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DUBAI (May 18 2009): Pakistan dramatically increased the amount of farmland open to foreign investors to 6 million acres, but will require outsiders to share half of their crop with local growers, investment minister told Reuters.

Crop sharing will defuse tensions with local farmers fearful of being crowded out by wealthy foreigners as Pakistan opens existing farmland to outsiders for sale or long-term lease, said Minister of Investment Waqar Ahmed Khan.

Gulf Arab countries reliant on food imports have ramped up efforts over the last year to buy land in developing nations ranging from Pakistan to the Philippines and Ethiopia. "We expect the investors in farmland to give the local farmers 50 percent of the land's yield, in addition transferring the technology which will help increase the output of the land by three times," Khan said during a trip to the United Arab Emirates to rally investor support.

"We have to apply these regulations to support the interests of the local farmers, otherwise we will be facing objections from the farmers, and we need to keep them happy," he added.

Farmers' concerns have led the Balochistan province to block direct deals between private investors based in the United Arab Emirates, Nasir Khosa, general chief-secretary of Balochistan's provincial government, said last month.

The United Nation's Human Right Council has expressed concern over the sale of farmland and called for a code of conduct.

"We will do everything to protect farmers' interests," said Khan. Last month, Khan said the country had a million acres of farmland to offer to investors.

"Recently, we have been able to identify around 6 million acres of farmland in various parts of the country which can be leased out on long-term basis or sold," he said. Six million acres is the equivalent of 2.43 million hectares.

During Pakistan's Gulf farmland sale road show, which started last week, a lot of interest came from UAE investors, especially in acquiring farmland to produce animal feed and rearing livestock, said Amjad Nazir, the joint secretary at Pakistan's Ministry of Food and Agriculture.

"All week we had meetings with investors from both the private and the public sector and I think very soon we will be sending delegations to study the opportunities here," said Nazir. Emirates Investment Group, a private-sector investment company based in Sharjah, the third-largest emirate of the UAE, said last month it was in the process of acquiring farmland in Pakistan to export more food to the Gulf region. Last year, private Abu Dhabi-based investment firm Al Qudra said it had plans to start agriculture projects in Pakistan.
 
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ISLAMABAD (May 17 2009): Pakistan would miss even the revised GDP growth target for the current fiscal year as the National Account Committee was informed that the actual growth would be 2.37 percent and not 2.5 percent. Sources said that the NAC meeting chaired by Secretary Statistics Division here on Saturday approved the nine months figures of the ongoing fiscal year as well as revised downward the growth of previous year from 5.8 percent to 4.1 percent.

The meeting noted that the growth this year would be 2.37 percent and that too because of outstanding performance by agriculture sector. The figures on the economic indicators approved by the NAC for the ongoing fiscal year would be the source of Economic Survey to be released ahead of the budget.

The growth in agriculture and services sectors would be 4.7 and 3.8 percent respectively during the current fiscal year whereas a negative growth of 5.73 percent is expected in Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM). The data approved by the NAC shows that a serious blow has been witnessed by the construction sector with its growth declining by 10.8 percent, while the electricity and gas sectors witnessed a negative growth of 3.8 percent. The industry and manufacturing sectors are also said to have witnessed 2.6 and 2.1 percent negative growth during the nine months of the current fiscal year.

The NAC also approved the cotton production figures at 11.81 million bales against the target of 14.11 million bales and sugarcane production 50.04 million tonnes. The meeting also acknowledged that the wholesale and retail trade witnessed a rise of 3.8 percent. The meeting approved an increase of 1 percent in per capita.

During the current fiscal year private sector investment registered a growth of 11.6 percent while the public sector investment growth stood at 8.4 percent. The meeting was attended by financial experts and economists from the Planning Commission, the finance ministry, the State Bank, the Federal Board of Revenue and other departments. The committee will review the economic performance of current fiscal year and the next budget preparations would be undertaken in light of these figures.
 
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EDITORIAL (May 18 2009): According to the latest figures released by the Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS), Pakistan's trade deficit narrowed to $14.16 billion during the first ten months of the current fiscal year as compared to $16.84 billion in the corresponding period of last year, showing a contraction of 15.9 percent. The decline in deficit was attributable to a larger fall in imports than exports.

While imports during July-April, 2009 slumped by 9.78 percent to $28.9 billion from $32.1 billion during the same period in 2007-08, exports came down by only 3.03 percent to $14.8 billion from $15.2 billion last year. The fall in trade deficit was much more pronounced on a monthly basis as the gap between imports and exports during April, 2009 fell to $1.43 billion from $2.30 billion in April, 2008, indicating a sharp decline of 37.8 percent. Imports during April this year were worth only $2.79 billion compared with $4.09 billion last year while exports declined from $1.79 billion to $1.36 billion in the same period.

A glance over the latest data would reveal that the behaviour of country's trade balance so far is at variance with the original projections for 2008-09 which targeted exports at $22.1 billion. At the present rate, exports are not likely to exceed $18.5 billion which would mean a substantial shortfall of about $3.6 billion from the target. Though imports were not targeted at a particular level, yet they were expected to amount to $36 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of about $14 billion.

With the continuation of the present trend, imports could amount to $34.5-35.0 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of about 16.0 billion or so. Whatever the deviation from the original projections, the reduction in trade deficit during 2008-09 over the previous year would appear to be a welcome development in the sense that it would exert a less negative impact on the external sector balance this year. In other words, it would be easier for the country to finance a lower trade deficit through surging home remittances and increased official and non-official assistance and loans from a variety of sources including multilateral financial institutions.

