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The shale isn't going away. If prices go up, the field open up again. The existence of those fields effectively creates a cap on how high oil prices can go. As the technology improves, the cap gets lower. If prices are low, they don't pump (and the US benefits from low prices). If prices go up, the US hurts a bit, but the US producers turn on the taps and start making money.This will cause short-term pain for all oil-producing states, Saudi Arabia included. But in the long term, if this quashes the US shale oil industry, maybe most states will look back at these times as a "worthy" investment.