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Poverty in Pakistan: Causes and Cures

Poverty is a multi-dimensional phenomenon, which encompasses economic, political and social deprivations of the people in a country. The denial of basic and essential needs to the population gives rise to the concept of poverty.

The recent global trends of poverty suggest that rapid economic growth over a prolonged period is essential for its reduction. At the macro level, economic growth implies greater availability of public resources to improve the quantity and quality of education, health and other services. At the micro level, economic growth creates employment opportunities, increases the income of the people and therefore reduces poverty.

In Pakistan, Poverty Reduction Strategy was launched by the government in 2001 in response to the rising trend in poverty during 1990s. It consisted of the following five elements:-

(a) Accelerating economic growth and maintaining macroeconomic stability,

(b) Investing in human capital,

(c) Augmenting targeted interventions;

(d) Expanding social safety nets; and

(e) Improving governance.

The net outcome of interactions among these five elements would be the expected reduction in transitory and chronic poverty on a sustained basis. The reduction in poverty and improvement in social indicators and living conditions of the society are being monitored frequently through large- scale household surveys in order to gauge their progress in meeting the targets set by Pakistan for achieving the seven UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) by 2015. According to MDGs, Pakistan is required to reduce poverty by half by 2015 from the level of 1990. To assess the state of poverty, Planning Commission, has already notified an official poverty line based on caloric norm of 2,350 calories per adult equivalence per day. This poverty line is approximately equivalent to Rs 748.56 per month per adult equivalence. in 2000-2001 (Pakistan Econmic Survey 2004-05). According to Pakistan Economic Survey, the growth oriented government policies and foreign remittances have reduced poverty significantly. At the national level, headcount decreased from 34.46 percent in 2000-01 to 23.9 percent in 2004-05 showing a reduction of 10.5 percentage point over this period of time. Annual growth of 21 percent in pro-poor expenditures during the period of 2000-01 and 2004-05 contributed to approximately 13 million people moving out of poverty. Since FY 02, the economy created 10.62 million jobs, thereby reducing the open unemployment rate to 6.2 percent by FY 05-06. Income and consumption based measures reflects only one dimension of poverty; lack of opportunity due to poor information, education and health are some dimensions in which poverty manifest itself.

According to a UNDP report, 65.5 percent population of Pakistan earns less than two dollars per day. According to the Social Policy Development Centre (SPDC), 88 percent of Balochistan’s population, 51 percent of NWFP, 21 percent of Sindh and 25 percent of Punjab’s population is prey to poverty and deprivation.

According to the ADB report, poverty is spreading in Pakistan due to the rising population, Pakistan’s internal situation, agriculture backwardness, unequal income distribution, defence expenditure, increase in utility charges and rise in unproductive activities.

Due to rapid growth of population, the number of dependents is increasing; earners have to carry the burden of the increasing number of dependents. This situation is leading to decrease in the per capita income of the people of the country.

The largest sector of the economy, the agri sector, is heading towards backwardness as 93 per cent of the farmers are concerned with small farms whose per capita land is less then 10 acres.

Some options for poverty alleviations are:

The poor in Pakistan cannot simply be seen (as much of the literature does) as free individuals suffering from merely adverse ‘resource endowments’, and making choices in more or less ‘free markets’. It is such a paradigm, which induces the government to think that all it needs to do to reduce poverty is to allocate more resources to the poor or to the local governments who are supposed to ‘represent’ them.

Similarly some of the large NGOs operating in many different districts pursue poverty alleviation by trying to provide micro credit to the poor. Increased resources by the government or micro credit by NGOs may be a necessary but is not a sufficient condition for overcoming poverty. Thus the analysis and evidence within this new poverty paradigm suggest that the key to overcoming poverty is to empower the poor to get better access over markets, governance, and the institutions that provide public services such as health care, education and justice.

The new survey evidence shows that the poor lose as much as one-third of their income due to unequal access over input and output markets and extortions by the local administration. For example, as much as 51 percent of the extremely poor tenants borrow money from the landlord.

Focus should be given to boost agriculture (agro-industry, agri-business and live stocks) to reduce poverty. It is recommended that incentives and subsidies should be given to the farmers to produce more output. It promotes jobs, increases income of the farmers, creates domestic demand for goods and services, help for controlling food inflation and improve the life of vulnerable segments of the society.

