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US inflation hits highest level for nearly 40 years

313ghazi

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American shoppers, especially those on low incomes have felt the pinch of higher prices, with annual inflation at rates not seen for 40 years.

The latest figures show prices rose 6.8% in the year to November.

Bibi who works as a cleaner in Harlem, New York, said she has had to cut back as a result, sometimes buying just one meal to share with her 27-year-old son.

"We don't have any choice," she said, "I can't afford to cook."

"I take a little bit then I give him more because a mother is always going to do that for her child."

Price rises have pushed up food shopping bills, and petrol prices jumped 6.1%, while the cost of second-hand cars and rent also rose.

While the monthly pace of price rises at 0.8% eased a little compared to October's 0.9%, people like Bibi have felt the cumulative effects on their budgets.

Patricia, who has just shopped in the local supermarket, said her bill is about $30 a week more than it used to be, so she's replaced chicken and pork chops with more vegetables, although prices for fresh produce are also higher she said.

"It affects me a lot right now, I'm not working," she said.

Maria has just retired and said she's noticed that what she buys is not only pricier but often smaller too, especially the bagels.

"I'm not going to buy them again for a long time. They used to be big bagels, now they're smaller and more money," she said.

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Prices for American consumers are rising at their fastest annual rate since June 1982. But the impact is felt more amongst those on the lowest incomes, with the least room to manage.

Rising inflation is also putting pressure on President Biden as he tries to pass his $1.9tn (£1.4tn) social spending bill.

Some economists blame the president's previous spending programmes, designed to offer support amid the Covid pandemic, for exacerbating price increases.

Giving it gas
"One of the major reasons we have inflation is because the government spent so much money," said Christopher Campbell, chief strategist at Kroll a risk consultancy, and a former Treasury official under President Trump.

He argued that further spending could make inflation worse.

"At the end of the day we hopefully are on the tail end of the pandemic, and the government is still putting its foot on the gas, on the levels of spending."

However Claudia Sahm, senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and former Federal Reserve economist said government spending is not the cause. She said the reason inflation has persisted is because the pandemic has not been brought under control, affecting the supply of things like cars, fuel and food.

"The longer the Covid-related disruptions last, the more that starts to spread into the prices of goods," she said.

She said with energy prices falling recently, inflation should start to ease.

"There are signs that we may be turning the corner soon, but Omicron is a new wild card."

Supply squeeze
In the meantime the poorest are facing both the end of pandemic-era extra support and rising prices.

"Food is a much larger proportion of lower income families' budgets," points out Christopher Wimer of Columbia's Centre on Poverty and Social Policy.

"Lots of people use gas [fuel] but in terms of heating and utilities as well as transportation, those costs eat up a larger share of low income folks' budget, than higher income folks' budgets, which might be driven more towards leisure, commodities and things like that."

Price rises are affecting some parts of the country more than others too, with the south and mid-west impacted more.

Dare to Care, a food bank in Louisville, Kentucky, said it has felt the effect of both inflation and supply chain problems.

"Overall we're spending a substantial amount more," said Annette Ball, Dare to Care's chief programmes officer.

Annette Ball said inflation is putting a squeeze on the food bank distribution centre where she works
Usually a lot of Dare to Care's food comes from producers and retailers passing on any surplus they have.

"Right now that's just not happening - people want that overrun. There's demand in the market for that, so it's going out intothe retail avenues."

Dare to Care has had to buy food at retail prices instead, and the cost of transport has risen too.

"Freight has doubled, even tripled [in price], in some instances," she added.

As a result, Dare to Care has made compromises, like not including wholegrain bread or pure fruit juice as often.

Rate expectations
President Biden has pledged to make tackling inflation a priority and has made moves to ease supply chain problems, including changing rules for transport operators. But expectations are now focused squarely on the Federal Reserve too.

Speculation is mounting that the Fed will reduce the bond-buying support it provides every month more quickly than planned, paving the way for a possible rise in interest rates next year.

