Which Country Will Become The World's Next Manufacturing Hub?

[Place Of Space]

Thanks, but we only accept green tech in TPP, so maybe we can not become "manufacturing hub".

We dont wanna be polluted like CN.

Pollution is hardly avoided I am afraid. The manufacturing chain decides. It's tiresome but price.

 

[zeronet]

The next manufacturing hub? I think this is under the false assumption that China will no longer be the World's manufacturing. China will still remain the World's manufacturing hub but instead of being labour-intensive and low-end manufacturing, everything will be done with robots and automated production methods for high-end and hi-tech goods. However, where these goods go will drastically change and most of these high-end goods will be for China's own domestic market, as China becomes more affluent and China eventually weans itself off Dollar phony money, and lets the Yuan appreciate to its true value, and Chinese have far greater purchasing power.

The low-end manufacturing stuff will be shared by a multitude of small developing nations as none have the capacity to totally replace that of China's on their own.

China doom merchants can just keep on dreaming as China continues to grow and evolve.

thats what i am thinking. china is not done yet on low-end manufacturing, and will not be in a very long term of future.

 

[Viva_Viet]

Pollution is hardly avoided I am afraid. The manufacturing chain decides. It's tiresome but price.

Green techs will help you to reduce pollution. We dont try to make money at all cost like CN. Unlike CN, We have SCS( east VN sea) as a strong card in negotiation .

Using green tech may make the price of the product higher, but VN will get zero tax when exporting to TPP nations while CN still pay the high tax, so we dont ned to use dirty tech to reduce the price to compete with Cnese products in US, CAD, Aussie' market

 

[DaiViet]

Pollution is hardly avoided I am afraid. The manufacturing chain decides. It's tiresome but price.

Nope, Vietnam economy development is not the same as China. Vietnam selective which company allow to operate in Vietnam after its satisfy environment safety. The TPP agreement is higher standard, more strictly enforce green tech. This means Vietnam has different development strategy. Unlike China, will take everything, though progress fast but the cost of environment damage and human health is very high.

As I said, many journalists tend to look at Vietnam a mini China but in fact Vietnam is different in many things. Although Vietnam economy does not progress as fast as China but it is steady and better preserve. China economy model has more risk.
Vietnam needs $18 billion of foreign aid for sharp cut in greenhouse gas emissions | Environment | Thanh Nien Daily

 

[Azadkashmir]

iran has potential they got oil, they got educated masses, full time electricity.???

 

[Huan]

If you want to be a manufacturing hub. You need to have a big reliable supply of Rare Earth Metals first and foremost. I do not see Vietnam or India having large of a supply of Rare Earth Metals as China does. You will have to severely compromise the green environment to get alot of it for your own country in order to become a major hub.

 

[ito]

India is better placed to become the next manufacturing hub given its large market size, educated work force and demographics, but so are the chances of Indonesia, and Vietnam.

 

[Huan]

India is better placed to become the next manufacturing hub given its large market size, educated work force and demographics, but so are the chances of Indonesia, and Vietnam.

You need lots of Rare Earth Metals on supply to be ready to do so.

 

[Tom99]

It is not easy to become a hub of something without even being a global hub. China is a global factory hub is not simply just one particular great criteria but many of it. Just look at South Korea, it had many ideas and tried it many times to become of Hub of many things but it wasn't that particular successful.

Relatively, China have many great advantages that most countries don't have:
1)relative low wage -> lower production cost.

2)large educated and mobile work force -> workers can move around the country to produce wide variety of products.

3)stable government and economic policies -> china have very good trade relationship with all important countries in the world, it also have well planned and sound economic policies.

4)excellent logistic network -> china have great road, railway, seaports and airport networks, these enables products made in china move within the country easily and move to their foreign countries quickly too.

5)supply chains -> most of the productions supply chains, the little building blocks for products, are in china.

and most important of all

6) market -> china is a giant market itself. most of the time it is profitable to make it in china and sell it in china.

