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The Robots Are Coming for Garment Workers. That’s Good for the U.S., Bad for Poor Countries

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The Mohammadi Group’s automated knitting machines leave little for humans to do.
The Robots Are Coming for Garment Workers. That’s Good for the U.S., Bad for Poor Countries

Automation is reaching into trades that once seemed immune, transforming sweatshops in places like Bangladesh and bringing production back to America

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-ro...or-poor-countries-1518797631?tesla=y&mod=e2fb

By
Jon Emont | photographs by
Ismail Ferdous for The Wall Street Journal
Feb. 16, 2018 11:13 a.m. ET
DHAKA—At the Mohammadi Fashion Sweaters Ltd. factory in Bangladesh’s capital, a few dozen workers stand watching as 173 German-made machines knit black sweaters for overseas buyers. Occasionally the workers step in to program designs or clean the machines, but otherwise there is little for humans to do.

It’s a big change from a few years ago, when hundreds of employees could be found standing over manual knitting stations for up to 10 hours a day. Mohammadi’s owners began phasing out such work in 2012, and by last year, the knitting process was fully automated.

“It doesn’t make sense for us to slow ourselves down” and not automate, says Rubana Huq, managing director of Mohammadi Group, which makes sweaters for H&M , Zara and other Western brands. Her factories have replaced about 500 workers with machines and may buy more, she says.



How Sewing Robots May Put Human Hands Out of Work | Moving Upstream

Automation is finally coming into fashion, with sewing robots that can produce clothes faster than human hands. In this episode of Moving Upstream, WSJ’s Jason Bellini takes a look at the latest technology and what it means for the 60 million people who work in the garment industry. Photo: Ismail Ferdous for The Wall Street Journal
Even inexpensive workers in the world’s developing countries are vulnerable to automation, now that machines and robots are reaching into trades that previously seemed immune.

The apparel industry—unlike cars or electronics—seemed protected. Fabrics are notoriously difficult to work with, meaning nimble human hands are often better than machines. There was plenty of labor in Bangladesh, Cambodia and China, reducing the urgency to automate.

Safety Net
Textile and clothing exports are important to the economies of some of the world’s poorest countries.
BN-XN123_backgr_4U_20180216071502.jpg

Top exporters, excluding China

$40

billion

India

30

Bangladesh

Vietnam

Turkey

20

Indonesia

10

Cambodia

0

’05

’15

2000

’10

Source: World Bank

But labor costs have been climbing, even in developing countries. And technology is becoming so advanced that machines can increasingly handle difficult tasks such as manipulating pliable fabrics, stitching pockets and attaching belt loops to pants.

All that is upending the economics of the apparel industry, which long served as the first rung on the economic ladder for poorer countries, especially in Asia. A 2016 International Labor Organization study predicted some Asian nations could lose more than 80% of their garment, textile and apparel manufacturing jobs as automation spreads.

“I worry about developing countries—they are in the bull's-eye of this automation revolution” as robots master repetitive tasks once dominated by poor nations, said Erik Brynjolfsson, director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy. Most jobs of the future require significant skills training—and that is where more-developed nations thrive, he said.

Bangladesh offers a stark illustration of the problem. Analysts estimate it needs roughly two million new jobs a year to keep pace with its expanding labor force, with garments offering many of the best opportunities.

Garment workers on their way to the factory in Bangladesh.
Yet the number of new jobs added by the garment and textile trades has fallen to 60,000 a year, from over 300,000 annually between 2003 and 2010, according to World Bank data. Government statistics show a crucial part of the supply chain—the production of basic textiles—is already seeing an outright decline in jobs.

Bangladesh’s apparel production, meanwhile, keeps surging, with help from automation, local business leaders say. From 2013 to mid-2016, annual Bangladeshi garment exports increased by 19.5%, according to figures from the leading garment industry body there. Garment sector jobs increased by 4.5% over the same period, government statistics show.

Going Upscale
Bangladesh’s apparel exports have been growing rapidly, and knit production, which is relatively easy to automate, now accounts for nearly half.
BN-XN150_backgr_4U_20180216100145.jpg

$30

billion

Woven apparel exports

25

Knit apparel exports

20

15

10

5

0

’05

’10

’15

2000

1995

Source: Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association

“If you cannot absorb [young people] in productive activities, they will do something. And the something they will do may not be socially pleasant,” said Zahid Hussain, the World Bank’s lead Bangladesh economist. “It’s a social time bomb.”

