Lord ZeN
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Three main points that we need to consider when it comes to Pakistan's Nuclear Capability.
Pakistan’s Nuclear Shield
Pakistan has a simple rationale for its nuclear weapons, & that is to counter India’s conventional military superiority. The Pakistan army appears to have convinced itself that if the juggernaut of India’s three Strike Corps rolls unstoppable across the international boundary during the next war, the nation (and its military ) will be safe behind a nuclear shield. Hence, the army feels that it cannot allow a civilian administration to steer the country’s nuclear course. It is well aware that elected governments are partial to public opinion and susceptible to international pressures. Therefore, the Pakistan army will not permit them to have a final say in an area that it considers vital to national security.
Pakistan relies heavily on its first strike doctrine to deter conventional conflict with India and, under the shadow of its nuclear umbrella, it continues to wage a low intensity proxy war against India in J&K and elsewhere. It is for this reason that Pakistan refuses to accept India’s offer of a bilateral no first use treaty as a nuclear confidence building measure.
Our Options to counter this threat
1. For a pre-conflict stage
Firstly, in the pre-conflict stage, we needs to make our military doctrine very clear to them. We need to indicate a pronounced inclination towards the Limited War concept. But it's really difficult to engage Pakistanis , with a really low nuclear threshold in a limited-War.Pakistan may choose to drop nuclear weapons over one or two Indian cities in addition to or instead of attacking the advancing mechanized forces. It's a really scary scenario which worries most of us.
2.Countering Pakistan by Hard & Deep Stikes.
The Pakistani ruling elite must be made to understand that while India may choose to fight a limited war in certain cases, as it did in Kargil, it is prepared to upgrade its military response to ‘all out’ war if the situation so demands. Once this realization dawns on the Pakistanis, they are unlikely to act irrationally and use tactical nuclear weapons to checkmate an Indian offensive,knowing fully well that a massive Indian nuclear counter-value and counter-force response will mean the end of Pakistan as a viable nation-state.
How to nullify/destroy Pakistan war machinery
- Pakistan is also one of two nuclear weapons-possessing states , the other being North Korea—for which there is a non-negligible risk of state failure.
- Pakistan continues to face almost daily assault from terrorists and insurgents. The fact that it perseveres in the face of such pressure is remarkable, but tends to add to the pessimists’ case, even if at times the pessimists have exaggerated the imminence of Pakistan’s demise.
- Pakistan’s past inability or unwillingness to control the A. Q. Khan nuclear supplier network further amplifies international concerns. For some analysts Pakistan is simply a state that cannot be trusted.
Pakistan’s Nuclear Shield
Pakistan has a simple rationale for its nuclear weapons, & that is to counter India’s conventional military superiority. The Pakistan army appears to have convinced itself that if the juggernaut of India’s three Strike Corps rolls unstoppable across the international boundary during the next war, the nation (and its military ) will be safe behind a nuclear shield. Hence, the army feels that it cannot allow a civilian administration to steer the country’s nuclear course. It is well aware that elected governments are partial to public opinion and susceptible to international pressures. Therefore, the Pakistan army will not permit them to have a final say in an area that it considers vital to national security.
Pakistan relies heavily on its first strike doctrine to deter conventional conflict with India and, under the shadow of its nuclear umbrella, it continues to wage a low intensity proxy war against India in J&K and elsewhere. It is for this reason that Pakistan refuses to accept India’s offer of a bilateral no first use treaty as a nuclear confidence building measure.
Our Options to counter this threat
1. For a pre-conflict stage
Firstly, in the pre-conflict stage, we needs to make our military doctrine very clear to them. We need to indicate a pronounced inclination towards the Limited War concept. But it's really difficult to engage Pakistanis , with a really low nuclear threshold in a limited-War.Pakistan may choose to drop nuclear weapons over one or two Indian cities in addition to or instead of attacking the advancing mechanized forces. It's a really scary scenario which worries most of us.
2.Countering Pakistan by Hard & Deep Stikes.
The Pakistani ruling elite must be made to understand that while India may choose to fight a limited war in certain cases, as it did in Kargil, it is prepared to upgrade its military response to ‘all out’ war if the situation so demands. Once this realization dawns on the Pakistanis, they are unlikely to act irrationally and use tactical nuclear weapons to checkmate an Indian offensive,knowing fully well that a massive Indian nuclear counter-value and counter-force response will mean the end of Pakistan as a viable nation-state.
How to nullify/destroy Pakistan war machinery
- It is well recognized that the concept of attacking the enemy’s center of gravity is key to all operational design.Due to the ongoing revolution in military affairs , the mass of enemy forces is no longer the most vulnerable and operationally important asset of the enemy.
- The successful destruction of the enemy’s command centers, RSTA and firepower assets and the disruption of his intelligence communications systems will render him incapable of fighting effectively and will, hence, lead to eventual victory.
- The aim must be to destroy Pakistan’s war waging machine completely and forever by launching joint Air-Land offensives employing conventional forces. All of these objectives can only be achieved if deep sledgehammer blows are launched jointly by the Indian army and air force during the next war with Pakistan. If a future Kargil-type of conflict that is initially limited, spills over and escalates into a larger conflict, India must plan to call Pakistan’s nuclear bluff and launch its Strike Corps deep into Pakistani territory.
- The Pakistan army is not so irrational that it will risk the dismemberment of Pakistan through massive Indian nuclear retaliation and its own total annihilation by the early use of nuclear weapons.
- 1)-The Indian government must find ways to convince Pakistan that a single nuclear strike on Indian territory or asserts will invite massive punitive nuclear retaliation. If it can do that, the nuclear deterrence battle with Pakistan would have been won.
- 2)-The Indian army’s offensive punch and the air force’s ground strike capability must be upgraded to high standards so that the two services can launch joint Air-Land offensives deep into Pakistan to gain early tactical, operational and strategic advantage.
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somebody is having nice dreams.
