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USDA Attache: Pakistan's 2007-08 Rice Exports Surge
Editor: Sharon Li
6 Nov 2008
Unfettered by government intervention or an export ban, Pakistan rice exports surged in MY 2007/08 to an estimated at 4.2 million metric tons, positioning Pakistan to overtake the United States as the world's third largest exporter of rice, according to a U.S. Department of Agriculture attache report posted Wednesday on the Foreign Agricultural Services Web site.
Access to last season's strong international prices encouraged farmers to move additional planting area to rice, and as a result, MY2008/09 rice production is estimated to reach a record 6.3 million tons.
In light of this year's bumper crop and the softening of international prices, the Government of Pakistan has announced its intention to purchase one million tons of domestic paddy in an effort to support local prices. The trade is wary of any government intervention in this highly successful, private-sector led market and has responded cautiously to the government's rice procurement scheme.
RICE Production
Based on Government of Pakistan (GOP) data, Post's estimate of MY 2006/07 rice production was increased (5 percent) to 5.45 million metric tons (MMT), the MY 2007/08 production estimate was increased (4 percent) to 5.7 MMT, and the MY 2008/09 estimate increased by (12.5 percent) to a record 6.3 MMT. An expansion in area planted to rice coupled with timely rains and reduced pest activity contributed to this year's record crop production level.
In response to this year's bumper crop and the tempering of international prices, the GOP has announced a procurement scheme to purchase one million tons of domestic paddy in an effort to support prices received by farmers. The state owned organization Pakistan Agricultural Services and Storage Corporation (PASSCO) will purchase the paddy at a support price of PKR 700 per 40 Kg (USD 219/MT: 1USD=Rs 80) for coarse varieties. A paddy support price for "Super Basmati" was announced on October 30, 2008 at PKR 1,500 per 40 Kg (USD 468/MT) and a paddy price for Basmati 385/2000 of PKR 1,250 per 40 Kg (USD 390/MT). The Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP) has expressed concern about the government's decision to intervene in this highly successful, private-sector led market.
Consumption
Strong international demand and prices, coupled with the government's establishment of a minimum export price (MEP) contributed to a steep increase in 2008 domestic rice prices. In September 2008, retail rice prices were about 60 percent higher than last year's prices. As a result, Pakistan rice consumption in MY 2007/08 is estimated at 2.0 MMT, down about 18 percent from the previous year. Consumption is expected to rebound somewhat (10 percent) in MY 2008/09 and is estimated at 2.2 MMT.
Trade
In response to high international prices Pakistan rice exports surged in MY 2007/08 to an estimated 4.2 MMT, positioning Pakistan as the world's third largest rice exporter. Traders estimate that this year's rice export earnings could top out at more than $2 billion, likely making Pakistan the world's second largest rice exporter on a value basis. Rice exports are projected to remain strong in MY 2008/09 and are estimated at 4.0 MMT.
Stocks
Due to higher exports, MY 2007/08 ending stocks are projected to decline and are estimated at 200,000 metric tons. In response to this year's record crop production and the taming of international rice prices, stocks are expected to recover in MY 2008/09 and are estimated at 300 TMT. Here-to-fore, stocks have been held in relatively small lots by the private sector. It is unclear at this point; however, how the government's new procurement scheme will affect the country's stock situation in the coming year.
http://www.news.alibaba.com
Editor: Sharon Li
6 Nov 2008
Unfettered by government intervention or an export ban, Pakistan rice exports surged in MY 2007/08 to an estimated at 4.2 million metric tons, positioning Pakistan to overtake the United States as the world's third largest exporter of rice, according to a U.S. Department of Agriculture attache report posted Wednesday on the Foreign Agricultural Services Web site.
Access to last season's strong international prices encouraged farmers to move additional planting area to rice, and as a result, MY2008/09 rice production is estimated to reach a record 6.3 million tons.
In light of this year's bumper crop and the softening of international prices, the Government of Pakistan has announced its intention to purchase one million tons of domestic paddy in an effort to support local prices. The trade is wary of any government intervention in this highly successful, private-sector led market and has responded cautiously to the government's rice procurement scheme.
RICE Production
Based on Government of Pakistan (GOP) data, Post's estimate of MY 2006/07 rice production was increased (5 percent) to 5.45 million metric tons (MMT), the MY 2007/08 production estimate was increased (4 percent) to 5.7 MMT, and the MY 2008/09 estimate increased by (12.5 percent) to a record 6.3 MMT. An expansion in area planted to rice coupled with timely rains and reduced pest activity contributed to this year's record crop production level.
In response to this year's bumper crop and the tempering of international prices, the GOP has announced a procurement scheme to purchase one million tons of domestic paddy in an effort to support prices received by farmers. The state owned organization Pakistan Agricultural Services and Storage Corporation (PASSCO) will purchase the paddy at a support price of PKR 700 per 40 Kg (USD 219/MT: 1USD=Rs 80) for coarse varieties. A paddy support price for "Super Basmati" was announced on October 30, 2008 at PKR 1,500 per 40 Kg (USD 468/MT) and a paddy price for Basmati 385/2000 of PKR 1,250 per 40 Kg (USD 390/MT). The Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP) has expressed concern about the government's decision to intervene in this highly successful, private-sector led market.
Consumption
Strong international demand and prices, coupled with the government's establishment of a minimum export price (MEP) contributed to a steep increase in 2008 domestic rice prices. In September 2008, retail rice prices were about 60 percent higher than last year's prices. As a result, Pakistan rice consumption in MY 2007/08 is estimated at 2.0 MMT, down about 18 percent from the previous year. Consumption is expected to rebound somewhat (10 percent) in MY 2008/09 and is estimated at 2.2 MMT.
Trade
In response to high international prices Pakistan rice exports surged in MY 2007/08 to an estimated 4.2 MMT, positioning Pakistan as the world's third largest rice exporter. Traders estimate that this year's rice export earnings could top out at more than $2 billion, likely making Pakistan the world's second largest rice exporter on a value basis. Rice exports are projected to remain strong in MY 2008/09 and are estimated at 4.0 MMT.
Stocks
Due to higher exports, MY 2007/08 ending stocks are projected to decline and are estimated at 200,000 metric tons. In response to this year's record crop production and the taming of international rice prices, stocks are expected to recover in MY 2008/09 and are estimated at 300 TMT. Here-to-fore, stocks have been held in relatively small lots by the private sector. It is unclear at this point; however, how the government's new procurement scheme will affect the country's stock situation in the coming year.
http://www.news.alibaba.com