Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

[Viet]

What kind of logic is that, we are talking about millions of people's lives and you are talking about hooligans and rapist propaganda. Just too much senseless white trash talk pretending to be a viet.

What “white” trash? What has a war with do with skin color? You begin to speak like a racist.

 

[Apollon]

Ukraine has by now lost almost 80% of it's coast line to Russia which is a very bad news for them.... They are into a risk of loosing entire coast line to Russia and become a landlocked country..... Sea access is an opening for any maritime country to a globe..... You loose sea access you loose as a nation....

Doubtful that Russia is able to take Odessa

Looks like Russia can keep this up for a long time:

Russia's January-April current account surplus more than triples to $96 billion

Russia ran a current account surplus of $95.8 billion in the first four months of 2022, up from $27.5 billion in the same period last year, central bank data showed on Monday.

www.reuters.com

So can we.

 

[The SC]

 

[A.P. Richelieu]

So you finally agree with me about Libya and Iraq war and what it was all bout. Only that it took you some days to admit it.

I agree that some people need to draw conclusions from the wars.

 

[MeFishToo]

You think EU has the choice? You are deluding yourself. If they have a choice , the question wouldn't even ask plus they have a big partner called China.

The west have made a choice to distance iiself from Russia. It may hurt the economy, but thats a price most EU countries seems to accept. Demanding payment in rubles is just making it easier for the countries who doesnt need years in order to make the shift from russian energy supplies, because they are now legally allowed to leave long term contracts.

Me personally, I dont mind China buying all the russian gas and oil. Democracies shouldnt be financing a fascist regime threatening a nuclear response while invading a neighbor. China is not a democracy, so go ahead.

 

[A.P. Richelieu]

There's alot of hope and hubris in your statements. If Russia was so weak, why doesn't NATO declare no fly zone or send in military forces, and or attck Russia directly? Russia has Nukes. North Korea and Iran has survived years after Sanctions, Why wouldn't Russia survive? Russia has complete industrial manufacturing defense supply chain, tanks will be rolling off the assembly line as we speak. The hard part is training, logistics, and tactical integration. Ukraine has no offensive capabilities because NATO would not send offensive weapons (WWIII if offensive attack on Russia). Realistically, Ukrainian Army are not designed for offensive intrusions. As for the 1.2 trillion defense budget, 70% is to pay salaries, and the rest is just inflated fiat currency #s. US capabilities are overwhelming and global, but against nuclear power like Russia, its useless. Poor Ukrainians are the cannon fodder, stop spreading lies to justify senseless sacrifice of Ukrainian civilian + military personnel lives as well as Russian soldiers in this senseless proxy war that's cratering the entire global financial markets right now. Eurozone inflation is already at 8% in germany, like 16% in Lithuania and that's using funny math. US inflation also hitting 8.6%, US deficit is 30 trillion and every dollar spend in Ukraine will have to borrow from somewhere, most likely from China and Japan. Eurozone deficit isn't any better, so as banks globally are raising interest rates. Tax payers from G7 eventually have to pay for the war in Ukraine + interest to China...Let that sink in a bit, rather than spending money to better your own country, you rather pay china and Ukrainians. Lets see how well this plays out. Talk is cheap, I am sure we will see the answers by beginning of next year, so good luck with that.

NATO is a defensive alliance, haven’t you heard?
It has been in the news for months that Russia has stopped production of tanks because they cannot get hold of western electronic components.

 

[MeFishToo]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528143626823426048

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528140359372529664

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528091873197309952

️EXCLUSIVE NEWS️
Assault on the outskirts of Kamyshevakhi by the forces of the Russian Marine Corps

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528075200557944833

The “mining of women and children” is obviously a russian propaganda setup meant to justify its invasion. I dont understand why you repost such disinformation. Its not like the internet isnt flooded with it already.

 

[jhungary]

Looks like Russia can keep this up for a long time:

Russia's January-April current account surplus more than triples to $96 billion

Russia ran a current account surplus of $95.8 billion in the first four months of 2022, up from $27.5 billion in the same period last year, central bank data showed on Monday.

www.reuters.com

96 billions in 3 months (4 depends on how they count from Jan-April) is really bad, actually considering this war is costing Russia upward to 25 billions a month, there aren't much Russian can spend on anything else (4/5 of that surplus goes into this war, and not counting the replacement equipment cost.) That surplus have to go into the country as well, not just everything is going to this war.

Fighting a war ain't cheap, and especially when you are fighting alone, and when you lost the ability of borrow money for it.

