Revival of positive sentiments help KSE gain 797 points
Sunday, July 27, 2008
KARACHI: The revival of positive sentiments set Karachi bourse back on rails on fast pace this week ended July 25. Investors from different sections accumulated stocks on upper levels, but overseas investors ones continued to exit from market this week too.
KSE 100-share Index posted a handsome recovery of 797 points or 7.8 per cent this week and closed at 11,032 points.
In the first four sessions of this week, market recovered over nine per cent or 922 points owing to some confidence building measure the financial managers took this week. However, smart recovery ahead of SBP monetary policy announcement on Tuesday, Jul 29, convinced investors to book profits on Friday - the last session of week.
The parallel running junior 30-Index also recovered 1,119 points or 9.8 per cent and concluded at 12,526 points on week-on-week basis.
The return of investors from different walk of life to market and their purchasing of stocks at the upper levels enhanced average turnover in ready market to 140.5 million shares from 115.6 million shares of last week.
Accordingly, the overall market capitalisation also improved by Rs243.6 billion to Rs3.439 trillion this week.
Buying was seen on across the board, but insurance sector closed under selling pressure.
During the week, buyers remained active almost in all key sectors. Banking sector with a gain of 16 per cent on week-on-week basis remained the top performer followed by cement sector, which registered a gain of 8.7 per cent. On the other hand, strong buying was witnessed in the E&P sector during initial trading sessions, however, correction in international crude oil prices kept the sector under pressure in the later part of the week, Umer Ayaz at JS Research calculated.
Prior to the start of this week, market had shed over 17 per cent or 2,118 points in the last three consecutive weeks. The 10,000 points proved to be the strong resistance level and invited nominal buying (i.e. gained 22 points) on last weekend, July 18.
Thereafter, the visits by Governor State Bank Dr. Shahshad Akhter and Finance Minister Syed Naveed Qamar to Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) on Monday and Tuesday, respectively, and announcement of establishing a Rs20 billion Equity Market Opportunity Fund (EMOF) by later restored investors confidence apparently.
The objective of EMOF is to provide stability and liquidity to market in times of stress, which was finally launched on Friday, it was learnt.
In fact, market had discounted nearly by 35 per cent or 5,500 points to more than attractive level by last Thursday, July 17, from 15,676 points all time high of April 18.
The 10,000 points that has proved to be a strong resistance level and triggered buying, also received encouragement by visits of country financial managers to the Exchange, while market support fund restored full confidence among investors, who had lost hope in market, said a leading analyst.
Foreigners, however, remained net sellers in the market as depicted by NCCPL data. As per the data, net foreign selling during the week stood over Rs2 billion (or US$29.6 million). On year to date basis, cumulative selling in 2008 to date stands at US$301.9 million (as of Jul 24, 2008).
The announcement of monetary policy by the central bank on Tuesday, Jul 29, for the first half of just started fiscal year 2009, is said to be the crucial one for future course of market. SBP is likely to increases key discount rate in range of 50 basis points to 100bps to control inflation in country that had reached to a 30 years high level.
It was a rollover week that started with open interest at Rs7.2 billion. However, only Rs3.2 billion (44 per cent) was settled during the week with Rs4 billion (56 per cent) remaining unsettled. In the CFS market, investment during the week stood at Rs27 billion versus Rs27.2 billion last week depicting a meager decline of 0.7 per cent. Similarly, CFS rate declined to 14.5 per cent down 66bps on week-on-week basis.
Weekly Movement in Blue Chips
Symbols Open on Close on Difference
Monday (Rs.) Friday (Rs.) (Rs.)
Adamjee Insur. 207.64 230.1 22.46
Attock Refine. 181 220.5 39.5
DGKC 48.6 60.25 11.65
EFU Gen.Insur. 326.04 265.62 -60.42
ENGRO 211 217.52 6.52
FFBL 26.5 28.8 2.3
HBL 166.36 187.5 21.14
LUCK 75.5 87 11.5
MCB 233.08 269.13 36.05
NBP 109.99 133 23.01
OGDCL 108.3 115.75 7.45
Pak Reinsur. 63.28 56.03 -7.25
POL 271.02 313 41.98
PPL 205.27 228 22.73
PSO 386 405.03 19.03
PTCL 35.49 37.13 1.64
Revival of positive sentiments help KSE gain 797 points