In fact, there has already been adequate increase in foreign exchange reserves of the country due to reduced trade deficit and higher inflows from other sources which has helped the country to regain the necessary confidence in its solvency and improve other macroeconomic indicators. However, it may be added that reduction in trade deficit would have been much more welcome if it had been due to expansion in exports or contraction in imports due to import substitution.

As it is, exports appear to have declined mainly because of global recession and imports dived due to sluggishness of economic activity at home. Such a situation is certain to have ugly repercussions for the growth rate, employment of labour force and poverty level in the country. In our view, at the present juncture, weaker demand for exports and uncertainty about workers' remittances, in particular, entail very high risks for the external sector.

No less important is the mood of international community which could change any time due to strategic reasons and affect the flow of resources from external sources. Therefore, there is a dire need for the government to study the emerging situation in the external sector from all angles in order to prepare the country to face any kind of eventuality. Of particular importance is the urgency to diversify external trade and find non-traditional export items to insulate the country from the impact of business cycles in the developed world.
 
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EDITORIAL (May 18 2009): Ship-breaking activity at the Gadani Beach is picking up momentum after a break of nearly two decades. According to a press report, 65 merchant vessels recently arrived for scrapping. More are scheduled to come soon. These are mostly cargo ships, whose average life is between 20 and 25 years.

Global recession and an unprecedented increase in commodity prices have rendered some of them idle before time. Pakistan along with India and Bangladesh is one of the world's major ship-breaking centres, mainly because of cheap labour, proximity to the international shipping routes, and also because the occupational safety and health standards are pretty lax, which is a real cause for concern. It may be recalled that in Pakistan ship-breaking became a thriving business in the 1970s through the 90s because of low labour costs and the demand for scrap steel for reprocessing. Unfortunately, in the later period it became a casualty of the then open political confrontation between the two main parties, Pakistan People's Party and Pakistan Muslim League. The PPP government discouraged ship-breaking industry through imposition of heavy duty on the pretext of protecting the Pakistan Steel Mills whereas the general belief was that it had something to do with the PML leadership owned foundries' need for scrap. Those worried about the safety and health issues as well as environmental pollution were happy to see the activity slackening.

The news of revival can only be welcomed since we need the scrap to fulfil our growing reprocessed steel requirements. And also because it has a significant job creation potential. Already those associated with the industry are saying the new ship-breaking business is to produce around half a million tons of scrap for our steel reprocessing industry, and thousands of jobs for the people living off Gadani Beach. It also is a reminder that the government must fulfil its responsibility towards the labour force, which comprises people who are mostly uneducated and hence ignorant about the hazards the work involves.

The workers must be provided with the necessary protection equipment. Special care needs to be taken in the handling of dangerous materials, such as carcinogenic asbestos, which is retrieved and recycled for reuse. The relevant laws concerning safety and health issues must be implemented strictly through a proper system, like in the case of industrial zones. Last but not the least, the government must also ensure that the toxic substances from the vessels are not allowed to drain off into the sea, polluting its water and harming the marine life.
 
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EDITORIAL (May 17 2009): Although Pakistan's motorcycle industry is endowed with plenty of potential for it to be able to compete in international market in terms of quality, it has not been able to get its due share in the world market due mainly to the high cost of production in the country, a report prepared by the Engineering and Technology sub-committee of KCCI has said.

The report says that there exists an enormous scope for motorcycle industry in the South East Asian market, for instance, but Pakistan has unfortunately not succeeded in getting its rightful share because of absence of effective policy mechanisms required for supporting the engineering industry.

The KCCI report has essentially attributed this state of affairs to policy failure. Secondly, despite signing ETD way back in 1990, Pakistan has not been able to introduce any development programmes for its engineering industry, while India has since implemented provisions of the treaty and has reaped all the benefits accruing from it.

By implementing the ETD programme, India has also upgraded its technology and the SME sector. Further, absence of an effective taxation system in Pakistan too has hampered development of the country's engineering industry. According to one of the KCCI sub-committee members, as long as Pakistan does not reduce the cost of production of engineering goods, it cannot increase its exports in the engineering sector.

Incidentally, the high cost of production is directly linked to the rising input cost, which has eroded competitiveness of our exports. Pakistan's low standing in the international engineering sector can be gauged from the fact it had a share of only $270 million per annum in 2005 in the $6 trillion world engineering trade.

Obviously, renewed and focused efforts would be needed to achieve sustainable growth in the country's engineering sector, which has been rightly termed as the backbone of the manufacturing sector. The international engineering sector accounts for as much as 56 percent of the entire world trade, which shows the importance that is attached to the engineering industry.

A study on the newly industrialised economies such as Korea, Malaysia and Singapore has meanwhile found that engineering sector had spearheaded economic transformation in these economies. Being the fulcrum of industrial transformation activity, the engineering industry has been rightly termed as the prime mover of economic growth in such economies.

It is now widely believed that the key to achieving self-reliance and economic independence through import substitution in major areas lies in the engineering sector. Its benefits to the economy include generation of employment opportunities as a spin-off effect, as well as the socio-political and economic uplift of the country; increased export earnings, improved trade balance and the saving of foreign exchange.

Pakistan will have to establish more steel mills to meet its requirements, if it wants to impart vibrancy to its engineering industry. As a rule of the thumb, a country wishing to raise the living standard of its people cannot ignore its engineering sector.

A major cause of the slump in Pakistan's manufacturing sector - a twin of the engineering sector - is that this sector has largely revolved around the traditional low value-added industries - a policy that needs to be discarded. Secondly, investment in upgrading technology has been quite low and diversification in the emerging markets, products and processes has been either slow or nearly stagnant.