The Construction industry is the driving force of an economy because it accommodates skilled, semiskilled, and unskilled work force and contributes through a higher multiplier effect with the forward and backward linkages in the economy. The construction industry through linkages effect, with about 40 building material industries, support investment and growth climate and help reducing poverty by generating income opportunity for poor household.

The role of microfinance should be strengthened. The poor use financial services not only for business purpose but also invest in health and education to manage household emergencies. The evidence shows that health is a major trigger that pushes people into poverty and the poor into deeper poverty. Due to the inadequacy of the government’s health facilities, as many as 85 percent of the poor go to private allopathic medical practitioners for treatment.

The expenditures on such treatment are so high that poor households are obliged to borrow mostly from informal sources to finance the medical expenses of their families. Targeted poverty alleviation programmes, for instance direct transfers, such as Zakat, nutritional programs for children, employment generation through infrastructure development projects and credit based self employment program, are helpful to reduce poverty.

Many studies have shown that economic growth is a necessary, not sufficient condition to reduce poverty. A higher and sustained economic growth must be accompanied by other poverty alleviation measures such as investment in human capital like education, health and other human development activities, like safety net measures, are essential to reduce poverty. Education is considered a key to change and progress, therefore focus should be given to produce human capital that is best suited to the needs of society.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
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Government borrowings mount to Rs 1.271 trillion

KARACHI (July 15 2008): Government's borrowing for budgetary support has mounted to Rs 1.271 trillion, widening by 57 percent during the last fiscal year mainly due to the slow foreign inflows and high subsidies on commodities. Although, in July 2008 the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Dr Shamshad Akhtar had advised the government to minimise its borrowing from the central bank, else it (SBP) would use its tools to control the borrowing.

SBP statistics for last fiscal year (2008) depicted that despite SBP advice the federal government had continuously borrowed huge amounts to meet financial crunch. According to SBP statistics, government sector borrowing for budgetary support from banking sector has gone up by Rs 359.265 billion to Rs 461.280 billion up to June 28, 2008, due to the massive borrowing from the schedule banks as well as the central bank.

After the current upsurge, overall stock of borrowing for budgetary support had reached Rs 1.271 trillion on June 28 2008. Previously, it stood at Rs 810.053 billion on June 30, 2007, showing an increase of Rs 461 billion, or 57 percent.

The borrowing from central bank witnessed a prominent share in the overall budgetary borrowing, which stood at Rs 633.173 billion in fiscal year 2008, while during the fiscal year 2007 the government had retired Rs 58.575 billion.

With the upsurge of Rs 633.173 billion, overall budgetary borrowing stock of SBP reached new peak level of Rs 978.164 billion on June 28, 2008 from Rs 344.991 billion on June 30, 2007. On the other side the scheduled banks stock of budgetary borrowing declined by Rs 171.893 billion to Rs 293.168 billion in 2008 against the borrowing of Rs 160.590 billion in 2007.

"Shortfall in foreign inflows on the back of slow privatisation process, rising government expenditure and billions of rupee subsidies on commodities had motivated the government to take huge budgetary borrowing," economists said. However, real economic costs of central bank borrowings cause enormous inflationary pressures, whose burden falls on businesses, industry and public at large, they said.

They said that rising budgetary borrowing would further increase the inflationary pressure on the economy, which already is on upward trend during the last few month. Similarly, the government borrowed some Rs 28.969 billion for commodity operation and with current increased it has mounted to new peak level of Rs 127.521 billion by the end of June 28, 2008.

To reduce government borrowing two months ago taking interim monetary policy measures the central bank had also advised government to amend the Fiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005 to incorporate appropriate provisions to restrict the debt monetisation. The SBP also believes that huge government borrowing has eroded the fiscal discipline and diluted the impact of the Fiscal Responsibility Act.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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World Bank to finance $256.7 million power projects

ISLAMABAD (July 15 2008): Pakistan on Monday signed two agreements with the World Bank for making improvement in electricity distribution and transmission infrastructure worth 256.7 million dollars and water sector capacity building and advisory services for its efficient management worth 38 million dollars.

The financing agreements for both projects were signed by acting Secretary of Economic Affairs Division Junaid Iqbal Chaudhry on behalf of the government of Pakistan and Country Director Yousapha B. Crookes on behalf of the World Bank.

