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The Man Steering Pakistan's Economy Isn't Afraid to Take Risks

Ali Tariq

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By
Faseeh Mangi
and
Chris Kay
September 13, 2018, 3:00 AM GMT+5

  • New finance minister Asad Umar faces immediate economic test

  • He turned Engro into one of nation’s largest conglomerates
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Asad Umar, Pakistan's incoming finance minister, listens during an interview in Islamabad, Pakistan, on Aug. 2. Photographer: Asad

Asad Umar’s expertise in hazardous materials should come in handy for his new job: managing Pakistan’s economy.



When the nation’s new finance minister was told two decades ago he couldn’t import chemicals through a Karachi port because of its storage terminal’s weak safety standards, he just went and built a new unit himself. Back then, he was a senior official at Engro Corp., where he eventually worked his way up the ranks to chief executive officer and turned the company from largely a fertilizer maker into one of the nation’s biggest conglomerates.

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Shamsuddin Shaikh, who heads up Engro’s energy arm and worked for Umar for almost 18 years, says the storage unit shows how his former boss was willing to find unconventional approaches to meet challenges. He “reaches to the bottom of the problem” and has an attention to detail, skills that make the 57 year-old right for the job, Shaikh said.




In his new role, Umar has no shortage of problems to fix. A borrowing binge has left the South Asian nation in need of a bailout of more than $12 billion, he said in an interview last month. Most analysts expect new Prime Minister Imran Khan, the former cricket legend, will soon be knocking on the door of the International Monetary Fund once again.



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Foreign-currency reserves have plunged by a third to $9.9 billion in the past year, while the nation is running twin deficits of more than 5 percent of gross domestic product on both its current account and budget. Authorities have devalued the rupee four times since December.


Read More: Why Pakistan Is on the Road to Another IMF Bailout

“What needs to be done should be done in the next few weeks,” Umar said in an interview in Islamabad just before his official appointment in August. “They should have been done six months back.”

Beyond the immediate crisis, Umar must also try to fix decades of economic boom-and-bust cycles, an over-reliance on debt-funding and income tax avoidance in a country where less than 1 percent of its more than 200 million people file returns. At the same time, he has to deliver on the prime minister’s pledge to boost welfare spending.

Umar wants to quickly get the business and investment community on side. One of his first steps since taking office was to set up advisory councils reporting directly to the prime minister where firms and economists can provide their input on policies. But that’s already run into controversy after pressure from religious conservatives forced a prominent economist from a Muslim minority sect to resign from one of the councils last week. Umar has faced criticism for staying silent on the issue.

Read More: Pakistan Mixes Fragile State With Modernizing Society

The “government will have to walk a tightrope as it plans to increase development and social spending,” said Asif Khan, the Dubai-based chief financial officer of consultancy Delta Partners and no relation to Imran Khan. “All of this will clash with the need to further tighten monetary and fiscal policies to reduce economic vulnerabilities.”

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The Engro dairy farm in Nara, Sindh, Pakistan.

Photographer: Asim Hafeez/Bloomberg
Umar isn’t scared of taking risks. After becoming head of Engro in 2004, he diversified the company into the dairy business, an industry that was until then dominated by global giant Nestle SA. The move helped turn Engro into one of the nation’s biggest companies with a market value that’s now more than eight times larger.

His leadership wasn’t without fault: Engro was fined by Pakistan’s antitrust agency five years ago for excessively jacking up fertilizer prices. Umar also faced pressure from investors in 2011 when a newly-built fertilizer plant experienced gas shortages despite government supply guarantees.

The finance minister comes from a military family, his father having been a general during Bangladesh’s independence war with Pakistan in 1971. After an early forced retirement, the family moved from the garrison city of Rawalpindi to Karachi, where Umar was educated at public schools.

Political Rivalry
The youngest of seven siblings, he shared a room with his brothers Muneer Kamal, who went on to become chairman of the state-owned National Bank of Pakistan, and Mohammad Zubair, a former International Business Machines Corp. executive and governor of Sindh province.

Zubair, 62, recalls his younger brother was more interested in playing cricket and badminton than studying for exams, yet still managed to get the same good grades as his more studious siblings

Today, the two brothers are split along political lines. Umar left Engro and joined Khan’s Movement for Justice in 2012 after the former cricket star tried multiple times to get him to join. Zubair joined the party led by former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif the same year and was a minister in his government. The brothers have clashed in public often, but remain on speaking terms.

