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Al-Qaeda claims responsibility of Bhutto's assassination

Interesting article by Mr B Raman who was Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For TopicalStudies, Chennai



AL QAEDA IN GHQ,RAWALPINDI

INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM MONITOR--PAPER NO.335

B.RAMAN

Since 9/11, there has been hardly any jihadi terrorist strike anywhere in the world in which there was no Pakistani connection.

2. Since 2002, there has been hardly any jihadi terrorist strike in Pakistani territory in which there was no connection of the GeneralHeadquarters (GHQ) of the Pakistan Army. By GHQ, one does not mean the entire army. One means some elements in the GHQ.

3. The first wake-up call about the possible presence of one or more sleeper cells of Al Qaeda in Rawalpindi came in March,2003, whenKhalid Sheikh Mohammad (KSM), who allegedly orchestrated the 9/11 terrorist strikes in the US, was found living in the house of a woman'swing office-bearer of the Jamaat-e-Islami in Rawalpindi. She had relatives in the army, including an officer of a Signal Regiment.

4. The second wake-up call came after the two attempts to assassinate President Pervez Musharraf in Rawalpindi in December,2003.ThePakistani authorities have not so far taken their public into confidence regarding the details of the two plots.All that they admitted wasthat four junior officers of the Army and six of the Air Force were allegedly involved. One of the army officers named Islamuddin wascourt-martialed and sentenced to death even before the investigation was complete. Another army officer named Havaldar Younis wassentenced to 10 years rigorous imprisonment. Much to the discomfiture of the authorities, one of the Air Force officers, a civilian,who wasbeing held in custody in an Air Force station, managed to escape.

5.There are still many unanswered questions about the conspiracy to kill Musharraf. Who took the initiative in planning this conspiracy? Thearrested junior officers of the Army and the Air Force or the leaders of the suspected jihadi organisations? When was the conspiracyhatched? How did Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) and the Intelligence Directorates-General of the Army and the Air Force remainunaware of this conspiracy despite the fact that the conspirators had allegedly held some of their preparatory meetings in their livingquarters in military cantonments and Air Force stations? Was there a complicity of some in the intelligence establishment itself? If so, atwhat level? Why was the Government unable to identify those in the intelligence establishment involved in the conspiracy? Was there aninvolvement of the Hizbut Tehrir?

6.These questions re-surfaced in the wake of the arrest of Abu Faraj al-Libi of Al Qaeda and the re-arrest of the civilian employee of the AirForce involved in the conspiracy, who had managed to escape from custody in November,2004, while under interrogation. That there wereapprehensions in the minds of those close to Musharraf over the role of sections of the intelligence establishment in the entire conspiracyand over the failure of the investigating agencies to unravel the entire conspiracy became evident from an interview given by Dr.AamirLiaqat Hussain, the then Minister of State for Religious Affairs, to the "Daily Times" on May 5,2005.

7.The Minister warned that Musharraf had a lot of enemies ‘within’ who could make an attempt on his life again at any time. He said thatthere were certain elements within the forces who could attack the General. He added: “No common people could attack PresidentMusharraf, but certainly there are elements in the forces who can launch yet another attack against him. There is an ISI within the ISI,which is more powerful than the original and still orchestrating many eventualities in the country.” He added that he feared a threat to hisown life because he supported Musharraf's call for an enlightened and moderate Islam and had been given the task of preparing the textsof sermons advocating enlightened and moderate Islam to be used at all mosques of the Armed Forces.

8.Well-informed sources in Pakistan said that apart from the failure of the intelligence establishment to identify and weed out the pro-jihadielements in the Armed Forces and the intelligence establishment, another cause for serious concern was the continuing failure of theintelligence establishment to identify all the Pakistani leaders of the highly secretive Hizbut Tehrir (HT) and its supporters in the ArmedForces and arrest them.The HT ideology and operational methods were imported into Pakistan from the UK by its supporters in thePakistani community in the UK in 2000. It was said that within five years it was able to make considerable progress not only in setting up itsorganisational infrastructure, but also in recruiting dedicated members in the civil society as well as the Armed Forces. It was also reportedthat no other jihadi organisation had been able to attract as many young and educated members and as many supporters in the ArmedForces as the HT.

9.Physical security regulations in an office of the ISI at Rawalpindi exempt officers of the rank of Brigadier and above coming in their ownvehicle from frisking at the outer gate. They undergo a frisking only after they have entered the premises, parked their car in the spaceallotted to them in the garage and then enter the building in which their office is located. Officers below the rank of Brigadier undergofrisking twice, whether they are in their own vehicle or in a bus ----at the outer gate and again inside before they enter the building. At theouter gate, they have to get out of their vehicle, undergo frisking and then get into their vehicle and drive in.

