At first it seemed Russia didnt consider a diplomatic solution and had expansionist aims so Ukraine was like the victim.But later on officials like Merkel admitted firsthand that Minsk was a joke for them to rearm Ukraine for an attack. It was meant to be disregarded as junk and trust of Russia to the European collegues was used to decieve Russia. During 8 years of armement Russia could do this much before as Ukraine was much less prepared. Also Ukraine leadership tries to spread this conflict to other areas like Georgia Iran etc. Their insistance on Crimea was also outside influenced to push and trigger Russia as much as possible. There are examples of this issue like Kosovo that was solved with a referandum. In these conditions supporting Ukraine is like supporting a continious war that has no end planned.
I am pro peace and hopeful for the Chinese proposal. It may involve Minsk like items which were signed back then and were used to trick Russia now taken seriously to reintegrate parts of Ukraine back according to a timetable. First Zaporijia then Kherson if it is fully complied by Ukraine within several years. In return sanctions can be gradually lifted on Russia and gradually their assets can be given back. Later on after several years I think Russia can also accept Donetsk to erase all sanctions and restart with Europe if the agreement is taken seriously this time unlike Minsk 2. Itegration cannot happen immediately but timely with security guarantees for both sides that is for sure.All integrated zones and Ukraine controlled middle regions east of Dnieper needs to be demilitarized gradually. Police forces from local population tied to central admin can provide security.
Also a buffer monitoring zone along the contact line starting from Kinburn spit all the way to the east is necessary that consist of Chinese and some European troops to track the ceasefire. Demilitarised zones are necessary with a middle buffer zone along the contact line tracking demilitarization of both sides by drones etc. Although Ukraine can station soldiers only to border areas like Sumy Chernihiv making middle areas demilitarized like Poltava Dnipro Kharkiv(border zone can remain) they may not accept total demilitarized zone east of Dnieper. That is like total retreat and open to immediate capture from Russia unless some security guarantee is given to Ukraine. Lets see the discussions about the proposal next week.
I am pro peace and hopeful for the Chinese proposal. It may involve Minsk like items which were signed back then and were used to trick Russia now taken seriously to reintegrate parts of Ukraine back according to a timetable. First Zaporijia then Kherson if it is fully complied by Ukraine within several years. In return sanctions can be gradually lifted on Russia and gradually their assets can be given back. Later on after several years I think Russia can also accept Donetsk to erase all sanctions and restart with Europe if the agreement is taken seriously this time unlike Minsk 2. Itegration cannot happen immediately but timely with security guarantees for both sides that is for sure.All integrated zones and Ukraine controlled middle regions east of Dnieper needs to be demilitarized gradually. Police forces from local population tied to central admin can provide security.
Also a buffer monitoring zone along the contact line starting from Kinburn spit all the way to the east is necessary that consist of Chinese and some European troops to track the ceasefire. Demilitarised zones are necessary with a middle buffer zone along the contact line tracking demilitarization of both sides by drones etc. Although Ukraine can station soldiers only to border areas like Sumy Chernihiv making middle areas demilitarized like Poltava Dnipro Kharkiv(border zone can remain) they may not accept total demilitarized zone east of Dnieper. That is like total retreat and open to immediate capture from Russia unless some security guarantee is given to Ukraine. Lets see the discussions about the proposal next week.