KARACHI: Pakistanââ¬â¢s current account showed a deficit of $4.76 billion in the first 11 months of the 2005-06 fiscal year (July-June), according to data released by the central bank on Friday.
The deficit was sharply higher than the $1.64 billion in the corresponding year-ago period. The 11-month deficit number is equivalent to around 3.7 per cent of the provisional estimate of $128 billion for Pakistanââ¬â¢s gross domestic product (GDP) for 2005-06.
In a report issued in April, State Bank of Pakistan forecast a full-year current account deficit of 4.7 per cent of GDP, compared with an earlier forecast of 2.2 per cent of GDP. Analysts said the ballooning current account deficit was a result of the sharply widening trade gap, due to rising imports and higher global oil prices, and could result in a weaker rupee going forward.
According to the central bank, the trade deficit in July-May stood at $7.401 billion, compared with $4.168 billion in the year-ago period. ââ¬ÅIn my opinion, the overall funding position is secure in the near future, but the rising deficit levels are a matter of increasing concern,ââ¬Â said Asif Qureshi, head of research at brokers Invisor Securities.
ââ¬ÅI certainly feel that some policy measures are now needed, such as exchange rate or interest rate adjustments, to counter the problem,ââ¬Â he said. The central bank has itself said that while the current account deficit was sustainable in the short-run, it posed serious threats to the economy if the trend continues.
The central bank is scheduled to release its monetary policy statement for the July-December period later this month.
According to central bank data, exports during July-May amounted to $14.898 billion, while imports stood at $22.299 billion. In the corresponding year-ago period, Pakistanââ¬â¢s exports and imports stood at $13.104 billon and $17.272 billion respectively, it said.
The deficit was sharply higher than the $1.64 billion in the corresponding year-ago period. The 11-month deficit number is equivalent to around 3.7 per cent of the provisional estimate of $128 billion for Pakistanââ¬â¢s gross domestic product (GDP) for 2005-06.
In a report issued in April, State Bank of Pakistan forecast a full-year current account deficit of 4.7 per cent of GDP, compared with an earlier forecast of 2.2 per cent of GDP. Analysts said the ballooning current account deficit was a result of the sharply widening trade gap, due to rising imports and higher global oil prices, and could result in a weaker rupee going forward.
According to the central bank, the trade deficit in July-May stood at $7.401 billion, compared with $4.168 billion in the year-ago period. ââ¬ÅIn my opinion, the overall funding position is secure in the near future, but the rising deficit levels are a matter of increasing concern,ââ¬Â said Asif Qureshi, head of research at brokers Invisor Securities.
ââ¬ÅI certainly feel that some policy measures are now needed, such as exchange rate or interest rate adjustments, to counter the problem,ââ¬Â he said. The central bank has itself said that while the current account deficit was sustainable in the short-run, it posed serious threats to the economy if the trend continues.
The central bank is scheduled to release its monetary policy statement for the July-December period later this month.
According to central bank data, exports during July-May amounted to $14.898 billion, while imports stood at $22.299 billion. In the corresponding year-ago period, Pakistanââ¬â¢s exports and imports stood at $13.104 billon and $17.272 billion respectively, it said.