Thirdly, an efficient international high-quality investment chain, which is an essential pre-requisite for the local industry to flourish, has been conspicuously absent, due mainly to the bundling of raw material, parts and modules by the multinationals in their assembly-oriented systems, which has discouraged progress of the local vendor industry.

Diversifying the manufacturing sector, developing the SMEs and increasing productivity are the major targets that need to be achieved in the manufacturing sector, for it to develop competitiveness at the international level. The time has come for Pakistan to make critical choices to ensure sustainable growth of its manufacturing sector in the rapidly changing and highly competitive international environment of today.

This calls for making large-scale structural changes, a shift in the production paradigm to technology and knowledge-based industrialisation, with particular emphasis on qualitative growth of an integrated and competitive engineering industry. Further, the share of engineering, electronics, pharmaceutical, chemical and non-metallic mineral products should be suitably increased to revitalise these sub-sectors.

However, the liquidity crunch in the banking sector has played a contributory role in creating slump in the engineering sector. The government should consider making a rational cut in taxes on engineering sector, to spur its growth, though no levy of taxes on brand manufactories, as demanded by the KCCI sub-committee would amount to taking things rather too far.

The government should devise a new policy on engineering sector by factoring in all its needs for attaining competitive growth. The government should carefully weigh all the proposals made by the KCCI sub-committee, and accept only those that are in the larger interest of national economy.
 
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KARACHI (May 19 2009): After India's exit from the Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) Gas Pipeline Project, Pakistan and Iran are about to finalise the project, which has become Iran-Pakistan (IP) Gas Pipeline Project. Advisor to the Prime Minister on Petroleum and Natural Resources Dr Asim Hussain said this while talking to media at the inaugural ceremony of a four-day "Pakistan Oil, Gas and Energy Exhibition and Conference 2009" (Pogee-09) at Karachi Expo Center, here on Monday.

"I will visit Iran to finalise the remaining issues with the Iranian authorities relating to this important project soon," he said. The construction work on the project would start during the current year, he added. Dr Asim pointed out that prices of petroleum products and gas would be reduced this week. "I am unable to tell the exact date and the amount of relief, however, I can say that the prices would be reduced any time during this week," he added. He said that he will be visiting Iran this month to discuss Iran-Pakistan (IP) Gas Pipeline Project with the Iranian authorities.

He said that progress on Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India Gas Pipeline Project is satisfactory. He admitted that Pakistan was facing severe energy crisis, however, the government and his ministry have planned a strategy to address the issue. He said that work on Thar Coal Project would start soon.

He said that drilling in various fields would start by different oil and gas exploration companies during the current year. He said the government was collecting Rs 13 billion per month on account of Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) and after reduction in POL prices, this amount will reduce substantially. However, he said, the government will bridge this gap with other resources.

Dr Asim Hussain in his speech at the opening ceremony expressed his pleasure on the participation of foreign companies in the event. He said that Pakistan is producing 70,000 barrels of oil against the requirement of 370,000 barrels, while the production of natural gas is 3.9 BCF.

The adviser brought to light the issues of the Iranian and Turkmenistan gas pipeline projects. He said that the Iranians have completed the pipeline close to the border, which will be completed within a short span of time. Dr Hussain also announced the ministry's hydrocarbon vision for the next 20 years. Later, Dr Asim Hussain inaugurated the 7th Pakistan Oil, Gas and Energy Exhibition & Conference - Pogee 2009 and the 5th International Fire and Security Exhibition & Conference - FIRE & SECURITY Pakistan 2009.

The inaugural ceremony was also attended by Farhat Hussain, President of Fire Protection Association of Pakistan (FPAP); Abdul Sami Khan, Chairman CNG Dealers Association and Pakistan Petroleum Dealers Association; and Aasim Haq, Director SAP Pakistan.

Farhat Hussain, speaking on the occasion, stressed on acquiring latest equipment and technology for fire fighting. He said that exhibitions such as fire and security provide a perfect platform to achieve such objectives. Abdul Sami Khan praised the decision of the Supreme Court for reducing the price of petrol and CNG and stressed on the need to hold high-level meetings to resolve the energy problems.

Asim A Siddiqui, Chairman and Managing Director of Pegasus Consultancy - the event managing company- in his address of welcome said that the aim to organise such exhibitions is to attract more foreign investors and foreign direct investment in the country.

He said that such exhibitions play key role in building the image of the country globally. "Pakistan is one of the largest gas producer and also a consumer in the world. There is much potential to explore more reserves in the country. "We can convey our massage globally that there is much potential in Pakistan in the oil, gas and energy sector.

He said that it was the fifth exhibition being organised by them during the current year. The ceremony was largely attended by the diplomats, industry leaders and professionals and exhibitors. Pogee and FIRE & SECURITY Pakistan 2009 are together playing host to more than 300 companies from 31 countries including China, Iran, Austria, UAE, UK and the US.
 
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ISLAMABAD (May 19 2009): Japan on Monday pledged around US $20 million (2 billion Japanese Yen) Non-Project Grant Aid (NPGA) to Pakistan for budgetary support. The notes for the NPGA were duly signed and exchanged between Chihiro Atsumi, Ambassador of Japan to Pakistan and Farrukh Qayyum, Secretary, Economic Affairs Division (EAD) here.

Addressing the signing ceremony, Chihiro Atsumi, Ambassador of Japan said that NPGA will be utilised for importing commodities and machinery such as oil, medicine, fertiliser, and tractors etc, which are necessary for economic and social uplift. He also said that government of Pakistan could use it for the internally displaced persons (IDPs).