Later, Junaid Iqbal Chaudhry told journalists that the soft International Development Agency (IDA) credits, amounting to 52.6 million dollars for Electricity Distribution and Transmission Improvement Project (EDTIP) and 38 million dollars for water sector capacity- building and advisory services (WSCAS) were interest free, however, the service charges at the rate of 0.75 percent and commitment charges at the rate of 0.5 percent on undisbursed balance would be payable.

He said the EDTIP also contained hard IDA for 30.5 million dollars on which interest at the rate of 4.2 percent per annum would be paid, in addition to the service charges and commitment charges. He said that the Government would repay both the IDA credits in 35 years, including a grace period of 10 years.

For the IBRD loan portion in EDTIP of 173.6 million dollars, a front-end fee would be paid at the rate of 0.25 percent of the loan amount, and the interest would be paid at the rate equal to Libor for the loan currency plus the fixed spread, he added. The IBRD portion would be repaid in 30 years, including the grace period of five years, he said.

The EDTIP would assist the distribution and transmission companies in strengthening the infrastructure to meet the increase in electricity demand more efficiently and with better reliability.

He said the major problem was the load management in our system as with the gradual increase in power demand, the transmission and distribution infrastructure was not expanded accordingly and now the load was over and above its capacity, which resulted in frequent breakdowns and added to over increasing problem of load shedding.

He expressed the hope the project would also strengthen the institutional capacity of power distribution companies and support reforms in priority areas of power sector through investment in distribution networks, investment in transmission network, institutional strengthening and capacity building and energy efficiency.

The objective of the water sector capacity building and advisory services project (WSCAS) is to improve the management and investment planning of water resources in the Indus river system through capacity building and support of Federal institution in water resource planning and management, improvement in water resources management and development in Water and Power Development Authority (Wapda), project management and additional studies. He said this process would run side by side with the national plan to develop hydel storage and power infrastructure.

World Bank Country Director Yousapha B. Crookes said that the bank remained involved in different development projects with the government of Pakistan and now taking part in power distribution and transmission, which was very important for revenue generation.

He said this was an important area for rapid growth of industrial sector, besides providing quality electricity service to the consumers. The project agreements for electricity distribution and transmission improvement were signed by the representatives of NTDC, IESCO, LESCO, MEPCO and HESCO on behalf of the respective entities.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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Unido team discusses investment modalities with BoI

ISLAMABAD (July 15 2008): A delegate representing United Nation Industrial Development Organisation (Unido) called on Major Iqbal Ahmad (Retd), Executive Director General (EDG), Investment Division and Board of Investment (ID&BoI) and discussed various modalities of the Investment Promotion Unit (IPU) projects.

The delegation comprised Ayesha Khan, Chief Technical Advisor for the Community Based Livelihood Recovery Program (CBLRP), Amna Osman, international expert from the Investment Promotion Unit in Vienna and Rehan Sadiq, Investment Promotion Coordinator, CBLRP project.

The Unido's team is here in Pakistan on a fact-finding mission for the establishment of Investment Promotion Unit (IPU). This IPU project is supported and funded by the government of Italy and it requires collaboration with the Investment Promotion Agency of Pakistan.

The IPU project mainly focuses in the development of the SME sector and Unido being specialised agency of the United Nation which is dedicated to promote Sustainable Industrial Development is also collaborating. The team informed that before implementing this project in Pakistan they will assess three key issues, which include capacity building lack of ownership among the stakeholder and issues related to awareness among the masses about the soft loans.

Ahmad informed the delegation that SME policy 2007 was launched in fiscal year 2007-08, in which SME sector has been redefined in a way to ensure that all the stakeholder are given a broad framework for the promotion of SMEs by improving the regulatory, fiscal and business environment. He added that the importance of the SME sector cannot be overemphasised in the overall industrial development of any country.

He said "SMEs constitute nearly 90 percent of all the enterprises in Pakistan; they employ 80 percent of the non-agriculture labour force; and their share in the annual GDP is nearly 40 percent. In view of the importance of this project the EDG assured all the due support on part of ID&BoI in the successful implementation of this project.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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NWFP accepts Chinese firm's offer for city development

PESHAWAR (July 15 2008): The government of NWFP has accepted the offer of a mega development plan for urban development by a Chinese firm for providing better facilities to the Peshawarites in social sectors including water and power supply as well as development and beautification of Peshawar City.

