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ADBI: Heavy reliance on overseas borrowing may hurt Bangladesh development

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ADBI: Heavy reliance on overseas borrowing may hurt Bangladesh development
Tribune Desk
  • Published at 02:47 am November 1st, 2018

https://www.dhakatribune.com/busine...eas-borrowing-may-hurt-bangladesh-development
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Naoyuki Yoshino, Dean of the Asian Development Bank Institute UNB

'Infrastructure needs in Bangladesh are huge. If you rely too much on overseas money'

Bangladesh needs to mobilise domestic investment alongside increasing it in infrastructure with ‘spillover tax revenues’ not relying too much on overseas money as infrastructural needs in Bangladesh remain enormous, says a global development expert.

“Infrastructure needs in Bangladesh are huge. If you rely too much on overseas money, that will hurt the development,” Naoyuki Yoshino, Dean of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), told UNB in an interview at the ADB office in Dhaka.

The expert, also Professor Emeritus at Keio University, Japan, said the public money and money from the international lending agencies are not enough considering the huge infrastructural needs in Bangladesh, reports UNB.

“I see traffic jam in Dhaka is getting heavier. That means you have lack of infrastructure and transportation,” he said adding that it is important to explore how to bring private sector in order to construct infrastructure. “And the key is how to increase the rate of return from the investment.”

Prof Yoshino who leads the ADBI, the world’s second best government-affiliated think tank, said many construction companies are interested in constructing railways, highways but they do not care about development of surrounding areas and inclusiveness.

“They have to realise that lots of poor people are living in surrounding areas and think of how to provide finance to them and help them start their own small business, shops, restaurants,” he mentioned.

Prof Yoshino encouraged Bangladesh to give attention more on insurance, pension funds, and other savings saying it is very important for Bangladesh to start increasing savings – short-, medium- and long-term to address infrastructural investment needs.

Hometown Investment Trust (HIT) Funds

He also thinks his popular idea – ‘Hometown Investment Trust (HIT)’ funds - a stable way to supply risk capital, can be applied in Bangladesh supporting poor people around big infrastructure projects – roads, railways and highways - through funds.

In Japan, Hometown Investment Trust (HIT) funds were created as a new source of financing to support solar and wind power. The basic objective of HIT funds is to connect local investors with projects in their own locality in which they have personal knowledge and interest.

“If Hometown Fund can be provided, poor people can start their own business along new roads and highways. This is also good for inclusive growth,” said the expert.

By means of HIT funds, many Japanese investors have put small amounts of money toward the construction of wind power and solar power projects.

The HIT funds have spread from Japan to Cambodia, Viet Nam, Peru, and Mongolia and they are also attracting attention from the Government of Thailand, and Malaysia’s central bank.

Since infrastructure requires long-term investment, the chief executive officer of the ADBI said insurance and pension funds will be good sources of money in Bangladesh.

“In 1991-1992, I was invited by China. They asked me many things and wanted to Japanese experience of development – what would be the key. I said circulating domestic investments,” he explained how China walked towards development path.

Prof Yoshino said China followed his suggestions and they became successful. And Bangladesh is different from Japan and China. “You’ve to bring little changes, if necessary, to make my proposals suitable for Bangladesh.”

For further development of Bangladesh, Prof Yoshino said Bangladesh has to establish income equality providing opportunities for all. “You also need to provide quality education to have skilled workforce apart from diversity of wealth,” he added.

The expert said education should be made free of cost gradually in line with the growth of the economy.

Citing Broadcasting University in Japan, Prof Yoshino said education can be provided through mobile phone and even poor people in remote areas of Bangladesh can listen to excellent lectures. “You only need mobile phone and internet apart from hiring experienced persons to deliver lecture. It’s not expensive.”

Boosting Exports

On boosting Bangladesh’s export, he said “It depends on demand and supply. But you need quality products. You have to look at what kinds of products are needed in surrounding countries. What kind of products they need and what kind of products Bangladesh can supply,”.
 
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BD has a very tight and conservative fiscal policy. BD is unlikely to fall into the debt trap. Most borrowing comes as build operate (take profit in liew of capital engaged) and in time transfer asset to BD. By the transfer stage debt has been paid off.
 
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ADBI: Heavy reliance on overseas borrowing may hurt Bangladesh development
This is what I have been trying to convey to my fellow countrymen that building infrastructure with foreign money and foreign companies are not the correct recipe for development. Pakistan borrowed $50 billion of Chinese money that has become a $90 billion liability with interest. Now, Pakistan has to borrow more money only to pay back the arrear.

