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Pakistan to ‘drain the swamp’ of Taliban-linked militants in US-backed offensive

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A welcome move.

Pakistan to ‘drain the swamp’ of Taliban-linked militants in US-backed offensive​


  • Pakistan warned that ‘the full force of the state’ would ‘take on all and any entities that resort to violence’, referring to Afghanistan’s Taliban
  • Public pressure to abandon efforts to negotiate with the TTP has intensified after police on December 23 thwarted an apparent suicide bombing attempt

Pakistan appears poised to launch a major ground and air offensive against Tehreek-i Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants that could target hideouts in neighbouring Afghanistan, experts say, as a surge in attacks on security forces threaten to plunge the country back into a cycle of violence.

Dozens of Pakistani soldiers and policemen have been killed and wounded in recent months in near-daily armed assaults, assassinations, roadside bombings and suicide attacks by the TTP, or the Pakistani Taliban, in parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, the two western provinces bordering Afghanistan.

Pakistan’s civil and military leadership issued a warning late on Monday that “the full force of the state” would “take on all and any entities that resort to violence”.

Pakistan’s PM Shahbaz Sharif (right) chairs a meeting of the National Security Committee, on January 2. Photo: AP

Pakistan’s PM Shahbaz Sharif (right) chairs a meeting of the National Security Committee, on January 2. Photo: AP

In a thinly veiled reference to Afghanistan’s Taliban regime – that is separate from the TTP but allied – Pakistan’s national security council warned that “no country will be allowed provide sanctuaries and facilitation to terrorists”.​

“Pakistan reserves all rights … to safeguard her people,” said the statement by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s office.​

Public pressure to abandon efforts to seek a negotiated settlement with the TTP has intensified after police on December 23 thwarted an apparent attempt to launch a suicide bomb attack on Islamabad, the first since 2015. A suspected militant detonated explosives while being chased by police, prompting embassies to warn their citizens to restrict their movements.​

“Talks with the TTP have failed, the number of attacks and their geographic spread is rapidly increasing, and political pressure to do something is mounting,” said Michael Kugelman, director of the South Asia Institute at the Wilson Centre, a Washington-based think tank. “Something has got to give. Islamabad no longer has the luxury of simply sitting on its hands.”​

Pakistan enlists Taliban to rein in group that

Since the Taliban seized power in neighbouring Afghanistan, the number of deadly attacks inside Pakistan has tripled, according to data collated by the Pakistan Institute for Peace Studies, an Islamabad-based think tank.

Some 441 people were killed in 254 terrorist attacks during 2022, double the deaths recorded in 2020, it reported

Analysts say the statement from Pakistan’s leadership is a clear indication that it is planning a major offensive, supported by an air campaign against TTP camps inside Afghanistan.​

“There will be a large ground operation for sure. Intelligence-led strikes will be employed to drain the swamp,” said Abdul Basit, a research fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore.​

A Taliban security personnel stands guard at the Afghanistan-Pakistan border in Spin Boldak. Photo: AFP

A Taliban security personnel stands guard at the Afghanistan-Pakistan border in Spin Boldak. Photo: AFP

Any counterterrorism operation within Pakistan is likely to focus on four districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa – North and South Waziristan, Dera Ismail Khan and Lakki Marwat – where the TTP re-established its networks under the cover of a Taliban-mediated ceasefire between May and July last year.

Basit said Pakistan will take this approach to avoid the blowback from displacing local populations, as occurred during operations against the TTP at the height of the insurgency between 2007 and 2015.

“Air strikes and the use of drones in cross border missions is a given. Some sorties inside the Afghanistan border region to soften terror hideouts before ground incursions are equally expected,” Basit told This Week In Asia. Pakistan estimates that 7,000 to 10,000 TTP militants – along with 25,000 of their family members – are based in Afghanistan.

Pakistan had hoped that Taliban’s takeover of power in Afghanistan would help secure its western borders.

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While it played a key role in helping the US dismantle al-Qaeda after the September 2001 terrorist attacks, Pakistan was frequently accused by the Western powers of providing safe havens and logistical support to the Taliban during the 20-year US-led occupation of Afghanistan which ended in August 2021.

However, the Taliban regime has resisted pressure to force the TTP to surrender, a position experts say reflects its closeness to the Pakistani group, a virtual offshoot.

Spiking tensions between Islamabad and Kabul have sparked lethal exchanges of gun and mortar fire between Pakistani and Taliban forces, leading to the temporary closure of border crossings.

The Taliban’s defence ministry on Sunday denied the TTP was operating from Afghan territory, adding Taliban forces stood “ready to defend its territorial integrity and independence”.