It was decided in a meeting chaired by the NWFP Senior Minister Bashir Ahmad Bilour at his office in Civil Secretariat on Monday. Those who attended were included Secretary P&D Muhammad Ikram Khan, Secretary LG&RD Hifzur Rehman and Director General CDMD Qazi Qaim Ali and representatives of the Chinese firm Beijing Urban Construction Engineering Company (BUCG) Iltifaat Ali Wasti and Azhar Jameel.

The plan included remodelling of Peshawar Bus Terminal, provision of filtered drinking water to Peshawar from Warsak and Spaira Dams, construction of Matani-Bara, Northern and Southern bypass highways and producing sufficient electricity from the local canals to end load shedding in Peshawar.

Speaking on the occasion, Senior Minister Bashir Ahmad Bilour invited local and foreign investment in NWFP in both social and economic sectors and assured that provincial government would ensure full guarantee and security of the investment on behalf of the federal and provincial governments.

He expressed satisfaction over the fact that the Chinese firm would finance all the five-mega projects and would never expect any funding from the provincial government.

However, he assured that provincial government would not levy any tax on the firm. He said that the government had inherited the acute problem of financial crunches like other big issues.

He said that the provision of drinking water to Peshawar from Warsak and Spaira dams would reduce burden on the tube-wells of the city besides saving Rs 130 million of electricity bills only in Town 1 area.

He said that the chief minister has given free hand for development and beautification of the provincial metropolis and provided basic amenities to the citizens adding that the lack of resources would not be made hurdle in this way. However, he complained about the step-motherly attitude of the federal government about provision of resources and rights to the province.

He said that NWFP and Peshawar were totally ignored despite playing the role of frontline province and city against Russian aggression on Afghanistan and ongoing war on terror. The senior minister said that a huge chunk of foreign aid would be spent over here.

Similarly, he said that neither the President and nor the Prime Minister has announced any development package for the Frontier province or Peshawar though such announcements are made for other parts of the country. He thanked the co-operation and offers of the friendly countries in this regard.

He said that a number of other organisations including Japanese firm JAICA have offered investment in NWFP, which was a good omen and showing trust in government and people of NWFP. He directed for auctioning of plots of hundreds of acres of land in phase-III of Hayatabad to make available maximum resources for uplift of the city.

He also directed for expediting work on expansion of three lanes of Ring Road, completion of the missing part of Ring road from Charsadda Road to Jamrud Road, development of phase-7 in Hayatabad and expansion of Peshawar Airport at a cost of Rs 5 billion, besides asking for close liaison with the concerned federal and provincial departments for this purpose.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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$5.9 billion relief over three years: Naveed to apprise ECC of Saudi Arab oil supply facility

ISLAMABAD (July 15 2008): Finance Minister Naveed Qamar will inform the Economic Co-ordination Committee (ECC) of the Cabinet that the Saudi government has accepted Pakistan's request for oil facility against deferred payment--for three years.

The ECC is schedule to meet in Lahore on July 15 to take up among other matters the oil facility being provided to Pakistan by the Saudi government against deferred payment.

Saudi Arabia's financial support to Pakistan in the form of oil facility against deferred payment for three years is of extraordinary importance. It will ease pressure on its economy besides helping it keep forex reserves at an appropriate level. It can also compel the government to review its policy of quickly revising oil prices for domestic consumers.

Official sources said the Finance Minister would inform ECC that resumption of oil facility by the Saudi government would help Pakistan's economy coming out of the current crisis-like situation. After getting the oil facility against deferred payment from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan will be in a comfortable position to meet its financial liabilities.

Saudi Arabia provides 110,000 barrels oil per day to Pakistan. The Saudi oil facility will provide the Pakistan government a relief of $5.9 billion over the next three years. Qatar and Kuwait meet the rest of Pakistan's oil demand, whereas its indigenous oil output is at around 42,000 barrels a day, which is very small percentage of total consumption.

The Saudi government's fiscal support for Islamabad in the form of oil facility is a great relief for Pakistan, especially at a time when its economy is under severe pressure due to poor performance of most of its key economic sectors.