10. Since all officers travel in civilian clothes in unmarked vehicles, which cannot be identified with the Army or the ISI, there is a special hand signalling system for Brigadiers and above by which the security staff at the outer gate can recognise their rank and let them drive inwithout undergoing frisking. This hand signalling is changed frequently.

11. On the morning of November 24, 2007, a car reached the outer gate and the man inside showed a hand signal, which was in use till theprevious day. It had been changed on November 23 and a new signal was in force from the morning of November 24, 2007. He was notaware of it. The security staff got suspicious and did not allow the car to drive in. They asked the man driving it to get out for questioningand frisking. He blew himself up.

12. As he did so, an unmarked chartered bus carrying over 40 civilian and junior military employees of the ISI reached the outer gate andstopped so that those inside can get out for frisking. The bus bore the brunt of the explosion, which caused the death of about 35persons---- from among those inside the bus as well as the security staff. The Pakistani authorities admitted the death of only 18 persons.

13. Around the same time, a man driving a vehicle towards the premises of the GHQ in another part of Rawalpindi was stopped by thesecurity staff at a physical security barrier. He blew himself up killing two of the security staff. These two well-synchronised suicide strikesin Rawalpindi, the sanctum sanctorum of Pakistan's military-intelligence establishment, came about six weeks after a similar attacktargeting the ISI and the Army at Rawalpindi at the same time. On September 4, 2007. a suicide attacker blew himself up after boarding abus carrying ISI employees. A roadside bomb went off near a commercial area in Rawalpindi, while a car carrying an unidentified seniorArmy officer to the GHQ was passing. Twenty-five persons died in the two attacks. The Army officer escaped unhurt. On October 30, 2007, asuicide bomber blew himself up at a checkpoint several hundred yards from the GHQ killing seven persons, most of the from the securitystaff.

14.The two attacks directed at the ISI and another at a Pakistan Air Force bus at Sargodha were based on inside information. In the case ofthe explosion at the outer gate of the ISI complex on November 24, 2007, the suicide bomber was aware of the hand signalling code forBrigadiers and above. However, he was not aware that the signal code had been changed the previous day. Since these codes arecommunicated personally to Brigadiers and above, their existence is supposed to be known only to Brigadiers and above and the physicalsecurity staff. The suicide bomber's inside accomplice was either an ISI officer of the rank of Brigadier or above or a member of the physicalsecurity staff.

15. There are two alarming aspects of the security situation in Pakistan. The first is the upsurge in acts of suicide terrorism directed againstsecurity and intelligence personnel and their establishments. These give clear evidence of the penetration of pro-Al Qaeda jihadi elementsinside the Armed Forces, the intelligence agencies and the Police. The second is the inability or unwillingness of the Police to vigorouslyinvestigate these incidents, including the attempt to kill Mrs. Benazir Bhutto in Karachi on October 18,2007. Nobody knows definitively tilltoday who are responsible for these suicide attacks---- tribal followers of Baitullah Mehsud of South Waziristan or those of Maulana Fazlullahof the Swat Valley or the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LEJ), the anti-Shia sectarian organisation, or Al Qaeda and its Uzbek associates or the angrystudents of the two madrasas run by the Lal Masjid in Islamabad?

16. The Rawalpindi cantonment where the headquarters of the Army and other sensitive units of the Pakistan Army and the ISI are located,and the adjoining Islamabad, the capital, where the headquarters of the federal Government and the National Assembly are located, hadseen terrorist strikes even in the past. Amongst them, one could mention the 1989 explosion in the Rawalpindi office of Dr. Farooq Haider,the then President of one of the factions of the Jammu & Kashmir Liberation Front (JKLF), which was attributed to a rival faction led byAmanullah Khan; the explosion outside the Egyptian Embassy at Islamabad in the 1990s, which was attributed to some Egyptian opponentsof President Hosni Mubarak; the grenade attack inside an Islamabad church frequented by the diplomatic community in March 2002 inwhich the wife of a US diplomat and their daughter were killed; the unsolved assassination of Maulana Azam Tariq, the Amir of theSipah-eSahaba, Pakistan, the political wing of the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, at Islamabad in 2003, the terrorist attack on a a group of workers ofthe Pakistan People's Party (PPP) of Benazir Bhutto in Islamabad earlier this year, the alleged firing of a rocket on Musharraf's plane fromthe terrace of a house in Islamabad again earlier this year and the alleged firing of rockets by unidentified elements from a park inIslamabad last year.

