruling should not be politicized. It was made based on surveys and evaluations."

"We appreciate the government's efforts to try to create a fair competitive environment for Chinese companies," said Ma Chuang, vice-secretary general of the China Animal Agriculture Association.

After Obama supported the safeguard ruling against Chinese tire imports last September, the Chinese government announced it would, at the request of the association, conduct anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations into US broiler chickens.

The US is the largest broiler chicken manufacturer, followed by Brazil and China. China is the largest importer of chicken products from the US, imports of which reached 584,300 tons in 2008, accounting for 20 percent of US exports and 75 percent of Chinese imports during the same period.

"US companies have been selling the chicken at a comparatively lower price, which puts local players at a disadvantage," said Ma.

As a result of the ruling, it is estimated that China's monthly chicken imports will fall by 63,000 tons, worth around $79 million. And the duties mean that US imports would cost about 0.05 yuan more per pound than Chinese counterparts.
 
Minivans drive up auto sales growth
By Li Fangfang (China Daily)
Updated: 2010-02-06 10:06
Stimulus helps vehicle purchases leap 84 percent year-on-year

China's automobile market continued its robust growth in January, with sales surging 84 percent from a year earlier, heavily boosted by minivans, China Passenger Car Association on Friday.
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China's foreign trade up 44.4%t in Jan. - People's Daily Online Feb 10 2010

China's foreign trade posted a 44.4 percent growth in January 2010 year on year, the General Administration of Customs announced Wednesday.

Exports in January stood at 109.47 billion U.S. dollars, up 21 percent from a year earlier, while imports rose 85.5 percent to 95.31 billion U.S. dollars.

Source:Xinhua
 
China's foreign trade up 44.4%t in Jan. - People's Daily Online Feb 10 2010

China's foreign trade posted a 44.4 percent growth in January 2010 year on year, the General Administration of Customs announced Wednesday.

Exports in January stood at 109.47 billion U.S. dollars, up 21 percent from a year earlier, while imports rose 85.5 percent to 95.31 billion U.S. dollars.

Source:Xinhua

China surpassed Germany as top global exporter :china:

China exports surge in January
Posted: 10 February 2010 1227 hrs

BEIJING: China's exports surged 21 per cent on-year in January, the government said Wednesday, after figures showed the Asian giant had overtaken Germany as the world's leading exporter in 2009.

Exports totalled US$109.475 billion for the month, solidifying the turnaround recorded in December, according to figures released by the General Administration of Customs.

The figure, however, showed a 16.3 per cent drop month-on-month.

China's trade surplus reached US$14.17 billion in January, the figures showed.

On Tuesday, Germany surrendered to China the title of top global exporter it had claimed in 2003, as the country's trade suffered its sharpest slump since 1950, according to government data.

- AFP/sc

channelnewsasia.com - China exports surge in January
 
http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9DLG54G1.htm
China migrant workers may not return from holiday

"The buoyant job market is a dramatic reversal from a year ago, when the global financial crisis was battering China's exporters. Millions of migrants were told to stay home because there wouldn't be much work in Guangzhou and other usually booming southern cities. Then, as business started picking up during the middle of last year, factories were caught short-handed.

China has experienced labor shortages frequently during the past decade, but many businesses now say they expect it to be worse this year than ever before. Migrants are finding jobs closer to home as the poor interior provinces become more prosperous. The supply of young laborers is decreasing as an effect of China's one-child policy , and fewer are willing to work for sweatshop wages as their parents did.

Farm-friendly policies are encouraging many to stay in rural areas on the land. And China's massive stimulus package has created jobs across the country, sucking labor from coastal factories.

"We've raised the monthly salary of our workers twice during the last year, from 1,200 yuan ($176) to 1,700 yuan ($249), but it's still not that easy to keep workers," said Lu Lei, general manger of Shanghai Reisheng Industrial Product Co., Ltd. in Shanghai.
"

It's about time they shift production/factory labour work into interior china. Those highways, railways and infrastructure stimulus packages are there for a reason. The costal provinces will move up next levels of the technology and service ladder.

regards,
 
"In regards to transport, until today there are no cheaper transport than water transport, Cities along rivers maybe a good place to relocate these industries, provided these products are non perishables of course"

"Which is a reminder that the rationale for much of the 3 Gorges Dam was so that ships of Ocean Going size can navigate as far inland as Chongqing and maybe Chengdu. Given the boom in Chongqing, it would seem that it is establishing itself as a hub for both exports and domestic supply."

Yangtze River - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Product parts can be made less expensive in the interior region then shipped to costal provinces for final assembly / high tech add-ons.

regards,
 
Buying Spree Nets China Stakes in Top U.S. Firms - DealBook Blog - NYTimes.com
Buying Spree Nets China Stakes in Top U.S. Firms
February 8, 2010, 8:31 am
Flush with cash despite the global economic downturn, China’s sovereign wealth fund quietly snapped up more than $9 billion worth of shares last year in some of the biggest American corporations, including Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup.

Although most of the stakes were small, China Investment Corp., the government’s $300 billion investment fund, now owns stock in some of the best-known American brands, including Apple, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, Motorola and Visa, David Barboza and Keith Bradsher report in The New York Times.

