Pakistan could tighten monetary policy further to fight inflation
Thursday, July 10, 2008
KUALA LUMPUR: Pakistan is ready to tighten monetary policy further to fight inflation, a senior finance official said on Wednesday, stressing the authorities commitment to getting inflation down from a three-decade high above 19 per cent.
Some people argue that further monetary tightening may not be very useful, but the whole problem is that we are not willing to compromise on inflation, said Hina Rabbani Khar, special assistant to the prime minister on finance and economic affairs.
So if that requires more tightening, yes, she told Reuters in an interview in the Malaysian capital, Kuala Lumpur.
Many analysts believe an interest rate rise is imminent, but she declined to comment.
All I am saying is that there are certain things that you are committed to. And more than cheap money and cheap credit, we are more committed to holding on to inflation.
In May the Pakistani central bank increased its discount rate to 12 per cent from 10.5 per cent to counter inflation and widening fiscal and current account deficits.
It then announced an increase in the cash reserve requirement (CRR), the ratio of cash banks must keep in reserve with the central bank, to 9 per cent from 8 per cent of deposits up to one-year maturity.
Balance of payments: For the 2007/08 fiscal year that ended on June 30, the government expects its budget deficit to be 7 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), while the current account deficit is likely to be between 7.3 and 7.8 per cent of GDP.
Reflecting this, the rupee is near an all-time low.
The rupees problem is a balance of payments problem more than anything else, Khar said.
We will try our very best to hold the slide, she said, mentioning a tightening of regulations on foreign exchange transactions announced by the State Bank of Pakistan on Tuesday.
The rupee firmed on Wednesday in response to the measures, which included a temporary suspension of forward booking of foreign exchange for imports. It rose 2 per cent to 71.40/60 per dollar.
Khar blamed the caretaker government that took charge temporarily before general elections in February for most of the trouble.
Within the caretaker set-up, within just three months, because of the huge oil price bill, the sliding down was immense, she said.
Whereas your current account deficit was looking OK, your budget deficit was within reach, everything just went haywire.
But she was hopeful that things would improve. I see this problem settling down within a year. This year would be a year of stabilisation for the Pakistani economy.
Pakistan could tighten monetary policy further to fight inflation