"The Government of Pakistan will deposit all the proceeds from sale and lease of these commodities and machinery in Pakistani currency in "Counter Value Fund" expected to be utilised for economic and social development in Pakistan, Chihiro Atsumi said.

He said that NPGA is an important assistance that can be delivered quickly, and represents the long term commitment of the Japanese government for the development of Pakistan as well as the stability of the region. He said that Japan had also hosted Friends of Pakistan meeting and also announced one billion dollars for Pakistan that would be in shape of soft loan and grant. He said that it depends on Pakistan where to use the amount, announced in FOP meeting.

Farrukh Qayyum, Secretary, Economic Affairs Division (EAD) said that Japan has been a partner for development in Pakistan, and it had always supported in hour of need. He thanked the Japanese government for hosting the FOP meeting, which according to him was a remarkable success. He said that the pledged grant of $20 million by Japan would be available for budgetary support, and it would be used for the projects where the budget of Pakistan had no space.

He said that government of Japan would disburse the grant within next two to three weeks. He also said that Pakistan values government of Japan's assistance in the fields of education, health, energy, environment, disaster management in general and for this grant in particular. Farrukh Qayyum noted that assistance by Japan has played a key role in the development of our social sector with specific focus on human resource development and poverty reduction.
 
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LAHORE (May 19 2009): A 20-member delegation of Malaysian professionals, entrepreneurs, traders and investors is visiting Pakistan from May 25 to June 2 to explore business, trade and investment opportunities in Pakistan. The visit has been planned by Malaysia's External Trade Development Corporation (MATRADE).

According to the Commercial Counsellor of Pakistan in Kuala Lumpur, mission, during its stay in Pakistan, will visit Karachi, Islamabad and Lahore and would meet trade, investment and industrial representative bodies. The delegation will undertake factory visits, besides studying the market potential for Malaysian products and services in Pakistan and to forge business ties with their Pakistani counterparts.

Officials say that objective of the mission is to promote Malaysian products and services as well as explore market opportunities in Pakistan and to cultivate direct business contacts between businessmen in the two countries and take advantage of Malaysia-Pakistan free trade agreement (FTA).

According to Director of International Networking Division of MATRADE Dzulkifli Mahmud, the visit is in line with the Malaysia's vision to increase the volume of trade between the two countries from its exiting level of 1.17 billion dollars to 10 billion dollars by 2015.

The delegation also includes representatives of Professional Skills Development Corporation of Malaysia (PSDC), representatives of which during their visit will explore bilateral co-operation in services sectors of the two countries, particularly in the field of capacity building of Pakistani professionals.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

KARACHI: Unemployment is on rise in Pakistan since the beginning of fiscal year 2009. According to an analysis about 0.3 million people have lost jobs in the aftermath of world recession and slowdown of local economy. The exodus of laid-off expatriate workers back to Pakistan is yet to come.

The worst part of this scenario is partial awareness at the government level. No concerned ministries, departments and officials have any estimate, as to how many people were unemployed and to what intensity the exodus of Pakistani expatriates would be. They, however, are not clueless on the subject too.

Ministry of Labour & Manpower; Board of Investment; International Labour Organisation; Friends of Pakistan (a representative organisation of about 10 million acclaimed overseas working Pakistanis); Immigration Department; and Ministry of Overseas Pakistanis; all replied to this correspondent that they had no specific data, which can tell the number of non-resident Pakistanis coming home after losing jobs.

Friends of Pakistan, Country Coordinator, Abdullah Butt said he cannot give any estimate, even rough, as to how many Pakistanis would come back following the loss of their jobs over there.

“A number of Pakistanis have lost jobs abroad, but many of them were still staying there waiting for their children examination to end in June 2009 - especially in Dubai and the West,” he explained.

Last month, Pakistan witnessed an abnormal increase of about 19 per cent in remittances received for the first 10-monhts of fiscal year 2009 against same period of last year. Experts, including Minister of Overseas Pakistani Dr. Farooq Sattar, were of the view that this massive increase in remittances was seen as non-residents were transferring their savings to Pakistan before leaving their host counties.

Ministry of Labour, Islamabad Bureau, Director General told that his ministry and department maintains the data of Pakistanis going abroad for job but no data of expat workers coming back.

He further said that his department has noticed an increase of five to six per cent of people going abroad for job in March 2009 as compared to corresponding month in 2008. Employers’ Association of Pakistan (EAP) Industrial Relations Committee (IRC) Chairman, Fashiul Kareem Siddiqui, said that many of the Pakistanis returning from abroad were working in IT and software designing departments, while majority of construction labour working in Dubai was from India and Bangladesh and not Pakistan.

As far as the job cut here in Pakistan is concerned then it should be around 30 per cent on an average, Siddiqui gave a rough estimate. Highest job losses were recoded in the banking and textile sectors that were the worst affected industries in recent economic slowdown, he said. The telecom sector has laid-off about 10 per cent of employees.

Access Consulting CEO Zohair Ashir giving his estimates developed on the basis of data gathered from different sectors said about 0.3 million people had lost jobs in Pakistan since recent recession began. This includes 7,000 employees sacked by one of the banks functioning in the country. He, however, did not disclose the name of that particular bank.

According to his estimates the unemployment rate in Pakistan has surged to 30-32 per cent, which includes the unemployment in informal, unregulated and undocumented sectors. Leading economist S. Akber Zaidi said the other day that unemployment was one of four major fallouts in the country, which took place in the aftermath of world economic recession.