The detailed list, which contained holdings totaling $9.6 billion as of Dec. 31, was disclosed Friday in a filing with the Unites States Securities and Exchange Commission; it lists stakes only in companies traded in the United States.

The filing offers a glimpse of how China is trying to diversify its more than $2 trillion in foreign currency holdings with stock, rather than investing almost entirely in United States Treasury bonds and other debt securities issued by governments and by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae.

Prime Minister Wen Jiabao of China and other officials have repeatedly expressed worry about how the country’s holdings of U.S. Treasury securities could be hurt by inflation or by mounting United States debt. By buying the securities of international companies, China is trying to spread its fast-growing wealth more widely. It is also seeking to acquire strategic stakes in companies that could feed its hungry economy with a wide range of commodities.

C.I.C., already one of the world’s largest sovereign funds, was formed in 2007 with about $200 billion. It now has assets of nearly $300 billion and, according to state-run news media, is expecting another large injection of funds.

A spokeswoman for C.I.C., which is based in Beijing, did not return e-mail messages or phone calls seeking comment. But analysts said the filing showed that the fund had invested only a small portion of its $300 billion in American stocks, and the fund seemed to be following a cautious strategy to diversify globally after initially having put its biggest investments into shoring up the capital of Chinese banks.

“This is still a relatively small amount compared to the total size of the fund,” said Chang Chun, a professor of finance at the China Europe International Business School in Shanghai.

The sovereign wealth fund got off to a rocky start in 2007 and early 2008 by acquiring a $3 billion nonvoting stake in the American private equity firm Blackstone and paying another $5 billion for a 9.9 percent stake in Morgan Stanley.

Shares of both companies plummeted in 2008 during the financial crisis, leading to a storm of criticism directed at C.I.C. But analysts say the fund performed well in 2009, particularly because it was buying aggressively as the market recovered.

Exactly when C.I.C. bought the shares of various companies was not disclosed in the filing. And C.I.C.’s acquisition of nonvoting units of Blackstone and its early stake of preferred shares in Morgan Stanley are not listed in the filing. The Blackstone and Morgan Stanley stakes are not listed, apparently because they are not traded equities.

The filing indicates that C.I.C. owns about $19 million worth of Bank of America stock, close to $30 million worth of Citigroup shares and about $333 million worth of shares in Visa, as well as holdings in various index funds.

The fund’s largest listed holdings were $1.7 billion worth of shares in Morgan Stanley and nearly $650 million worth of shares in BlackRock, the New York money management fund.

The Morgan Stanley stake was acquired last June, when the investment bank issued about $2.2 billion worth of common shares to help repay the U.S. government under the Troubled Asset Relief Program; C.I.C. acquired about $1.2 billion worth of shares at that time.

Some United States politicians in both parties have been nervous about China’s growing financial reach, and particularly wary that China might seek political influence in the West commensurate with its corporate stakes. Wariness in Washington flared four years ago when Congress discouraged Cnooc, a state-owned Chinese oil company, from buying Unocal.

Most sovereign wealth funds, with the exception of Norway’s, disclose few details about their holdings. But C.I.C. made its list available for the first time on the S.E.C.’s form 13F, which is filed quarterly by institutional investors and mutual funds in the United States.

Ben Simpfendorfer, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland, said the Chinese sovereign wealth fund’s decision to disclose its holdings could limit concerns about secrecy in government holdings.

“This should help reassure politicians that Chinese sovereign wealth funds can take minority positions responsibly,” he said.

C.I.C.’s holdings outside the United States are substantial and growing. In Canada, it owns a $3.5 billion stake in Teck Resources, a mining and resources company listed in the United States, and a $1 million stake in Research in Motion, the maker of BlackBerry mobile phones.

The sovereign wealth fund has also been buying small stakes in Australia’s biggest banks and paid $646 million last autumn for a stake in Noble Group, a diversified commodities company based in Hong Kong with operations around the world in industries like iron ore mining and sugar mills.

Executives whose companies have accepted investments from C.I.C. tend to defend it as apolitical.

Richard S. Elman, the founder and chairman of Noble, said last month that C.I.C. executives had been businesslike in their approach to the investment.

“They are hugely commercial, and they want results,” he said. “They do not interfere in the day-to-day operations.”
 
China's missing trillions

Economists have known for years that China's official economic data was full of inconsistencies, but new data shows that the gap between what is real and what is reported could be very wide indeed. And the good news is that the structural imbalance thought to exist in China's economy between exports and domestic consumption, might not be as severe as we thought.

Last week JPMorgan’s chief Asian and emerging market strategist Jonathan Garner visited Hong Kong to launch the group’s Asian/global emerging markets equity strategy, entitled 2010 Outlook: Headwinds Building But Further Upside Likely. In the report, Morgan Stanley suggests that China’s 2008 GDP figures could out by $US1.25 trillion – but not in the direction most economists would suppose.

