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Please think rationally. No one dropped the price, there was so much supply in the market that the price automatically came down to where it was not worth for a farmer to even pay for the harvest of the crop. Simple Supply and Demand economics.

Farming sector needs reforms and it should also be taxed. I did a note recently on how much the production is of the main crops plus compared it with the averages from USA. There are improvements to be made and there could a number of reasons. Seed selection, water availability, fertilizer and...

Thank you. Yes small dams are needed and I have not included them in this note (there are too many projects). We can keep building them at provincial level. KPK and Baluchistan need these to conserve water. I came across these blogs: Fateh Gandapur's Blog on Water Issues of Pakistan and future...

The aim of this note is to look at the available water resources, water conveyance and food security for the growing population. Furthermore it will try to estimate the cost of upgrading the current canal system and expanding/adding new reservoirs. The Indus river system is very seasonal and...

Hey Jazzbot, Just came across the startup thread. Do you want to expand your business? If so can partner up? Shah.

Yes success of Engro project will mean that everyone would be interested to invest in Coal. I disagree with the 2nd part. The problem starts at individual level not at leadership. We as individuals are part of the problem and the day we start acknowledging this we will start to improve the...

Yes there is much potential but it is very expensive to setup a coal power plant these days. As I said before the government will need to kick start coal power plant projects and maybe have a joint venture with private firms. I am sure you are aware of the state of individuals in Pakistan. I...

Yes there are many variables and I have tried to simplify it by concentrating on a few major ones and try to estimate the power usage as well as the growth in both power usage and population. Mind you I haven't even added the line losses to this calculation! The bold part reminds me of my...

Thank you. Yes this analysis was done after having a discussion between myself and Daneshmand in that thread. I was curious about how long the crisis will carry on and at what cost the infrastructure can be setup.

Well if I assume 300 watts per panel then about 20,000,000 panels will be required for the said 6000 MW. Not sure what the world's annual production solar panels but that is a big number by any means.

Solar energy is good but I would make it a private venture rather than a Government one. So every household can install it if they have the money and indirectly help the power sector. Windmills are very good. If Pakistan has enough suitable areas then should deploy them. Well gas plants are a...

Ok done some tinkering with population growth and electricity. I could update the original post or should I leave them here? New assumptions as follows: Population 320 million in 2055 (growth rate 1.6% today which decreases to about 1.1%). Electricity 800kWh to about 1800kWh (increasing at about...

Yes it is very difficult to model these things. I will tinker with the model and reduce some of the assumptions on growth. I think the growth in population will remain as per my model. I will reduce the electricity demand growth to 2% to get to 1800 kWh by 2055 (would this be a better estimate?).

Thank you. These are not plans but an estimate based on a few assumptions (which can be changed). Well you see there are two factors here: Population increase and increase in use of electricity. Even if people use the same amount of power (450 kWh) in 40 years Pakistan will still need twice as...