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Sanctions Are Preventing India From Buying A Suite Of New Russian Weapons

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by Sebastien Roblin


Key point: The Indian Air Force needs new gear.


As we enter the 2020s, the Indian Air Force will continue to shrink in size to twenty-six out of a required forty-two squadrons due to retirements of aging Cold War Russian MiG-21 and MiG-27 jets.


While the IAF is mulling purchases of additional advanced Western jet fighter like the Dassault Rafale, Saab JAS 39 Gripen, the Lockheed F-21 or Boeing Super Hornet, it’s meanwhile turning to its long-running relationship with Moscow to patch up the growing gap in its air defenses—even if that means it risks running afoul of U.S. CAATSA sanctions imposed on countries that import Russian weapons.

While a companion article looks at major new arms purchases by the Indian Army and Navy from Russia, this piece will survey three different buys the Indian Air Force is making entering the 2020s to stem the bleeding away of its combat strength.

India is proceeding with the purchase of five regiments of S-400 surface-to-air missiles in a $5.43 billion, paid in Euros in order to bypass CAATSA sanctions. In 2019, New Delhi made a down payment worth $800 million, and initial deliveries will arrive in October 2020, with the order completed between in 2023 and 2025.

This come even after the U.S. kicked Turkey out of the F-35 program in the summer of 2019 for procuring S-400s from Russia—and has voiced its objections to the new deal. But real U.S. sanctions on India as building a closer defense relationship with New Delhi remains a priority in Washington.

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U.S. officials have refused to back down from threats to level CAATSA sanctions on India for the deal. But when the same official tells The Diplomat that there is “no blanket application” of CAATSA sanctions, one can sense the threat may have no teeth due to Washington’s eagerness to court Indian support in strategic competition with China.

Time will tell if that changes—particularly if Modi’s controversial policies threaten to cause India to lose support in U.S. Congress.


Su-30MKI Flankers

Arguably the chief striking power of the Indian Air Forces comes from its force of over 250 twin-engine Su-30MKI Flanker jets, tailored to support Indian weapons and avionics. (India’s new Rafale jets are more advanced, but much fewer in number.)

India’s Flankers are fast, extremely maneuverable due to their thrust-vector engines, and can carry formidable sensors and weapons, including the Brahmos supersonic cruise missile which can threaten both maritime and land targets from standoff distances.

However, Indian Su-30s have also suffered a fair number of technical problems and accidents in Indian service. Thus a new order to license-build twelve more Su-30MKIs is not about expanding the fleet, but replacing losses from accidents to maintain a total force of 272 aircraft.

MiG-29UPG Fulcrum

India also operates three squadrons of lighter-weight MiG-29UPG Fulcrum tactical fighters, upgraded with additional fuel stores, new radars, and modernized avionics and air-to-ground capabilities. The MiG-29 is highly agile but hasn’t been as successful abroad as the Flanker.

Nonetheless, India is following a lead on a Fulcrum bargain: twenty-one Soviet-era MiG-29 airframes that reportedly were never flown. India has reportedly verified the condition of the MiG-29, a wise move given a prior failed attempt to sell dilapidated MiG-29s to Algeria.

In a reportedly $847 million deal in order to fulfill an “urgent” operational requirement, MiG will upgrade the jets to the MiG-29 UPG standard and deliver them to India for $847 million over the next 18 months.

Though the MiG-29UPG is longer exactly a cutting-edge aircraft, the offer around $40 million per aircraft is about half the price of a new 4.5-generation jet, and thus represents a relatively cheap way for the IAF to quickly field an additional fighter squadron.

After all, twenty-six squadrons does not compare that well with to Pakistan’s twenty squadrons given the disparity between the two country’s populations—let alone China’s 1,700 combat aircraft

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/b...india-buying-suite-new-russian-weapons-133982
 
by Sebastien Roblin


Key point: The Indian Air Force needs new gear.