He was of the view that Pakistan was not among the worst affected countries of world recession, but it faced the worst owing to misconduct of economic affairs at local governmental levels.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

KARACHI: Pakistan’s current account deficit increased 88 per cent to $457 million in April 2009 compared to the previous month as imports outstripped exports at a greater pace, State Bank of Pakistan’s data showed on Monday.

Trade deficit increased 22 per cent to $845m in April from $694m in March which along with a fall in workers’ remittances scarred an otherwise good performance of the 10-month current account.

Remittances were slightly down to $698m in April compared to $739m received in March. “Oil price was higher last month and so was the volume of oil imports,” said Fawad Khan, Head of Research at KASB Securities, about the April deficit. “One of the refineries was closed for maintenance while demand for furnace oil was up.”

From July-April 2008-09, the current account deficit improved and came down to $8.5 billion from $11.1bn recorded in the same period of previous year. The April numbers reflect the vulnerabilities attached with the current account balance of the country, which had to take a loan from the International Monetary Fund last year to avert a balance of payments’ crisis.

While remittances over the 10-month period increased to $6.3bn from $5.3bn, experts are voicing concern over its sustainability as people continue to lose jobs abroad because of global recession.

“Definitely, a drop in home remittances will have a negative effect on the current account balance,” said Khan of KASB. The State Bank has already cautioned the government against too much reliance on remittances to bridge the current account deficit.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

HYDERABAD: Sindh Fisheries Minister Zahid Ali Bhurgri has said that fish export to European countries, which is banned, would start by July this year for which a delegation from the European Union will visit Pakistan soon.

He stated this while briefing the first sitting of Sindh Information Department (SID) Media Forum established at the Regional Directorate of Information Hyderabad, here on Monday. The forum is aimed at getting the point of view of the government functionaries, VVIPs and other personalities on socio-economic development and achievements.

Briefing journalists after inaugurating the forum, the fisheries minister said the European Union had prohibited import of fish from Pakistan because of unhygienic conditions. He said the government considering fisheries as a big economic sector, had introduced some reforms in fish harbour and facilitated fishermen in increasing and improving fish production. He said all the reservations raised by the European Union have been addressed by providing fibre boats, crates, ice box and ice plant machines to the fishermen of the Karachi harbour.

In addition to that, he said a water ambulance has also been provided to the fishermen and a watch tower has been installed to warn the fishermen about sea cyclones. As a result, he said, not only fish production has been increased up to 31 per cent but quality of production has also improved up to international level.

He said that a delegation from the European Union was due in Pakistan shortly to inspect and allow fish export. Replying to a question, Zahid Ali Bhurgri said that production of 253 tons of fish is being achieved per day at Karachi Fish Harbor while annual export of dollars 250 million was being made from other than European countries at present.

He said that according to estimate as many as 3.8 million acres of land in Sindh was lying abandoned due to water logging and salinity. He said now the Sindh government has decided to utilize this abandoned land by establishing hatcheries and fishing ponds under the public private partnership not only to raise the fishing production but also eradicate the unemployment from the society. He said the Sindh government has decided to constitute Fishermen Welfare Board.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

APCC documents reveal proposal for federal share in PSDP at Rs294.4bn with foreign aid component seen at Rs41.4bn

ISLAMABAD: The government is all set to sanction an allocation of Rs17.147 billion for development projects of Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) in the Public Sector Development Program (PSDP) for 2009-10 against revised allocation of Rs15 billion for outgoing fiscal 2008-09, envisaging an increase by around 11 per cent.

The Annual Plan Coordination Committee (APCC) will consider recommending Rs294.4 billion as federal share in the PSDP with foreign aid component of Rs41.4 billion in its scheduled meeting on April 22, 2009, a working paper prepared for the APCC, a copy of which is available with The News states on Monday.

The working paper also reveals that the government is proposing Rs447.4 million allocations for consideration of the APCC approval for Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory Authority (PNRA) in the next budget 2009-10 against revised allocation of Rs257.5 million for the outgoing fiscal 2008-09.

For Defence Division including SUPARCO, the government has envisaged allocation of Rs5.391 billion in 2009-10 against revised allocation of Rs2.295 billion in the outgoing fiscal year.

For Interior Division, the government has envisaged allocation of Rs5 billion in 2009-10 whereas the allocation for Law, Justice and Human Rights Division will be jacked up to Rs2.551 billion in the next PSDP for 2009-10 against Rs1.5 billion for ongoing fiscal year 2008-09. For much trumpeted National Reconstruction Bureau (NRB) during the era of Musharraf regime, the PPP led government is going to earmark Rs1 million PSDP for the next fiscal year.

The Planning Commission asked an outlay of Rs473 billion for the PSDP with local component of Rs359 billion and foreign aid component of Rs114 billion for 2009-10.

Against actual demands of the executing agencies of Rs851 billion outlay for the PSDP, the Priorities Committee has recommended Rs294.4 billion as federal share of the PSDP to the APCC, which will finalize its allocation on May 22, 2009. The APCC will recommend its size of PSDP to the National Economic Council, a competent body to approve the exact size of the PSDP when it will meet with Prime Minister in the chair on June 1, 2009.

For Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Authority (ERRA), the government has indicated an allocation of Rs25 billion in the next budget 2009-10. Out of total Rs294.4 billion as federal share of the PSDP for the next budget, there is an allocation of Rs192 billion for the federal ministries, Rs35 billion for special programs, Rs27.4 billion for special areas and Rs40 billion for corporations.

For proposed sectoral allocation, the APCC will consider recommendations of Rs133.1 billion for infrastructure, Rs134.7 billion for social sector, Rs10.8 billion for production supporting sector, Rs10.7 billion for science & technology and Rs5.1 billion for environment in 2009-10. There is zero allocation indicated for Overseas Pakistanis Division in the fiscal year 2009-10.

