What's new

Vietnam to become world’s 19th largest economy by 2035: CEBR

Viet

ELITE MEMBER
Joined
Jun 18, 2012
Messages
29,950
Reaction score
0
Country
Viet Nam
Location
Germany
CEBR’s report estimated by 2035, Vietnam’s nominal GDP is estimated at US$1.59 trillion from the current US$341 billion, a nearly 5-fold increase in a 15-year span.

A steady and consistent economic growth is set to help the Vietnamese economy to overcome major economies in Asia such as Taiwan (China) at 21st and Thailand (25th) to climb to the 19th position among the world’s largest economies by 2035, according to the UK-based Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).

Screen%20Shot%202020-12-30%20at%2015.20.33.png
20 largest economies by 2035. Source: CEBR.

Vietnam’s annual rate of GDP growth is forecast to pick up to an average of 7.0% between 2021 and 2025. Over the subsequent ten years, the economy will expand by 6.6% on average each year, stated CEBR in its latest report on the outlook of 193 economies until 2035.

“The next 15 years are set to see Vietnam climb rapidly up the rankings of the World Economic League Table,” it noted, adding the country’s position will move from 37th in 2020 to 19th in 2035.

The report estimated by 2035, Vietnam’s nominal GDP is estimated at US$1.59 trillion from the current US$341 billion, a nearly 5-fold increase in a 15-year span.

Screen%20Shot%202020-12-30%20at%2015.18.15.png
Source: CEBR.

In 2020, despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the economy was able to escape a contraction and in fact delivered a positive growth rate of 2.91%, a 10-year low but remains among highest in the world.

The country has so far had a better containment of Covid-19 outbreak than than in other parts of the world. As of the middle of December, the country had recorded 35 COVID-19 related deaths, equating to less than 1 death per 100,000 people.

For 2021, the Vietnamese government target an economic growth of 6.5%, a 0.5 percentage points higher than the goal set by the National Assembly.
 
.
Vietnam should consult Imran Khan and quit this old fashioned progress and build naya Vietnam.
 
.
Going from rank 56 to 19 is a very respectable gain.
 
.
@Mista bro, actually nominal GDP figure uses constant price or current prices and can you explain us the different between the two ?

1609396988875.png
 
.
@Mista bro, actually nominal GDP figure uses constant price or current prices and can you explain us the different between the two ?

View attachment 701861

Both can be used. The nominal GDP figures we usually come across refers to current prices. Eg; 2018 GDP figure in 2018 dollars, 2019 GDP figure in 2019 dollars.

However prices change and there's inflation. The increase in GDP is inflated due to increase in prices.

Constant prices are thus used to adjust for inflation to better compare GDP figures across different years. A base year is chosen, usually the start of every 5 years. Eg; 2018 GDP figure in 2015 dollars, 2019 GDP figure in 2015 dollars.

1609417359754.png


Thus we can measure the actual change in real output across different years more accurately.
 
.
Going from rank 56 to 19 is a very respectable gain.
The beauty of math.
If we continue to grow at 6 and 7 pct. 8 or 9 percent is better. I wish we can achieve it.
There are lots of risks for both directions up and down. Global warming, another pandemic, South China Sea war, US China trade war, US China hot war.
Whatever happens Japan seems remaining the top dog.
 
.
The beauty of math.
If we continue to grow at 6 and 7 pct. 8 or 9 percent is better. I wish we can achieve it.
There are lots of risks for both directions up and down. Global warming, another pandemic, South China Sea war, US China trade war, US China hot war.
Whatever happens Japan seems remaining the top dog.

Dont forget currency manipulator accusation :D

Has it being processed yet ???
 
. .
A prosperous Vietnam is good to Asia-pacific. Don't make us disappointed, make full efforts Viet guys, I personally like rising neighbors. Rising means positive and bright spirits.
 
.
The beauty of math.
If we continue to grow at 6 and 7 pct. 8 or 9 percent is better. I wish we can achieve it.
There are lots of risks for both directions up and down. Global warming, another pandemic, South China Sea war, US China trade war, US China hot war.
Whatever happens Japan seems remaining the top dog.

Indeed many risks exists. With he population size of Vietnam, I think they could reach rank 10 even some day. But of course, gotta get passed the 1 trillion mark first. Some what disappointing that Vietnam already got placed with the currency manipulation watch.
 
.
5 fold in less 15 years? Just did the math, 1.1^15=4.177, which means vn should maintain more than double-digit growth for the next 15 years even with the inflation factor considered... But unfortunately, you didn't even achieve that when you have such a low base...
India rises up to top 3 by 2030?? enough said, no more reading needed.
Western media, you know... :cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:
This is called 'China can so we can serie 中国行我也行系列'
 
Last edited:
.
5 fold in less 15 years? Just did the math, 1.1^15=4.177, which means vn should maintain more than double-digit growth for the next 15 years even with the inflation factor considered... But unfortunately, you didn't even achieve that when you have such a low base...

Western media, you know... :cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:
This is called 'China can so we can serie 中国行我也行系列'

Agree. Western media (and Western-led institutions in general) have good imagination skill, but bad skill of thinking in logical way, hence very poor prediction.

In 1960s, IMF and WB predicted the Phillipines, Myanmar and South Vietnam would be the richest Asian countries after Japan. Now Phillipines is on the way to be the poorest country in Asean, soon to fall behind Laos and Cambodia, and perhaps Myanmar in nominal GDP per capita (US$) if Myanmar's political conditions are improved, thanks to their Western-style democratic system, and the conservative (and primitive) Catholic culture.

South Vietnam was terminated, but if it was to exist today, it may reach the level of Thailand at best, with its poor work ethic, disciplines and US-styled democratic system.
 
Last edited:
.
Dont forget currency manipulator accusation :D

Has it being processed yet ???
Trump is on the way out. Biden needs our factories to replace chinese goods. It makes no sense to fight a trade war on both fronts: Vietnam and China.
 
.
Trump is on the way out. Biden needs our factories to replace chinese goods. It makes no sense to fight a trade war on both fronts: Vietnam and China.

I though it has become their congress domain now and we have to wait the result that could take some time. Dont forget that Republican is majority in congress now (cannot be controlled by Biden), I dont know about their senate though.
 
.
Wall Street is watching. Don't forget 1997 Asia financial crises.
 
.

Latest posts

Back
Top Bottom