SCMP: Coronavirus: China’s first confirmed Covid-19 case traced back to November 17
- Thread starter Hamartia Antidote
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Menthol
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Nov 17: 1
Dec 15: 27
Dec 20: 60
Dec 31: 266
Based on this data, we can predict the coronavirus cases in others and our country...
Even after the lockdown, Wuhan still get additional tens of thousands cases.
You can already imagine...
I calculate and predict, the infected people are always 10x bigger than is being reported.
If there are 10 people are reported to be infected, then soon after it will become 100 people.
From 100 people, then 1000.
Assuming that on average one person will infect 10 persons.
Seeing the South Korea case, from just one person inside a church full of people, and today we get 7000 persons to get infected, maybe the number can be bigger if we include the public gathering factor.
Dec 15: 27
Dec 20: 60
Dec 31: 266
Based on this data, we can predict the coronavirus cases in others and our country...
Even after the lockdown, Wuhan still get additional tens of thousands cases.
You can already imagine...
I calculate and predict, the infected people are always 10x bigger than is being reported.
If there are 10 people are reported to be infected, then soon after it will become 100 people.
From 100 people, then 1000.
Assuming that on average one person will infect 10 persons.
Seeing the South Korea case, from just one person inside a church full of people, and today we get 7000 persons to get infected, maybe the number can be bigger if we include the public gathering factor.
Verve
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I'm toying with you!
Minimum 4.5m American deaths from pneumonia (caused by CoV19). How many would need to have pneumonia to achieve this 4.5m target? 25m or more?
Going rate is 20%>
@Hamartia Antidote
So explain how Ohio alone has more cases than the whole of China, in a much shorter timeframe especially if the virus took time getting to USA from Wuhan?
If USA was the starting point, how are all the other countries first patients coming from China
8 January
South Korea announced the first possible case of virus coming from China. The woman had spent time in Wuhan, China
13 January
Thailand witnessed the first confirmed case of 2019-nCoV. The affected 61-year-old Chinese woman, who is a resident of Wuhan
16 January
Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare that a 30-year-old male Chinese national had tested positive to 2019-nCoV. possibly had close contact with an affected person in Wuhan.
17 January
Thailand's second confirmed case was reported in a 74-year-old woman who arrived in Bangkok on a flight from Wuhan
20 January
Five attendees of an as-yet-unnamed private international sales company meeting of 109 attendees, 94 from overseas, held from 20–22 January at the Grand Hyatt Hotel, Singapore were diagnosed with the Wuhan coronavirus upon returning home: one from Malaysia, two from South Korea and two from Singapore.[92][93] One of the attendees was from Wuhan, China.
24 January
Nepal confirmed its first case, a student who returned from Wuhan.
25 January
A Chinese and a Sri Lankan suspected with the infection were admitted to a hospital in Sri Lanka.
Hamartia Antidote
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Don't forget ALL the US patients back then were either visiting Wuhan or on that cruiseship stuck off Japan. The reason they were stuck is because a Chinese passenger on the PREVIOUS cruise (jan 23-28) got so sick he checked into a hospital. Unfortunately he infected the ship and 10 people on the February cruise ended up quarantined. It then spiraled out of control.
If the Chinese acted quicker rather than try and hide this, then maybe the outbreak could have been contained to mainly Hubei province in China on the whole.
Some heads need to roll in Chinese government agencies over this.
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