The new government will likely have a short honeymoon before difficult economic reforms need to be taken.

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Omer Yusuf

“It’s going to be tough,’’ said Omer Yusuf, managing director of Lyra Pvt Ltd., a body armor factory in northern Karachi, who knew Umar during his corporate days. “But they’ve got a good team, Asad Umar is probably one of the most brilliant people I know -- I’m hopeful.’’

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...n-grid-adds-to-imran-khan-s-economic-quandary
 
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ISLAMABAD: The Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP) has imposed a major penalty of Rs8.64 billion on Engro Fertiliser Limited (EFL) and the Fauji Fertiliser Company (FFC) for increasing urea prices to an unreasonable level, which led to a rise in food inflation in the country.

The CCP conducted a thorough inquiry into the matter after taking notice of rising trend in urea pries in December 2010.
The order has been conveyed to the two urea manufacturers over their abuse of dominant position in the market.
During the year of inquiry, the urea bag price surged by around 86pc from Rs850 to Rs1,580 and local urea production also increased.
The inquiry included an analysis of factors that could lead to increase in urea prices.
These factors are gas curtailment the most important issue as always raised by the urea manufacturers, said Rahat Kaunain Hassan, CCP chairperson on Tuesday.
The other factors considered by the CCP inquiry committee were input costs, profit margins, subsidies given by the government and other policy issues etc.
After the inquiry, show-cause notices were issued to all urea manufacturers and many hearings were held so that their point of view could be obtained, she said, adding, during the course of hearings, Fauji Fertiliser Company (FFC) acknowledged that the price rise was initiated by Engro Fertilisers Ltd (EFL) and the FFC was only price follower.
The CCP bench comprised CCP Chairperson and senior member Abdul Ghaffar.
The order noted that urea is an essential item, and the increase in urea prices directly hits food inflation which has gone up by around 45pc in five years. Incidentally the two companies FFC and the EFL had obtained Rs77bn subsidies in the past three years from the government to keep the prices at a reasonable level.
In 2011, the Fauji Fertiliser received Rs11bn in terms of subsidy while Engro Fertiliser obtained Rs4.5bn from the government.
The detailed order highlights that despite concerns of gas shortage, the profit of FFC increased from around Rs11bn in 2010 to Rs22.5bn in 2011.
Its return on investment (ROE) after a tax of 97.5pc was above the ROE after tax enjoyed by the undertakings in agro-based economies similar to Pakistan.
The ROE in urea business in India is capped at 12pc, whereas in the case of EFL, the CCP bench referred to a case of excessive pricing in Turkey.
The Turkish authorities had ruled in the case that dropping profits or even loss registered by any company does not imply that it cannot abuse its dominant position.
However, in 2011 the gross profits of EFL went up by more than 80pc from that in 2010. The CCP bench after hearing the urea companies decided to impose a maximum penalty on both EFL and FFC under the Competition Act.
This is 10pc of their individual turnover which comes to Rs3.14bn for EFL and Rs5.5bn for FFC.
The CCP also advised the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) that it is critical to conduct forensic cost audit of all urea companies by independent auditors in the interest of transparency.
[FONT=&quot]2013-10-20 [/FONT]
http://dailysmnews.com/asad-umers-engro-fined-in-urea-prices-scandal/

True that he is not scared of any thing
 
.
We will get a clear picture in the coming week - so far it's not good, he says that they are not here take away jobs, we all know the state of our institutions and yet they say this.

No recoveries from big defaulters/thieves, same old tactics of increasing rates of utility bills -- things will not going to be good for trader community in coming days.
 
.
ISLAMABAD: The Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP) has imposed a major penalty of Rs8.64 billion on Engro Fertiliser Limited (EFL) and the Fauji Fertiliser Company (FFC) for increasing urea prices to an unreasonable level, which led to a rise in food inflation in the country.

