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Report: Chinese Wages Now Higher Than In Brazil, Argentina And Mexico

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Report: Chinese Wages Now Higher Than In Brazil, Argentina And Mexico

2017 February 27 07:34 By Steve Johnson
http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001071536/en
https://www.ft.com/content/f4a260e6-f75a-11e6-bd4e-68d53499ed71


Average wages in China’s manufacturing sector have soared above those in countries such as Brazil and Mexico and are fast catching up with Greece and Portugal after a decade of breakneck growth that has seen Chinese pay packets treble.

Across China’s labour force as a whole, hourly incomes now exceed those in every major Latin American state apart from Chile, and are at around 70 per cent of the level in weaker eurozone countries, according to data from Euromonitor International, a research group.

The figures indicate the progress China has made in improving the living standards of its 1.4bn people, with some analysts arguing that increases in productivity could push manufacturing wages even further beyond what are traditionally seen as middle-income countries. But the fast-rising wage levels mean China could also start to lose jobs to other developing countries willing to undercut it.

The data also highlight the problems facing Latin America, where wages have stagnated and sometimes fallen in real terms, and Greece, where average hourly wages have more than halved since 2009, according to Euromonitor.

“It’s remarkable how well China has done compared to everybody else,” said Charles Robertson, global chief economist at Renaissance Capital, an investment bank focused on emerging markets. “It’s converging with the west when so many other emerging markets haven’t.

Average hourly wages in China’s manufacturing sector trebled between 2005 and 2016 to $3.60, according to Euromonitor, while during the same period manufacturing wages fell from $2.90 an hour to $2.70 in Brazil, from $2.20 to $2.10 in Mexico, and from $4.30 to $3.60 in South Africa.

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Chinese wages also outstripped Argentina, Colombia and Thailand during the same time, as the country integrated more closely into the global economy after its 2001 admission into the World Trade Organisation.

We have seen pretty explosive wage growth in China since the period of joining the WTO,” said Alex Wolf, senior emerging markets economist at Standard Life Investments.

Euromonitor compiled its data from information provided by the International Labour Organisation, Eurostat and national statistics agencies, subsequently converting them to dollar terms and adjusting for inflation. But the data do not take into account differing costs of living.

The rise in Chinese manufacturing income contrasts with the decline in other countries — such as Argentina and Brazil. Even in India, which has seen rapid economic growth, manufacturing wages have flatlined since 2007 at just $0.70 an hour.

Manufacturing wages in Portugal have plunged from $6.30 an hour to $4.50 last year, bringing wage levels below those in parts of eastern Europe and only leaving them 25 per cent higher than in China.

Manufacturing workers in China are among the better paid in a country where wage distribution is becoming increasingly unequal. But income levels are rising across the economy as a whole, with the Chinese average wage for all sectors increasing from $1.50 in 2005 to $3.30 last year. That level is higher than average wages for Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Thailand and the Philippines.

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Oru Mohiuddin, strategy analyst at Euromonitor, noted that Chinese workers’ productivity levels had risen even faster than their salaries. “You have to put [the wage inflation] in context,” she said. “Manufacturers will still benefit from being in China.”

The size of China’s domestic market is likely to help the country’s manufacturing workers, despite rising labour costs. “Across a range of sectors China will account for 20 per cent of the market by 2020, similar to North America and western Europe,” said Ms Mohiuddin.

She added that given such a market share was far ahead of India’s 4.8 per cent and Brazil’s 3.3 per cent, “it makes sense for [manufacturers] to be based in China”.

But Mr Robertson of Renaissance Capital noted that the ageing of China’s population, and the expected reduction of working age people, could lead to higher wage pressure in coming years.
 
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The size of China’s domestic market is likely to help the country’s manufacturing workers, despite rising labour costs. “Across a range of sectors China will account for 20 per cent of the market by 2020, similar to North America and western Europe,” said Ms Mohiuddin.

She added that given such a market share was far ahead of India’s 4.8 per cent and Brazil’s 3.3 per cent, “it makes sense for [manufacturers] to be based in China”.

Domestic consumption is very strong in China.
 
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Domestic consumption is very strong in China.

Indeed!

China accounted for a third of ALL smartphone sales in the world in 2016.

In fact, India sells around a fourth of the smartphones relative to China, and still China's growth rate in 2016 was higher than India!

I must say, being the factory of the world, makes Chinese consumption and access to basic goods actually higher than what its GDP per capita may suggest.
 
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high wage is not an issue at all, not even $3.60 per hour in China. the most important metric is the balance between productivity and wage. the company makes profit if the productivity per hour per worker is higher than wage per hour. giving an example. in Germany, it costs a company in manufacturing sector 38 euro per hour per worker. is it an issue? not at all. the employment rate of Germany is rising in the last 10 years. ok, I admit the wage remains flat over the period.

another example. if my company sends me to a customer to do some engineering thing, it charges the customer at least 120 euro per hour. is it a problem for my company to pay me 50 euro per hour? not at all.
 
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Indeed!

China accounted for a third of ALL smartphone sales in the world in 2016.