17. If one leaves aside the JKLF factional politics, the only terrorist organisations which had operated in the Islamabad-Rawalpindi area inthe past (before July 2007) were the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LEJ), which was blamed for the church grenade attack; the Sipah Mohammad, theShia terrorist organisation, which was suspected in the murder of Azam Tariq; and Al Qaeda. Many Pakistani and Kashmiri jihadiorganisations such as the Lashkar-e-Toiba, the Hizbul Mujahideen, the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HUM) etc have their offices in Rawalpindi, butdo not indulge in terrorist activities there.

18. There was no evidence to show that the Egyptians responsible for the explosion outside the Egyptian Embassy were then the followersof Osama bin Laden. The first indication of some local support for Al Qaeda in Rawalpindi came in March, 2003, when Khalid SheikhMohammad (KSM), supposedly the man who co-ordinated the 9/11 terrorist strikes in the US, was arrested from the house of a women's wingleader of the Jamaat-e-Islami (JEI) in Rawalpindi by the Pakistani authorities and handed over to the USA's Federal Bureau of Investigation(FBI).

19. KSM was living in Karachi till September, 2002, when he fled from there to Quetta in Balochistan following the arrest of Ramzi Binalshibh,another Al Qaeda operative there. From Quetta, he shifted to Rawalpindi in the beginning of 2003, fearing betrayal by the Shias of Quetta. After his arrest, no thorough enquiries would appear to have been made either by the ISI or the Police to determine why he took shelter inRawalpindi, a highly guarded military cantonment. Did he and/or Al Qaeda have any other accomplices in Rawalpindi, in addition to the JEIleader and the members of her family, who included one junior Army officer belonging to a signals battalion, who was also detained forinterrogation? Did Al Qaeda or the Pakistani organisations allied to it in the International Islamic Front (IIF) have a sleeper cell or cells in thecantonment? If they had, the sleeper cells could have functioned undetected only with the complicity of at least some in the Armed Forces.

20. After the arrest and the handing-over of KSM to the US, anti-Musharraf and pro-jihadi pamphlets typed on the official letter-head used inthe army offices in the General Headquarters (GHQ) in Rawalpindi started circulating in Rawalpindi and Islamabad. The ISI and the Policewere unable to determine who was circulating these pamphlets and no arrests were made in this connection. Instead, a leader of the NawazSharif-led faction of the Pakistan Muslim League, who drew the attention of the Parliament and the public to these pamphlets, was orderedto be arrested by Musharraf on a charge of treason.

21. After the April, 2003, arrest in Karachi of Waleed bin Attash of Al Qaeda, one of the suspects in the case relating to the Al Qaeda attackon the US naval ship USS Cole at Aden in October, 2000, many of the Al Qaeda members living in Karachi were reported to have shifted tothe North-West Frontier Province (NWFP), Balochistan , the Federally-Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and Rawalpindi.

22. Their shifting to Rawalpindi and taking shelter there would not have been possible without the complicity of not only the Pakistani jihadigroups, but also supporters in the Armed Forces and the police. The Pakistani security agencies have not been able to identify anddismantle Al Qaeda and IIF cells in the Rawalpindi cantonment. The fact that the perpetrators of the two attacks of December,2003, onMusharraf , whether they belonged to Al Qaeda or to any of the Pakistani components of the IIF, chose to act on both the occasions fromRawalpindi instead of Karachi where Musharraf was before the first attack on December 14 showed their confidence in being able tooperate undetected from Rawalpindi rather than from Karachi.

23. I do not believe Musharraf had prior knowledge of the plot to kill Benazir in Rawalpindi. But he has to be held responsible for failing toprovide effective physical security to her. He and his officers kept disregarding her growing fears about threats to her security. He failed toensure a vigorous investigation of the first attempt to kill her at Karachi on October,18,2007.

24. The infiltration of traditional fundamentalist political parties into the GHQ started under the late Zia-ul-Haq. Since Musharraf took over,there has been an infiltration of Al Qaeda into the Pakistani Armed Forces and into their sactum sanctorum in Rawalpindi. These elementsare against Musharraf too, but they were much more against Benazir because of the fact that she was a woman and she had been sayingopenly that she would allow the US to hunt for bin Laden in Pakistani territory and the International Atomic Energy Agency at Vienna tointerrogate A.Q.Khan, the nuclear scientist. Al Qaeda and the pro-Al Qaeda jihadis wanted to eliminate both Musharraf and her because theywere seen as apostate and as collaborators of the US.

