PML-N to win elections, predicts The Economist

[Syed1.]

They have been printing and reprinting the same article for the last six or so months. False propaganda.

 

[Sugarcane]

Then why you worry for bhutan like situation?

Use your own brain

 

[Proudpakistaniguy]

If you can't play by rules then change the rules is basic mindset of Pakistani politicians.

You are right but my understanding is that even if they remove artitcle 62/63 (because of which nawaz disqualified) then this will not undo previois disqualification but will be applicable to future politicians

 

[Yaseen1]

not going to happen.i think army will take over country during interim govt and no elections will be held

 

[Imran Khan]

ager aysa hoa to imran khan shaheed ho jay ga ghusy se

 

[Path-Finder]

All blob party should watch the 'waday' done by their leaders and their so called experienced team.

 

[Sugarcane]

You are right but my understanding is that even if they remove artitcle 62/63 (because of which nawaz disqualified) then this will not undo previois disqualification but will be applicable to future politicians

They can keep limit the disqualification time and appeal for review, it's not that difficult in Pakistan.

 

[H!TchHiker]

I think election will not be on time after Balochistan CM now Khattack also write to defer elections

 

[saiyan0321]

Winning an election in parliamentary setup isn't as easy as many would think.

In my view a party can only claim victory when it has achieved the majority needed to create its own government or the capability to do so by its own number of seats. A party that requires coalitions hasn't won the election. For example the 2008 election would be defined as a no victory scenario as neither pmln nor PPP gained the number of seats to form majority but PMLN in 2013 would be called a victory for they had that number of seats.

To say PMLN will win in 2018 would mean that PMLN would once again reach that number of seats. Let's see.

My personal view is that nobody would be able to call it a victory with a very 2008esque result with pti being second largest around 60-80 seats and pmln largest with 80-90 seats. Let's see. Couple of months only.

 

[Shane]

PTI will be the largest party along PMLN's position of 2013.

PPP will get PPP's share of 2013.

PMLN will secure PTI's equivalent of 2013.

Punjab and KPK belongs to PTI in 2018.

Economist can keep towing along the lines of expectations of Trump administration loving Indians it loves to promote all it wants, thank you very much.

 

[Sugarcane]

مجید چچا ووٹ ڈال کے پولنگ بوتھ سے باہر آئے اور پولنگ ایجنٹ سے دریافت کیا کہ کیا میری زوجہ بھی اپنا ووٹ ڈال گئی ہیں یا نہیں ؟؟

پولنگ ایجنٹ نے لسٹ دیکھی اور بتایا کہ ابھی کچھ دیر پہلے ہی وہ اپنا ووٹ ڈال کے جا چکی ہیں ۔۔

چچا نے انتہائی افسوس کا اظہار کیا اور کہنے لگے کہ کاش میں بھی کچھ دیر پہلے ہی پہنچ جاتا۔۔تو ملاقات ہو جاتی ۔۔

پولنگ ایجنٹ نے حیرانگی سے پوچھا کہ کیا آپ لوگ ایک ساتھ نہیں رہتے ۔۔؟؟

چچا بولے ۔۔۔ دراصل انہیں فوت ہوے 15 سال ہو چکے ہیں، مگر میں نے دیکھا ہے کہ جب بھی الیکشن ہوں، وہ ووٹ ڈالنے ضرور آتی ہیں ۔۔

 

[xyxmt]

So they are saying economy is bad but the govt who caused that bad will get re-elected, wrong math

 

[MultaniGuy]

PML-N to win elections, predicts The Economist

Meanwhile, on the economic front, “A widening current account deficit and persistent budget shortfalls pose the biggest risks to macroeconomic stability in 2018-22,” which would be the term of the next government. PHOTO: EXPRESS/FILE

KARACHI : The Economist Intelligence Unit recently put out its new Country Report for Pakistan, and despite criticism of the state of the economy, the report does not predict fair tidings for opposition political parties come July.

The EIU predicts that risks to political stability will remain high in the run-up to the elections.

“We expect the PML-N (Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz) to be reelected on the back of a strong showing in Punjab, the most populous province,” the report says.

The authors do, however, urge caution, as “unfavourable court rulings, resurgent opposition parties and worsening relations with the judiciary and military have raised downside risks to this call.”

Shehbaz set to play his ‘political cards’ to pull PML-N out of crises

Meanwhile, on the economic front, “A widening current account deficit and persistent budget shortfalls pose the biggest risks to macroeconomic stability in 2018-22,” which would be the term of the next government.

The EIU also does not expect the ongoing political upheaval to sort itself out anytime soon. It “expects the outlook for political stability to remain poor in 2018-22,” citing disputes between the major players and parties that will intensify ahead of the election, and continue well after.

The report also predicts that the next prime minister of Pakistan will be Shehbaz Sharif, although “Nawaz Sharif will remain influential in the party”.

But no real change is expected on the drivers of foreign and security policies. “The military will continue to shape much of the country’s foreign and security policies.”

Nor does the report suggest any post-election let-up in the civil-military-judicial divide. “We expect ties between the civilian government, the military, and the judiciary to stay strained, posing an underlying risk to political stability.”

Meanwhile, on the economic front, it says that despite some improvements, the “parlous domestic security situation will remain a key source of instability in 2018-22,” undermining economic “growth potential by posing ongoing operational and strategic challenges to infrastructure projects.”

These projects would include China-Pakistan Economic Corridor related works and numerous other projects.

‘Dar misled Nawaz Sharif on economic issues’

Real GDP, on an expenditure basis, will expand by an annual average rate of 5.4 per cent per year until 2022, according to the EIU report.

“Growth will be underpinned by increases in consumption and the improved performance of exports relative to imports,” it explains.

It also says that large deficits on the fiscal and current accounts will pose major risks to macroeconomic stability throughout the 2018-22 period. Meanwhile, the current account deficit is expected to average the equivalent of 3.1 per cent of GDP over the same period.

EIU is the research and analysis division of The Economist Group, the sister company to The Economist newspape

Personally I want PTI to win.

 

[ghazi52]

Paid.
False propaganda.

 

[Asian.Century]

After seeing Imran Khan and PTI Punjab leadership, PTI is a firm failure in future for Punjab. It cannot rule the massive resourced province in Punjab with U-turns.

PTI is again jittering when given massive responsibility, it is not serious, it has no planning, it has no future roadmap for Punjab, PTI Punjab has not credible candidates in Punjab, I cannot name big wigs, top industrialists, economists in Punjab. PTI looks future as bleak as ever in Punjab again!!!