The CCP conducted a thorough inquiry into the matter after taking notice of rising trend in urea pries in December 2010.
The order has been conveyed to the two urea manufacturers over their abuse of dominant position in the market.
During the year of inquiry, the urea bag price surged by around 86pc from Rs850 to Rs1,580 and local urea production also increased.
The inquiry included an analysis of factors that could lead to increase in urea prices.
These factors are gas curtailment the most important issue as always raised by the urea manufacturers, said Rahat Kaunain Hassan, CCP chairperson on Tuesday.
The other factors considered by the CCP inquiry committee were input costs, profit margins, subsidies given by the government and other policy issues etc.
After the inquiry, show-cause notices were issued to all urea manufacturers and many hearings were held so that their point of view could be obtained, she said, adding, during the course of hearings, Fauji Fertiliser Company (FFC) acknowledged that the price rise was initiated by Engro Fertilisers Ltd (EFL) and the FFC was only price follower.
The CCP bench comprised CCP Chairperson and senior member Abdul Ghaffar.
The order noted that urea is an essential item, and the increase in urea prices directly hits food inflation which has gone up by around 45pc in five years. Incidentally the two companies FFC and the EFL had obtained Rs77bn subsidies in the past three years from the government to keep the prices at a reasonable level.
In 2011, the Fauji Fertiliser received Rs11bn in terms of subsidy while Engro Fertiliser obtained Rs4.5bn from the government.
The detailed order highlights that despite concerns of gas shortage, the profit of FFC increased from around Rs11bn in 2010 to Rs22.5bn in 2011.
Its return on investment (ROE) after a tax of 97.5pc was above the ROE after tax enjoyed by the undertakings in agro-based economies similar to Pakistan.
The ROE in urea business in India is capped at 12pc, whereas in the case of EFL, the CCP bench referred to a case of excessive pricing in Turkey.
The Turkish authorities had ruled in the case that dropping profits or even loss registered by any company does not imply that it cannot abuse its dominant position.
However, in 2011 the gross profits of EFL went up by more than 80pc from that in 2010. The CCP bench after hearing the urea companies decided to impose a maximum penalty on both EFL and FFC under the Competition Act.
This is 10pc of their individual turnover which comes to Rs3.14bn for EFL and Rs5.5bn for FFC.
The CCP also advised the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) that it is critical to conduct forensic cost audit of all urea companies by independent auditors in the interest of transparency.
[FONT=&quot]2013-10-20 [/FONT]
http://dailysmnews.com/asad-umers-engro-fined-in-urea-prices-scandal/

True that he is not scared of any thing

He has explained what happened in an interview. Post both sides of the story.
 
. . .
  • If they can curtail the top political level corruption, and manage the corruption of bureaucrats to a tolerable level, I hope they'll be fine
  • If they can employ all possible means to figure out how much taxes are avoided by which folks/institutions, and how much are lost in under-voicing/over-voicing of exports/imports and illegal remittance transfers, and take some corrective actions (recovery by 50-70%) it'll be a great plus
  • If they carry on common sense austerity along with reasonable restrictions on luxury items import, they are almost there to win some medals
  • If they make it 50-70% easier to do investment/business etc., Pak folks can say some special prayers
  • If they can indeed bring back some illegally laundered money from abroad, they deserve some statues
  • etc...
 
. .
He has explained what happened in an interview. Post both sides of the story.
I will take word of an institution rather than criminal also his case is still uder stay why he dont clear his name ?
 
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I will take word of an institution rather than criminal also his case is still uder stay why he dont clear his name ?

That institution was used by the. Government to blackmail.
 
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That institution was used by the. Government to blackmail.
Bother to read it was almost decade old case ,By the way Case is in court where Asad Umer hass taken Stay not Govt
 
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Bother to read it was almost decade old case ,By the way Case is in court where Asad Umer hass taken Stay not Govt

When that investigation of price fixing was launched, Asad Umar was not the CEO.

Maybe you missed that part.
 
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When that investigation of price fixing was launched, Asad Umar was not the CEO.

Maybe you missed that part.

Hazoor baat mannini woh elada baat hai ,Mager this is the history
https://pkpolitics.com/asad-umar-of-pti-robbed-the-farmers/

The Competition Commission of Pakistan slapped a record 3.14 Billion Rupees of penalty on Engro for artificially inflating the price of fertilizer, which affected the millions of poor farmers of Pakistan and in-directly creating food inflation for the nation.

Asad Umar was CEO of Engro Corporation for 7 years until 2012 and CCP found that Engro created cartel (Muk Muka) with Fauji Fertilizers in 2010-11 and increased the price up to 86% without any solid reason. Pakistan Army’s Fauji Fertilizer was also slapped with Rs. 5.5 Billion fine for price fixing.
 
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