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Why The U.S. Economy’s Bubble Of False Prosperity Is About To Burst

senheiser

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Dow Jones Industrial Average 2 Minute: Why The U.S. Economy’s Bubble Of False Prosperity Is About To Burst | ETF DAILY NEWS
August 14th, 2014

Did you know that a major event just happened in the financial markets that we have not seen since the financial crisis of 2008? If you rely on the mainstream media for your news, you probably didn’t even hear about it. Just prior to the last stock market crash, a massive amount of money was pulled out of junk bonds. Now it is happening again. In fact, as you will read about below, the market for high yield bonds just experienced “a 6-sigma event”. But this is not the only indication that the U.S. economy could be on the verge of very hard times. Retail sales are extremely disappointing, mortgage applications are at a 14 year low and growing geopolitical storms around the world have investors spooked. For a long time now, we have been enjoying a period of relative economic stability even though our underlying economic fundamentals continue to get even worse. Unfortunately, there are now a bunch of signs that this period of relative stability is about to end. The following are 14 reasons why the U.S. economy’s bubble of false prosperity may be about to burst…

#1 The U.S. junk bond market just experienced “a 6-sigma event” earlier this month. In other words, it is an event that is only supposed to have a chance of 1 in 500 million of happening. Billions of dollars are being pulled out of junk bonds right now, and that has some analysts wondering if a financial crash is right around the corner.

#2 The last time that we saw a junk bond rout of this magnitude was back during the financial crash of 2008. In fact, as the Telegraphrecently explained, bonds usually crash before stocks do…

Have you ever wondered how billionaires continue to get RICHER, while the rest of the world is struggling?

"I study billionaires for a living. To be more specific, I study how these investors generate such huge and consistent profits in the stock markets -- year-in and year-out."



The credit market usually leads the equity market during turning points, as happened when credit markets cracked first in 2008.

Will the same thing happen this time around?

#3 Retail sales have missed expectations for three months in a row and we just had the worst reading since January.

#4 Things have gotten so bad that even Wal-Mart is really struggling. Same-store sales at Wal-Mart have declined for five quarters in a row and the outlook for the future is not particularly promising.

#5 The four week moving average for mortgage applications just hit a 14 year low. It is now even lower than it was during the worst moments of the financial crisis of 2008.

#6 The tech industry is supposed to be booming, but mass layoffs in the tech industry are actually 68 percent ahead of last year’s pace.

#7 According to the Federal Reserve, 40 percent of all households in the United States are currently showing signs of financial stress.

#8 The U.S. homeownership rate has fallen to the lowest level since 1995.

#9 According to one survey, 76 percent of Americans do not have enough money saved to cover six months of expenses.

#10 Rumblings of a stock market correction have become so loud that even the mainstream media is reporting on it. For example, just check out this CNN headline from earlier this month: “Is a correction near? Wall Street on edge“.

#11 The civil war in Iraq is spiraling out of control, and Barack Obama has just announced that he is going to send 130 troops to the country in a “humanitarian” capacity. Iraq is the 7th largest oil producing nation on the entire planet, and if the flow of oil is disrupted that could have serious consequences.

#12 As a result of the conflict in Ukraine, the United States, Canada and the European Union have slapped sanctions on Russia. In return, Russia has slapped sanctions on them. Will this slowdown in global trade significantly harm the U.S. economy?

#13 The three day cease-fire between Hamas and Israel is about to end, and Hamas officials are saying that they are preparing for a “long battle“. If a resolution is not found soon, we could potentially see a full-blown regional war erupt in the Middle East.

#14 The number of Ebola deaths continues to grow at an exponential rate, and if the virus starts spreading inside the United States it has the potential to pretty much shut down our entire economy.

Meanwhile, things look even more dire in much of the rest of the globe.

For example, the economic slowdown has gotten so bad in some nations over in Europe that they are actually experiencing deflation

Portugal has crashed into deep deflation and Italy’s inflation rate has fallen to zero as the eurozone flirts with recession, automatically pushing these countries further towards a debt compound spiral.

