Remember what Condoleeza Rice said in 2002 ? "Borders are going to change from Morocco to Pakistan." Pakstan is considered essential to control and encircle China and Russia by American imperialists. It's not a secret, anyone who is seriously interested in international relations already knows this but of course I don't expect kids here to know.
You mentioned 'changing of borders'. That brings us to the question:
Will Balochistan be the next target for the US after it winds down operations in Afghanistan?
At the outset, I would like to mention that according to reports, three marine divisions are to be stationed permanently in Afghanistan
with one division in Southern Afghanistan. Would this be a prelude for contingency operations in Balochistan?
Hard-line American analysts have suggested that Washington help the Baloch break away from Pakistan so that American and NATO forces can have unfettered access to landlocked Afghanistan, given how Pakistan has been holding the US to ransom.
The Rohrabacher resolution introduced by California Republican Dana Rohrabacher and co-sponsored by two other Republican Congressmen Louie Gohmert (Texas) and Steve King (Iowa), says that the Balochi nation has a "historic right to self-determination."
Stating that Balochistan is currently divided between Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan with no sovereign rights of its own, the resolution explains that,
"In Pakistan especially, the Balochi people are subjected to violence and extrajudicial killings," and therefore, the Balochi people "have the right to self-determination and to their own sovereign country; and they should be afforded the opportunity to choose their own status."
Is that an argument for a back door entry into Balochistan? Placed next to the oil lanes of the Persian Gulf and covering a common border with Iran and Afghanistan,
Balochistan is strategically very significant. The Gwadar Port, being the third largest port of the world, is situated at the doorway of the Persian Gulf (180 nautical miles from the Strait of Hormuz through which 40% of World’s Oil passes) and at the largest trade route in the world.
It is due to this fact that makes it geo-strategically more important to the world powers. The emergence of new Central Asian Republics (CARs) has added to its value, as it will provide the shortest route (Quetta to Chaman) to Central Asia.
America has an eye on Gwadar as being its future “Potential Military Base”.
Considering the above,
the withdrawal from Afghanistan is not going to put an end to American meddling in South Asia. In fact the focus would most likely shift to Balochistan. Apart from its geostrategic significance, the importance of the Pashtun Corridor to U.S. interests in the region lies in the fact that it is where according to the US, the Afghan Taliban’s leadership is based and from where the Taliban are leading the insurgency in Kandahar, Helmand, and further southeast. Control over this area by the US will reduce the threat to US Forces deployed in Afghanistan even after the 'withdrawal' (because as I mentioned earlier, at least one division worth would be located in the region permanently).
The US is wary of China which is keen and has a focused eye on Balochistan. The Gwadar Port has been completed with its help because China wants to import raw material and oil from the Middle East and Africa and export goods through a land corridor that would extend from Gwadar to China’s Sinkiang Province. Strategically this port is situated near the Straits of Hormuz, a major oil shipping lane and China is keen for a link to the Arabian Sea for its land-locked western provinces.
Pakistan needs to be prepared for big power rivalry in Balochistan especially between China and the US of A, jockeying for geostrategic space and the potential economic advantages.
And importantly, America needs another war to feed its military industrial complex. Are Iran and Balochistan on its radar? It would be interesting to see how things pan out.
