The Weakness of Xi Jinping - How Hubris and Paranoia Threaten China’s Future

The Weakness of Xi Jinping

Hubris and paranoia threaten China’s future.

www.foreignaffairs.com

@Paul2
What do you think will happen in the next months, Xi will take all?

 

[leviathan]

China doesn't have enough check and balance in her leaders' selection system, a term limit serves perfectly to compensate this weakness. It may make some very capable leaders to retire prematurely but for this whole system to work, it must be stuck to unconditionally. China has 1.4 billion people, I don't think anyone can be so good to the point of not being able to be replaced for 10 years.

If someone likes to stay in power, he can always finds excuses to do so. If Xi got his 3rd term, he'll set a very bad precedence for future leaders.

The issue is survive next five year first. and xi is the best person to do so. We want best person for this citical time. otherwise doesnt mattar what rule you have, you fuked already.

 

[OIO]

Without Xi Jinping, China would have had a color revolution or a coup d'état, and the United States would now sit back and relax.

 

[Brainsucker]

The issue is survive next five year first. and xi is the best person to do so. We want best person for this citical time. otherwise doesnt mattar what rule you have, you fuked already.

I'm very confused here. Do you believe that there is nobody in CPC who can replace Xi Jinping when he retire from his office? If it true like that, then China is doomed already. Joe Biden doesn't even need to do anything to destroy China. Because CPC is already broken from inside. If nobody can replace Xi, then you believe that CPC is filled with incompetent people. If it is true like that, then China is already begin to fail.

I think every country in this world need a power succession periodically. The purpose is to refresh the eagerness and spirit of the leadership. Xi maybe a good leader, but when he grow old, he will lose flexibility and finesse. 2 important traits that important for any leader in this world. To avoid stagnation because of inflexibility in leadership, a country need to refresh their talent. Younger leaders should replace the older one. With that, the top leadership will always full of new innovation and idea, also flexibility and finesse.

 

[Beast]

In 1989 deng made a very serious political mistake. He overthrew Zhao, who was the general secretary of the CPC, as chairman of the Military Commission. This violates CPC's political discipline. This is also Deng far inferior to Mao's performance. mao adheres to the principles of CPC at all times.

Zhao is the Gorbachev of China. He is more keen of the western democracy which very likely he will side with students and do nothing to stop the collapse of CPC and China. Deng absolutely make the decision using his seniority to overthrew Zhao.

Without Xi Jinping, China would have had a color revolution or a coup d'état, and the United States would now sit back and relax.

Unlikely. Jiang despite being corrupted, will never allow US to interfere in CPC and color revolution. Many great plans like HSR, aircraft carrier and J-20, Y-20 projects are approved by Jiang.

Jiang is still a patriotic Chinese.

 

[Beast]

I'm very confused here. Do you believe that there is nobody in CPC that can replace Xi Jinping when he retire from his office? If it true like that, then China is doomed already. Joe Biden doesn't even need to do anything to destroy China. Because CPC is already broken from inside. If nobody can replace Xi, then you believe that CPC is filled with incompetent people. If it is true like that, then China is already begin to fail.

I think every country in this world need a power succession periodically. The purpose is to refresh the eagerness and spirit of the leadership. Xi maybe a good leader, but when he grow old, he will lose flexibility and finesse. 2 important traits that important for any leader in this world. To avoid stagnation because of inflexibility in leadership, a country need to refresh their talent. Younger leaders should replace the older one. With that, the top leadership will always full of new innovation and idea, also flexibility and finesse.

Disagree with your statement, The next 5 years is not about implement new ideas into CPC but a strong will leader with charisma to make resolute decision to defeat USA.

Just like Deng in the 80s and 90s can never be replace. He is a general who fought in the China liberation war. No PLA dare to challenge him but fully listen to his order.

Same as Xi who is a strong will person who knows what China need to do to overcome US and defeat them. Once USA is defeat in next 5 years. China can enter a period of open and peaceful era. A young leader will then be more suitable.

 

[Brainsucker]

Disagree with your statement, The next 5 years is not about implement new ideas into CPC but a strong will leader with charisma to make resolute decision to defeat USA.

Just like Deng in the 80s and 90s can never be replace. He is a general who fought in the China liberation war. No PLA dare to challenge him but fully listen to his order.

Same as Xi who is a strong will person who knows what China need to do to overcome US and defeat them. Once USA is defeat in next 5 years. China can enter a period of open and peaceful era. A young leader will then be more suitable.

Then, why don't you just choose a retired PLA general to replace Xi? I'm sure that no PLA dare to challenge him, and listen to his order.

 

[Beast]

Then, why don't you just choose a retired PLA general to replace Xi? I'm sure that no PLA dare to challenge him, and listen to his order.

Which PLA general fought for China Liberation war? They are all dead. Only Xi charisma and strong will , will tide China thru for next 5 years.

 

[Leishangthem]

The fact that westerners and even our resident Indians of pdf want Xi gone ,means Xi is the right choice to lead china.
Next decade is the most consequential years for china,there's no time for new leader to settle in ,nor will he be able to exert control over pivotal sector like military ,under xi,china can laser focus on its goals .

Like someone mentioned,just like US needed FDR for 3rd term for its superpower status,China might need Xi in the most critical period of China in the geopolitical battle against whole of US,EU,AUS NZ CA and even their two yellow lapdogs jp,kr.

Some people might have consumed western media about the election too much, for them to be hung on 3rd term.

I have had many disagreements with you in the past.
Hats off to you for accepting and writing that I haven’t seen any dual .CN flag saying ever. Very brave of you.

Nations shouldn't depend on personalities. I am sure that China has enough capability to give as good or a better leader than Xi.

Xi did do some good work. But now China needs to move over from Xi for a change that might bring fresh ideas on governance.