Rising oil import bill was making difficult for Pakistan to absorb this shock. Huge payment on oil import also is a basic reason of erosion of its forex reserves. Pakistan's oil import bill for the first time ever crossed $11 billion mark in 2007-08. Such a huge spending on oil import widened budgetary and current account deficit besides forcing the government to pass on major share of actual price on the consumers.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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Oil products consumption up by nine percent in 2007-08

KARACHI (July 15 2008): Oil consumption in the country posted a growth of 9.0 percent during FY08 as the volume of POL products rose to 18.7 million tons against 17.1 million tons in FY07. According to the figures released by OCAC, local refineries provided 9.60 million tons, 51 percent of total consumption, and 49 percent was met through imports.

The two white oil products, Mogas and HSD, fuelled volume (80 percent growth contribution) by recording 27 percent and 13 percent, respectively. The combined volume of the two recorded 9.54 million tons in FY08 (51 percent of total volume) against 8.30 million tons (49 percent of total) in FY07.

During FY08, refuelling demand amid reduced smuggling of Iranian products (especially Mogas as its demand stayed consistent at 25-32 percent range during most of FY08) and increased utilisation (HSD) in transportation and household power generators due to acute electricity shortage, Khurram Schehzad, senior analyst at Invest Capital Securities said.

Therefore, HSD demand also ranged consistently at 13-15 percent in the second half of FY08 despite local price pass-on in this period, he added. This led to white oil products growth of 13 percent with 10.8 million tons. Other than HSD and MS, White Oil products - HOBC, JP-8, JP-1 & Kero - witnessed volume growth of only 2.7 percent on yearly basis with 1.33 million tons.

Black Oil (FO and LDO), conversely, posted a growth of 3.6 percent with 7.81 million tons in FY08 against 7.54 million tons a year back. In volumetric terms, Black Oil added 18 percent to the total volume increase in FY08 whereas HSD's and Mogas contributions were 60 percent and 20 percent (80 percent combined). FO growth of 4 percent came amid Wapda and other IPPs' rising demand due to reduced gas supplies during most of FY08 (slow growth amid around 100 percent steep rise in FO price in Jul-Jun08).

During June, 2008, POL consumption posted growth of -0.92 percent on yearly basis mainly because of Black Oil's negative growth of 9.9 percent (FO 9.5 percent and LDO 27.6 percent) while support came from White Oil which grew by 6.2 percent on yearly basis - mainly driven by Mogas (8 percent), HSD (4 percent) and JP-1 and HOBC combined (125 percent on yearly basis). The rise in FO price (8 percent on month-on-month basis at over Rs 52,000) and sharp decline in LDO consumption owing to rising prices and low agricultural activities amid late harvest led to a slight fall in Jun-08 POL consumption, he added.

The GoP's price pass-on coupled with alternates (CNG/LPG) in Jun-08 impacted HSD and Mogas volumes declining by 7 percent and 4 percent on monthly basis, respectively. Kero also resulted in negative growth of 10.6 percent due to price rise.

PSO secured largest slice of 69.5 percent of the market share pie in FY08 improving by 186bps over FY07 by punching in volumetric growth of 10 percent on yearly basis. Shell stood with 13.9 percent on yearly basis - a 4bps improved share due to 7 percent volume growth while APL shared 4.9 percent of the market - a decline of 65 bps on yearly basis due to negative volume growth of 5.5 percent on yearly basis in FY08.

"Keeping current oil price in the international market spree and GoP's price pass-on reflecting in consumption numbers, we have assumed volume growth forecast of 7 to 9 percent as 4-year CAGR post FY08", Khurram Schehzad said adding that the major driver would be FO whereas HSD and Mogas's growth is expected to decline gradually.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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International consortium to set up IT park in Islamabad

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

KARACHI: The Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB) has issued a letter of intent (LOI) to an international consortium comprising TelcoNet, Axor Group Inc Canada and Technopolis Plc Finland for establishing the first state-of-the-art national IT park at Chak Shahzad, Islamabad.

The IT park will be developed on build, operate and transfer (BOT) basis over 14.9 acres of land, stated a press release issued by the PSEB.