25. They have succeeded in killing her. They will now step up their efforts to eliminate Musharraf. Whoever was responsible for killing hercould not have done it without inside complicity. If Al Qaeda is already having sleeper cells in the GHQ, there is an equal danger that italready has sleeper cells inside Pakistan's nuclear establishment too.

26. Musharraf is either knowingly dishonest or is living in a make-believe world of his own, unaware of the ground realities. Only a few daysbefore Benazir's assassination, he was bragging to officer trainees in the Defence Services Staff College in Quetta that he had defeated theterrorists outside the tribal belt and would soon be defeating them in the tribal belt too. His reluctance to order an enquiry into the extent ofinfiltration of Al Qaeda into the GHQ is disturbing. He has convinced himself that not only he is the most popular leader of Pakistan, but alsothat the entire Armed Forces are devoted to him. Anybody who says otherwise is treated by him as a traitor, arrested and harassed.

27. It is high time he and the US realise that Al Qaeda is not just in the tribal belt. It is right under their nose in Rawalpindi. (28-12-07)
 
What exactly is interesting about this? It's almost as bad as the flag-planting Al Q scenarios that a covert terrorist organization would be part of. If it were Al Q, it would not be difficult for the to move to Rawalpindi for the day. To suggest it's a stagnant organization that doesn't move around, all over the world in fact, is poor research.

Also the first line of that Hindutva article, is bogus. Most "Jihadi" acts around the world have no link to Pakistan. Bali, 911, being two obvious big ones, but there's plenty more. You guys need to stop reading Hindutva. It's no good, it makes you seem silly, and like the Jihadist websites claiming they hit thousands of soldiers in a night. Hindutva fascism, Islamic fascism are different faces, same coin, except you guys seem to quote it often on here. I don't see many Muslims off here quoting such terrorist websites (Hindutva do have genocidal and hence terrorist intentions in my opinion).
 
Raman makes some valid points, and arrives at a lot of erroneous conclusions.

He is underestimating/ignoring the growing sophistication of AQ and overplaying the importance of certain details, while trying hard to point all fingers at GHQ. Does the army have elements sympathetic to the Taliban/Mujahideen in its ranks? Probably. But it is also true that Musharraf and his handpicked generals have worked very hard to minimize the presence of such individuals in the higher ranks at least. That the most significant "inside jobs" occurred in the immediate aftermath of Musharraf's decision to join the WoT is not surprising, it would be at that point, when the old alliances and structures were beginning to be dismantled that some soldiers would see his actions as betrayal of a cause. The monitoring mechanisms and controls put in place have improved since then - prior to 2001 there was no need for such.

It can also be argued that prior to the Lal Masjid operation attacks on security forces were unprecedented, and while precautions had been taken and security beefed up, the compromising of the hand signals indicates further measures may need to be taken. But that does not validate the assertion that Musharaf has his "head in the stand", and is ignoring these issues.

I am not sure how Raman can expect no terrorist attacks in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, when the US has had trouble preventing them in the heavily fortified Green Zone. The problem arises from having areas where government writ does not extend. This is not simply the FATA, but also a realization that LEA's are inefficient and despised in mainstream Pakistan as well, which makes it easier for terrorist cells to operate.

Raman's assertion that Muasharraf should have provided BB more security is foolish. What can one do if she sticks her head out of the sunroof? That she did this in all of her previous rallies (and I remember thinking myself a few weeks ago, watching a NS rally, what an easy target he would make when he was waving at his supporters standing up through the sunroof of his car), would provide an easy precedent for any would be assassin to plan for. Such simple observation and planning is not beyond the capabilities of AQ.

The use of stationary allegedly similar to GHQ is also extremely circumstantial. Is Raman suggesting that this stationary is highly secretive and only released on showing secret hand signals available to Brigadier or higher ranking officials? How hard would it be to replicate it at any of the myriad printing presses in Pakistan, or by a skilled user of a PC?
 
What exactly is interesting about this? It's almost as bad as the flag-planting Al Q scenarios that a covert terrorist organization would be part of. If it were Al Q, it would not be difficult for the to move to Rawalpindi for the day. To suggest it's a stagnant organization that doesn't move around, all over the world in fact, is poor research.


:hitwall::hitwall::hitwall:
 
What exactly is interesting about this? It's almost as bad as the flag-planting Al Q scenarios that a covert terrorist organization would be part of. If it were Al Q, it would not be difficult for the to move to Rawalpindi for the day. To suggest it's a stagnant organization that doesn't move around, all over the world in fact, is poor research.