Bangladesh is also going straight to fall into the Chinese trap never to rise up again. Infrastructures should be built with local money and the works by the local engineers/technicians. BD has chosen a quick fix to solve its problems, but development is a long process. It is not possible to do thousands and thousands of development works without the local participation which also raise their expertise.

Same as Pakistan, the more BD goes for easy foreign money the more it will be swallowed by the quicksand. I ask for caution.
 
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Pakistan borrowed $50 billion of Chinese money that has become a $90 billion liability with interest. Now, Pakistan has to borrow more money only to pay back the arrear.
wow,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ when the hell that happened guys ?????????? Come on Mr BD member that much of hate !!!!!!!!
@The Eagle , @Slav Defence , @Horus , @Imran Khan @django , @Atlas
@Slav Defence , look at this post sir !!!!!! First he bring Pakistan in and then look at what he said , plain and straight lie.
 
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wow,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ when the hell that happened guys ?????????? Come on Mr BD member that much of hate !!!!!!!!
@The Eagle , @Slav Defence , @Horus , @Imran Khan @django , @Atlas
@Slav Defence , look at this post sir !!!!!! First he bring Pakistan in and then look at what he said , plain and straight lie.
Well , maybe he was misinformed, ( or maybe not, not sure as I don't read such news often ), but
@CHACHA"G" , come on, he was not bashing Pakistan! He was actually countering the propaganda of Awami league and exaggeration of AL supporters !

You must know that here awami supporters, specially @UKBengali ( and maybe few others ,not sure) believe that we can be developed faster only with borrowing money.
I am surprised that you have reacted like this!
If you believe that he ( @bluesky ) is misinformed , then correct him. I always found him as balanced person, and not offensive to Pakistan like awami BD posters here. So honestly I don't think that this type of reaction is wise in this case. And also you should understand anyone's intentions, not mistakes, or limitations , although I do not know which side is right, as already said that I do not read news about other countries often. Thank you.
@Slav Defence we leave them alone but they are not leaving us alone now please advise
@Imran Khan, Wasn't it a simple statement, and also Pakistan is not the issue here, but Bangladesh awami league is the issue here! I am surprised that you guys are reacting like that!
 
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wow,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ when the hell that happened guys ?????????? Come on Mr BD member that much of hate !!!!!!!!
@The Eagle , @Slav Defence , @Horus , @Imran Khan @django , @Atlas
@Slav Defence , look at this post sir !!!!!! First he bring Pakistan in and then look at what he said , plain and straight lie.
Why does a statement make you guys so mad? Do you think I wrote it because I am a Pakistan hater? Stop unnecessary bickering and carefully try to find out the truth, please.
 
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wow,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ when the hell that happened guys ?????????? Come on Mr BD member that much of hate !!!!!!!!
@The Eagle , @Slav Defence , @Horus , @Imran Khan @django , @Atlas
@Slav Defence , look at this post sir !!!!!! First he bring Pakistan in and then look at what he said , plain and straight lie.
From which angle was that a hate comment? If you get the gist of his post, then you sure know what he's talking. And it is the swelling of foreign loans. And Pakistan do have this problem up to a point. So Pakistan made a good use case here.
 
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@Slav Defence we leave them alone but they are not leaving us alone now please advise
Why are you shouting when I said the truth? I was just comparing the status of Pakistan with the possible future status of BD if the latter keeps on borrowing foreign money to do some prestigious public works. Why does it make you guys angry at me?

Unplug your ears to hear that the total borrowing of the sweat foreign money is about $93 billion excluding the money Pakistan took from the USA. Some bad guys say it is a staggering $33 billion. From China alone, the borrowing is $50 billion.

So, I have been warning that BD should not borrow foreign money left and right. Even citing the name of your country or comparing BD with Pakistan makes me Pakistanphobia, is not it? Very strange!! I thought it is a discussion/debate forum.
 
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This is what I have been trying to convey to my fellow countrymen that building infrastructure with foreign money and foreign companies are not the correct recipe for development. Pakistan borrowed $50 billion of Chinese money that has become a $90 billion liability with interest. Now, Pakistan has to borrow more money only to pay back the arrear.