After successful negotiations with the consortium, construction work will commence in January 2009 and the project is expected to be completed by January 2011. With an expected development cost of more than Rs9 billion, the park will provide 1.5 million square feet of state-of-the-art office space to local and international information technology companies.

“PSEB/Ministry of Information Technology (MoIT) has set a challenging mission of developing a network of IT parks across the country and this park is the first milestone in this mission. This is a landmark project for Pakistan’s IT industry which will house more than 10,000 employees. “In addition to providing affordable and quality IT-enabled workspace for companies, this park will generate employment opportunities, bring in foreign investment, enhance IT exports and stimulate economic growth,” PSEB Managing Director Talib Baloch said in a statement.

To sustain the current growth rate of the IT industry, he added, three more IT parks would be developed by the PSEB in Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad on BOT model, for which land at prime locations had already been acquired.

“The PSEB intends to further extend this network to Peshawar, Quetta and other cities at some appropriate time in future.”

IT and knowledge parks have been instrumental in promoting knowledge-based economies in developed and emerging economies and facilitate clustering of knowledge-based firms and stakeholders providing capital, research, innovation and other services.

Other benefits of these parks include promotion of business synergies and facilitation of access to capital, infrastructure, human capital and policy incentives.

International consortium to set up IT park in Islamabad
 
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Loadshedding exasperates IT sector, students

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

KARACHI: The menace of load shedding has not only affected business activities, but has also created huge problems for the students, especially those who have to use computers frequently.

IT experts and professionals are facing the same messy situation and despite assurance from officials that the time of power cuts would be brought down gradually, power outages continue, which is badly hampering the computer industry and destroying the future of students. This concern was expressed here by the officials of Pakistan Computer Association during a special meeting, chaired by Munawar Iqbal, President of the PCA, stated a press release.

The meeting, which was attended by Ibrahim Qureshi, President PCA Lahore Chapter, Zaka-ur-Rehman, President PCA Peshawar and Feroz Ali, President PCA Karachi and other office-bearers expressed their disappointment over the grave situation and informed the participants that as a result of the unfavorable business conditions and menace of load shedding, 66 per cent of the computer industry has already been forced to close down its business and the rest is struggling for survival.

The PCA office-bearers said that a proper strategy should have been evolved to reduce the load shedding and to provide relief to students as well as industry, but unfortunately nothing has happened in this regard.

Participants of the PCA meeting said that a significant decline in the purchase of computers and related equipment has been recorded recently and load shedding of electricity is one of the key reasons for this unprecedented decline.

They urged the government to correct the affairs on priority basis and take immediate steps to reduce the time of load shedding.

Loadshedding exasperates IT sector, students
 
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Larkana Industrial Estate declared tax-free zone

ISLAMABAD, July 15: Prime Minister Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani has declared Larkana Industrial Estate as a tax-free zone for a period of 10 years.

Established in 1964-65 and spread over an area of 59 acres, Larkana Industrial Estate is yet to attract investment for establishing industries.

The premier has approved the duty free zone of Larkana in a bid to give support to businessmen of the city. The package is part of other projects approved for progress and development of Larkana city.

An income tax notification of SRO741 of 2008 has been issued to amend the Income Tax Ordinance 2001 for implementation of the decision.

According to the decision, profits and gains would be derived by a taxpayers from an industrial undertaking set up in Larkana Industrial Estate between July 1, 2008, and June 30, 2013 for a period of 10 years beginning with the month in which the industrial undertaking is set up or commercial production commenced, whichever is the later.

Exemption under this clause shall apply to an industrial undertaking which is owned and managed by a company registered under the Companies Ordinance 1984 (XLVII of 1984) and formed exclusively for operating the said undertaking, added the notification.

The duty-free facility is expected to make it an attractive place for domestic and international investors.

The zone already provides the provision of all basic utilities for the scheme, like water, gas, elect

Larkana Industrial Estate declared tax-free zone -DAWN - Business; July 16, 2008
 
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LSM growth remains 4.7pc

KARACHI, July 15: Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM) sector, backbone of the economy, could hardly achieve a growth half of what it achieved last year, reflecting growing dependence of the economy on services sector.

The latest data issued by the State Bank showed the growth of LSM as 4.7 per cent during July-April 2007-08, indicating the growth pattern of LSM for another two months.