China's official GDP estimate was around $US4.4 trillion for 2008 GDP, but Morgan Stanley’s estimate is more like $US5.7 trillion – an astonishing 30 per cent higher. Garner also suggests that total per capita spending of $US1,221, is actually, more like $2,183 (79 per cent higher).

Garner’s premise for this theory stems primarily from the idea that GDP is extremely difficult to calculate, especially in an economy as big as China’s.

“It [GDP] is subject to a lot of statistical inference and estimation and particularly in emerging markets, where private sector services activities of all forms, be it offering a haircut service or a car or offering, let’s say, English language tuition, all of these things that might be going in China at the moment – you have to have the statistical agency to capture it,” he said at the conference. He is essentially suggesting leakage of some spending on service-related industries.

He also points to the auto and white-goods booms of 2009. “If the stated incomes in China are correct, the official incomes, you shouldn’t have had China becoming the world’s largest auto market last year. That degree of auto sales shouldn’t have occurred, so the only conclusion must be that the incomes are understated,” he said.

The good news is that if Garner is right and his figures are closer to the real picture of what’s going on in China then the structural imbalance in the economy, between exports and domestic demand, is not as severe as market-watchers may have thought.

But the reasons for the inaccuracies might not just be as simple as GDP being hard to calculate. In a recent interview with Business Spectator, David O’Rear, chief economist of the Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce, said that China's GDP figures have a twenty per cent margin of error. He suggests the problem is caused not only by the data being difficult to manage, but also because of political manipulation in certain areas.

China, politically, is very target-oriented. There are targets for just about everything, from production to efficiency, wind power to waste water. Not meeting those targets can be very embarrassing indeed when you’re in a developed economy like Australia or the US with scathingly critical media and looming elections.

But it is inconceivable that Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao would endure the sort of public criticism that would occur if a western leader failed to meet his or her economic targets. But that’s a bit of a non-issue, because as it happens, the targets always seem to get met.

High-profile China commentator Gordon Chang has also suggested political pressure is in part to blame for the China's skewed statistics, saying that China's government believes the maintenance of the appearance of a vibrant economy is necessary to act as a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Calling on China to increase domestic consumption based on figures that may be incorrect, as the US has done, is not the most constructive way to approach this issue. While some of the political hurdles might be more problematic, developed economies would do better to bring pressure to bear on China – through research, trade, government and diplomatic channels – to improve the statistical infrastructure in place to gather this data, and indeed offering any support or expertise that may benefit its development and improve our true picture of what's really going on in China.

http://www.businessspectator.com.au...markets-pd20100215-2P8WC?OpenDocument&src=sph
 
The planned defense budget of China is 532.115 billion yuan (about 78 billion U.S. dollars), a rise of about 37 billion yuan from last year's defense expenditure,
Defense spending would account for 6.4 percent of the country's total fiscal expenditure(8446billion RMB/1242billion $) in 2010, the same with last year,and 1.4% of the country's GDP
 
China To Purchase Half of IMF's Gold

China has confirmed the intention to purchase 191.3 tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund at an open auction, Finmarket news agency said.

World central banks started to increase their gold reserves after prices on gold began to climb in 2001. The IMF sells gold within the scope of a program to diversify sources of income and achieve an increase in lending.

The IMF announced an intention to sell 403.3 tons of gold in accordance with the adequate decision made by the board of directors of the fund in September of 2009.

India, Mauritius & Sri Lanka purchased about 212 tons of the amount at the end of 2009.

China’s interest in international trade is connected with the development of the nation’s economy, as well as with the growing consumer demand in the country.

“Chinese officials have confirmed previous announcements from IMF experts and said that the purchasing of 191 tons of gold would not exert negative influence on the world market. China is interested in the development of the domestic consumer market,” the agency reports.

Most of Chinese citizens believe that investing in gold jewelry is a good way to avoid inflation, Rough & Polished agency said.

The IMF has received the profit of $7.2 billion from gold sales. A part of the funds is to be used for crediting poor countries.

China To Purchase Half of IMF's Gold - Pravda.Ru
 
China To Purchase Half of IMF's Gold

China has confirmed the intention to purchase 191.3 tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund at an open auction, Finmarket news agency said.

World central banks started to increase their gold reserves after prices on gold began to climb in 2001. The IMF sells gold within the scope of a program to diversify sources of income and achieve an increase in lending.

The IMF announced an intention to sell 403.3 tons of gold in accordance with the adequate decision made by the board of directors of the fund in September of 2009.

India, Mauritius & Sri Lanka purchased about 212 tons of the amount at the end of 2009.

China’s interest in international trade is connected with the development of the nation’s economy, as well as with the growing consumer demand in the country.

“Chinese officials have confirmed previous announcements from IMF experts and said that the purchasing of 191 tons of gold would not exert negative influence on the world market. China is interested in the development of the domestic consumer market,” the agency reports.

Most of Chinese citizens believe that investing in gold jewelry is a good way to avoid inflation, Rough & Polished agency said.

The IMF has received the profit of $7.2 billion from gold sales. A part of the funds is to be used for crediting poor countries.

China To Purchase Half of IMF's Gold - Pravda.Ru

Why? Bcoz US dollar is unstable or will fallen?
 
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