Bangladesh is also going straight to fall into the Chinese lap never to rise up again. Infrastructures should be built with local money and the works by the local engineers/technicians. BD has chosen a quick fix to solve its problems, but development is a long process. It is not possible to do thousands and thousands of development works without the local participation which also raise their expertise.

Same as Pakistan, the more BD goes for easy foreign money the more it will be swallowed by the quicksand. I ask for caution.

Dude you have any understanding of mathematics?

BD has by far the lowest debt to GDP ratio in the whole of S Asia.
None of these loans are high interest quick repayment types. Grace period of 5 years and then 2-2.5% interest to repay over the next 15 years. Inflation will actually make the debt cheaper over the long run.
Even with all the Russian, Chinese and other loans, debt to GDP ratio will be less than 40% by 2030.
 
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This is what I have been trying to convey to my fellow countrymen that building infrastructure with foreign money and foreign companies are not the correct recipe for development. Pakistan borrowed $50 billion of Chinese money that has become a $90 billion liability with interest. Now, Pakistan has to borrow more money only to pay back the arrear.

Bangladesh is also going straight to fall into the Chinese lap never to rise up again. Infrastructures should be built with local money and the works by the local engineers/technicians. BD has chosen a quick fix to solve its problems, but development is a long process. It is not possible to do thousands and thousands of development works without the local participation which also raise their expertise.

Same as Pakistan, the more BD goes for easy foreign money the more it will be swallowed by the quicksand. I ask for caution.
Bangladesh is borrowing money from China? Only China?
 
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Well , maybe he was misinformed, ( or maybe not, not sure as I don't read such news often ), but
@CHACHA"G" , come on, he was not bashing Pakistan! He was actually countering the propaganda of Awami league and exaggeration of AL supporters !

You must know that here awami supporters, specially @UKBengali ( and maybe few others ,not sure) believe that we can be developed faster only with borrowing money.
I am surprised that you have reacted like this!
If you believe that he ( @bluesky ) is misinformed , then correct him. I always found him as balanced person, and not offensive to Pakistan like awami BD posters here. So honestly I don't think that this type of reaction is wise in this case. And also you should understand anyone's intentions, not mistakes, or limitations , although I do not know which side is right, as already said that I do not read news about other countries often. Thank you.

@Imran Khan, Wasn't it a simple statement, and also Pakistan is not the issue here, but Bangladesh awami league is the issue here! I am surprised that you guys are reacting like that!
Dear Sir , if he is informed or not , he did it by purpose or not , what he said is lie and Pakistan bashing .. And you want him/her to counter lie with a lie ?????? As I said before BD is your country , BD's economy is you economy , but why bring Pakistan In ?? Why not Sirilanka ?? And even if he/she want to bring Pakistan then why not research before and have some knowledge ??? Why lie ?????
 
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Dude you have any understanding of mathematics?

BD has by far the lowest debt to GDP ratio in the whole of S Asia.
None of these loans are high interest quick repayment types. Grace period of 5 years and then 2-2.5% interest to repay over the next 15 years. Inflation will actually make the debt cheaper over the long run.
Even with all the Russian, Chinese and other loans, debt to GDP ratio will be less than 40% by 2030.
Loan is not bad thing ,but depending only on loan is not wise idea ( কিন্তু এই জিনিসটা আপনি বুঝতেই চান না), but we need to focus on industrialization at top priority.
Some of our compatriots claim that India force to buy their made in India junk to her peoples with high cost.
Now industrialization should be top priority . And you see Bangladesh is listed as the worst place ( even worse than Afghanistan) for business.
That's not good sign .
 
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From which angle was that a hate comment? If you get the gist of his post, then you sure know what he's talking. And it is the swelling of foreign loans. And Pakistan do have this problem up to a point. So Pakistan made a good use case here.
Once I thought you are intelligent person...….. Have you read his post...….

Why does a statement make you guys so mad? Do you think I wrote it because I am a Pakistan hater? Stop unnecessary bickering and carefully try to find out the truth, please.
Prove your lie ……… take help form mage ……….. If not then face ban...…..
 
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Dude you have any understanding of mathematics?
Idiot!! I wonder have you ever did the first chapter of math? Yet you claim yourself as a great mathematician who surpasses Sir Issac Newton. Talking illogical nonsense is what you do in all your posts. By the way, have you heard his name ever, or have you ever heard the name of a country that has developed with the money borrowed from foreign sources (FDI is different)? Tell me the name, idiot!!
 
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