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What the strange cases of Snowden and Headley teach us about US-India Relations

knight11

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It came as a surprise to many Indians two years ago when it was publicly learnt thanks to whistleblower Edward Snowden's revelations that India was the fifth most spied upon country by the US National Security Agency's (NSA's) PRISM cyber-surveillance program. Perhaps the Indian people are a little naïve about such things, but it should certainly not have come as a surprise to the Indian establishment. The response of the Indian foreign ministry at that time however also seemed a little too naïve, given that the then Indian foreign minister seemingly sought to downplay PRISM activities targeted at India.The muted response notwithstanding, the fact is that the US is increasingly leveraging its lead in cyber affairs for geo-strategic gain and is both deepening and widening its intelligence activities in India. Given that Indian and American interests do not necessarily converge on a variety of areas the Indian establishment must make it known, perhaps even publicly, where the red-lines are.


To understand the extent to which the US is increasing its intelligence footprint in India, one need only take a look at a Businessweek report from June 2013 that mentions a contractor opening listed by the US Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) for a senior linguist proficient in Malayalam. This job opening at the DIA was for a contractor who would have to apparently serve as a Malayalam translator in 'austere conditions' to assist American intelligence assets tracking the 'growing Maoist insurgency in Kerala' as per Businessweek. Now the reliance on the private sector by the US intelligence set up is well known. Indeed even Snowden was actually an employee of Booze Allen Hamilton (BAH) working on PRISM for the NSA. For those who came late, BAH is an old consulting firm that derives almost all of its business from being a security and defence contractor for the US government, and is also the group that coined the now well-known 'string of pearls' term to describe China's apparent encirclement of India with a web of naval bases in the Indian Ocean.


Anyway, coming back to the advertisement, the reference to a 'growing Maoist insurgency in Kerala' is intriguing. Now while there were a few reports of Maoist activities along the Kerala–Karnataka border particularly in the Brahmagiri forest reserve, they would not have been sufficient to merit the description of 'growing Maoist insurgency in Kerala' at the time. However, as it turns out the US intel community did seem to 'know better' given that today the Maoists are indeed trying to make Kerala a new base. Perhaps this is why enthusiastic votaries of US-India 'strategic partnership' like to say that America is making India's 'job easier' by 'keeping an eye' on potential trouble spots within Indian Territory. In fact, commenting on recent developments some have even ventured to suggest, that the foreign ministry's muted response to NSA snooping was in part due to US help in cyber surveillance of terrorist activities inimical to India.


Now if one were to move away from the 'benign benefactor' model of US intel activities targeting India, it is undeniable that US agencies and the NSA in particular are at the end of the day tools for US geo-economic projection. India's emergence has made it a competitor with the US and China in the global sweepstakes, the UPA's last years notwithstanding. The NSA given its as yet unmatched cyber prowess has been 'snooping, intercepting and reading emails and other supposedly secure cyber data from India on a regular basis' and this has been known to Indian intelligence agencies since at least 2005-06. Apparently it is only later that they learnt that the name for this global cyber-snooping operation is PRISM. In any case the consolidation of the worldwide cyber-surveillance program under the term PRISM took place only in 2007 under the Bush administration.


Even if we accept the view that counter-terrorism cooperation may be an area where Indian and US interests could converge (though this is debatable given the US agenda of nurturing 'moderate terrorists' in places like Syria), on the economic front the divergence is becoming palpable. Indo-US economic relations are at the moment fraught with a number of issues. The new US Immigration bill would of course be the most visible symbol of this dissonance. The bill in its present form as introduced in the US Senate will essentially put paid to the outsourcing model that lies at the heart of the Indian Information Technology Enabled Services (ITES) sector by driving up costs and making the movement of workers that much more difficult. The Senate version of the bill may not pass muster in the US House of Representatives but it nevertheless does reveal that there are significant lobbies within the US who are pushing for proposals that could hurt the Indian economic scape.


Now while this new immigration bill called the 'H-1 and L-1 Reform Act, 2015' faces pitfalls in the US legislative process, some US legislators themselves have been giving the 'jaw jaw' treatment to India in recent times. The rhetoric on India from a whole group of US lawmakers has become rather antagonistic especially since the Supreme Court of India struck down Novartis's patent appeal for Glivec. And this is getting reflected in US complaints against India at the World Trade Organization as symbolized by the recent challenge to India's local sourcing requirements for solar equipment.


US lawmakers are certainly unleashing their fury on India with respect to trade, intellectual property and climate change issues. In 2013, Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn during a congressional hearing is reported to have said -"When you look at India's industrial policy, trade barriers, the rampant piracy, the tax discrimination and what appears to be an absolute disregard for our intellectual property rights, you realize that India is a country that is not willing to play by the rules right now."


If that seems harsh, sample what a Texas representative had to say during the same proceedings:

"As a nation, we should handle India like my dad did when I was growing up and I made his blood boil: He put his arm around me and or pulled me where he would go, to make sure his fingers were resting firmly on my shoulder just to inflict some pain if I diverted from the course we would go down. That's what we should do with their government."