There are plenty of upsides to automation in apparel, of course, especially in richer countries. By boosting efficiency, new technologies help keep consumer prices for jeans and other “fast fashion” products low. Automation could also help bring some apparel production back to places with more-expensive labor, including the U.S.

Softwear Automation, an Atlanta-based firm that develops automated tools for apparel factories, says that its “sewbots” will be used next year in a Little Rock, Ark., factory operated by Chinese garment producer Tinyuan Garments Co.

Adidas AG recently opened “Speedfactory” shoe production plants in Germany and the Atlanta area designed to use computerized knitting technology instead of armies of low-cost laborers.

Machine Age
‘Sewbots’ made by Softwear Automation of Atlanta promise major new efficiencies in the apparel trade. Softwear Automation says that:
BN-XN152_backgr_4U_20180216100522.jpg

One worker operates four Sewbots at a time.

Each Sewbot can stack and sew

one pillow in 32 seconds....

...and produce 900 pillows in one 8-hour shift.

Source: Softwear Automation

In Bangladesh, Nazma Akter, a union leader, says savings from automation has emboldened factory owners to resist worker demands. In one recent labor dispute, she says, factory owners threw up their hands and said that if workers wouldn’t agree to management’s plans, they would simply automate jobs away.

“Factories that before had 300 workers now might have 100 workers only,” said Ms. Akter, who is president of the Sommilito Garments Sramik Federation.

The country’s biggest clothing producers say they have little choice but to automate as cost pressures intensify.

The collapse of the Rana Plaza garment-factory building in Dhaka in 2013, which killed more than 1,100 people, focused global attention on the need to make upgrades to factories around the world, especially in Bangladesh.

Consumers, accustomed to a widening array of inexpensive fashions, have resisted price increases that could help pay for them. The emergence of new competitors, including East African nations, has added further pressure.

“If you don’t change yourself, you will lose the entire business,” said Mostafiz Uddin, chief executive of Denim Expert Ltd., a Bangladeshi manufacturer that makes clothes for brands including Zara.

His multistory factory in the port city of Chittagong uses a Spanish laser-finishing machine, retailing for 150,000 euros, that burns fashionable holes into jeans with far greater precision than dozens of workers conducting the same task manually nearby.

A worker uses a laser engraving machine to distress jeans at Denim Expert Ltd.
By contrast, it takes many workers to distress denim jeans by hand-sanding.
Four other machines automatically sew stitching for jeans that have been damaged during the finishing process. Each one with a single operator can stitch as many garments as 12 workers on standard sewing machines, Mr. Uddin says.

“The machine can do everything, you just program it,” says Mr. Uddin, who says he’s become inured to complaints that automation leads to fewer jobs. “If we cannot sustain the business, where will the fair wages come from?”

The latest advances mark a major shift for the apparel trade. Although technologies introduced during the Industrial Revolution, like the sewing machine, helped mechanize some parts of the process, including fabric production, stitching and final assembly still typically involved large numbers of humans.

The shift from Europe and the U.S. to Asia helped lift millions of people out of poverty in Taiwan and South Korea, and later in countries such as Thailand and China. When those places saw their own costs rise, apparel brands looked elsewhere.

Bangladesh, with 165 million people, leapt at the chance. Derided as a “basket case” by then-U.S. National Security Adviser Henry Kissinger after its 1971 independence from Pakistan, the flood-prone nation endured years of famine and military coups before garment-making took root.

From 2000 to 2010, Bangladeshi garment exports nearly tripled, helping to dramatically push down the number of people living in poverty, the World Bank says. Many were women from poor rural areas who migrated to the cities, including Dhaka, and sent earnings home. Today the industry provides three million manufacturing jobs and 81% of Bangladesh’s exports.

Just as Bangladesh was climbing up the garments ladder, inventors were automating it.

One was Masahiro Shima, a onetime poor Japanese factory worker who started Shima Seiki Manufacturing Ltd., a company that sells many of today’s automated garment machines. In the 1960s, he was horrified at the number of employees who lost fingers in glove knitting machines, and designed a new one that didn’t require significant human intervention, a company representative said.

