The Day after Indian surgical strikes on Pakistan

[Ali.009]

The Day after Indian surgical strikes on Pakistan​

Mumbai: Intoxicated India deaf & blind to internal terror. Unable to introspect, resolve its huge race, caste & religious problems. So let us assume that India, overwhelmed by internal pressure and and external OK decides to send sorties to attack Pakistan.What will happen the day after. There are various options available to India. It can send aircraft to bomb suspected targets in Azad Kashmir or even Southern Punjab. It can shoot missiles on Pakistani territory or it can launch a cross border raid into Pakistan. It can block the Karachi port with the Indian Navy or it can send guerillas into Pakistan. It can also send armed bandits based into Pakistan to bomb or blow up the centers of the Jama ud Dawa etc.

The easiest for the Indian Air Force would be an attack on Azad Kashmir. Indian Sus and Migs could take off from the new Indian Airforce base in Ladakh and before the Pakistani jets could scramble the jets would have crossed the Cease Fire Line. Pakistan at this juncture has several options. As the radars identify the planes, the PAG could try to tangle the IAF in dogfights. A simpler response would be to fire Surface to Air Missiles (SAMs).

NEW YORK, Dec 7: President-elect Barack Obama offered guarded praise for the actions of President Asif Ali Zardari in the aftermath of Mumbai bombings saying “he has sent the right signals”, and expressed hope for establishing “close, effective working relationship”.

In an interview with NBC News for the ‘Meet The Press’ programme on Sunday, Mr Obama was asked about President Zardari’s response to the terrorist attacks in India. He said: “Thus far, President Zardari has sent the right signals. He’s indicated that he recognises this is not just a threat to the United States but is a threat to Pakistan, as well.”
Mr Obama also observed: “There was a bombing in Pakistan just yesterday that killed scores of people. And so you’re seeing greater and greater terrorist activity inside Pakistan.”

“I think this democratically elected government understands that threat, and I hope that in the coming months that we are going to be able to establish the kind of close, effective working relationship that makes both countries safer,” Mr Obama said. Zardari sent right signals after attacks, says Obama By Masood Haider

The Pakistani response to this attack has already been thought out.Pakistan would proportionally respond with a little bit of a bonus. So if the Indian IAF bombs or strafes targets in Mirpur, Pakistan would reciprocate with attacks on Halvara Adampur or Jamnagar air bases. The PAF has the capability to bomb the Indian Air Force bases with planes–F-16s, MIGs or JJ-17 Thunders. However a safer response would be with Hataf III and Halatf iV missiles with a few cruise missiles thrown in for good measure. If India escalated the war, Pakistan would also escalate ’till the nuclear threshold would be reached.

He declined to weigh in with any great detail on the aftermath of the bombings in Mumbai.

He said he expected his national security team – including Hillary Clinton whom he’s designated as secretary of state, and Robert Gates who will remain defence chief – to come up with a “comprehensive strategy” for dealing with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the threat of terrorism.

Mr Obama said he still wanted to refocus military strategy on Afghanistan from Iraq. The US should proceed with plans to draw down US forces in Iraq as “quickly as we can to maintain stability in Iraq”.
“We have to have more effective military action” in Afghanistan, he said.

That includes adding more US troops, greater coordination with the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation and more vigorous diplomacy in the region, he said.

On Iran, Obama said the US must “ratchet up tough but direct diplomacy” that will make clear “that their development of nuclear weapons would be unacceptable”.

Indian Gujarat woman raped, killed & burned by mobs along with 2000 other innocents under direction of Mr. Modi. The US has refused a via to Mr. Modi the Chief Minister of Gujarat supported by Governo Bobby Jindal.

If the Indian Airforce attacks targets in Azad Kashmir. Assuming that the Indian attack would be successful because the USA and a certain unmentioned Middle Eastern country helped the Indian Airforce, what would be the reality the next day in South Asia.

So what are the options that India can exercise in the aftermath of the Mumbai terror attack?

If the politicians are to be believed, there was a lot of sabre rattling at two meetings held by the government on Sunday, November 30 night. While the all-party meet called by the government was a more sedate affair, an earlier meeting organised exclusively for the UPA and its allies, held in Parliament was more telling. A representative of the Samajwadi Party is said to have suggested that this was a good time to “bomb Islamabad!”

Fine. Let’s bomb Islamabad, assuming we have the capability to do so and that the frontline aircraft of the Indian Air force are all serviceable, the MiG-21s ready to escort the bombers, and we can launch a full-scale military attack by penetrating the secure skies over Islamabad and then bomb it back to the stone age.

But are we really ready for a war?

Are we ready for the fallout when two nuclear nations go to war? Are we ready for destroying everything that we have built in the last decade and a half? Are we prepared for rolling back our consistent 9 percent growth story and undertake hardships that several generations of Indians have never seen?

All this must be weighed before we take on the job of rattling our sabres. We did that once, post December 13, 2001 attack on Parliament. What did we really achieve from that 11-month old stand off with the Pakistanis? We stood on the border and they stood on the border, eyeball to eyeball, and we finally sent the forces back to the bunkers after that. But not before we had spent something to the tune of Rs 6000 crores (the official figures put it at a much lower figure pegging it a few hundred crores) and lost many precious lives of our soldiers, who stepped on mines not mapped, or tried to clear mines with bare hands while our bureaucrats held back critical mine clearing equipment.

Our air force, sanctioned 39.5 combat squadrons, is down to 30 off squadrons, our armoured corps doesn’t have the tanks to roll in, our infantry is horribly tied up in counter-insurgency operations, our soldiers and officers are poorly paid and cheated in pay commission after pay commission, while we talk about “bombing Islamabad.”

The Indian attack would halt all Confidence Building Measures (CBMs) and peace making would come to a grinding halt. Pakistani doves like Naji, Haqqani and others would be swept away in the ensuing rage and Pakistani hawks would have the day. There is grave danger that the government of President Asif Zardari may fall. The TTP and others would stop all operations and the war on the Western front would come to a quick end. All forces would be moved to the Eastern front and Pakistan would be unable to provide the support and the supply chain to NATO and the US war in Afghanistan. With all caution thrown to the wind pro-Pakistani elements in Afghanistan would target Indian icons in Afghanistan.

If India attacked Pakistan, the US will be unable to fight the war in Afghanistan.

Why did Buddhism disappear from South Asia? Reviving Hinduism in Budhdist lands: The Hindu extremists use the Safron Swastika flag instead of the tri-colored flag of India. (see Hindu unity dot org)