this war is nothing like syria iraq or afghanistan. for many reasons il give you few
1 yemen is isolated unlike the other 3 countries. meaning nothing goes in or out no fighter no weapons. this alone makes all the difference
2 we are not the US. we have blood relation with yemen. they are part of us we are part of them.
3 all yemenies from all sects and backgrounds are with us. except ali saleh and houthies.
ali saleh men are already leaving him. and the houthies are lost unorganized. each group now is acting on its own.
1.
What do you mean isolated? Geographically? So was Iraq, Iranian and allies to one side, US allies and KSA on the other. You remember what happened in the early days on the invasion?
The US rolled in, met little resistance anywhere except for a few one off cities like Fallujah, the Ba'athists disappeared, Saddam like Houdini, made himself, his affiliates, disappear and dissolve into the locals, most notably the locals belonging to certain sects.
The US invaded with no immediate plan for reconciliation, no form of control or set up of government. If I recall correctly, in April of that first year. Baghdad and many major cities were taken. For a few weeks or months at least. The ENTIRE country of Iraq, a country of 17 million people, had some 300-400 civil servants, government employees, I don't mean PM, secretaries, I mean teachers, doctors, nurses, ambulance drivers, local councillors.
The US then made the mistake of favouring one sect of people, empowering them, and then going after the other sect that Ba'athists dissolved into. They directly drove an already torn country into an all out civil war that was well out of their control. And Iraqis are still paying for this today. The Shia majority and majority representative government of Iraq in 2012 made some bonehead mistakes on top of almost a decade of unfair treatment, and from it rose ISIS, which you know hw much of a threat they are. And what makes ISIS so potent? You guessed it, the Ba'athists and their disaffected sects.
-A side note on ISIS-
One of the big reasons why ISIS scares the hell out of the world more than Al Qaeda or any other rag tag militant group. Is that they declared a STATE. Not a militancy, not a land grab, but a state. And to the shock of all, they pulled it off, they have a state, they govern, rules, tax and make income off and for their state. How did this rag tag group pull off such a task? Ba'athists, people who were in governance for Saddam for decades, people with experience in the Iraqi system and army before 2003. They were experienced and they knew what they were doing, they took ISIS from being a simple militancy to a successful militancy and eventual state.
So, in short, the errors of the US, the most powerful nation on earth, backed by the most powerful and richest allies on earth, lost their war and destroyed those whom they came to free. And please recall, in February of 2002, Bush said that the Taliban were defeated, they were isolated and they had no hold anymore, and lo and behold, 2003-2004 saw renewed insurgency and the greatest military comeback of the 21st century.
So, I do not know or care much for what you define as 'isolated', insurgencies exist for a reason, if the reason isn't rid of the insurgency will emerge again with twice the potency. And I'm sorry to say, I do not view the GCC as competent in fighting wars, due to lack of experience in the modern era. Let alone fight an insurgency in another country.
This is partly why you needed Pakistan, only the thing is, we understand what these wars mean, and that is precisely why we said no.
2.
You may not be the US, but you are falling for the exact same mistakes they did, trying to take on an insurgency that belongs to a sect by backing other sects and meddling with pro/antistate entities, all while other elements seek to outdo you.
In fact, you're saying you're not the US, and I agree. You do not have the world's greatest military machine, and the most experienced. You saw them fail twice, and you learned nothing.
Take a good look, the US/NATO usually loves this sort of war, if it's to beat their enemy Gaddafi, they tear Libya to the ground, if it's to remove the Muslim Brotherhood, they back dictatorship, if it's to remove Saddam and the taliban, they invaded. Why is it, that this country, most capable in these matters, most experienced and usually the most willing has not offered to become involved openly? Only support you from the outside?
They know that it is not worth it, they know that involving themselves will cost them, and that it will be unsuccessful. It is FAR easier to trick the Arabs into doing it for you, you help them, they do your work for you, and then if it goes sour (which it will), you won't be harmed.
3.
Here you are talking about sects.
May I ask, how much have you studied Middle East conflicts from the 1980's till today? Name me one successful war with sectarian colours, in which foreign intervention helped rather than worsened.
In summary, you guys have no idea what you're letting yourselves in for.
Kindly keep us out of that hell.
