US officials who are ready to fight China over Taiwan don't understand how much is at stake

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

China's strategy is to make the US fight for Kinmen island which is located 10 km from mainland China. The US will be hard pressed to survive fire from the Chinese coast. It will be devastating for American planes, ships, subs at Kinmen island.

 

[Feng Leng]

We will open up with a massive first strike against all population centers in the United States like New York, Washington DC, LA, Chicago, Boston, etc. Then the US will be so shocked that they will surrender unconditionally.

 

[GumNaam]

China needs to give taiwan a 3 day taste of nonstop barrage from the Type PCL191 300KM range MRLS...that'll subdue them and force them to comply with China’s demand for reunification while the world sees the u.s. quietly stand by and helplessly watch while blikening its eyes, pun is DEFINITELY intended.

 

[LeGenD]

The part of Taiwan closest to mainland China is Kinmen, lying about 10 km from the mainland and nearly 200 km from Taiwan island. The vast majority of US aircraft and ships will be destroyed at Kinmen if the US is to fight. It is too close to mainland China and too far from Taiwan island.

Taiwan cannot challenge China out in the open (this is rather obvious) but it have substantial arrangements and hideouts to make potential invasion a very costly initiative in theory. This is contingent upon the resolve of Taiwanese for the needful however. If they are able to fight well enough then they can provide sufficient window to Americans to capitalize on the situation and make things exceedingly difficult for China by extension in order to rout it from Taiwan.

China had a good shot at Taiwan in M/o October in 2020 but missed the boat. Americans were on the back foot due to impact of COVID-19 outbreak at the time. Now USN and USAF are active and in a much better position to fight.

As for your assertion of destroying vast majority of US aircraft and ships - like seriously? If military planners are overconfident like you then they are in for a rude awakening.

The US could no longer win a war against China

‘Sinister’ China challenge US can’t fight

The United States just lost a battle to save Taiwan from a Chinese invasion and it’s not the first time.

www.news.com.au

War games suggest the US will lose fast if it confronts China
March.13 2021
The US Air Force simulated a war game against China last autumn, and the results were unsettling for Washington.

The US Air Force simulated a highly classified war game over Taiwan last year, and the way it ended unnerved America's military establishment.

The war game created a future scenario in which a Chinese biological-weapon attack could sweep through American bases and warships in the Indo-Pacific region.

The future confrontation would continue for more than a decade, likely ending with the US on the receiving end of a loss, according to the classified report published by Yahoo News.

The war game carried out by the US has leaked for the first time since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, which spread to the USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier and took the US Navy’s most important unit temporarily out of commision.

In the midst of war simulation, actual Chinese combat aircraft crossed the median line in the Taiwan Strait in the direction of Taipei 40 times and carried out simulated attacks on the island. It was called “disturbing” by the Taiwan premier.

Amid escalating tension between Washington and Beijing, China’s air force released a video showing a bomb attack on the US Andersen Air Force Base on the US Pacific island of Guam.

The Chinese propaganda video was titled: “The god of war H-6K [bomber] goes on the attack!”

Just four days after President Joe Biden took office, China launched simulated missile attacks on the USS Roosevelt carrier.

On Tuesday, Phil Davidson, the top US admiral for Asia-Pacific, said the US military needs more long-range weaponry in the western Pacific, including ground-based arms.

“A wider base of long-range precision fires, which are enabled by all our terrestrial forces - not just sea and air but by land forces as well - is critically important to stabilize what is becoming a more unstable environment in the western Pacific,” Admiral Phil Davidson told a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing.

Davidson cited enthusiasm by the Army and Marine Corps “to embrace some of the capabilities that the Navy and Air Force have already developed.”

The Biden administration has said the United States intends to compete with China’s growing influence and military strength in the Asia-Pacific. The Pentagon is carrying out a review of its strategy in the region.
Davidson cited enthusiasm by the Army and Marine Corps “to embrace some of the capabilities that the Navy and Air Force have already developed.”

War games suggest the US will lose fast if it confronts China

The US Air Force simulated a war game against China last autumn, and the results were unsettling for Washington.

www.trtworld.com

News items such as these are opinionated - nobody can tell for sure how a hypothetical war over Taiwan will pan out for the stakeholders involved. In regards to simulations - these are also hypothetical and worst-case scenario is typically assumed. American military simulation of Desert Storm in Iraq painted a somewhat different picture than actual conflict. Iraqi armed forces managed to shoot down F-117 in simulated conflict but not in actual conflict. Therefore, these simulations are not reliable predictors of how things will pan out in actual conflict.

Peaceful resolution might still be the desired outcome nevertheless.

 

[Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen]

China had a good shot at Taiwan in M/o October in 2020 but missed the boat.

China is not yet ready to take Kinmen island. Not until China fields as least 10 carrier strike groups. Won't be until about 2030s or 2040s timeframe.