Indeed, it is this condescending attitude which also gets reflected in counter-terrorism cooperation thereby belying those who exalt US-India collaboration on the same. The late B Raman used to point out often that there was no commensurate reciprocity in India's counter terrorism relationship with the US-UK anglo-sphere. One incident that he publicly flagged was when he handed over the Bombay blast case files to the FBI only to see that evidence never be returned to India again.


A somewhat similar pattern can also be witnessed in the Headley case. Here is a person convicted as a key figure in the most significant mass shooter attack on Indian soil and yet India has not been given any real access to the said person by the US. The situation is so tight that today India's National Investigation Agency is trying to get the Moroccan authorities to let them question Headley's wife Faiza Outalha to better understand the mechanism used by the ISI in planning 26/11.


The Indian attempt to extradite Headley was in any case foreclosed by the FBI when it agreed to keep him on US shores as part of the plea bargain that led to his conviction. Given all this, US conduct in the Headley case cannot be considered a confidence building measure now, can it? Moreover despite claims to the contrary it is quite clear that all the cyber surveillance in the world could not stop Headley from facilitating Mumbai 26/11 terror attacks. Less charitable explanations point to Headley's antecedents as a Drug Enforcement Agency operative as to why he was not apprehended in time. India perhaps can at least extradite Headley's accomplice Tahawwur Hussain Rana, since the latter has only been convicted for his involvement in the conspiracy to attack Jyllands-Posten in Denmark. But that would require the adoption of a tougher posture by the Indian State.


The Western hemisphere serving as a sink for those culpable of crimes in Indiais hardly new. The best example would be that of former RAW analyst Rabinder Singh who is known to be absconding in the US. Although 'absconding' would be a funny term to use here since Rabinder Singh married of his daughter on US soil not too long ago. Indeed, Rabinder Singh serves as a symbol of direct attempts by US intel to penetrate various Indian agencies and he is now regarded by some to be some sort of an Indian Kim Philliby.


To think of it, the Malayalam translator recruitment move by the DIA ostensibly to track a supposed 'growing Maoist insurgency in Kerala' could well be a good excuse to keep track on Indian naval developments since that would be far more in keeping with the DIA's mandate. The fact is Kerala is host to a number of growing Indian naval establishments hosting some of our most significant future projects and would naturally be a draw for other naval powers. Sharing some obvious intelligence on a 'growing Maoist insurgency' is a good way to cover the real aim of intelligence collection in a particular region.'


The pivot to Asia may be about China but the two most significant navies in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) for the foreseeable future will continue to be those of India and the US. While one no longer hears the routine lament from the Indian polity about the US presence in Diego Garcia, the fact is the US is today looking to expand far beyond Diego Garcia in the IOR. After having already set up a home for 2000 marines in Darwin, Australia; America is now looking for more staging grounds in the region. Till recently the US was negotiating a status of forces agreement with Maldives which is obviously a precursor to routine operations by American forces in Maldivian territory.


While there is a lot of concern about the Chinese in the region, rightly perhaps, Indians tend to overlook the inroads made by the US in South Asian countries beyond Pakistan. Whether it be Nepal or Bangladesh, the US presence is growing. The point is, India needs to clearly delineate its redlines in the region both to China and the US. The new dispensation in Delhi must give confidence to the Indian people in this regard.


The world of the 21st century is made up of both cooperation and competition. And this resonates in the contradictory remarks that emanate from various official quarters. For instance, former US Defence Secretary Leon Panetta is on record not once but twice of having deemed India a threat along with China. On his subsequent visit to New Delhi however he chose to dub India a 'lynchpin' in the US pivot to Asia.


The whole game today is about leveraging the global commons to preserve turf as it were. The newest addition to the global commons is of course the internet and once again the US is busy exploiting its first mover advantage in this sphere for incremental gains. And today there is a melding of cyber and electronic warfare Capabilities. Which is why the American insistence that India sign treaties such as the Communication Inter-operability and Security Memorandum Agreement (CISMOA) for better ‘technology sharing purposes’ must be treated with the utmost scepticism and should be refused in principle. In any case the terms of CISMOA make it clear that it can gravely compromise Indian operational security something that the Indian Army and Air force are well aware of.


While the technical advantage the NSA enjoys is obviously significant, there is no denying that it has also leveraged its close working relationship with American internet majorsto make PRISM a success. In fact there is discussion in the US media that the revelation of PRISM has irretrievably damaged the credibility of American IT majors. Every episode can be an opportunity. If anything PRISM and the immigration bill should serve as a wake-up call to the India’s ITES industry that the days of low hanging fruits are over. Instead of serving as a pressure point for the US in economic negotiations wherein the US holds outs a stick on India’s service sector exports in a bid to secure carrots for itself on the investment and IP front, Indian ITES companies should now seriously look to move up the value chain. Sometimes the world is about running fast enough just to stay where you are.

source : IBNLive :Saurav Jha's Blog :What the strange cases of Snowden and Headley teach us about US-India Relations
 
Excellent article by S Jha.. Great posting bro..
USA has been making inroads but strangely USA also has made inroads to many other nations and is gathering intelligence..
The only discrimination it seems is that they are not directly facilitating such intels which points to a threat to India being cycled back nor even if it has proof of perpetrators, it takes a public or private stance to bring such perpetrators to justice.

