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Taliban will take over Afghanistan in 2017: All 16 US Intelligence agencies predict

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US report predicts chaos in Afghanistan
Monday December 30, 2013

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Progress in Afghanistan over the past three years is likely to be seriously eroded by 2017 even if Western powers continue to support Kabul financially, the Washington Post has reported, citing an intelligence assessment.

A new National Intelligence Estimate, which includes input from 16 US intelligence agencies, predicts that the Taliban and other powerbrokers will increase their influence even if the United States leaves behind a few thousand troops and continues to fund authorities in Kabul, the Post said in its Sunday edition.

US-led NATO forces are withdrawing from Afghanistan after more than a decade of fighting the Taliban, but negotiations have stalled on a security accord that would allow some US and NATO troops to stay after 2014.

President Hamid Karzai first endorsed the deal, which lays out rules for US troops, and would be the basis for other NATO forces, but later said it might not be signed until after the April election that will choose his successor.

Signing the agreement is a precondition for the delivery of billions of dollars in Western aid for Afghanistan over the next years.

The Post, citing officials who have seen the intelligence report, said that Afghanistan will likely plunge into chaos if the security agreement is not signed.

"In the absence of a continuing presence and continuing financial support," the intelligence assessment "suggests the situation would deteriorate very rapidly," a US official familiar with the report told the Post, speaking on condition of anonymity.

However one official told the Post that the assessment was too pessimistic, and that there were too many variables to accurately predict Afghanistan's future.

Some officials also believe that Afghanistan's security forces are better prepared than the report states.

"I think what we're going to see is a recalibration of political power, territory and that kind of thing. It's not going to be an inevitable rise of the Taliban," a US official who thought the report was too negative told the Post.

The previous National Intelligence Estimate on Afghanistan came out three years ago, in December 2010. Such reports are typically produced ahead of major policy decisions.

US report predicts chaos in Afghanistan Al-Jazeera
 
That's not good, it's not about the allies. It's about the people whom the Taliban cannot deal with.

They don't know how to run a country and don't know how to respect people and be open minded with people and women.

This is why misinformed organizations do no good. Now you see properly educated organizations know how to govern and relate with the people.
 
Whats so surprising about that?? though i believe it might occur before 2017.
 
After more than decade of fighting things are not going the way US had planned.

Back to the drawing board I guess.
 
Yes they will come to power and rule Afghanistan. We all know that. It might happen before 2017. Maybe between 2015 to 2016.
So what now? Everyone knows it..
 
Taliban will be back and they will rule again and USA will be defeated and humiliated

Forget about US, they live 12000 kms away from Taliban, now it will be Pakistan alone to deal with them, trust me, even a good taliban is a very very bad thing to deal with.
 
Tali-barbarians are pretty much the last holdover from the decendents of ape-like humans.

They will be hunted and hounded for many years to come.

USA doesn't need huge amount of force to keep these baffoons on the run.

5-10K soldiers with air support will be good enough.

So Chaos in Afghanistan? Yes!

Takeover by Talibarbarians? NO!
 
pakistan should be worried.....less US presence means more load on Pak Army.....taliban is not friend of Pak any more....ex ISI sr. people and respected pak army personals are killed by taliban...
 
They should be defeated in both Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Though i believe Afghan national army is now strong enough to fight them
 
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