The slide comes amid signs of a deepening slowdown in the eurozone core, with even Germany flirting with possible recession. Germany’s ZEW index of investor confidence plunged from 27.1 to 8.6 in July, the sharpest fall since June 2012, during the European sovereign debt crisis. “The European Central Bank has to act now,” said Andrew Roberts, credit chief at RBS.

And in Japan, GDP just contracted at a 6.8 percent annual rate during the second quarter…

Japan’s economy suffered its worst contraction since 2011 in the second quarter as consumer spending on big items slumped in the wake of a sales tax rise.

Gross domestic product shrunk by an annualized 6.8% in the three months ended June, Japan’s Cabinet Office said Wednesday. The result was actually better than the 7% contraction expected by economists.

On a quarterly basis, Japan’s GDP dropped by 1.7% as business and housing investment declined. Japan’s economy last suffered a hit of this magnitude after the 2011 tsunami and nuclear disaster.


"I study billionaires for a living. To be more specific, I study how these investors generate such huge and consistent profits in the stock markets -- year-in and year-out."


There is no way that this bubble of false prosperity was going to last forever. It was never real to begin with. It was just based on a pyramid of debt and false promises. In fact, the condition of the global financial system is now far worse than it was just prior to the financial crisis of 2008.

Sadly, most people do not understand these things. Most people just assume that our leaders have fixed whatever caused the problems last time. And when the next crisis arrives, they will be totally blindsided by it.
 
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Well, hey! It's another article by Michael Snyder. He's been saying the economy is going to collapse in six months just about every day for quite awhile. Every single change in the economy is hailed as an ill portent of the End Times. While waiting for the inevitable end of humanity, he uses his rants to push his books and survival gear.
 
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It ain't happened yet. :D

:lol: China is the biggest contributor to global growth and 124 countries consider China their largest trading partner while only 76 consider US their largest trading partner.

US won't touch China economically in 5-10 years from now.
 
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:lol: China is the biggest contributor to global growth and 124 countries consider China their largest trading partner while only 76 consider US their largest trading partner.

US won't touch China economically in 5-10 years from now.

5-10 years from now. That ain't happened yet either! :D
 
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5-10 years from now. That ain't happened yet either! :D

China is ALREADY the biggest contributor to global growth since 2009.
124 countries consider China their largest trading partner, only 76 for the US.
China has already surpassed the US in many including largest manufacturing nation, largest trading nation, largest energy producer and consumer, largest agriculture producer and consumer, largest raw material consumer, largest consumer of home appliances, LCD tv, smartphones, automobiles, robotics, etc etc etc

As I said, China has surpassed the US ALREADY in many areas and the US won't be able to even be close to China in 2-3 years. 5-10 years from now, US will be far too small to be compared to China.

The only hope for the US to keep ahead of China is to hope that China collapses, but that will never happen :D
 
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As I said, China has surpassed the US ALREADY in many areas and the US won't be able to even be close to China in 2-3 years. 5-10 years from now, US will be far too small to be compared to China.

..... and as I pointed out, "5-10 years from now" is still in the future! :D
 
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Relax man US economy is not going anywhere for next 50 years, the size of that economy looks impressive in papers but you dont get the real Idea about it unless you travel around in the US.
 
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senheiser all your threads are doom and gloom man, lol

lool exactly bro. dont mind it. Afterall, many have been predicting a U.S decline/collapse for decades now. It hasnt happened, instead the U.S has grown from strength to strength.:usflag: In fact the U.S still adds more in dollar terms to its GDP each year(about $600billion, almost 1/3rd russia's entire GDP:D) than any country on earth except China. So talk of U.S decline is laughable.:lol:

Similarly, many have been predicting/wishing for a chinese collapse as well for decades now including you C130.lol The opposite keeps happening. lol :lol:
 
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