Independent Voters Are Overrated
SEP 15, 2016
By Harry Enten
Some election watchers treat independent voters like the golden key to open up
Star World in “Super Mario World.” If you know who is winning independents, the thinking goes, then you know who is going to win the election. There’s an appealing simplicity to the logic of this: If Democrats vote for the Democrat and Republicans vote for the Republican, then whoever wins independents wins. The problem: It just isn’t true historically, and it may be wrong this election, as well. Donald Trump is currently winning independent voters and is still trailing Hillary Clinton in the polls.
Clinton leads Trump by 3 percentage points in an
average of live-interview telephone polls conducted over the last three weeks. In the same nine polls, Trump is carrying independent voters by an average of 7 points.
Although the results differ from poll to poll, a clear pattern emerges: Trump does better with independents than he does with the electorate at large. Clinton is still winning overall because she is doing better with Democrats than Trump is with Republicans.
Clinton is doing better among her base than Trump is among his
Clinton leads among Democrats by an average of 81 percentage points, while Trump is ahead among Republicans by 76 points. That’s not a huge difference, but it’s meaningful. Trump has had problems with the GOP base since the primary season. Meanwhile, Clinton was cleaning up with self-identified Democratsduring the Democratic primaries, even as Bernie Sanders was doing well with independent voters. It’s also possible that Trump’s association with the Republican Party has caused some traditional Republican voters to call themselves independents, which makes the pool of independent voters more conservative leaning.
Indeed, many self-identified independents are not the moderate, persuadable swing voters they are often portrayed to be. As Amy Walter from the Cook Political Report has pointed out, independents usually lean towards one party or the other, even as they claim a nonpartisan label. Some lean Democratic or GOP. As Walter discussed, true independents only make up about 10 percent of all voters. Read more
Typical Liberal Hilary supporter. Everyone that supports trump is "trailer trash" and racist white trash
See the irony? Looking at dozens of videos of trashy Hillary supporters use violence and racial slurs at trump supporters is epic.
Where did I say that “everyone that supports Trump is a trailer trash” and racist white trash”?
I absolutely did not say that all of Trumps supporters are trailer trash, that would be stupid. I was criticizing his supporters who were disgracefully celebrating a person’s illness and spreading conspiracies
on the web, how many can they be, 5000, 10,000? So please, don’t put words in my mouth.
I don’t know which videos you are referring to, but I do not condone violence.
Then the conversation is, Trump is a racist because of his speech about Mexicans. You either can't comprehend his speech or you havnt listened to the entire speech. Reading your post here literally made my lose some brain cells. In his famous speech he spoke about a subgroup of illegals and not Mexicans in general but who cares about facts.
Yes, I strongly believe Trump is a racist, here are few examples:
The Justice Department twice sued Trump and his dad for housing discrimination against black and other colored people.
He criticized a judge (calling him a Mexican) because of his Mexican heritage, even though the judge was born and raised in America.
He was also one of the leaders of birtherism movement, the racist conspiracy theory that Pres. Obama was not born in the United States and is thus an illegitimate president.
Hillary is great, she is pro war and has threatened countries like Russia and Iran with war but this is ignored in the media and idiot liberals are instead claiming,.....'can you imagine what would happen if trump had the nuclear codes'
Give me some examples?