The proposed 2009-10 development program places equal emphasis on the development of social sector (45.1 per cent) and physical infrastructure (45.7 per cent). The social sector allocation includes Rs29 billion out of which education and Higher Education Rs22.2 billion and health Rs4.8 billion.

Within infrastructure, Rs47.3 billion, Rs31.8 billion and Rs42.9 billion have been proposed to allocate for water, power and transport & communication sectors respectively for the next PSDP.

The working paper clearly states that the federal allocation of Rs294 billion by the Priorities Committee does not even fully meet funding requirements of ongoing projects. To maintain the momentum of development and accommodate present government’s development priorities and initiatives given in the nine point agenda, the size of the PSDP should be enhanced to a reasonable level. “Additional funds would be required to finance government’s priority programs such as skill development, construction of grain storages, cool chains and many others,” the working paper added.

The ministries/division wise proposed allocations envisaged Rs34.454bn for water sector, Rs14bn for power sector, Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission Rs17.147bn, Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory Authority Rs447.4m, Petroleum & Natural Resources Rs580m, Communication Division including NHA Rs26.165bn, Ports and Shipping Rs200m, Railways Division Rs8.968bn, Social Programs Rs35bn, Finance Division Rs10.189bn, Planning and Development Division Rs4.675bn, Local Government & Rural Development RS224m, Tourism Division Rs32.5m, Housing & Works Rs3.019bn, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Rs250m, Narcotics Control Division Rs611m, Education Division Rs6.482bn, Higher Education Commission Rs22.5bn, Health Division Rs20bn, Population Welfare Division Rs4.770bn, Women Development Division Rs173m, Social Welfare and Special Education Rs329m, and Labour & Manpower Division Rs121.4m.

The government has envisaged an allocation of Rs392m for Culture Division, Rs297.5m for Sports Division, Rs47.8m for Youth Affairs Division, Rs2.065bn for Cabinet Division, Rs639.8m for Information and Broadcast Division, Rs1.560bn for Defence Production Division, and Rs16.880m for Food and Agriculture Division.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
By By our correspondent

KARACHI: The Overseas Investors’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (OICCI) have recommended mandatory documentation of all sectors of the economy including real estate, agriculture, capital markets and manufacturing.

In their budget proposal for 2009-2010, the OICCI said that by making documentation mandatory, the government will be able to substantially increase the tax revenue as about 40 to 50 per cent of the total manufacturing in Pakistan is done by the medium and small scale manufacturing sector operating in the unorganized sector. Salient features of the proposals are as follows:

Reduce Rate of Corporation Tax to Below 30%: Pakistan has one of the highest rates of corporate tax in the region. This discourages investors from coming in the country as regional competitors not only offer lower rates but also better security and infrastructure facilities. It is, therefore, recommended that the corporate tax rate be gradually reduced from 35 to 28 per cent over the period of 2 to 3 years to make it compatible with other countries in the region.

Rebates and Tax Credits to Encourage Reinvestment of Capital: Through such measures the effective rate may be reduced with corresponding economic benefits. In Pakistan all such benefits, except accelerated depreciation have been removed. It is imperative to re-introduce rebates and tax credits to encourage re-investment of capital in the business.

Outsourcing of Audit Function: An audit can never be a tax collection measure, especially where there is inelasticity in constituents and delinquents are effectively outside the tax net. Moreover, the high levels of compliance set for tax payers usually result in harassment rather than having any value addition. A process of independent audit outsourced to professionals can be implemented as an interim measure to build confidence levels.

Cascading in Import Duty Structure: Throughout the world subsidiary and allied industries flourish when a sustainable base for the primary manufacturing sector is provided. However, it has been observed that over the past decades, ‘cascading’ adjustments for local industries have been fundamentally disturbed. The current duty structure encourages the import of finished goods rather than manufacturing even in those cases where reasonable manufacturing facilities are available in Pakistan. FBR and the National Tariff Commission (NTC) need to undertake a long term holistic exercise for the development of an industrial and manufacturing policy for the country to encourage the manufacturing sector.

Zero Rated Import of Plant Machinery & Equipment, Spares and Raw Materials Not Locally Available: Up front duties and taxes on the import of Plant Equipment & Machinery, Spares and Raw materials not locally available hamper industrial growth by limiting the amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and suppressing the export potential of industries by raising costs. Zero rated import of all plant equipment and raw materials which are not locally manufactured will result in foreign direct investment, local skill development and incremental revenue to the government from alternate revenue sources such as sales and corporate taxes which would more often then not offset the revenue lost by the government.

Quantitative Ceiling on Imports for Afghanistan (ATT): Agreement of a ‘quantitative ceiling’ for imports for Afghanistan (Afghan Transit Treaty) and streamlining of exchange control mechanism is required so that administrative and economic barriers are placed to control smuggling.

Consolidation of All Labor Levies with a Rate of 2 to 3% (WWF and WPPF): In Pakistan, the corporate tax rate is 35 per cent. An additional 2 per cent Workers’ Welfare Fund (WWF) and 5 per cent Workers’ Profit Participation Fund (WPPF) is levied. This effectively makes the rate equal to 42 per cent which is one of the highest corporate tax rates in the world. Government should consolidate of all labor levies with a rate of 2 to 3 per cent in line with regional standards; or allow companies to utilize the contribution for the welfare of labor in the form of providing health, education and housing for their factory employees or in the areas their factories/industries are located.