Pakistan has already secured assurances of US support for its counterterrorism operations against the TTP.​

At a December 19 press briefing, State Department spokesman Ned Price said the US would help Pakistan to address the “increasingly dangerous threat” posed by Afghanistan- based terrorist groups like the TTP.

“We have partnered with our Pakistani friends to help them take on this challenge. We stand ready to assist, whether with this unfolding situation or more broadly,” Price said.

As part of the US budget for 2023, Congress has approved tens of millions of dollars of funding to help Pakistan “with border security”, foreign minister Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari told the Karachi-based Dawn newspaper on December 24.

The funds would be the first released since the US suspended security aid to Pakistan in 2018 after then-president Donald Trump accused Islamabad of duplicity.

“A move could well be coming – we can’t rule out that possibility – but at this point at least it doesn’t appear to be official US policy,” said Kugelman of the Wilson Centre.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/art...ger-over-f-16?module=hard_link&pgtype=article

Analysts say US support could involve the Pentagon and the CIA providing Pakistan’s military with intelligence gathered by satellites and drones – such as the real-time movements of TTP militants on either side of the border with Afghanistan.

The US could also carry out drone strikes targeting leadership figures of the TTP and allied groups like al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent, who have been declared terrorists by the State Department.

But the scope of US support would be driven by its willingness to unfreeze security aid; the reach of Pakistan’s operation – particularly if it extends into Afghanistan – and the amount of help that Islamabad may receive from other partners, “especially China”, Kugelman added.

“The short of it is that we shouldn’t overstate the potential US help for a Pakistani counterterrorism offensive.”

 
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You are a Taliban supporter, if I recall correctly - has your opinion changed with recent developments?

lol.. We ain't going to war with Afghanistan period... my opinions are irrelevant but we simply arent going to war

this would break Pakistan! either socially or atleast economically!

All the drum beaters actully are non-pakistani and want this exact outcome the target is Pakistan and have always been not Afghanistan because they have nothing to lose in a drawn out conflict that could expand decades if one was to dance his way into it.. The target is Pakistan.. They have infras and developed nation someone wants that undone from the outside.. Like A ukraine trap of sort.. The initial target is Pakistan not Afghanistan itself because it has nothing to lose
 
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Pakistan does need to up the ante. It seems Talibs want to play nicey nice upfront, but they either cannot or do not want to go after TTP safe havens on their side. Also local Taliban commanders are definitely sympathetic and callous towards TTP presence. Arty barrages to start with, escalate to heliborne assaults, and then to airstrikes to 🎯 further inland. If local Talibs interfere, incinerate their known bases as well, may be the local governor's 🏠.
 
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this would break Pakistan! either socially or atleast economically!

Only issue is that Pakistan can't economically sustain drawn out insurgencies
Pakistan survived war with TTP last time (when they were miles from Islamabad) with US economic support - and the US is willing to support Pakistan again this time, since TTA is our common enemy.

I think Pakistan has become completely trash after the imported government's failed state policies.
As someone who leans pro PTI, Imran Khan's policy of appeasing Afghanistan and TTP because of ethnic favouritism has allowed TTP to regroup.
 
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what an insanely hare-brained idea..

bc amreeka ki aisi taisi kar di in janwaaron ne, aap kya top ho ? :P
 
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Time to finish what the Soviets and US couldnt, the real warriors will deal them a befitting reply.
my bet is on the Afghan Taliban-your Pakistani military should not fall for this trap- Taliban can and will suck out Pakistani military...and then Indian military will be laughing to the bank.

Pakistani army cant defeat taliban- thats my point, afterall US couldnt do it in 20 years so how can Pakistani army? Some of you need to calm your egos down.

This problem occured because Pakistani govt is now doing US govt's bidding in the region- Gosh, it will go so bad so fast for Pakistan- Pakistan knew before how to "manage" Talibans a bit better... but this govt now? lol- full US proxy- US gov seems to be trying to use its puppet in Pakistani govt to continue its lost war in Afghanistan..and probably support ISIS-K, its loyal useful proxy.

This wont end well for Pakistan.
 
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Time to finish what the Soviets and US couldnt, the real warriors will deal them a befitting reply.
The US succeeded in dismantling AQ's terrorist network but could not establish its influence without military deployment.

Pakistan doesn't aim to install another Afghan goverment - it only needs to dimsantle TTP and BLA's terrorist network.
 
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Desperate thread title little friend..

Pakistan is in no way hell going to war with Afghanistan do you take us for being circus..

MODS shouldn't allow such misleading threads
 
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