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Pakistan trade deficit widens

Al Bhatti

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20 July 2014

pak20072014.jpg

An employee working at a textile factory in Karachi. pakistan exported $25.2 billion worth of goods compared to imports valued at $45.2 billion in 2013-14 that ended on June 30.

Pakistan trade deficit widens

$20 billion gap will lead to a drawdown on $9.4 billion foreign currency reserves

Pakistan’s trade deficit widened to $20 billion in the last fiscal year, far more than the official and International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s projections but marginally lower than the preceding year, as the government missed its first year’s export target.

The figures released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) showed that the country exported $25.2 billion worth of goods compared to imports valued at $45.2 billion, leaving a gap of $19.98 billion in 2013-14 that ended on June 30.

Compared to the preceding year, the trade gap contracted by 2.5 per cent, but it was far higher than the official and the IMF’s projection of $16.6 billion, suggesting the fixing of an unrealistic target by the PML-N government. The IMF too could not accurately project the trade gap.

The higher projected trade deficit will have a direct bearing on the country’s balance of payments position. The State Bank of Pakistan on Monday withdrew the balance of payments figures after releasing it in the morning.

Against the target of $26.6 billion, exports reached $25.2 billion at the close of fiscal year 2013-14, up 2.8 per cent over $24.5 billion worth of shipments a year earlier, according to the PBS. The government has projected 3.6 per cent growth in exports.

It is not the first important target that the government has missed. Earlier, it missed key targets such as economic growth rate, investments, savings, inflation and foreign direct investment.

The import bill remained at $45.2 billion, showing a marginal growth of 0.36 per cent, higher than the IMF and official projections. The government had projected a $43.3 billion import bill in its annual plan while the IMF had estimated imports at $42.7 billion.

Missing the trade deficit target by a wide margin will increase the current account deficit — the gap between external receipts and payments.

Higher-than-projected current account deficit will lead to a drawdown on foreign currency reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan, currently standing at just $9.4 billion. For the new fiscal year, the government has projected a trade deficit of $17.2 billion. It aims to take exports to $26.9 billion while the import bill could reach $44.2 billion.

Month-on-month trade figures showed that imports grew 18 per cent and stood at $4.33 billion in June over May. In June, exports contracted by 4.3 per cent to $2.1 billion over the previous month.

The trade deficit in the month alarmingly widened by almost half and stood at $2.3 billion on the back of dipping exports, according to the PBS.

Business - Pakistan trade deficit widens
 
Pakistan must stop imports of all non essential items.
Sir,
3 of our major imports

1. Furnace Oil
2. Palm Oil
3. Tea

Furnace oil import cant be cut down because one of our brilliant PM and her greedy husband put our power production on imported furnace oil. Unless we come out of this hole we cant bridge this trade deficit.
Palm Oil is an important item, with good policies we can plant palm trees in our country, promote other locally produced edible oils and reduce our dependence on import.
Tea is our National Problem.

:(
 
Sir,
3 of our major imports

1. Furnace Oil
2. Palm Oil
3. Tea

Furnace oil import cant be cut down because one of our brilliant PM and her greedy husband put our power production on imported furnace oil. Unless we come out of this hole we cant bridge this trade deficit.
Palm Oil is an important item, with good policies we can plant palm trees in our country, promote other locally produced edible oils and reduce our dependence on import.
Tea is our National Problem.

:(

Bina chayke ka din kya din hai?

Furnace oil import cant be cut down because one of our brilliant PM and her greedy husband put our power production on imported furnace oil

It seems you guys don't have large coal reserves.

I heard that there is huge oil reserve in Baluchistan, your government should concentrate on that.

Why do you guys need palm oil on large scale?
 
Bina chayke ka din kya din hai?



It seems you guys don't have large coal reserves.

I heard that there is huge oil reserve in Baluchistan, your government should concentrate on that.

Why do you guys need palm oil on large scale?
We have reserves on different scales but they are not enough yet to meet our needs. Some reserves like Thar coal are still unused. Tea plantation was started at some valleys near Skardu on experimental basis, where it was successful but nothing further was done. Our 80% of Ghee/oil manufacturing is done from imported palm oil. Soyabeen, Kannola and Sunflowers are local varieties produced but more production and incentives to Farmers is needed to meet our growing demands.
 
Sir,
3 of our major imports

1. Furnace Oil
2. Palm Oil
3. Tea
Tea is our National Problem.

:(
Never mind! Just stop all tea imports from India and your balance of payments situation would ease considerably! :-)

But seriously, the crux of the problem I think is poor capacity utilization of Pakistani industries due to energy woes. They need to get cracking on improving electricity generation forthwith even if it is from India, for which a deal has already been signed.
 
Never mind! Just stop all tea imports from India and your balance of payments situation would ease considerably! :-)

But seriously, the crux of the problem I think is poor capacity utilization of Pakistani industries due to energy woes. They need to get cracking on improving electricity generation forthwith even if it is from India, for which a deal has already been signed.
Our installed capacity is 20000 MW while our peak demand has never hit 18000MW. The problem is that majority of these Powerhouses are on Furnace Oil so not feasible to run them on current Oil prices.
If somehow either our PKR/US$ exchange rate fall to PKR60/US$ 1 or oil prices fall below US$60/Barrel, there will be no load shedding in Pakistan. Then even India could import Electricity from us as we have made that offer around 2000-2001.
 
Our installed capacity is 20000 MW while our peak demand has never hit 18000MW. The problem is that majority of these Powerhouses are on Furnace Oil so not feasible to run them on current Oil prices.
If somehow either our PKR/US$ exchange rate fall to PKR60/US$ 1 or oil prices fall below US$60/Barrel, there will be no load shedding in Pakistan. Then even India could import Electricity from us as we have made that offer around 2000-2001.

India's installed power capacity is 2,34,000 mw and increasing by 12,000 mw every year..plus there is an ongoing project of 45,000 mw hydel in Bhutan.
 
Pakistan’s trade deficit widened to $20 billion in the last fiscal year, far more than the official and International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s projections but marginally lower than the preceding year, as the government missed its first year’s export target.

It will become harder and harder to keep the PKR artificially propped up at 99 to the dollar with deficits like these. It must be devalued.
 
Sir,
3 of our major imports

1. Furnace Oil
2. Palm Oil
3. Tea

Furnace oil import cant be cut down because one of our brilliant PM and her greedy husband put our power production on imported furnace oil. Unless we come out of this hole we cant bridge this trade deficit.
Palm Oil is an important item, with good policies we can plant palm trees in our country, promote other locally produced edible oils and reduce our dependence on import.
Tea is our National Problem.

:(

WHat countries do you import the most from?
 
All South Asian nations suffer from the same cancerous problem, trade deficit. To reduce it, there is only one option i.e. industrialize.
 
India's installed power capacity is 2,34,000 mw and increasing by 12,000 mw every year..plus there is an ongoing project of 45,000 mw hydel in Bhutan.
Dear where have i compared us with Mighty India. Please spare us we are no where near you. Thanks

WHat countries do you import the most from?
Oil from KSA
Palm Oil from Malaysia and Tea from India
 
Dear where have i compared us with Mighty India. Please spare us we are no where near you. Thanks


Oil from KSA
Palm Oil from Malaysia and Tea from India

Where did I compare it with Pakistan too? China has about five times our installed capacity - so long way to go for us.
 
kpk east is better place to grow tea..
dont know about palm oil but on late benazir order dr zafar altaf did started project but later nawaz stoped funding..
 
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