 

[casual]

Then, why don't you just choose a retired PLA general to replace Xi? I'm sure that no PLA dare to challenge him, and listen to his order.

It's against the law. I'd rather Xi stay on for another 5 then go for a general.

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

I'm very confused here. Do you believe that there is nobody in CPC who can replace Xi Jinping when he retire from his office? If it true like that, then China is doomed already. Joe Biden doesn't even need to do anything to destroy China. Because CPC is already broken from inside. If nobody can replace Xi, then you believe that CPC is filled with incompetent people. If it is true like that, then China is already begin to fail.

I think every country in this world need a power succession periodically. The purpose is to refresh the eagerness and spirit of the leadership. Xi maybe a good leader, but when he grow old, he will lose flexibility and finesse. 2 important traits that important for any leader in this world. To avoid stagnation because of inflexibility in leadership, a country need to refresh their talent. Younger leaders should replace the older one. With that, the top leadership will always full of new innovation and idea, also flexibility and finesse.

there are people who can replace Xi, but they did not have sufficient political support or experience. The most likely one is Hu Chunhua, and he needed some time as a vice-premier at the national level.

 

[Brainsucker]

there are people who can replace Xi, but they did not have sufficient political support or experience. The most likely one is Hu Chunhua, and he needed some time as a vice-premier at the national level.

How can that happen? Isn't there 10 years of Xi's period of leadership that give the next gen leader the time to get experience and sufficient political support? Xi can also become a king maker and give support to his successor and help the next leader with his influence and political support.

If Xi doesn't give the next gen leaders the place to get experience and support, then it's his fault, as what he did is the same as killing the future of CPC from within. It is very critical for a nation to have a continuity of leadership. If there is a gap, then it can destroy the foundation of your country. This matter won't become a problem in a democratic country, as their leadership is based on popularity to the massess. But to CPC, who know how significant it can be in the future. Specially when PLA is actually a wild horse that hard to tame.

 

[Beast]

How can that happen? Isn't there 10 years of Xi's period of leadership that give the next gen leader the time to get experience and sufficient political support? Xi can also become a king maker and give support to his successor and help the next leader with his influence and political support.

If Xi doesn't give the next gen leaders the place to get experience and support, then it's his fault, as what he did is the same as killing the future of CPC from within. It is very critical for a nation to have a continuity of leadership. If there is a gap, then it can destroy the foundation of your country. This matter won't become a problem in a democratic country, as their leadership is based on popularity to the massess. But to CPC, who know how significant it can be in the future. Specially when PLA is actually a wild horse that hard to tame.

Xi leadership need to outlive Jiang zemin. He still remain a very influential figure despite being in the background.

 

[MH.Yang]

Then, why don't you just choose a retired PLA general to replace Xi? I'm sure that no PLA dare to challenge him, and listen to his order.

In China, generals of the people's Liberation Army are not even allowed to become members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau, let alone the supreme leader.

Before Deng Xiaoping became the supreme leader, he had left the army for more than 40 years and had been a civilian official.

The Chinese Constitution stipulates that "the CCP commands the army", not "the army commands the CCP" The Central Military Commission, a subsidiary of the CCP Central Committee, controls the command of the PLA.

With all due respect, this is the most important principle in China's political system. It guarantees that China will not become a military dictatorship. I would rather Xi get more terms than support any PLA General to become the supreme leader.

 

[MH.Yang]

How can that happen? Isn't there 10 years of Xi's period of leadership that give the next gen leader the time to get experience and sufficient political support? Xi can also become a king maker and give support to his successor and help the next leader with his influence and political support.

If Xi doesn't give the next gen leaders the place to get experience and support, then it's his fault, as what he did is the same as killing the future of CPC from within. It is very critical for a nation to have a continuity of leadership. If there is a gap, then it can destroy the foundation of your country. This matter won't become a problem in a democratic country, as their leadership is based on popularity to the massess. But to CPC, who know how significant it can be in the future. Specially when PLA is actually a wild horse that hard to tame.

CCP has enough competent successors. These guys just like Xi's toughness and anti-corruption, and then they are alarmist.

For example, Hu Chunhua once served as secretary of the provincial Party committee of Guangdong, Tibet, Hebei, Inner Mongolia and other four provinces. He is also the current Vice Premier.

For example, Wang Yang served as the Secretary of the provincial Party committee of Guangdong, Chongqing and Anhui. He also served as Vice Premier and chairman of the Chinese people's Political Consultative Conference. Wang Yang is even the mentor of Modi, the current Indian Prime Minister. Modi visited Guangdong Province every year when he was the chief minister of Gujarat. His policies in Gujarat almost copied those implemented by Wang Yang in Guangdong Province at that time. However, if Wang Yang takes over, it may not be a good thing for Pakistan. He has deep personal relations with modi.

China has a political rule "不历州县不拟台省" that has lasted for thousands of years. It means that people who have not served as local officials are not allowed to serve as senior officials of the central government. The seven members of the Standing Committee of the Politburo have all served as the top leaders of at least one large province, which means that they have at least experience in governing 50 million people and economies with more than 500 billion dollars. This has exceeded the scale of most countries in the world.

 

[Muhammed45]

Xi is doing well. He was quick to assist Russia in case of consuming Russian energy and also helped Russia to cripple Germany and its economy. Just wait for winter and witness the collapse of American world order esp in Europe. Economically, Germany will face with serious challenges, lack of cheap and clean energy resources will cause losing markets as a consequence of importing expensive LNG. The final price tag will be much higher than the past hence the Chinese products will gain the priority of cost-effectiveness for international customers. China is investing in long term benefits.

West wants Xi gone, so the writing is on the wall. This was the comment of an outsider who supports the idea of EuroAsian unity, others may have different opinion.