Presumptive Tax Regime be Eliminated Sector by Sector or for Documented Companies: An effective tax system requires identical procedures for the same kind of business, without any discrimination between sectors. PTR has been made inapplicable for the manufacturing sector. It is recommended that this practice should be extended to other sectors which are properly documented and should eventually be abolished completely. Continuation of PTR is a major bottleneck in the sustainable growth of Tax to GDP ratio.

Overall Rate of Indirect Taxes Needs to be Reviewed and Reduced: At present effective indirect tax rate is 28 percent (16 % GST + 12 % FED). This high level of taxation encourages a substantial part of the manufacturing base to operate in the unorganized sector. There is a need to review the issue of overall incidence of indirect taxes so that possibilities and comparative advantages of evasion are reduced and minimized. It is also recommended that the rate of Value Added Tax (VAT) be brought down to 10 per cent over a period of two years encompassing all sectors and segments of the economy specially the services sector.

Overhaul or Introduction of Sales Tax on the Whole Supply Chain: Sales tax of 2 per cent at the import stage has been levied on all products. The rationale for this levy is that in the case of imported products, the subsequent supply chain is unorganized and therefore, tax on the whole chain of value addition needs to be collected at the import stage. Additionally, there is no contribution by the medium and small scale manufacturing sector which is responsible for 40 to 50% of all manufacturing taking place in Pakistan. Such an instance, therefore, highlights the need for overhaul or introduction of sales tax on the whole supply chain.

Promotion of Retirement Benefits: There should be encouragement for promotion of retirement benefit schemes complemented with schemes for investment by such funds in investments required for industrial growth.

Special Benches For Tax Cases: Delay in ultimate decision by the appellate authorities and their quality is a hurdle in the development of a tax base. To improve quality and capacity of the first stage of appeal, it is recommended that special benches for tax cases be set-up. It has been noticed that even after judgment is received, execution is delayed. This needs to be reviewed. 13. Allowability of NPL for Banks: Debts considered as ‘Loss’ under the Prudential Regulations as issued by SBP (as applicable at that time) be allowed as deduction (Pre-7th Schedule). The amendments in the Prudential Regulations (Post 7th Schedule) revived the ‘Forced Sale Value’ (FSV) of collateral which was not accounted for before. Now the State Bank of Pakistan for its own purposes has allowed credit for proportion of FSV.

Allocation of Expenses Should be Streamlined - Banks: There are inconsistencies in the treatment of allocation of expenses for income exempt from tax. This issue attains importance for banks as there is substantial investment in shares where capital gain is exempt from tax. It is suggested that the matter of disallowance of allocation of expenses against exempt income should be streamlined. Specific rules need to be introduced to the effect that allocation of expenses has to be made on the basis of ‘amount invested’ in exempt securities rather than earning there from.

Transitional Provisions for Banks and Provision for Consumer Loans: Unabsorbed depreciation and written down value for assets on finance lease outstanding as at December 31, 2007 should be allowed over a five year period. Furthermore, there is a need to revise the limit of 3 per cent for consumers' loan for all the years prior to Tax Year 2009. In the Seventh Schedule such deductions be allowed as are approved under the Prudential Regulations.

Clarification for Reinsurance Premium: Finance Act, 2008 has introduced withholding tax on ‘Reinsurance Premium’. Such withholding is not applicable where the recipient is protected by the Double Taxation Treaty (DTT). A clarification needs to be issued that where there is DTT protection and the re-insurer is not in Pakistan, either directly or through agent, provision relating to withholding shall not apply; In all other cases, standard requirement of information will apply.

Withholding for Insurance Companies of Recipient: In the case of banking companies subject to Seventh Schedule, an exemption has been provided to banks from withholding as ‘recipient’ as such entities are all in the organized sector and are subject to advance payment of tax. Same principle requires to be adopted for the insurance sector.

Tax on Transfer Pricing: Since the introduction of the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 there are very few cases where tax proceedings have been finalized under the new provisions of the Ordinance. All the cases from Tax Year 2004 to Tax Year 2008 are effectively exposed to action by tax officers on the matter of Transfer Pricing. However, fiscal issues relating to non-arm’s length consideration are a matter of determination of fact rather than application and interpretation of any law. The OECD model also supports the same principle. It is suggested that agreed upon processes be undertaken to prescribe the procedures for implementation of fiscal measure for taxing non-arm’s length transactions.

Resolution of Input Tax Adjustments: In Pakistan, credits for input taxes are treated as inadmissible whilst determining the overall tax liability in many cases. This results in higher rates for sales tax and federal excises. This problem emanates on account of improper implementation rather than any provision of law. It is required that implementation issues in the admissibility of input tax in sales tax be resolved and proper guidance on that matter be obtained from other countries where such systems are already in operation.

Federal Excise Duty: In Pakistan, input tax for Federal Excise Duty (FED) for many sectors is not allowable under the law. This places the said tax outside the ambit of VAT regime. It needs to be decided by the government whether such a levy is to be operated as VAT or a straight indirect tax. If the second option is to be implemented, that rate of tax will have to be reduced. OICCI considers that implementation of a full- fledged VAT with same rate, is a better option.

Franchise Fee: ‘Royalty’ payments have been subjected to FED. The term used in the law is ‘Franchise’ fee which is at time distinguishable with royalties in strict commercial and practical sense. This has lead to serious issues of interpretation and misapplication in many entities. It is, therefore, recommended that FED procedures for franchise fees be streamlined and the same be brought in line with SBP’s regulation. Such measures will resolve the issue correctly as most of the organized entities remit such fees through SBP and there are well laid down procedures for the same.