Years later, he attached a computer to a knitting machine so it could automatically knit squares of fabric. Shima Seiki and other makers fine-tuned the machines so they could eventually knit complex sleeves, sweater bodies and dresses on their own, at high speeds.

Some garment components still had to be joined by humans at the end of the process, but that typically isn’t as laborious as other tasks. A new Shima Seiki machine, the Mach2X released in 2015, eliminates manual labor even in the final stage.

Softwear, the Atlanta automation firm, has added cameras to its “sewbots” to enhance production, spotting distortions in fabrics so they don’t get bunched up in machines. One inventor treated fabrics to stiffen them temporarily so they can be more easily manipulated by robots. Softwear CEO Palaniswamy Rajan predicts sewbots will eventually make individual clothing items automatically on demand after they’re ordered online, reducing the need of fashion brands to outsource production to Asia.

An automated spreading machine at Pacific Jeans.
Garment work has turned life around for countless women in Bangladesh.
In Bangladesh, factory owners started investing more in automated machines as aftereffects of the Rana Plaza disaster rippled through their industry.

Strikes paralyzed Bangladesh with workers demanding better pay and assurances they could work in safe factories. The government raised the monthly minimum garment worker salary by 77% to around $64, and required factory owners to offer automatic annual raises.

Many factories moved from crowded central Dhaka to larger purpose-built factories in the suburbs so they could implement new standards required by Western buyers. Larger manufacturers that could afford the upgrades also invested in labor-saving technology. Hundreds of smaller, labor-intensive factories shut down.

“I think most of the sweater factory owners were happy to go towards automation because that would take care of the labor unrest,” said Ms. Huq, the Mohammadi Group managing director who invested in labor-saving automation. Her German machines, costing about $25,000 each, still require a small amount of manual help in the final assembly stage, but most of the production process is automatic.

Women check the output from sweater knitting machines at Mohammadi Group.
Some detail work still happens by hand.
Consolidation and automation has helped Bangladesh stay competitive and keep prices for buyers in check. The price of boys’ trousers at the factory gate in Bangladesh, for instance, declined 12% from 2013 to 2017, according to Mark Anner, a political-science professor at Pennsylvania State University who has tracked garment prices using U.S. trade data.

Mohammad Abdul Halim, 41, says he made sweaters for several years before losing his job in 2017 at a factory called Madinaple Fashions Craft Ltd. that automated its knitting, installing equipment known locally as “jacquard machines,” after a Frenchman who invented a prototype steam-powered loom in the 19th Century. After a few months searching unsuccessfully for a formal job at another garment factory, he gave up and became a rickshaw driver.

Wearing a ratty red fleece pulled over his olive-green sarong, he said his average monthly pay has dropped by a third, to around $145 a month, and he must pay bribes to police when they stop him for operating an unlicensed rickshaw. It has become hard to pay fees to keep his 8th-grade child in school, he says.

“I blame the jacquard machine,” he said, sipping tea at a small stall opened by another former sweater operator who lost his job to automation. Madinaple representatives didn’t respond to requests for comment.

A trimming section of the Mohammadi sweater factory.PHOTO: ISMAIL FERDOUS FOR THE WALL STRE
One solution would be for Bangladesh to diversify its economy beyond garments, so its manufacturing labor force isn’t so vulnerable to technological changes. Other countries have successfully followed that path.

There’s only one problem: Most of the alternatives higher up the value chain, like electronics, are automating as well.

“All we have done is garments, nothing else,” said Ms. Huq, the Mohammadi Sweaters managing director. “Where do we go next from here?”

—Jason Bellini contributed to this article.

Write to Jon Emont at jonathan.emont@wsj.com
 
.
It was meant to be.... :hitwall::hitwall:

There goes our $1 trillion economy dream....:cry::cry:
 
. .
Most of the big garments specially sweater factories are moving into automated machines in Bangladesh. If robots comes to America so they do in Bangladesh. More productivity, better salary.
 