Since data-processing of industrial production is time-consuming, the 10-month figures give an updated picture of the LSM growth.

The most disappointing is the growth of textile sector which has largest share of 24.49 in the LSM. The textile sector growth was just 2.5 per cent during this period.

The LSM growth remained a significant contributor to GDP growth during in 2006-07 with value-addition rising by 8.8 per cent, down from the 10.7 per cent growth in the preceding year.

The textile sector contributed almost a quarter of the increase in value-addition in LSM during the fiscal 2006-07.

However, this year the second heavyweight, food and beverages, with a total share of 14.35 per cent posted a growth of 10 per cent.

Within this sector, the sugar production growth rose by 28.9 per cent while beverages growth was 20.9 per cent.

The pharmaceutical sector, which has been making hue and cry to increase the prices of their products, posted the highest growth of 28.7 per cent. The sector has a share of 5.03 per cent in LSM.

The automobile sector which has been a key player in pushing the industrial growth higher witnessed a negative growth. Having a share of 3.95 per cent in LSM, the automobile sector recorded negative 0.1 per cent growth.

The major sector within this was cars and jeeps which posted a collective growth of minus five

LSM growth remains 4.7pc -DAWN - Business; July 16, 2008
 
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12 firms offer to generate 3,839MW

ISLAMABAD, July 15: Twelve power companies on Tuesday came up with offers to add 3,839MW of power generation capacity on fast-track basis before September 2009 against the government’s demand of 1,500MW.

The technical bids were opened by the Private Power and Infrastructure Board (PPIB) in the presence of representatives of the bidders.

A bid evaluation committee comprising representatives of PPIB, ministry of finance, National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) and Wapda would open financial bids on August 2 after their technical evaluation.

Besides the local investors, companies from the United States, Canada, the UAE, Turkey and Mauritius took part in the bidding.

Water and power secretary Ismail Qureshi, who presided over the open bidding, said the bids would be declared successful on the basis of minimum project implementation schedule and lowest tariff. He said the government wanted to set up 1,000MW of power generation plants by the independent power producers in 12 months and another 500MW of rental power projects in six months to overcome power shortage in the country.

Nine companies submitted their bids for thermal IPPs with a total generation capacity of 3,060 against government’s requirement of 1,000MW while three companies offered to bring 779MW of rental power projects against a requirement of 500MW.

The technical evaluation committee would declare successful bidders on technical grounds by July 30, followed by opening of financial bids on August 2. On August 4, the government will announce final results of successful bidders on the basis of implementation schedule and lowest tariff. This will be followed by issuance of letters of acceptance for rental power projects to be commissioned in six months while letters of support would be issued to IPPs to set up their projects in12 months. This process will be completed by August 15, 2008, the water and power secretary said.

The companies that submitted their bids for IPPs included Creative Energy (170MW furnace oil-based at Chakwal), Ruba Energy (166MW furnace oil-based at Kalashah Kaku near Lahore), Pace Power (1,000MW diesel-based at Muzaffargarh), Fatima Power (200MW gas-based near Okara), Cavalier Energy (500MW LPG-based at Port Qasim), Saba Generation (500MW furnace oil-based at Arifwala in Punjab), Attock Oil (202MW furnace oil-based at Mandi Bahauddin), Progas Energy (345 MW LPG-based at Port Qasim) and Pak Electron (304MW furnace oil-based near Lahore).

The companies that offered to set up rental power projects included Walters Power (furnace oil-based 230MW near Korangi), Karakey (heavy fuel oil-based 249MW near in Karachi and Cavalier Energy (LPG-based 300 MW plant at Port Qasim).

The Request for Proposal (RFP) document for these projects was prepared by PPIB in consultation with all the relevant stakeholders including leading power plant equipment manufacturers, IPPs and Wapda.

The IPPs are expected to start their operation by August 2009 and rental projects are expected to start commercial operation by February 2009.

12 firms offer to generate 3,839MW -DAWN - Business; July 16, 2008
 
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Profit-taking drags Karachi stocks below 11,000 points

KARACHI: The Karachi stock mrket fell below the psychological barrier of 11,000 points as small investors opted for profit-taking to recover their losses, analysts said.

The Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) 100-share index shed 217.44 points to close at 10,959.87 points as compared with 11,177.31 points of the previous session. The KSE 30-share index lost 355.69 points to close at 12,416.70 points.

