Discount rate hike to hurt industry: FPCCI
Thursday, July 31, 2008
KARACHI: Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry President Tanveer Ahmed Sheikh has expressed serious concern over the State Banks monetary policy, saying the increase of 100 basis points in discount rate will adversely affect the industry.
In a press statement, he said the raise in interest rate would further push up the cost of production, which would definitely be transferred to consumers, adding to inflationary pressures.
He strongly reacted to the SBP governors claim that stakeholders had been consulted, saying the FPCCI was not consulted at all. He pointed out that this is the fourth increase in discount rate since July 31 last year.
The discount rate was 9.5 per cent at the end of July 2007 and the rate of inflation was 7.8 per cent. It was raised by 50 basis points (10 per cent) on July 31, 2007, whereas another 50 basis points were added on February 1, 2008 to make it 10.5 per cent while inflation also increased by 1 per cent and reached 8.8 per cent, he said.
On May 23, he added, the SBP raised the discount rate by 150 basis points (12 per cent) and the rate of inflation was 17.2 per cent and now again the SBP is trying to repeat its past practice, which is statistically unfavourable for reducing inflation.
Sheikh said it was also notable that the SBP had been applying a tight monetary policy to control inflation since last year but inflation had been rising continuously which showed that the central bank was preparing monetary policy without studying the nature of inflation.
In Pakistan, he pointed out, the inflation was not demand-push, which could be controlled through a tight monetary policy. Instead, the major causes of rising inflation in the country were hike in prices of oil, wheat and other food items. All these are inelastic products and the monetary policy cannot control their prices.
We have to take such measures which can improve the supply of these goods and have to improve our inventory management.
Commenting on the SBP governors statement that banks balance sheets were under stress, he said that was due to consumer financing where default ratio was high and recovery rate low. We have been emphasising that the SBP should aim to provide industrial loans instead of consumer financing since industrial development can provide more employment.
He expressed dissatisfaction over steps taken by the SBP to reduce the Karachi Inter-bank Offered Rate, saying KIBOR depends on the ability of fund lending and liquidity position of banks and determines the inter-bank market by banks demand and supply of money.
The steps taken by the SBP in the monetary policy, he added, would negatively affect banks ability to lend and would further increase KIBOR.
Discount rate hike to hurt industry: FPCCI