.
BN-XM251_201702_PREVIEW_20180214152614.jpg


The Mohammadi Group’s automated knitting machines leave little for humans to do.
The Robots Are Coming for Garment Workers. That’s Good for the U.S., Bad for Poor Countries

Automation is reaching into trades that once seemed immune, transforming sweatshops in places like Bangladesh and bringing production back to America

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-ro...or-poor-countries-1518797631?tesla=y&mod=e2fb

By
Jon Emont | photographs by
Ismail Ferdous for The Wall Street Journal
Feb. 16, 2018 11:13 a.m. ET
DHAKA—At the Mohammadi Fashion Sweaters Ltd. factory in Bangladesh’s capital, a few dozen workers stand watching as 173 German-made machines knit black sweaters for overseas buyers. Occasionally the workers step in to program designs or clean the machines, but otherwise there is little for humans to do.

It’s a big change from a few years ago, when hundreds of employees could be found standing over manual knitting stations for up to 10 hours a day. Mohammadi’s owners began phasing out such work in 2012, and by last year, the knitting process was fully automated.

“It doesn’t make sense for us to slow ourselves down” and not automate, says Rubana Huq, managing director of Mohammadi Group, which makes sweaters for H&M , Zara and other Western brands. Her factories have replaced about 500 workers with machines and may buy more, she says.



How Sewing Robots May Put Human Hands Out of Work | Moving Upstream

Automation is finally coming into fashion, with sewing robots that can produce clothes faster than human hands. In this episode of Moving Upstream, WSJ’s Jason Bellini takes a look at the latest technology and what it means for the 60 million people who work in the garment industry. Photo: Ismail Ferdous for The Wall Street Journal
Even inexpensive workers in the world’s developing countries are vulnerable to automation, now that machines and robots are reaching into trades that previously seemed immune.

The apparel industry—unlike cars or electronics—seemed protected. Fabrics are notoriously difficult to work with, meaning nimble human hands are often better than machines. There was plenty of labor in Bangladesh, Cambodia and China, reducing the urgency to automate.

Safety Net
Textile and clothing exports are important to the economies of some of the world’s poorest countries.
BN-XN123_backgr_4U_20180216071502.jpg

Top exporters, excluding China

$40

billion

India

30

Bangladesh

Vietnam

Turkey

20

Indonesia

10

Cambodia

0

’05

’15

2000

’10

Source: World Bank

But labor costs have been climbing, even in developing countries. And technology is becoming so advanced that machines can increasingly handle difficult tasks such as manipulating pliable fabrics, stitching pockets and attaching belt loops to pants.

All that is upending the economics of the apparel industry, which long served as the first rung on the economic ladder for poorer countries, especially in Asia. A 2016 International Labor Organization study predicted some Asian nations could lose more than 80% of their garment, textile and apparel manufacturing jobs as automation spreads.

“I worry about developing countries—they are in the bull's-eye of this automation revolution” as robots master repetitive tasks once dominated by poor nations, said Erik Brynjolfsson, director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy. Most jobs of the future require significant skills training—and that is where more-developed nations thrive, he said.

Bangladesh offers a stark illustration of the problem. Analysts estimate it needs roughly two million new jobs a year to keep pace with its expanding labor force, with garments offering many of the best opportunities.

Garment workers on their way to the factory in Bangladesh.
Yet the number of new jobs added by the garment and textile trades has fallen to 60,000 a year, from over 300,000 annually between 2003 and 2010, according to World Bank data. Government statistics show a crucial part of the supply chain—the production of basic textiles—is already seeing an outright decline in jobs.

Bangladesh’s apparel production, meanwhile, keeps surging, with help from automation, local business leaders say. From 2013 to mid-2016, annual Bangladeshi garment exports increased by 19.5%, according to figures from the leading garment industry body there. Garment sector jobs increased by 4.5% over the same period, government statistics show.

Going Upscale
Bangladesh’s apparel exports have been growing rapidly, and knit production, which is relatively easy to automate, now accounts for nearly half.
BN-XN150_backgr_4U_20180216100145.jpg

$30

billion

Woven apparel exports

25

Knit apparel exports

20

15

10

5

0

’05

’10

’15

2000

1995

Source: Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association

“If you cannot absorb [young people] in productive activities, they will do something. And the something they will do may not be socially pleasant,” said Zahid Hussain, the World Bank’s lead Bangladesh economist. “It’s a social time bomb.”

There are plenty of upsides to automation in apparel, of course, especially in richer countries. By boosting efficiency, new technologies help keep consumer prices for jeans and other “fast fashion” products low. Automation could also help bring some apparel production back to places with more-expensive labor, including the U.S.

