Urbanized Greyhound
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Kim Jong-Il just went to China looking for more support, and how's the wind blowing in Blue House? President Lee welcomed the visit. BTW, South Korea just offered their own aid to the North.
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this was humanitarian aid seeing the economic shambles of the north ...certainly doesn't translate to better relations or approval of Kim Jong...
The way I see it, the only possible reasons for South Korea to move more closely to the U.S in an U.S-China context are 1) China decide to provide military aid to the North 2) China moves in to occupy the North.Otherwise SK's own interests (in national unification) can only be served by a good relationship with China
point 1) china decide to provide military aid to the north ??? China IS the principle arms supplier to the north.....and the rest of the world condemns this quite harshly......
2) why would china do that...??? there is absolutely no need to when every foreign policy decision of the north is predominantly dependent on chinese support.....
the bold part is something I can agree on.....
however....both the north and the south have independent foreign policies only in name in the current geostrategic situation ...and if I had to I would place my bet on South Korea going the Japan way and detaching from a U.S security umbrella at least in part rather than the north....if they so chose they could certainly involve india into their security grid to preserve their foreign policy independence .... I highly doubt they would choose to shift their hegemony from U.S to china ..because of ideological differences impossible to reconcile.....