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PTI will win 90 seats from Punjab: Shafqat Mehmood

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This is when you should start charging tax on day dreaming.
Last time PTI won 6 odd seats from Punjab ( or North Punjab ), I don't remember.
I would say it will be a feat if they manage 30 odd seats from North Punjab given the govt machinery, dirty noon league tactics and PPP against them.
 
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Many people have absolutely no clue about the politics of Punjab and many who claim to speak for the entire province of 110 million and say they are from here are also deluded.

The dynamics are very different and range extremely differently from northern Punjab, central Punjab and south Punjab.
Slogans like establishment, mujhe kyo nikala and corruption and incompetence play little role in these dynamics.

People vote from electables to party.

I will give you an example. Imran khan despite his grand jalsas in Punjab struggles to get NA seats and PP seats in Punjab. Why? If you look at the above statement you will come to know why.

He had no electables.
He had a new party which had no history in Punjab against a strong N party which cemented over there.

I read an article the Gallup survey head was talking about the dynamics of votes in Punjab and he was saying the exact same thing. 85% people who voted vote on party lines rather than leader lines and among these 85% are people who vote for electables.

Then we also need to see that PMLN development focus also centers central and northern Punjab.


90 seats in Punjab means that PTI will penetrate the fortress of N and capture it.

In 2008 PPP rode upon the death of benazir Bhutto and it was beyond emotional and beyond devastating and every electable was going to ppp but despite everything ppp was simply able to dent N at central and northern Punjab. N still held the reigns of power over there.

Its not easy to win this many seats in Punjab. Any party that does that has effectively taken Punjab and will be ruling Punjab and from there federal for a long time.

You simply cannot ignore grass root dynamics.

My guess would be Imran winning 35-40 seats from Punjab would be an amazing achievement and would be considered a severe dent to N.


Dekhtay hain. All will be clear on the night of 25th July.

@Zibago @Irfan Baloch what do you think about the electoral dynamics of Punjab and how many seats can pti secure in Punjab.
 
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electable only exist in south punjab not in north and central.

Nawaz will clean sweep north and central. Anti-army sentiment is all time high in punjab because of terrorism imposed on province for wrong policies.

Only mistake nawaz made was bring mumbai attacks. But people will forget about it soon. He should stick with anti-army narrative and he will win.
ah yes, a dreams of a patvaari! :enjoy:
 
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electable only exist in south punjab not in north and central.

Nawaz will clean sweep north and central. Anti-army sentiment is all time high in punjab because of terrorism imposed on province for wrong policies.

Only mistake nawaz made was bring mumbai attacks. But people will forget about it soon. He should stick with anti-army narrative and he will win.
if people are really anti army as you say, than i predict Pakistan will break, as in my opinion army is the strongest federation symbol and sentiments against it in the largest province would mean total diasastour

yes i agree northern punjab PML N will win decent seats but it has lost southern punjab

My guess would be Imran winning 35-40 seats from Punjab would be an amazing achievement and would be considered a severe dent to N.


Dekhtay hain. All will be clear on the night of 25th July.

@Zibago @Irfan Baloch what do you think about the electoral dynamics of Punjab and how many seats can pti secure in Punjab.
1. assuming election are fair, who knows how much part army will be playing
2. northern punjab/central punjab PML N won 98 out 105 of seats with 47 of these in urban areas(lahore, sialkot)..i dont know whats the sentiment in urban educated areas, from my friends it seems it still PMLN
3. southern punajb is PTI, it has 40 seats
4. so PTI is going to win in KPK (~35)and southern punjab(~30), may be dent PM LN in central punjab(10-20) a bit so key for PTI to form a comfortable lead to form govt is somewhere else, may be in karachi ?

otherwise i am goign to see a PML and PPPP colation
 
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if people are really anti army as you say, than i predict Pakistan will break, as in my opinion army is the strongest federation symbol and sentiments against it in the largest province would mean total diasastour

yes i agree northern punjab PML N will win decent seats but it has lost southern punjab


1. assuming election are fair, who knows how much part army will be playing
2. northern punjab/central punjab PML N won 98 out 105 of seats with 47 of these in urban areas(lahore, sialkot)..i dont know whats the sentiment in urban educated areas, from my friends it seems it still PMLN
3. southern punajb is PTI, it has 40 seats
4. so PTI is going to win in KPK (~35)and southern punjab(~30), may be dent PM LN in central punjab(10-20) a bit so key for PTI to form a comfortable lead to form govt is somewhere else, may be in karachi ?

otherwise i am goign to see a PML and PPPP colation
people across Pakistan love the army...
 