Softwear Automation, an Atlanta-based firm that develops automated tools for apparel factories, says that its “sewbots” will be used next year in a Little Rock, Ark., factory operated by Chinese garment producer Tinyuan Garments Co.

Adidas AG recently opened “Speedfactory” shoe production plants in Germany and the Atlanta area designed to use computerized knitting technology instead of armies of low-cost laborers.

Machine Age
‘Sewbots’ made by Softwear Automation of Atlanta promise major new efficiencies in the apparel trade. Softwear Automation says that:
BN-XN152_backgr_4U_20180216100522.jpg

One worker operates four Sewbots at a time.

Each Sewbot can stack and sew

one pillow in 32 seconds....

...and produce 900 pillows in one 8-hour shift.

Source: Softwear Automation

In Bangladesh, Nazma Akter, a union leader, says savings from automation has emboldened factory owners to resist worker demands. In one recent labor dispute, she says, factory owners threw up their hands and said that if workers wouldn’t agree to management’s plans, they would simply automate jobs away.

“Factories that before had 300 workers now might have 100 workers only,” said Ms. Akter, who is president of the Sommilito Garments Sramik Federation.

The country’s biggest clothing producers say they have little choice but to automate as cost pressures intensify.

The collapse of the Rana Plaza garment-factory building in Dhaka in 2013, which killed more than 1,100 people, focused global attention on the need to make upgrades to factories around the world, especially in Bangladesh.

Consumers, accustomed to a widening array of inexpensive fashions, have resisted price increases that could help pay for them. The emergence of new competitors, including East African nations, has added further pressure.

“If you don’t change yourself, you will lose the entire business,” said Mostafiz Uddin, chief executive of Denim Expert Ltd., a Bangladeshi manufacturer that makes clothes for brands including Zara.

His multistory factory in the port city of Chittagong uses a Spanish laser-finishing machine, retailing for 150,000 euros, that burns fashionable holes into jeans with far greater precision than dozens of workers conducting the same task manually nearby.

A worker uses a laser engraving machine to distress jeans at Denim Expert Ltd.
By contrast, it takes many workers to distress denim jeans by hand-sanding.
Four other machines automatically sew stitching for jeans that have been damaged during the finishing process. Each one with a single operator can stitch as many garments as 12 workers on standard sewing machines, Mr. Uddin says.

“The machine can do everything, you just program it,” says Mr. Uddin, who says he’s become inured to complaints that automation leads to fewer jobs. “If we cannot sustain the business, where will the fair wages come from?”

The latest advances mark a major shift for the apparel trade. Although technologies introduced during the Industrial Revolution, like the sewing machine, helped mechanize some parts of the process, including fabric production, stitching and final assembly still typically involved large numbers of humans.

The shift from Europe and the U.S. to Asia helped lift millions of people out of poverty in Taiwan and South Korea, and later in countries such as Thailand and China. When those places saw their own costs rise, apparel brands looked elsewhere.

Bangladesh, with 165 million people, leapt at the chance. Derided as a “basket case” by then-U.S. National Security Adviser Henry Kissinger after its 1971 independence from Pakistan, the flood-prone nation endured years of famine and military coups before garment-making took root.

From 2000 to 2010, Bangladeshi garment exports nearly tripled, helping to dramatically push down the number of people living in poverty, the World Bank says. Many were women from poor rural areas who migrated to the cities, including Dhaka, and sent earnings home. Today the industry provides three million manufacturing jobs and 81% of Bangladesh’s exports.

Just as Bangladesh was climbing up the garments ladder, inventors were automating it.

One was Masahiro Shima, a onetime poor Japanese factory worker who started Shima Seiki Manufacturing Ltd., a company that sells many of today’s automated garment machines. In the 1960s, he was horrified at the number of employees who lost fingers in glove knitting machines, and designed a new one that didn’t require significant human intervention, a company representative said.

Years later, he attached a computer to a knitting machine so it could automatically knit squares of fabric. Shima Seiki and other makers fine-tuned the machines so they could eventually knit complex sleeves, sweater bodies and dresses on their own, at high speeds.

Some garment components still had to be joined by humans at the end of the process, but that typically isn’t as laborious as other tasks. A new Shima Seiki machine, the Mach2X released in 2015, eliminates manual labor even in the final stage.

