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Afghan Forces Have Capacity to Fight, Defend Country, Milley Says

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Afghan Forces Have Capacity to Fight, Defend Country, Milley Says

JULY 21, 2021 | BY JIM GARAMONE, DOD NEWS

The Afghan security forces have the capacity and capabilities needed to fight and defend their country, Army Gen. Mark A. Milley said today, and the United States will continue to support those forces.

The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff spoke during a Pentagon press conference alongside Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III. "The future of Afghanistan is squarely in the hands of the Afghan people," Milley said. "And there is a range of possible outcomes in Afghanistan. … A negative outcome – a Taliban takeover of Afghanistan – is not a foregone conclusion."

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The general said the United States will continue to monitor the situation there and make adjustments to the support as necessary, he said.

Milley gave a quick rundown of the situation in Afghanistan. "There very clearly is a narrative out there that the Taliban are winning – they are propagating an 'inevitable victory'," he said. "As of today, 212 or 213 of the district centers are in Taliban control – it's about half of the 419 that are out there. You've got 34 provincial capitals in Afghanistan. None of them have been seized by the Taliban, although they are putting pressure on the outskirts of about half of them."

The provincial capitals have most of the population and the Taliban is trying to isolate the major population centers including Kabul, the general said.

The Taliban has seized a substantial swath of territory and "the strategic momentum seems to be with the Taliban, but the Afghan security forces are consolidating their forces to protect population centers," Milley said. "They are adjusting forces to consolidate forces into the provincial capitals and Kabul. It remains to be seen what will happen. … I don't think the endgame is yet written."

Reporters asked Milley about comments attributed to him in a recent book. While he did not address those directly, he did emphasize that he and the other members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff always provide their best military advice to whoever is president. Any advice given to leaders was "candid, honest in every single occasion," Milley said. "We do that all the time, every time. All of us in uniform take an oath, an oath to a document, an oath [to] the Constitution of the United States. And not one time did we violate that oath. I can say with certainty that every one of [us] maintained our oath of allegiance to that document … and we also maintained the tradition of civilian control of the military … and we also maintained the tradition of an apolitical military."

Austin has served alongside Milley in combat. "We fought together, we served a couple of times in the same unit," the secretary said. "I'm not guessing about his character: He doesn't have a political bone in his body. I clearly have tremendous faith and confidence in the chairman and what I want to make sure we do is maintain our focus on the threats ahead."


 
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I can understand delusional afghans making such boasts during bacha Bazi, but a sane US general?
Oh brother!
 
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I can understand delusional afghans making such boasts during bacha Bazi, but a sane US general?
Oh brother!
If tomorrow the Chinese said that the Pakistanis are hopelessly outclassed and face a bleak future vs an enemy as we leave them on their own - it wouldn’t make them a good ally
 
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If tomorrow the Chinese said that the Pakistanis are hopelessly outclassed and face a bleak future vs an enemy as we leave them on their own - it wouldn’t make them a good ally

He could have used as Trump once said better words lol
 
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“ The Afghan security forces have the capacity and capabilities needed to fight and defend their country, Army Gen. Mark A. “

What is being said is absolutely true, and that is how USA is disassociating and disengaging it self. That means the Afghan forces actually have the “ capacity and capabilities needed”, but whats not being mentioned is that they are NOT putting these capabilities to use as they do not believe in the cause at all, nor have the will to support a propped up foreign regime l; no one is willing to give their life for it, that means there is no cause and no one has the will to fight. If you look at numbers, resources, support, training, logistics, in all aspects ANA is 5-10x more powerful. Some members give extremely silly excuses that ANA is poorly trained etc. thats bull**** excuses. Are ANAs opponents getting trained at Sandhurst?
 
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oh yea please keep sending equipment to kabul, soon tablian will have a modernized army

“ The Afghan security forces have the capacity and capabilities needed to fight and defend their country, Army Gen. Mark A. “

What is being said is absolutely true, and that is how USA is disassociating and disengaging it self. That means the Afghan forces actually have the “ capacity and capabilities needed”, but whats not being mentioned is that they are NOT putting these capabilities to use as they do not believe in the cause at all, nor have the will to support a propped up foreign regime l; no one is willing to give their life for it, that means there is no cause and no one has the will to fight. If you look at numbers, resources, support, training, logistics, in all aspects ANA is 5-10x more powerful. Some members give extremely silly excuses that ANA is poorly trained etc. thats bull**** excuses. Are ANAs opponents getting trained at Sandhurst?