Also the first line of that Hindutva article, is bogus. Most "Jihadi" acts around the world have no link to Pakistan. Bali, 911, being two obvious big ones, but there's plenty more. You guys need to stop reading Hindutva. It's no good, it makes you seem silly, and like the Jihadist websites claiming they hit thousands of soldiers in a night.


:) yes RR


Hey Do you buy the argument about Al- Q ????

Why we dont consider other possibilities and elements??
 
I am not really seeing the AQ claim on any of the Pakistani media. More feeding the anti-Musharraf fire?
 
:) yes RR


Hey Do you buy the argument about Al- Q ????

Why we dont consider other possibilities and elements??

Not entirely sure Jana. I think all possibilities are open at this stage. Of course people are going to blame Al Q whoever they are. But who knows. It'll remain unsolved most likely.
 
Raman makes some valid points, and arrives at a lot of erroneous conclusions.

He is underestimating/ignoring the growing sophistication of AQ and overplaying the importance of certain details, while trying hard to point all fingers at GHQ.?

:) What you can expect from an Indian ex-Official or their propoganda wing than dear :)


Raman's assertion that Muasharraf should have provided BB more security is foolish. What can one do if she sticks her head out of the sunroof? That she did this in all of her previous rallies (and I remember thinking myself a few weeks ago, watching a NS rally, what an easy target he would make when he was waving at his supporters standing up through the sunroof of his car. Such simple observation and planning is not beyond the capabilities of AQ.?

She was provided all the security the incident occured outside the meeting area that is at gate and if you guys had watched her coming down stairs if the killers were inside than it would have very easy for them to kill her when she was coming down.

each everyone inside was checked and scanned further more there were three security zones made for her.


In the very first one her own security men the men from Benazir Jannisar Force were close to her who were gaurding her

secondly comes the official security pluse the government had deployd a police high official on her own choice for her Permanently for her secuirty matters.

Plus her own security chief.

above all she was provided all she asked for right from bullet proof cars to all other things.
It is realy a propoganda to malign Musharraf to hold me responsible for lack of security as there was no lack.

and BTW why on earth the Government should provide security to the politicians for their electioneering if so why not they had provided the same to Nawaz Sharif or others.


The use of stationary allegedly similar to GHQ is also extremely circumstantial. Is Raman suggesting that this stationary is highly secretive and only released on showing secret hand signals available to Brigadier or higher ranking officials? How hard would it be to replicate it at any of the myriad printing presses in Pakistan, or by a skilled user of a PC?

:) :)


few months back they even used a vehicle resembels 100% that of an Army public relation section. so its not difficult to print the stationary.
 
Another theory?

WASHINGTON — American and Pakistani military leaders are seeking to account for what may be renegade commando units from the Pakistani military's special forces in the wake of the assassination of Pakistan's opposition leader and former prime minister, Benazir Bhutto.

The attack yesterday at Rawalpindi bore the hallmarks of a sophisticated military operation. At first, Bhutto's rally was hit by a suicide bomb that turned out to be a decoy. According to press reports and a situation report of the incident relayed to The New York Sun by an American intelligence officer, Bhutto's armored limousine was shot by multiple snipers whose armor-piercing bullets penetrated the vehicle, hitting the former premier five times in the head, chest, and neck. Two of the snipers then detonated themselves shortly after the shooting, according to the situation report, while being pursued by local police.

A separate attack was thwarted at the local hospital where Bhutto possibly would have been revived had she survived the initial shooting. Also attacked yesterday was a rival politician, Nawaz Sharif, another former prime minister who took power after Bhutto lost power in 1996.

A working theory, according to this American source, is that Al Qaeda or affiliated jihadist groups had effectively suborned at least one unit of Pakistan's Special Services Group, the country's equivalent of Britain's elite SAS commandos. This official, however, stressed this was just a theory at this point. Other theories include that the assassins were trained by Qaeda or were from other military services, or the possibility that the assassins were retired Pakistani special forces.

Link: Qaeda Eyed in Slaying of Bhutto
 
He said it was just a theory well well there is another theory also.

How about US is behind her killing to replace her with someone else ?
 
Vinod,

Please do some reading on what the accounts of various people at the scene suggest. Your posted "fantasy" is so ludicrous and baseless that it does not deserve any more comment.
 
AM, it is not my opinion. I just acted as a messenger here. :)

I too find it totally ludicrous if that helps.
 
Vinod,

I understand that it was not your opinion. I was referring to the post. Apologies if it came across as a critique of you.
 
TV news says that Pakistani home ministry is saying that she did not suffer any gun shots. The death was due to hitting the head with the car!
 

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