Softwear, the Atlanta automation firm, has added cameras to its “sewbots” to enhance production, spotting distortions in fabrics so they don’t get bunched up in machines. One inventor treated fabrics to stiffen them temporarily so they can be more easily manipulated by robots. Softwear CEO Palaniswamy Rajan predicts sewbots will eventually make individual clothing items automatically on demand after they’re ordered online, reducing the need of fashion brands to outsource production to Asia.

An automated spreading machine at Pacific Jeans.
Garment work has turned life around for countless women in Bangladesh.
In Bangladesh, factory owners started investing more in automated machines as aftereffects of the Rana Plaza disaster rippled through their industry.

Strikes paralyzed Bangladesh with workers demanding better pay and assurances they could work in safe factories. The government raised the monthly minimum garment worker salary by 77% to around $64, and required factory owners to offer automatic annual raises.

Many factories moved from crowded central Dhaka to larger purpose-built factories in the suburbs so they could implement new standards required by Western buyers. Larger manufacturers that could afford the upgrades also invested in labor-saving technology. Hundreds of smaller, labor-intensive factories shut down.

“I think most of the sweater factory owners were happy to go towards automation because that would take care of the labor unrest,” said Ms. Huq, the Mohammadi Group managing director who invested in labor-saving automation. Her German machines, costing about $25,000 each, still require a small amount of manual help in the final assembly stage, but most of the production process is automatic.

Women check the output from sweater knitting machines at Mohammadi Group.
Some detail work still happens by hand.
Consolidation and automation has helped Bangladesh stay competitive and keep prices for buyers in check. The price of boys’ trousers at the factory gate in Bangladesh, for instance, declined 12% from 2013 to 2017, according to Mark Anner, a political-science professor at Pennsylvania State University who has tracked garment prices using U.S. trade data.

Mohammad Abdul Halim, 41, says he made sweaters for several years before losing his job in 2017 at a factory called Madinaple Fashions Craft Ltd. that automated its knitting, installing equipment known locally as “jacquard machines,” after a Frenchman who invented a prototype steam-powered loom in the 19th Century. After a few months searching unsuccessfully for a formal job at another garment factory, he gave up and became a rickshaw driver.

Wearing a ratty red fleece pulled over his olive-green sarong, he said his average monthly pay has dropped by a third, to around $145 a month, and he must pay bribes to police when they stop him for operating an unlicensed rickshaw. It has become hard to pay fees to keep his 8th-grade child in school, he says.

“I blame the jacquard machine,” he said, sipping tea at a small stall opened by another former sweater operator who lost his job to automation. Madinaple representatives didn’t respond to requests for comment.

A trimming section of the Mohammadi sweater factory.PHOTO: ISMAIL FERDOUS FOR THE WALL STRE
One solution would be for Bangladesh to diversify its economy beyond garments, so its manufacturing labor force isn’t so vulnerable to technological changes. Other countries have successfully followed that path.

There’s only one problem: Most of the alternatives higher up the value chain, like electronics, are automating as well.

“All we have done is garments, nothing else,” said Ms. Huq, the Mohammadi Sweaters managing director. “Where do we go next from here?”

—Jason Bellini contributed to this article.

Write to Jon Emont at jonathan.emont@wsj.com
It was meant to be.... :hitwall::hitwall:

There goes our $1 trillion economy dream....:cry::cry:
we are doomed..............:help::help::help::help:


Automation will come in Bangladesh also.We will still produce garments at cheaper price than US and will hold competitive advantage.Cost of the garments doesn't only depend on sewing hands.A lot of other associated labor also count.Only bad effect of automation for us will be the large scale job cut in garments sector as a lot of human labor will be surplus.But I don't think our export will hamper in any way.Then, 10 Bangladeshi will do the job of what 100 Bangladeshi workers are doing now.Still 10 Bangladeshi worker's labor cost will be a lot of cheaper than 10 American workers.
 
.
Automation will come in Bangladesh also.We will still produce garments at cheaper price than US and will hold competitive advantage.Cost of the garments doesn't only depend on sewing hands.A lot of other associated labor also count.Only bad effect of automation for us will be the large scale job cut in garments sector as a lot of human labor will be surplus.But I don't think our export will hamper in any way.Then, (1)10 Bangladeshi will do the job of what 100 Bangladeshi workers are doing now.(2)Still 10 Bangladeshi worker's labor cost will be a lot of cheaper than 10 American workers.