Also, a lot of those money are from selling asset Russia know they are going to be sanction or confiscated. If you want to look at the number, look at the next quarter and that will paint a more realistic picture,

 

[MeFishToo]

96 billions in 3 months (4 depends on how they count from Jan-April) is really bad, actually considering this war is costing Russia upward to 25 billions a month, there aren't much Russian can spend on anything else (4/5 of that surplus goes into this war, and not counting the replacement equipment cost.) That surplus have to go into the country as well, not just everything is going to this war.

Fighting a war ain't cheap, and especially when you are fighting alone, and when you lost the ability of borrow money for it.

Also, a lot of those money are from selling asset Russia know they are going to be sanction or confiscated. If you want to look at the number, look at the next quarter and that will paint a more realistic picture,

According to the pro-russians, Russia can not fail. Judging from some of the posts here, Russia practically rules the world and hold the power to eigther starve, freeze or nuke us all to death.

 

[jhungary]

According to the pro-russians, Russia can not fail. Judging from some of the posts here, Russia practically rules the world and hold the power to eigther starve, freeze or nuke us all to death.

This war is costing Russia a lot, you can't really fight a war without money, this is where the West is hurting the Russian at the moment, the longer the war drag on, the more money Russia have to burn to keep the fighting going, Russian war chest is going to run out in 3 to 5 months time, by then if Russia still have no made significant inroad, unless they fancy sending only troop in Ukraine with their AK, they would either have to stop or have some other backer finance the war, namely China.

 

[SalarHaqq]

The link simply confirms that Incendiary Weapons fall under the treaty of Incendiary Weapons.

It is explicit about the fact that white phosphorous can be used as an incendiary weapon and will then squarely fall under the restrictions regulating the latter.

”If munitions containing white phosphorous are used to mark military targets or to spread smoke then their use is regulated by the basic rules of international humanitarian law.”

I.E., they are not subject to the treaty on Incendiary Weapons.

White phosphorous containing munitions qualify as incendiary weapons if deliberately fired against military or civilian targets.

As unequivocally explained by the ICRC:

"using white phosphorous as an incendiary weapon"
"the use of such white phosphorus weapons against any military objective within concentrations of civilians is prohibited"
"particular care must be taken when attacking a military target with incendiary weapons containing white phosphorous"
"the fact that international humanitarian law does not specifically prohibit white phosphorous weapons does not imply that any specific use of weapons containing this substance is legal"
"It may be legal or not, depending on a variety of factors"

There's no ambiguity in there, nor room for wordplay.

 

[Viet]

Study shows money lost from the companies leaving Russia amounts to 45% of GDP​

Research from Yale shows that companies exiting Russia are taking with them revenues equal to almost half of Russia's GDP.
By Sebastian Shehadi

Western companies withdrawing from Russia, such as H&M and Zara, have cost the country's economy dear. (Photo by Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images)


Academics at the Yale School of Management have found that revenue drawn from the (near) 1,000 companies curtailing or ending operations in Russia is equivalent to approximately 45% of Russia’s gross domestic product (GDP).

“This is an approximation, so note that some companies, such as Pepsi, are continuing some sales in Russia but have pulled back on others, so it is impossible to say that every dollar from that 45% is now lost,” explains Steven Tian, research director at the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute. “Nonetheless, the sum is staggering and really emphasises the magnitude of this business withdrawal.”

Tian is part of the Yale team that has produced the definitive, go-to list of companies withdrawing or staying in Russia, which is still being updated at time of writing.

Study shows money lost from the companies leaving Russia amounts to 45% of GDP

Research from Yale shows that companies exiting Russia are taking with them revenues equal to almost half of Russia's GDP.

www.investmentmonitor.ai

 

[Vergennes]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528306709244039168

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528326529700200448

 

[Viet]

This war is costing Russia a lot, you can't really fight a war without money, this is where the West is hurting the Russian at the moment, the longer the war drag on, the more money Russia have to burn to keep the fighting going, Russian war chest is going to run out in 3 to 5 months time, by then if Russia still have no made significant inroad, unless they fancy sending only troop in Ukraine with their AK, they would either have to stop or have some other backer finance the war, namely China.

the Chinese are paranoid they believe they will be next target. Xi will step in to finance this Russian war. With $3 trillion forex from China Putin can continue this crusade against Ukraine for 10 years.

 

[wahhab0202]

I don't this is true. If it is then it
Must hilarious.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1528157391384199170