"The Fed is going to have to move," said Beth Ann Bovino US Chief Economist, S&P Global ratings

"We expect them to now to speed up tapering and reach zero [monthly support] by March with at least one [interest] rate hike in 2022."


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Working class people in America are eating one meal a day at the moment. Meanwhile Pakistani people are complaining theier maid is too expensive.
Inflation is everywhere in the world at the moment but patwaris on this forum try to paint it as a Pakistan specific problem.
 
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Working class people in America are eating one meal a day at the moment. Meanwhile Pakistani people are complaining theier maid is too expensive.
Inflation is everywhere in the world at the moment but patwaris on this forum try to paint it as a Pakistan specific problem.

You nailed it and I couldn't have said it better
 
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"Working Class Americans" literally cannot find a job that pays less than 14 dollars an hour right now.

The media slant seems near total across the entire mainstream media.

I can only guess it's a plan to remove Biden so they can get trump back in to bully the republicans in congress to give more QE/Helicopter money.

If someone is going hungry (in the US), then they aren't working, period.
 
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The US regime desparately needs a war.
Doubtful.

The small wars post cold war were to try to fight deflation.

Currently deflation won't need to be fought for a few years, so I don't see wars in the next few years.
 
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Doubtful.

The small wars post cold war were to try to fight deflation.

Currently deflation won't need to be fought for a few years, so I don't see wars in the next few years.
That would be an anomaly in US war history.
 
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That would be an anomaly in US war history.
You will see that when the U.S. started Q.E., they found another way to defeat deflation.

That is the turning point in U.S. deflation management.
 
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Working class people in America are eating one meal a day at the moment. Meanwhile Pakistani people are complaining theier maid is too expensive.
Inflation is everywhere in the world at the moment but patwaris on this forum try to paint it as a Pakistan specific problem.
Have you compared minimum wage in US and Pakistan?
Inflation rate of Pakistan vs USA?

Did you compare percentage of people living below poverty line in US and Pakistan?
 
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Have you compared minimum wage in US and Pakistan?
Inflation rate of Pakistan vs USA?

Did you compare percentage of people living below poverty line in US and Pakistan?

That's the whole point.

International prices don't differentiate between whose minimum wage is what, e.g. take oil its the same $/barrel for both Somalia and US.

State will crumble if it starts subsidising every item we import.

Same goes for the imported coal, RLNG prices, edible oil, ghee, tea, steel, cars, raw materials, DAP ( fertiliser), Urea.
If the prices of these things go up everything you buy will go up.

The US inflation data is critical because it is extreme analomy for a developed country to have this level of inflation, to understand if the numbers are that high in US what will be its impact on our country.

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We are paying 61% more in dollars across the board for same quantity imports due to this commodity inflation cycle.


Take a look at where inflation in Pakistan is coming from. This is SPI ( not CPI).

(The Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended December 9, 2021 recorded a decrease of 0.07 percent due to decrease in the prices of tomatoes (13.37 percent), chicken (10.59 percent), potatoes (4.48 percent), LPG (2.96 percent), sugar (1.03 percent), wheat flour (0.46 percent), and eggs (0.26 percent), says the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

The year-on-year trend depicts increase of 18.58 percent due to increase in electricity for Q1 (75.32 percent), LPG (65.43 percent), cooking oil 5 litre (61.26 percent), vegetable ghee 1kg (58.14 percent), mustard oil (55.29 percent), vegetable ghee 2.5kg (55.25 percent), washing soap (45.85 percent), petrol (44.35 percent), diesel (34.93 percent), gents sandal (33.37 percent), and chilies powdered (33 percent), while major decrease was observed in the prices of onions (31.99 percent), tomatoes (27.61 percent), moong (25.03 percent), potatoes (17.64 percent), chicken (12.80 percent), and eggs (6.28 percent).)


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We are dependant on imported fuel for power generation so the fuel adjustment surcharges + the IMF compelled Tarif increase to balance capacity payments in base tariff.
LPG
Cooking oil
Ghee
Petrol
Diesel
Washing soap

Apart from chilli powder everything is imported.
( Just a simple calculation not taking into account the effect these commodities have on other local items).
 
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