Khan_patriot
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Ever since the OBL fiasco and other recent developments in the international geo-strategic arena thing have gotten very unpredictable especially for our Pakistan and the prospect of Pakistan isolation seems to carry more and more momentum behind it then it has ever before and according to some it may be the turning point of the long predicted RAW-CIA-MOSSAD conspiracy that came into force the day we went nuclear but lets just focus on the prospect of Pakistan isolation first.
Background:
History is witness that when it comes to Pakistan's allies almost all of them have a tendency to chew her up and spit her out when their needs are met and when she is of low or no use to the interests of that country the only exception to this case being China, but lets face it the Chinese are also in it for their own goals and nothing more, the goals of the Chinese being a counter balance against India and US in the region but still we cant deny the fact that China has been with us through thick and thin and for that Pakistan and all Pakistanis are grateful. As for the fact of Pak isolation in the past we have seen it many times how we were abandoned by US many times which we considered as our prime ally after the Afghan fiasco and many other times, and lets not forget the sanctions that were slapped after we went nuclear.
THE PRESENT SCENARIO
As is evident that Pakistan has rougher roads ahead of it as far as int. relations are concerned and certain developments predict so some if the following are:-
1.French defiance to supply heavy mly. arms:
Thanks to our neighbors to the east the french are denying supplying mly. material to Pakistan which mortally needs it if it is to fight against the terrorists I am not saying that we only depend on France for mly. supply but this is like a crystal ball into the future and I wouldn't be surprised if eventually more countries give us a cold shoulder. The reason France has to comply with the Indian demand is simple, it is that India is in the final stages of buying the not so wanted french raffelle fighter jet the deal is to bet 126 jets for $11 billion. Thus the french don't really want to piss off an scarce customer.
2:The western frontier:
Things are not so bright on the west either, some would argue that we got Muslim brothers on the west so there is no issue but lets face it with the involvement in Afghan politics and social things I wouldn't be surprised if we soon find a pro-India policy in Kabul which in turn isolates Pakistan in its own neighborhood. Some would argue that this would never happen but in lets face it in the 21st century ''money talks'' so if the Afghans see their benefit in being pro-India then nothing can stop them from being pro-India.The reason for Indian interests in Afghanistan is basically it vast resources, economic potential and strategic importance and in the worst case during a Sino-Pak war we may be facing a dual frontal assault and if not that we cant rely on Afghanistan as previously thought as a strategic retreat in case all thing went wrong.
3.The American factor:
Another thing as a result of the OBL fiasco is that the US may be wanting to go out of Afghanistan by declaring that they are victorious even tough the realities are alot grimmer and as we know about the US it has strong tendencies to abandon Pakistan and we know it is going to happen sooner or later.
4.Lets not forget the Indians:
Don't think that I am some war junkie who has just played Medal/Delta force of honor and cant wait for a real war to fight in but the ground realities are that the
Pakistani as well as Indian masses want peace but the governments don't because the politicians are using the rivalry for the campaigns and other stuff so peace in this state is highly unlikely and the Indian government as well as Pakistani counterparts are involved in a silenced war with each other.
CONCLUSION:
In the present volatile situation the only way open to us is to further befriend China as our friend but lets learn from our mistakes we made with the US and not completely rely on China and do some things on our own. May Allah help us in our path towards self reliance and prosperity. Ameen.
About the writer:
The writer is a home based keen analyst and has just given his matric exams.
Background:
History is witness that when it comes to Pakistan's allies almost all of them have a tendency to chew her up and spit her out when their needs are met and when she is of low or no use to the interests of that country the only exception to this case being China, but lets face it the Chinese are also in it for their own goals and nothing more, the goals of the Chinese being a counter balance against India and US in the region but still we cant deny the fact that China has been with us through thick and thin and for that Pakistan and all Pakistanis are grateful. As for the fact of Pak isolation in the past we have seen it many times how we were abandoned by US many times which we considered as our prime ally after the Afghan fiasco and many other times, and lets not forget the sanctions that were slapped after we went nuclear.
THE PRESENT SCENARIO
As is evident that Pakistan has rougher roads ahead of it as far as int. relations are concerned and certain developments predict so some if the following are:-
1.French defiance to supply heavy mly. arms:
Thanks to our neighbors to the east the french are denying supplying mly. material to Pakistan which mortally needs it if it is to fight against the terrorists I am not saying that we only depend on France for mly. supply but this is like a crystal ball into the future and I wouldn't be surprised if eventually more countries give us a cold shoulder. The reason France has to comply with the Indian demand is simple, it is that India is in the final stages of buying the not so wanted french raffelle fighter jet the deal is to bet 126 jets for $11 billion. Thus the french don't really want to piss off an scarce customer.
2:The western frontier:
Things are not so bright on the west either, some would argue that we got Muslim brothers on the west so there is no issue but lets face it with the involvement in Afghan politics and social things I wouldn't be surprised if we soon find a pro-India policy in Kabul which in turn isolates Pakistan in its own neighborhood. Some would argue that this would never happen but in lets face it in the 21st century ''money talks'' so if the Afghans see their benefit in being pro-India then nothing can stop them from being pro-India.The reason for Indian interests in Afghanistan is basically it vast resources, economic potential and strategic importance and in the worst case during a Sino-Pak war we may be facing a dual frontal assault and if not that we cant rely on Afghanistan as previously thought as a strategic retreat in case all thing went wrong.
3.The American factor:
Another thing as a result of the OBL fiasco is that the US may be wanting to go out of Afghanistan by declaring that they are victorious even tough the realities are alot grimmer and as we know about the US it has strong tendencies to abandon Pakistan and we know it is going to happen sooner or later.
4.Lets not forget the Indians:
Don't think that I am some war junkie who has just played Medal/Delta force of honor and cant wait for a real war to fight in but the ground realities are that the
Pakistani as well as Indian masses want peace but the governments don't because the politicians are using the rivalry for the campaigns and other stuff so peace in this state is highly unlikely and the Indian government as well as Pakistani counterparts are involved in a silenced war with each other.
CONCLUSION:
In the present volatile situation the only way open to us is to further befriend China as our friend but lets learn from our mistakes we made with the US and not completely rely on China and do some things on our own. May Allah help us in our path towards self reliance and prosperity. Ameen.
About the writer:
The writer is a home based keen analyst and has just given his matric exams.