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Haha anti army narrative high in punjab hahaha good joke 3000 dihari wala banda hi ye baat kar sakta hy :D
if people are really anti army as you say, than i predict Pakistan will break, as in my opinion army is the strongest federation symbol and sentiments against it in the largest province would mean total diasastour

yes i agree northern punjab PML N will win decent seats but it has lost southern punjab


1. assuming election are fair, who knows how much part army will be playing
2. northern punjab/central punjab PML N won 98 out 105 of seats with 47 of these in urban areas(lahore, sialkot)..i dont know whats the sentiment in urban educated areas, from my friends it seems it still PMLN
3. southern punajb is PTI, it has 40 seats
4. so PTI is going to win in KPK (~35)and southern punjab(~30), may be dent PM LN in central punjab(10-20) a bit so key for PTI to form a comfortable lead to form govt is somewhere else, may be in karachi ?

otherwise i am goign to see a PML and PPPP colation

He is known for switching sides and making shit up do you really believe this clown?

In Punjab outside the certain urban quarters what matters is local realities, biradris and religion no one votes on policies in the rural areas or the semi urban areas we keep forgetting only 10% of Pakistanis have done matric they dont understand the kiyon nikala or corruption narrative
@saiyan0321
 
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lol, these stupid potis forget that its people who vote and they will not vote for pro establishment party. Anti-army sentiment in punjab is very high right now.
Do u remember majority of men and officer of army are from north and central punjab now count there influence on there families and friends .
Jehlum , gujrat , islamabad , mianwali, to some extant rawalpindi and attock are gone to pti .
If u want to see pti support in north punjab just see jehlum which is majorly rural area fawad ch lost by election only by 2k votes and he got more than 85k votes which is not a joke.
I do agree central is going to be tough match for pti but northern and southern are where pti gonna gain alot.
 
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if people are really anti army as you say, than i predict Pakistan will break, as in my opinion army is the strongest federation symbol and sentiments against it in the largest province would mean total diasastour

yes i agree northern punjab PML N will win decent seats but it has lost southern punjab


1. assuming election are fair, who knows how much part army will be playing
2. northern punjab/central punjab PML N won 98 out 105 of seats with 47 of these in urban areas(lahore, sialkot)..i dont know whats the sentiment in urban educated areas, from my friends it seems it still PMLN
3. southern punajb is PTI, it has 40 seats
4. so PTI is going to win in KPK (~35)and southern punjab(~30), may be dent PM LN in central punjab(10-20) a bit so key for PTI to form a comfortable lead to form govt is somewhere else, may be in karachi ?

otherwise i am goign to see a PML and PPPP colation

Yes anti-army sentiments are all time high. Reasons are afghani terrorism imposed on punjab.

People saying braderis lol their influence have been reduced to nothing in north and central punjab. Rural areas in north and central punjab are essentially semi-urban types compared to rest of the Pakistan with huge diversity. @Zibago is likely confusing Azad Kashmir backward political dynamics with that of punjab.

People are sick of terrorism and will vote for Nawaz again.

Do u remember majority of men and officer of army are from north and central punjab now count there influence on there families and friends .
Jehlum , gujrat , islamabad , mianwali, to some extant rawalpindi and attock are gone to pti .
If u want to see pti support in north punjab just see jehlum which is majorly rural area fawad ch lost by election only by 2k votes and he got more than 85k votes which is not a joke.
I do agree central is going to be tough match for pti but northern and southern are where pti gonna gain alot.

haha gone to PTI, wake up before randi rona of dhandli start again. See latest gallup pool results.

I just hope we don't waste another 5 years in dharnas. Let N league work this time. And IK should retire from politics.
 
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Yes anti-army sentiments are all time high. Reasons are afghani terrorism imposed on punjab.

People saying braderis lol their influence have been reduced to nothing in north and central punjab. Rural areas in north and central punjab are essentially semi-urban types compared to rest of the Pakistan with huge diversity. @Zibago is likely confusing Azad Kashmir backward political dynamics with that of punjab.

People are sick of terrorism and will vote for Nawaz again.



haha gone to PTI, wake up before randi rona of dhandli start again. See latest gallup pool results.
Do u wanna know the truth of these surveys ?
Sabb biko maal hai wether they are supporting or opposing pti or pml n or whatever . I know there way of working , who ever throws them more money they support them.
Anyways pti forming gov or not but there's no kiyani this time.
 
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