Analysts said the market once again opened in the red zone with negative 255.71 points and at the end of the day closed at 10,959.87 points. At one stage short recovery was witnessed in the market but the news of deteriorating law and order situation at Pak- Afghan border pulled the market down to close negatively at the end of the trading session.

The market turnover increased 121.72 percent and traded 155.03 million shares as compared to 69.92 million shares traded in the previous session. The overall market capitalisation declined 1.92 percent to Rs 3.412 trillion as compared with previous session’s Rs 3.479 trillion. Out of 263 companies, 78 closed in positive zone, 169 in negative while 16 remained unchanged.

Hasnain Asghar Ali, analyst at Aziz Fida Husein and Co said the deep negative numbers initially were well capitalized on selective support by local institutions mainly in the E&P stocks. Following the trend, specific activity was also witnessed thereby allowing the main board stocks to finally start trading and the stuck ups finally got an exit.

Presence of buyers in the main stocks allowed the bulls to dare entrance, as they were after quite some time backed by positive developments.

News that economic assistance would be offered by Saudi Arabia in shape of oil supply with arrangement of deferred payment, agreement of government with executing authorities in Balochistan (will be beneficial in exploration activities), rise in cement prices and government’s stance on privatisation as reiterated by the PM were the plus points which attracted investors towards the ring.

Ahsan Mehanti, senior analyst at Shahzad Chamdia Securities said selling pressure continued as high discount rate, rising current account deficit, political uncertainty, law and order situation in the country affected investors confidence negatively and falling SCRA balances to $39 million reflected foreign selling in the market.

The futures’ market turnover went up to 14.55 million shares as compared to 7.00 million shares traded in the previous session. Four of the companies closed in positive zone, twenty-five in negative while four remained unchanged.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
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‘Pakistan aid bill presented in US Senate’

LAHORE: A bill for military and economic aid to Pakistan has been placed before the United States Senate, suggesting that conditions should be placed on any military aid to the country, as well as advocating a threefold increase in economic aid, reported Geo News.

Senator Joe Biden and Senator Logger presented the bill in the Senate, proposing an increase in Pakistan’s unconditional non-military aid to $15 billion in the next decade, or $1.5 billion annually, the channel reported.

According to the channel, the same bill also suggests putting conditions on military aid to Pakistan and binds the secretary of state to certify every year that the Pakistan Army is taking effective action against Al Qaeda and Taliban and not intervening in any form in the country’s judicial and political system.

Biden told media in Washington that the US wanted long-term relations with the people of Pakistan. According to the channel, he also said that the US should not dictate Pakistan on the latter’s policy in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and should give the new government a chance to govern the country without any external pressure.

According to Reuters, Western powers have been alarmed by mounting casualties among troops in Afghanistan and by intelligence assessments that Al Qaeda could organise strikes on Western soil having regrouped in Tribal Areas under Taliban protection.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
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World Bank approves $500 million emergency package

ISLAMABAD (July 16 2008): The World Bank has approved a $500 million emergency package for Pakistan to help it overcome economic crisis, it is learnt. The Bank mission conveyed the decision of accepting Pakistan's request for disbursement of $500 million emergency package during a meeting with Finance Minister Syed Naveed Qamar, held here on July 14.

The mission informed the minister that the World Bank will present the emergency package to its board in August and subject to the board approval release the fund by mid September.

Sources in the Finance Ministry told Business Recorder on Tuesday that a three-member WB delegation called on the Finance Minister on July 14 to review Pakistan's strategy for coping with severe economic crunch. Pakistan had requested the Bank for loan under emergency package to support its depleting forex reserves and reduce budget deficit.

The official claimed that the mission expressed satisfaction over the steps taken by the government for offsetting pressure on its economy such as cutting down subsidy on oil, gas and electricity rates. The mission expressed confidence that the government will strictly follow the existing policy of eliminating subsidy regime and introduce a market-based approach for all sectors of the economy.

The official said the World Bank's support of $500 million will restore other donors' confidence in Pakistan's economic policies and pave way for getting more funds from other donors for different development projects. It would also brighten the chances to secure much-needed $1.5 billion from the World Bank during next one year.

Business Recorder [Pakistan's First Financial Daily]
 
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