That's what I've been saying all along, the war was started on false pretense. ANA don't even know what they're fighting for.

It's always been a fight for the highest bidder situation in the middle east.
 
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“ The Afghan security forces have the capacity and capabilities needed to fight and defend their country, Army Gen. Mark A. “

What is being said is absolutely true, and that is how USA is disassociating and disengaging it self. That means the Afghan forces actually have the “ capacity and capabilities needed”, but whats not being mentioned is that they are NOT putting these capabilities to use as they do not believe in the cause at all, nor have the will to support a propped up foreign regime l; no one is willing to give their life for it, that means there is no cause and no one has the will to fight. If you look at numbers, resources, support, training, logistics, in all aspects ANA is 5-10x more powerful. Some members give extremely silly excuses that ANA is poorly trained etc. thats bull**** excuses. Are ANAs opponents getting trained at Sandhurst?

They are there for paychecks only to put food on the table.
 
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How this will play out:
Taliban will likely continue to hold rural districts - I think things will stabilize around 70% of districts. After this the Taliban will have a harder time. Most provisional capitals will become garrisons and in general majority of Afghan population will still be under gov control. The American's have changed their tact. They are following a different COIN strategy. Something they should have done a while back. They will apply pressure on Taliban and their benefactors to slow the progression. Giving themselves about a year or so.

This will allow Afghanistan to go to the back pages in terms of news.

They will hope to pursue the Soviet strategy, but eventually the back will break. This is the reason why air corridors are essential and the US is desperate for these. They'll eventually negotiate with Pakistan on a supply corridor. This is likely to keep the Gov well fed and supplied.

So the US will hope for the status quo. That is the best position for them.
Taliban on the other hand will try to control all land routes. They'll fill up their coffers and their men.
From a military perspective something will need to give. And my projection is that after about a year the Taliban will introduce a new weapon system or tactic (might be sooner). Either they'll get their hands on a few S2A systems, or they'll target airports with Rockets. This will apply pressure on the air corridors, and that is when things will move towards a conclusion.

The above is a potential path to a conclusion of this war.

However there are a bunch of variables that can speed or slow this process:
1) US resending units to buffer Af Gov
2) Turkey providing a permanent air security
3) Massive uptick by ISK attacking Taliban
4) Inter Taliban conflict
5) JSoC assassinations (now that they mapped out the leadership by smoking them out via Doha peace talks)
6) Some weird Indian machination
7) Some weird Pakistani re-alignment post staged chaos in Pakistan
 
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How this will play out:
Taliban will likely continue to hold rural districts - I think things will stabilize around 70% of districts. After this the Taliban will have a harder time. Most provisional capitals will become garrisons and in general majority of Afghan population will still be under gov control. The American's have changed their tact. They are following a different COIN strategy. Something they should have done a while back. They will apply pressure on Taliban and their benefactors to slow the progression. Giving themselves about a year or so.

This will allow Afghanistan to go to the back pages in terms of news.

They will hope to pursue the Soviet strategy, but eventually the back will break. This is the reason why air corridors are essential and the US is desperate for these. They'll eventually negotiate with Pakistan on a supply corridor. This is likely to keep the Gov well fed and supplied.

So the US will hope for the status quo. That is the best position for them.
Taliban on the other hand will try to control all land routes. They'll fill up their coffers and their men.
From a military perspective something will need to give. And my projection is that after about a year the Taliban will introduce a new weapon system or tactic (might be sooner). Either they'll get their hands on a few S2A systems, or they'll target airports with Rockets. This will apply pressure on the air corridors, and that is when things will move towards a conclusion.

The above is a potential path to a conclusion of this war.

However there are a bunch of variables that can speed or slow this process:
1) US resending units to buffer Af Gov
2) Turkey providing a permanent air security
3) Massive uptick by ISK attacking Taliban
4) Inter Taliban conflict
5) JSoC assassinations (now that they mapped out the leadership by smoking them out via Doha peace talks)
6) Some weird Indian machination
7) Some weird Pakistani re-alignment post staged chaos in Pakistan
The only reason taliban are not attacking capitals is USA
Once USA goes 17 capitals will fall within hours
Rest 20 will be sorrounded
All boarder crossing already gone except torkham
 
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The only reason taliban are not attacking capitals is USA
Once USA goes 17 capitals will fall within hours
Rest 20 will be sorrounded
All boarder crossing already gone except torkham
Looks to be headed that way. Except in the Hazara regions. Probably a concession to get a commitment of Iranian support or at least non-interference.
 
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