Thanks for your sharing.
I agree with your comments.
Base on my observation, the west, especially UK&US have a political philosophy that:
- You must not show your weakness. Anglo-Saxon has a habit to exploit every weakness and using it as bargaining chip. So that they can negotiate from a position of strength.
- You must seek opportunities to exploit their weakness/desperation, using it as a bargaining chip.
- Sometimes create some trouble for them, and provide a temporary solution, keep their wound open/bleeding. Otherwise, it will be one time transaction.
If I am diplomat of Pakistan. I will strengthen relationship with China, and Russia. Create an illusion, spread rumors that Pakistan will import natural gas from Iran with discounted price. Spread rumors that Gwadar seaport will be rent by PLA Navy while Gwadar Airport will rent PLA Air Force. That's the thing US fear the most.
US may consider rebalancing their relationship between Pakistan and India. Exploit UK/US weakness which is the Persian Gulf, using Gwadar as one of the strongest bargaining chip. US hegemony can't lose Persian Gulf. Once Chinese start using Gwadar as military base, China can project the military power in not only Persian Gulf but also Arab Sea.
China has already built array of anti-access and
area-
denial (A2AD) capabilities along west Pacific. If China projects their military power and use A2AD capability to cover Persian Gulf and Arab Sea, US, Europeans and India will be Pakistan and China hostage.
I hope Pakistan play the game smart, get a fruitful result.