In fact, India sells around a fourth of the smartphones relative to China, and still China's growth rate in 2016 was higher than India!

I must say, being the factory of the world, makes Chinese consumption and access to basic goods actually higher than what its GDP per capita may suggest.

500 million smart phones....totally crazy here....
Nearly every show on TV is sponsored by either VIVO, Gionee, or OPPO.

 
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high wage is not an issue at all, not even $3.60 per hour in China. the most important metric is the balance between productivity and wage. the company makes profit if the productivity per hour per worker is higher than wage per hour. giving an example. in Germany, it costs a company in manufacturing sector 38 euro per hour per worker. is it an issue? not at all. the employment rate of Germany is rising in the last 10 years. ok, I admit the wage remains flat over the period.

another example. if my company sends me to a customer to do some engineering thing, it charges the customer at least 120 euro per hour. is it a problem for my company to pay me 50 euro per hour? not at all.
Besides productivity, there is another thing that makes high wage less important: scale effect. China owns it.
 
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Average wages in China’s manufacturing sector have soared above those in countries such as Brazil and Mexico and are fast catching up with Greece and Portugal after a decade of breakneck growth that has seen Chinese pay packets treble.
at around 70 per cent of the level in weaker eurozone countries
These so-called "middle-income" regions lack capital-intensive, high-tech and heavy industries, it's meaningless to use them as benchmarks. They have insignificant or even non-existent steel/metallurgical, chemical, machinery, machine tool, robotics, optical, maritime, aerospace, electronics, semiconductor, energy/power and such industries. For better comparison, China manufacturing wages (even taken into account of suppressed currency) are still behind equally industrialized peers in East Asia, it will take a decade or so to close the gap.
Chinese workers’ productivity levels had risen even faster than their salaries
Productivity is the key to drive wage growth, past present and future.
 
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A health growth of wage is the outcome of economic growth, which in turn provides the demand for more high valued products. it is still a long way to be equivalent to the east asia or western standard. :yahoo:
 
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Besides productivity, there is another things that makes high wage less important: scale effect. China owns it.
  1. High productivity of workers, good vocational skills.
  2. Largest filer of tech patents.
  3. Complete portfolio of industries, each and every has massive scale of economy, that provides convenient supply chain to any single industry.
  4. Comprehensive infra for easy and low-cost logistics.
 
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  1. High productivity of workers, good vocational skills.
  2. Largest filer of tech patents.
  3. Complete portfolio of industries, each and every has massive scale of economy, that provides convenient supply chain to any single industry.
  4. Comprehensive infra for easy and low-cost logistics.
Logistics cost in China is still not low enough compared to many competitive countries.
Modernisation of logistics in every province is paramount,especially in the resources-rich West.

乱云飞渡——大宁河大桥。摄影:李民生(高速集团供图) 图片来自大渝网.jpg
 
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Besides productivity, there is another things that makes high wage less important: scale effect. China owns it.
Correct. There is a difference in cost per unit if you produce 1 million or 100 million smartphones.
 
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These so-called "middle-income" regions lack capital-intensive, high-tech and heavy industries, it's meaningless to use them as benchmarks. They have insignificant or even non-existent steel/metallurgical, chemical, machinery, machine tool, robotics, optical, maritime, aerospace, electronics, semiconductor, energy/power and such industries. For better comparison, China manufacturing wages (even taken into account of suppressed currency) are still behind equally industrialized peers in East Asia, it will take a decade or so to close the gap.

Productivity is the key to drive wage growth, past present and future.
When you manufacture DJI drones and Melbourne suburban trains in China, wages are the least important thing.
But for clothes, wages are quite important.
The higher we climb the manufacturing chain, the higher wages we receive.

 
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Indeed!

China accounted for a third of ALL smartphone sales in the world in 2016.

In fact, India sells around a fourth of the smartphones relative to China, and still China's growth rate in 2016 was higher than India!

I must say, being the factory of the world, makes Chinese consumption and access to basic goods actually higher than what its GDP per capita may suggest.
higher wage is only acceptable if you can make something other can´t. Sure the amount of smartphones you produce matters, because it lowers the cost per unit but that picture can change overnight. If you just make simple things today, you will end as loser tomorrow. Why my company pays me with a high wage if it can employ someone else that costs less? There are ten of thousands of engineers out there, from eastern or western europe, from China, India and who knows maybe Brazil that are willing to accept even a third of my salary? Because I do something other don't. my company never wastes a second in thinking to look for a cheaper alternative.

there are lots of countries that are trapped and can never reach high income status, because they produce replaceable stuffs, that can be produced cheaper by others.
 
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Here in Pakistan labour is cheap 12,000 for non skilled labour per month with 6 working days in a week
12000/108 = $ 111 per month or 24 working days assumption = 4.625$ per day or 0.57 $ per hour (8 hr working)
 
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there are lots of countries that are trapped and can never reach high income status, because they produce replaceable stuffs, that can be produced cheaper by others.
Good point. China won't be trapped because unlike other developing countries China is very competitive in education and science as well.
 
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