Capacity Building of Personnel - Group Taxation: Over the last two years, positive provisions have been introduced in fiscal laws for promoting the formation of holding companies and introduction of group taxation. However, like any other fiscal measure, problems are being faced in the implementation of group taxation as the issues are unique and new. Therefore it is recommended that capacity building at FBR and SECP by way of training and study of such measures in other countries be undertaken to take full advantage of such a positive provision.

No Taxation on Inter-Corporate Dividends: Group taxation requires elimination of inter-corporate dividend taxation. This matter has been taken care of in the present law. However, over the last two years virtually no group structure has evolved on account of problems relating to inter-corporate dividends. No industrial group will endeavor to switch to holding company structure unless there is a clear position with regard to no taxation on inter-corporate dividend. 24. Stock Options: In order to promote proper disclosure and taxability of stock option, it is recommended that stock option given by MNCs for Pakistani employees be treated similar to stock option given by Pakistani companies. Moreover, stock option should be taxed as capital gains.
 
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

NEW DELHI/SINGAPORE: India and Pakistan moved closer on Monday to export wheat and wheat products for the first time in several years after bumper harvests left them with surpluses.

While India is near to exporting two million tons of wheat and wheat products, Pakistan is expected to ease curbs on wheat product exports on Tuesday, taking a step closer towards allowing sales of the grain.

The export of around 2.5 million tons from the two nations, paltry in global trade of around 120 million tons, could present competition to the Black Sea wheat in the Asian and the African markets.

Rising global wheat stocks have pressured the benchmark Chicago Board of Trade wheat this year, even though the market has found some strength in recent weeks on delay in US spring wheat plantings.

India will shortly allow exports of 2 million tons of wheat and wheat products, but it will not subsidise shipments, Trade Secretary GK Pillai told Reuters.

“Exports will be allowed through select ports. This has been done to monitor how much wheat is being exported,” he said, adding a formal government order would be issued shortly. Indian traders said they were ready to immediately start exporting to neighbouring countries such as Bangladesh and Nepal but sales to other destinations needed government subsidy.Wheat from India’s eastern state of Bihar, where government agencies have not bought wheat, can be supplied to Bangladesh even at current international prices.

“Wheat exports to Bangladesh and Nepal are viable,” said one Mumbai-based trader. “Wheat sourced from Bihar can be delivered to these two countries at $230 per tonne.” India, which sets the price of wheat it buys from farmers, announced a minimum support price for wheat of Rs1,080 per 100 kg, or $225 per ton, to ensure adequate returns for farmers.

Black Sea wheat is quoted around $230-235 a ton, including cost and freight to Southeast Asia. Traders said exports to other regions were not viable without government subsidy. “Theoretically, allowing exports without subsidy is fine, but practically it may not happen without government subsidy as international prices of wheat and wheat products are lower,” said Vinod Kapoor, former head of Wheat Products Promotion Society.

In neighbouring Pakistan, the country’s economic panel is expected to meet on Tuesday and allow sale of wheat products after the procurement this year reached eight million tons, the highest in seven years.

“The economic coordination committee meeting will take place tomorrow,” said Shahid Raja, additional secretary in Pakistan’s food and agriculture ministry. “We are pretty sure it will be allowed tomorrow, they will revoke the ban on wheat product exports.”

He said Pakistan is likely to sell up to 500,000 tons of wheat products to Afghanistan and the Middle East. Pakistan, which consumes about 22 million tons of wheat a year, is expected to harvest a bumper crop of more than 24 million tons because the area under the crop rose following favourable growing conditions. Two years of bumper harvests lifted India’s wheat stocks to 29.8 million tons on May 1, rising by two-thirds from a year ago.
 
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ISLAMABAD: United States has agreed to consider Pakistan’s demand for allowing market access on preferences to compensate trade losses due to war on terror as well as forming long-term partnership for promotion of bilateral trade, Salman Ghani, Federal Secretary Commerce informed here on Monday.

At the conclusion of the meeting of advisory council held to solicit proposals from trade bodies for finalising Trade Policy 2009-12, Secretary Commerce informed that during the recent visit of US issues related to trade and Reconstruction Opportunity Zones (ROZs) were discussed at length.

He said that Pakistan has demanded US to allow immediate market access to compensate trade losses the country has sustained due to the war on terror. The US authorities have not expressed any denial to the Pakistani demand. Both sides have agreed to form a Joint Study Group to workout modalities of market access on preferences long-term partnership for promotion of bilateral trade. He said that Joint Study Group is expected to be formed next month representation from both sides. He informed that the export target of $22.1 billion was too ambitious as the world trade, according to the World Trade Organization’s figure, is growing by 6 percent and our export target envisages 15 percent growth. Its now difficult to achieve this ambitious export target in ongoing fiscal year and exports are likely to be at the level of last fiscal, he added.

Explaining the reasons of low growth in exports, secretary informed that demand is shrinking world wide due to the low credit demand and financial crisis especially in US and European Union, which are the major trading partners of Pakistan. He said that as per past practice the Ministry of Commerce would submit its tariff proposals to Federal Board of Revenue in a meeting to be held next week. MoC want tariff rationalisation and more liberalised trade regime in the country, as the current tariff structure is not enhancing exports.

He said MoC has decided to prepare Trade Policy Framework for the next three years based on medium-term initiatives. To finalise the proposals, the ministry has decided to hold detailed discussion with its all stakeholders. After the advisory council’s meeting the MoC would hold separate meeting with all major exporters associations in the head offices to complete this process during June so that a policy with its implementation strategy that would also be finalised in consultation with stakeholders. sajid chaudhry
 
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