Strangely, Headley is the best example.. His revelations are too good and useful for 26/11 case for India, USA and Pakistan. Inspite of headley details which i am sure will be said a good and irrefutable evidence by Courts in India, the same may not be so much said by Pakistan. I am not blaming the judge but rather the loopholes used by defending lawyers and government representative which has allowed people like lakvi or Saeed to be free men.

Also, we need to see how USA does give us a lip service on 26/11 but due to their own geo political compulsions or you can say attitude issues, have not pressurized the democratic GOP to act on such evidences which USA itself has used to convict Headley.

Its true that USA Intelligence has penetrated India properly and is now using multi language but all seems to be just for their own interests.

Perhaps thats why India still does not trust USA clearly knowing well they hold back things and dont take actions.
 
A naive and redundant article.

It is but obvious that US would cater to it's own interests first and foremost and any benefits to India would be secondary but intended. The art here is to leverage US interests aligning with India to extract the maximum possible concessions - like support for NSG and Missile Control Regimes, ToT in areas like Shipbuilding, Drones, Engines, Metallurgy, Space Technologies, Cyber-Security among others.

Now it would be foolish to assume US would hand over the fruits of decades of their labor to India without some quid-pro-quo and that is the cash we dole out for the most part and certain concessions like alignment with US policy in WTO on patents, Iran in UN, neutral stand towards Russia and China, Pro-Enviornment reforms which would be doing anyway but without the displayed urgency.

The hard part comes where US asks for the CISMOA and other logistic agreements - Now here the OP makes a good point about US misusing the access in times where India does not follow its leads and hence these agreements should be signed with certain pre-conditions of our own like we adapted that Civil Nuclear Deal according to our concerns - a privilege not afforded to any other country. But trust me - if want the critical high tech - there is no way around CISMOA - we have to give a little - that is how the game works.

Considering the Global GeoPolitic Scenario - who does India have in it's corner unequivocally? The sad truth is None. Russia is increasingly becoming pro-China and by inference moving away from India. US, Japan and the Western Europe is waiting for India to show it's card with regards to Russia and China before they open the cookie jar but at the same time giving us a free teaser to get us hooked on. The rest are inconsequential largely.

Now in the decision making process India has to carefully consider how strongly can it follow the western leads - there is nothing binary here - The post Bush world does not work anymore in - with us or against us terms - In this regard India has to hedge - maintaining publicaly a neutral stance but privately working along with West and Japan in defence spheres. This would mean deleveraging itself of critical Russian assets which would take some time. Hence it is essential that we do not opt for FGFA, Akulas, S400 and other future Russian ventures.

Now why am I asking for India to side with West instead of Russia/China - pure statistics. Put simply world cannot afford two Billion plus nations at the higher side of development spectrum. There are not enough resources to support both India and China hence we are in collision course and sometime in Future we have to clash. We already are clashing in S. Asia, Africa and Russia. In this scenario it would do us well to make new friends given Russia is in Chinese Corner and make them fast.
 
^^ Stop treating China as your enemy and stop towing the American line. There is no need to choose and pick sides. Work for prosperity of the region instead of being on the payroll of other powers on the other side of the ocean. History teaches that cooperating for prosperity within the region has long term benefits as opposed to being on the payroll of others and choosing sides. Sooner or later, the ramifications of picking sides comes to haunt nations.
 
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Well, we have seen the so called friendly approach of US but deep down in their heart every Indians know s the real nature of US .The best example is our western neighbour Pakistan .Whatever it is ,after all these sufferings still they are facing betrayal from US .
Yesterday they tried to intimidate us on the behalf of Pakistan.Now due to the emergence of India as a top liner ,they dont need Pakistan but need India against China .China can grow but at the end they still remain in anti US or opposite polarity .But if India grows like China ,against US , then we will replace US because we are also a democracy .
US knows these potential of us .So they cant digest the aggressive growth of India at the expense of US economy .So they will try for something like this again and again
Our first phase is over ,we cant rely on US and West market , not anymore .So for ITES sector ,they should expand their business in to other parts of the world ,a full divertion .And now on we should expand our manufacturing and innovation sector .
What ever it takes we will become a main global power on par with US and China within next two decade .
US and India will clash due to various issues in that multipolar world .It is quite natural.
But now we need them for a lot of things .Invite them but keep a blind spot in our confidential matters ,like we successfully did in Nuke sector ..
 

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