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Pakistan set to dominate world economies in 21st century: Advisor

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Pakistan set to dominate world economies in 21st century: Advisor

ISLAMABAD (December 30 2006): Goldman Sach, one of the leading investment banks of world has predicted that Pakistan's economy would dominate world's economies in 21st century, Advisor to the Prime Minister on Finance, Dr Salman Shah said on Friday.

Talking to PTV, he said, the same bank is used to advise world's top business organisations about the potential countries where they should invest. Goldman Sach, a leading investment Bank of the world has included Pakistan's economy among 11 most fastly growing economies of the world, saying that Pakistan is set to take control of the world's economy in next 40 years.

These economies of several countries especially of Pakistan will surpass the economies of even G-6 countries in 21st century, the investment bank report said. They have invented a new term (BRIC) consisting of Brazil, Russia, India and China five years ago predicting that Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt will progress faster than the BRIC countries.

He said the bank has particularly appreciated population mixture of Pakistan terming it most vibrant. Out of a population of 160 million almost 55 percent consist of under nineteen years of age. Youngsters of Pakistan will play key role in economic dynamics of next 40 years. The young manpower of Pakistan will come into arena when labours of other countries already retired.

They will provide Pakistan demographic dividend, he remarked. These people not only help enhance production but also create demands of consumer goods. Currently country's per capita income is at $850.Where the personal income increases up to $3000 accelerating consumer goods production to meet increasing demands, he remarked.

Pakistan's middle class is emerging fast while its industry will also move from textile to high tech goods production in the next 25 years, he said. Responding to a question he said import of surplus wheat have been allowed to private sector for creating space for next crop adding that due to good rains Pakistan expects a bumper wheat production this year.

He said that government is also checking the prices of the commodity in order to maintain these. Dr Shah said that Petroleum prices in country are still lower than India and other South Asian countries. Core inflation ratio is up to 5.6 percent. The focus of the government is to bring down food inflation ratio from 10 percent to a lower level, he added.

http://www.brecorder.com/index.php?id=512770&currPageNo=1&query=&search=&term=&supDate=
 
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I was pretty ridiculed on this forum when I quoted a Goldmann Sachs report predicting India would be the third largest economy in the world by 2035.
 
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Friday, May 04, 2007

‘Pakistan to be leading economic power by 2050’ :flag:

By Sajid Chaudhry

ISLAMABAD: Advisor to Ministry of Finance, Dr Ashfaque Hassan Khan, has said a latest research by a UK based international firm has indicated that Pakistan along with other three economies would become leading economic power well before 2050.

Speaking at weekly briefing at the Ministry of Finance Dr Ashfaque said Gold Man Sachs had earlier included Pakistan in next 11 emerging economies with a projection that the country would be an economic power by 2050.

In a latest projection released by Grant Thorton, a British Accounting Firm indicates that Pakistan, Turkey , Indonesia and Mexico would become economic powers earlier to the projected date of 2050.

He called this development as success of the economic policies and economic managers of the country who are trying hard to convert the current growth trend into a sustainable economic growth.

He said Pakistan to hold road shows in different parts of the world for flotation of its next bond issue in the month of May. Bond having category of 144-A would be for whole world including Europe, America, and onshore US in-vestors would also be able to hold these bonds.

He mentioned that selection of lead managers had already been completed and City Group, HSBC and Douche Bank, the lead managers, were completing the documentation process for floatation of bond.

He said the size of the bond issue would be decided on last day of the road shows.

Replying to a question on next GDR, he told the media that they have successfully completed the GDR of the OGDCL and preparation for the GDR of the UBL was at an advanced stage. “We are trying to complete UBL’s GDR before the end of this fiscal year 2006-7,” he added.

He told that Pakistan would participate in 40th annual meeting of the Asian Development Bank scheduled at Kyoto, Japan during 4-7 May, 2007.

Pakistan’s three member delegation to be headed by Omer Ayub Khan, Minister of State for Finance, and Secretary Economic Affairs and Advisor to Ministry of Finance would also be the part of delegation.

The 21st century is seen as Asian century and the ADB meeting would discuss the economic growth and challenges faced by Asian economies.

At the ADB annual meeting, Pakistan, Vietnam, Philippines and India would give presentation on their state of economies and challenges faced by them. Pakistan had earlier held presentation on its economy in the year 2000, Dr Khan added.

Giving a brief overview of the economy, he said during 1st March to 30th April Pakistan’s stock market recorded increase of 1162 points in its index.

Aggregate market capitalisation of Pakistan’s stocks market increased by Rs 545 billion or 9 billion dollars during the said period, the overall aggregate market capitalisation which stood at 50.4 billion dollars at the start of March increased to 59.4 billion dollars by the end of April 2007.

He mentioned that Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves increased by 390 million dollars during this period as at the end of April these reserves were 13.752 billion dollars.

He said exchange rate was also stable, at the start of March 2007 it was Rs 60.7 and at the end of April 2007 it continued to stand at Rs 60.7 per US dollar.

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007\05\04\story_4-5-2007_pg5_1
 
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Neo sir,

Definately pakistan will one of the dominate economy, but for that to happen first it needs a strong government and second of all get out of the current mess created by USA's so called war on terror. Because then and only then pakistan can completely concentrate on its economy. Now pakistan's economy is growing but not at pace which pakistan has the potential.:agree:
 
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It won't dominate the world economy. But it'll be as good as India's, or as efficient is a better word.

I could imagine it getting up there with the US by the 21st century too.
 
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It won't dominate the world economy. But it'll be as good as India's, or as efficient is a better word.

I could imagine it getting up there with the US by the 21st century too.

To attain anything like that in that time frame you need a large influx of foreign direct investment and to get a large influx of FDI you first need a long period of political stability followed by favourable regulations.

It's not looking good at the moment.
 
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Thats old news. GoldmanSacchs had predicted this in 2004. Its predictions were made under three categories BRIC, BRICK, BRIMC. BRIMC predicts countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh, Turkey, Korea to have a say in the world economy and would be in the top 25.

GoldmannSacchs predicted BRIC(Brazil Russia India China) will the next biggest giants. India will have the worlds second highest GDP(ppp) after China, US will be third. And BRIC collectively will overtake G7.

Just want to point out, that GolmanSachs is an Irish company. And the Irish a really good with money.
 
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The economic situation will never improve unless the security situation is improved and the this electricity mess is sorted out. All my friends/relatives living in Pakistan are still reluctant to invest because of the security situation. There is soo much potential in Pakistan but its unfortunate that those resources are never properly exploited.
 
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This war on terror and some haters are preventing Pakistan to reach its potential.
 
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This war on terror and some haters are preventing Pakistan to reach its potential.

The war on terror and political instability are the main causes of destabalization of the economy political instability can be crossed now i think but the war on terror is gonna last for a while.
 
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Stability is the key for an economy to thrive. Cannot see this in pak in the foreseeable future.

The 1st decade of the 21st century is almost over.
 
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Stability is the key for an economy to thrive. Cannot see this in pak in the foreseeable future.

The 1st decade of the 21st century is almost over.

Have to agree but if we can get stable than we can probably reach the top ten economies this century.
 
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Have to agree but if we can get stable than we can probably reach the top ten economies this century.

Pakistan is the only country in the world that's a gateway to the Middle East, Central Asia, China, and India. Also there's many natural resources in Pakistan, most of them untapped.


With Pakistan's geostrategic importance, Pakistan's ports, and Pakistan's natural resources Pakistan can definately reach the top ten economies this century, but there's some people who dont want to see that happen.
 
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