Omar1984
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KARACHI: The uninterrupted inflow of foreign funds kept the Karachi bourse set on upward track this week. The local financial institutions were more cautious and took to profit-selling on lucrative margins.
The KSE 100-share Index rose 151.30 points or two per cent on weekly basis and settled at 7,872.23 points. The parallel running junior 30-Index surged 147.27 points or 1.8 per cent and finished week at 8,343.20 points.
“The release of the third tranche of IMF standby loan of $840 million and approval of an additional $3.1 billion loan may help the market to cross the 8,000 points level smoothly in short term,” said M. Sohail at Topline Securities.
The decision would strengthen rupee against the dollar on temporary basis, which would help limit the twin deficits making the market attractive during the result season, analysts opined.
Next to the IMF loan, the Monetary Policy Statement of central bank is likely to effect the trading on the bourse. Any change in discount rate will impact market accordingly.
One big surprise for the market during the week was the aggressive buying by offshore investors. According to the latest numbers released by NCCPL, net foreign buying stood at US$19.14 million during the week.
This is the highest weekly net inflow witnessed by the market in last 15 months - since the week ended on April 25, 2008, reported Bilal Qamar at JS Research.
Though the received foreign funds at local bourse was mere 3.3 per cent of the total invested money in the market during the week at Rs45 billion, but the continuous inflow of overseas investment maintained market sentiments bullish this week, commented another analyst.
With net Rs45 billion investment at bourse this week, the overall market capitalisation surged to Rs2,323 billion.
Accordingly, the average turnover of the week recoded at 134.5 million shares, which is 12.6 per cent higher than 119.4 million shares of last week.
A section of analysts, including Hasnain Asghar Ali at Aziz Fidahusein, doubted the source of inflow of foreign funds and expressed that they might be locals who were injecting their black money into the market through some international channels.
Sharp rally in oil prices attracted investors’ interest in Exploration & Production (E&P) and other energy stocks. As a result, market capitalization of E&P and Oil Marketing Company (OMC) sectors rising by three per cent & 4.4 per cent, respectively, said Qamar.
KASB added that Independent Power Producers (IPPs) also rallied on possible resolution of circular debt within a month. During the week, above-expectation annual results triggered rally in Lucky Cement (EPS Rs14.2 and DPS Rs4.0) however APL results (EPS Rs53.5 and DPS Rs25) surprised the market negatively. Concerns on politically directed lending by National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) triggered selling pressure in the stock that shed 4.7 per cent of its value, despite support by value hunters towards the end of the week.
“The upcoming week would witness release of some blue chip results such as MCB, PSO, Hubco and OGDC. We believe, together with the decision of the IMF board meeting, these results would set the tone for the market next week,” added Qamar.
Rise in international oil prices near to $76 in London trade, rebound in rupee fall & continuing foreign interest in the market played a catalyst role in positive activity, added Ahsan Mehanti at Shahzad Chamdia Securities.
Dreamworld, Royal Bank, PICT, Allied Rental Modaraba and Standard Chartered Bank were major gainers while PIA, WorldCall Telecom, Nakshbandi Industries, Pakistan Services and National Bank were major losers at the KSE this week, according to KASB.
Movement in Weekly Volume Leaders
Symbols Opening on Close on Difference
Monday (Rs) Friday (Rs) (Rs)
Adamjee Ins. 104.18 102.84 -1.34
AH Securities 28.22 30.47 2.25
Azgard Nine 24.82 26.04 1.22
DGK Cement 36.35 38.89 2.54
Fauji Cement 8.42 8.42 0
JS Company 24.69 24.98 0.29
Lucky Cement 73.16 77.02 3.86
National Bank 68.95 63.32 -5.63
Nishat Mills 40.12 42.35 2.23
O.G.D.C 86.94 90.18 3.24
P.T.C.L 17.16 17.61 0.45
Pak Oilfields 164.12 168.44 4.32