Su-30MKI Flankers... India’s Flankers are fast, extremely maneuverable due to their thrust-vector engines, and can carry formidable sensors and weapons...
Flawed argument there, Mr Roblin. The Su-30MKIs failed miserably with one being shot down along with a MiG-21 on the 27th Feb 2019, and along with highly upgraded Mirage 2000s, MiG-29s and MiG-21s. Hence why the rush to buy Rafales and $Billions worth more gear for IAF.
 
Made up news by that blog/tabloid again.

IAF has 30 squadrons and not 26, more importantly 19-20 of them are 4th gen compared to Pak's 10 plus IN has 2 more 4th gen squadrons. All of them except 3 Su-30 sqns are meant for Pak front

Flawed argument there, Mr Roblin. The Su-30MKIs failed miserably with one being shot down along with a MiG-21 on the 27th Feb 2019, and along with highly upgraded Mirage 2000s, MiG-29s and MiG-21s. Hence why the rush to buy Rafales and $Billions worth more gear for IAF.
Epic fail, No su-30 got even a scratch, even Pakistanis realize that now deep down.
 
Epic fail, No su-30 got even a scratch, even Pakistanis realize that now deep down.
Says you. Deep down Indian Air Force and Modi regime knows what really went down on the 27th Feb 2019. Need we remind you Modi's famous quote about Rafales as a result of that 27th incident?
 
Need we remind you Modi's famous quote about Rafales as a result of that 27th incident?
You interpreted it wrong.
Modi says he wanted Rafales because 2 Rafales could have easily shot down all 12 F-16s but to do that with Su-30s and Mirages you would need 12 of them.
 
You interpreted it wrong.
Modi says he wanted Rafales because 2 Rafales could have easily shot down all 12 F-16s but to do that with Su-30s and Mirages you would need 12 of them.
This is despite knowing PAF would retaliate and hence putting IAF on high alert?
 
#fakenewj
world cant impose sanctions on hindutava powa!

You interpreted it wrong.
Modi says he wanted Rafales because 2 Rafales could have easily shot down all 12 F-16s but to do that with Su-30s and Mirages you would need 12 of them.
you believe everything modi g farts?
 
You interpreted it wrong.
Modi says he wanted Rafales because 2 Rafales could have easily shot down all 12 F-16s...
Really, if you had 02 Rafales - you guys might have shot down an entire Squadron of yours instead of just a mere Mi-17.

Sorry, but your track record of 2019 is anything but perfect.

28 January: Jaguar crashed shortly after takeoff in Uttar Pradesh.

01 February: A Mirage 2000 crashed while on an acceptance sortie after being upgraded by state-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) killing both Pilots.

12 February: A MiG-27 crashed at the Pokhran firing range.

19 February: Two Hawk aircraft of Surya Kiran aerobatic team crashed after hitting each other mid-air during a rehearsal for the AeroIndia Show. One of the pilots was killed in the accident.

27 February: Pakistan shot down one MiG-21 Bison during an aerial fight after India violated the airspace.

27 February: a Mi-17 chopper was also downed in Budgam District in Indian Occupied Kashmir killing all six on board.

08 March: A MiG-21 (Bison) crashed near Bikaner, western Rajasthan, due to a Bird strike, the pilot ejected safely.

31 March: A MiG-27 (UPG) crashed in Sirohi, Rajasthan, the pilot ejected safely.

03 June: An-32 crashed in Arunachal Pradesh. All 13 declared dead.

08 August: Su-30Mki crash in Tezpur. Both pilots ejected safely.

16 November: MiG-29K crashed in Goa soon after it took off for a training mission. Both the pilots managed to eject safely from the aircraft.

Note: I left out the Su-30Mki on the 27th so not hurt your feelings.
 
You interpreted it wrong.
Modi says he wanted Rafales because 2 Rafales could have easily shot down all 12 F-16s but to do that with Su-30s and Mirages you would need 12 of them.
Lol I love all these mental gymnastics u guys have to do...

So if according to u...IAF needed 12 Su30 and Mirages to shoot down 12 F16s...what stopped u? Don't u have numerical superiority? Can't wait for the reply :pop:
 
India should have flown all the 272 'mini awacs' on 27th Feb, maybe they overestimated their Bisons or were just scared to loose all
 

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