1. But still thats a lot of semi skilled unemployed people, especially women. what will the do next?

2. Granted,but what about the transportation cost? In the end if the differnece is not significant then most companies would prefer American workers simply becase of good PR.
 
.
1. But still thats a lot of semi skilled unemployed people, especially women. what will the do next?
They have to find some other jobs.But many would not be able to find and revert back to their traditional roles.
2. Granted,but what about the transportation cost? In the end if the differnece is not significant then most companies would prefer American workers simply becase of good PR.
American or other highly developed country's per hour salary is many times greater than intercontinental shipping cost.For example, suppose an average American worker with automation will produce 100K shirts in a year with a salary of 50k USD.That 100k shirts can be put into a single ship container and can be transported from BD to USA with just 2622 dollar shipping cost (per ton mile freight cost by water is around 1 cent, Chittagong to New York-10,925 nautical miles, so, 24 ton container shipping cost in this route is 2,622 dollar ). So you are getting 1 year worth of an American works in form of just a container shipped from BD to US with 1/20th of the salary. This is a rough calculation where 100k shirt per year per worker and their combined weight of being 24 ton are purely an educated guess.Most of the other heavy industry like Automobile is already highly automated, still big automobile companies are outsourcing their car plants in developing countries with cheap labor like India, Vietnam,China etc.While even with automation, garments will still be more labor intensive than other industry.
 
Last edited:
.
errr ..

lets not blow this automation hoax out of proportion.

No government i repeat no goverment anywhere in the world will tolerate mass unemployment regardless of the massive generation of profits from robots ! why? because unemployment is bad for law and order situation !! which is bad for any economy !

the way i see it yes initially there will be job losses, due to the implementation of automation , but i do not this they will cause mass unemployment but rather they will be used to increase production and not cut labor number !

and dont even start on universal income , no bussinessman/ government wants to work hard and feed 1000 mouths who are just doing nothing !
 
.
AUTOMATION IN APPAREL
Boon or bane for Bangladesh?


garment_workers_0.jpg


https://www.google.ca/amp/www.theda...iness-analysis/automation-apparel-1523047?amp

Garment workers sew t-shirts at a factory in Dhaka in 2009. Bangladesh, the world's second-largest clothing exporter, has lured clothing makers through a combination of low wages and light regulation. PHOTO: AFP
Mostafiz Uddin
The World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said in a recent conference that about two thirds of jobs in the developing world may be lost due to automation. An ILO report on Textile and Clothing Sector in ASEAN states that the textile, clothing and footwear (TCF) sector is at the highest risk of losing jobs to automation. Let's examine the reality on the basis of a few snippets from latest news on this topic:

Case 1: Raymond will be letting go of 10,000 workers in a bold move across its 16 manufacturing facilities in India. These workers will be replaced by robots in the next three years, according to news reports.


Case 2: Adidas in 2016 successfully tested a fully automated shoe factory, also known as “Speedfactory,” using 3D technology and robotics in Germany. It plans to set up another automated plant in the United States this year. On the other hand, it is going to open its newest factory in 2018 in Arkansas which will be filled with fully autonomous robots and their human supervisors. With these new robotic production lines, Adidas will be able to manufacture 800,000 sports shirts per day, increasing production by 300 percent and with a very important reduction of its expenditure.

Case 3: Texprocess, a major trade fair for the international garment-manufacturing and textile processing industry, showcased a Digital Textile Micro Factory at its May 2017 show in Frankfurt, Germany. It was a live demonstration of an integrated production chain for apparel right from the design stage to digital printing to automated cutting to sewing. It provided a glimpse of what future factories would be like in a few years—more collaborative, flexible, customised, integrated, with zero waste and high-tech way of bringing the product live from design to the shop.

The abovementioned news pieces suggest that the threat from automation is real. Bangladesh cannot escape this threat as we service the same brands that will demand higher productivity, lower cost, lower carbon footprint, better working condition, quicker turnaround time, and flexibility. All of this seems to be possible through taking the automation route for manufacturing.