The above are not all but just some of the advantages China have over most countries. Just looking at these, how many areas can Vietnam or India do better than China?(beside lower wage cost)


Just recently, there are reports that Telsa wants to enter talk with the Chinese government for building a factory to produce electric cars in China. Perhaps this is type of green tech that Viva_Viet said Vietnam would only accept thru TPP? So, why doesn't Tesla want to build a car factory in Vietnam or India now? One, because China's market for electric cars is much greater than Vietnam, India and most countries. And two, it is possible to actually do it in China because of educated work force, guaranty electrics and water supply for the factory production, availability of sub components, and logistic to move the product within China and out of China quickly in a timely manner.

So, will any country, including Vietnam, Indonesia and India, be able to replace China as the global manufacturing hub in a foreseeable future? I don't see it.

 

[ito]

You need lots of Rare Earth Metals on supply to be ready to do so.

China has lot of those and so is Japan. India can import from them. And all manufacturing doesn't need rare earth metals.

 

[Indika]

No thanks we dont want to be worlds manufacturing hub. India just needs to be self reliant. Manufacturing low end goods by subsidizing or depreciating our own currency is nothing but looting ourself to keep the westerners rich & comfortable.

lets avoid it at all the cost, lets improve our infrastructure and manufacturing capability for high end sophisticated goods.

 

[Viva_Viet]

It is not easy to become a hub of something without even being a global hub. China is a global factory hub is not simply just one particular great criteria but many of it. Just look at South Korea, it had many ideas and tried it many times to become of Hub of many things but it wasn't that particular successful.

Relatively, China have many great advantages that most countries don't have:
1)relative low wage -> lower production cost.

2)large educated and mobile work force -> workers can move around the country to produce wide variety of products.

3)stable government and economic policies -> china have very good trade relationship with all important countries in the world, it also have well planned and sound economic policies.

4)excellent logistic network -> china have great road, railway, seaports and airport networks, these enables products made in china move within the country easily and move to their foreign countries quickly too.

5)supply chains -> most of the productions supply chains, the little building blocks for products, are in china.

and most important of all

6) market -> china is a giant market itself. most of the time it is profitable to make it in china and sell it in china.

The above are not all but just some of the advantages China have over most countries. Just looking at these, how many areas can Vietnam or India do better than China?(beside lower wage cost)


Just recently, there are reports that Telsa wants to enter talk with the Chinese government for building a factory to produce electric cars in China. Perhaps this is type of green tech that Viva_Viet said Vietnam would only accept thru TPP? So, why doesn't Tesla want to build a car factory in Vietnam or India now? One, because China's market for electric cars is much greater than Vietnam, India and most countries. And two, it is possible to actually do it in China because of educated work force, guaranty electrics and water supply for the factory production, availability of sub components, and logistic to move the product within China and out of China quickly in a timely manner.

So, will any country, including Vietnam, Indonesia and India, be able to replace China as the global manufacturing hub in a foreseeable future? I don't see it.

We repeat : we dont use dirty techs to become a 'hub' like CN.

We only produce goods for TPP nations which require using green techs and thats enough for VN.

 

[Srinivas]

If you want to be a manufacturing hub. You need to have a big reliable supply of Rare Earth Metals first and foremost. I do not see Vietnam or India having large of a supply of Rare Earth Metals as China does. You will have to severely compromise the green environment to get alot of it for your own country in order to become a major hub.

India has considerable amount of rare earth metals !

 

[Huan]

India has considerable amount of rare earth metals !

Can you show it in numbers?

China has lot of those and so is Japan. India can import from them. And all manufacturing doesn't need rare earth metals.

Importing Rare Earth Metals would be very expensive for India. And you would only be manufacturing along the lines of clothes and other low-value exports if you are not using Rare Earth Metals.

 

[ito]

Can you show it in numbers?


Importing Rare Earth Metals would be very expensive for India. And you would only be manufacturing along the lines of clothes and other low-value exports if you are not using Rare Earth Metals.

There is nothing expensive input, if you can sell the finished product.