But at present, about 40 million people at different corners of the world are working in garment and textile manufacturing, to say nothing of the fact that many of those workers are also the sole earners in their families. Millions of these workers reside in “Global South,” which includes many of the world's less developed countries and regions.

In Bangladesh, over four million workers in the garment industry are earning over 82 percent of the nation's overall export income. The main “product” of Bangladesh is the labour of the millions who take raw textiles and transform them into finished garments every day, and in fact, much of this labour is concentrated in the final phase of production before shipping known as “Cut and Sew”—the very process that Western innovation is working to automate. Bangladesh currently does not have the capacity to pivot over the four million people into a new industry, which itself may not create the necessary jobs for that kind of transition.

While there is some merit in the above viewpoint that automation and the resultant job loss rate may not match with the new job creation rate, this alone is not a sufficient condition to halt the progress or growth which the technological advances unleash.

For example, a few years ago, mobile penetration was quite low. But now the first thing that 90 percent of the people do when they wake up in the morning is to reach out for their smart phone! Such is the capability of technology to change our lives, and such is the speed at which we humans adapt to the new way of living.

Moreover, how long can Bangladesh sustain on the “low labour cost” advantage? And whose wellbeing is served by us being known as the “lowest labour cost” country? Why should we not aspire to raise the level of the price of our labour? Why should we not accept automation and offer higher value-added products and services which require higher skills and higher wages? Why should we not train the displaced workforce resulting from automation to take up jobs requiring higher skills? Why should we insist on dumbing down the precious human resource of our country by making them do “repetitive” tasks which a machine can do effortlessly and more productively?

There is something inherently wrong with this “chase to the bottom” attitude by the brands and retailers sourcing products from the low labour-cost countries. It smacks of “opportunism” and “exploitation” and “mindless profiteering” which must stop. We as an industry should not strive to reach the point where the low labour cost cannot go any “lower.” The industry should instead strive to elevate the current wage levels to even higher standards for a better, more sustainable return in the future.

To expect better products and better services, higher productivity at a lower cost is not a bad thing at all, if it is aided by an overall advancement of the industry. All things considered, automation is not an enemy, but an ally in lifting an entire industry to the next level.

I want to end this piece with the interesting concept of “robot tax” to tackle the problem of job displacement by robots. Bill Gates, the world's richest person, suggested that a fiscal rethink may soon be necessary. If the latest wave of automation causes large numbers of job losses, the Microsoft Co-founder said, then taxing the robots and using the money to retrain the humans may be one way to deal with the upheaval ahead. That's something to think about.

I will leave it to my countrymen to decide whether automation is a boon or bane for Bangladesh.



Mostafiz Uddin is Managing Director of Denim Expert Limited, and Founder and CEO of Bangladesh Apparel Exchange (BAE).
 
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It was meant to be.... :hitwall::hitwall:

There goes our $1 trillion economy dream....:cry::cry:

We came from nothing and we may go back to nothing - we are a nation of cynics and you are well aware of this.

But the very fact that we are talking about it, means that it won't come as a surprise. Manufacturing in every sector will be affected by AI. Even the service sector will be affected - call centres for example will be dead.

Every country has to find their own niche in this new world, 17 cr Bangladeshis need to find ours. If our business men, academics and leaders are sincere we will find success iA.
 
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The Robots are coming, now you don't need to harass women on social media anymore for bobs and vagene. Get a sex robot, and stop wanking to haseena. :jester::chilli:
Haseena is so beautiful that anyone no ,matter where he comes from , looks at haseena Automated wanking happens.
 
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We came from nothing and we may go back to nothing - we are a nation of cynics and you are well aware of this.

But the very fact that we are talking about it, means that it won't come as a surprise. Manufacturing in every sector will be affected by AI. Even the service sector will be affected - call centres for example will be dead.

Every country has to find their own niche in this new world, 17 cr Bangladeshis need to find ours. If our business men, academics and leaders are sincere we will find success iA.

therein lies the problem.
 
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therein lies the problem.

Well leaders alone can't solve it either. They're only 1 part of the solution so let's not get stuck there.

This is an interesting article that shows how many emerging economies are struggling with this threat.

https://www.ft.com/content/9f146ab6-621c-11e7-91a7-502f7ee26895


We still probably have 10 -15 years to make as much money from garments as possible and in the meantime we have to train young people for industries of the future.
 
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