Pakistan, China take initiative to solve trade imbalance
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
KARACHI: Shakir Ali smiles slyly as his friends rave about the cool scent of his perfume while he boasts to them that its the latest in the line of CK fragrances and it had cost him a mint of money. His thoughts are far away at a certain shop though, where he paid Rs250 for the CK labelled bottle with Made in China stamped at the back!
Bazaars in Pakistan seem to be flooded with Chinese-made goods ranging from accessories to garments to electronics items. People prefer them to branded products, as they are a cheap alternative despite being of a poorer quality. Chinese-made goods have no guarantee to them as the traders themselves admit that they have a short life span.
The most common consumer items found in the markets are childrens toys, electronics such as stereos, MP3 players, USBs and garments such as jeans and shirts. Home appliances and ladies accessories are also imported from China other than various commodities like plastic, leather goods, cell phones, cars and computers that are slowly being accepted by the local consumers.
Chinese imitations of almost every popular item have hit the markets around the world posing serious threat to brand leaders. People unable to afford the original version buy Made in China look-alikes.
The price difference between the original branded product and Chinese replica may vary from Rs40 to Rs3000 or even more divergence. Shumaila Riaz, a student says There are times when I want something to show off to my friends so what I do is buy cheaper alternatives. Ive noticed that they have mostly been manufactured in China but Ive also seen goods from Taiwan, Indonesia or even India that are offered at low prices.
A research of Institute of Conflict and Peace Studies (ICPS) India, said that Pakistan is Chinas largest market in South Asia in terms of Construction projects. In 2005, Chinese construction projects and large-scale mechanical and electrical product export projects went smoothly, with 43 contracts signed, worth a combined $794 million.
By the years end, China had signed a total of 444 contracts, worth $7.76 billion. The turnover in 2005 reached $583 million, up 58.33 percent year on year. The accumulated turnover reached $6.16 billion.
According to a report in China Daily, China has also opened its first overseas joint economic zone in Pakistan in a bid to accelerate domestic enterprises overseas investment. The joint economic zone, covering 1.03 square kilometres at Manga Mandi, 40 kilometres south of Lahore, was established by Chinas leading home appliance maker Haier and Pakistani firm Ruba.
The establishment of the economic zone is expected to further boost economic and technological co-operation and the Pakistani side has agreed to provide services to Chinese enterprises, in particular small- and medium-sized firms, to facilitate their investment. Besides manufacturing, Chinese enterprises will also help Pakistan by training staff and providing technological assistance.
The same source also informed that China Mobile is planning to invest $400 million to extend its network in Pakistan and that a wireless data transmission system will be built in the country soon.
While consumers may enjoy the products and the investment plans may seem rosy, there is a serious concern of trade imbalance between the two countries at the economic forefront.
At the macro level, China supplies the bulk of cheap commercial goods all over the world and in the process for Pakistan as well while the cost of goods plays a big role in increase of imports from China. Nevertheless, for Pakistan, China matters much as an import market but for China, importance of Pakistan as a market is almost insignificant.
In 2005, China exported goods worth a total of $3.43 billion to Pakistan but imported goods worth only $830 million, with the trade deficit on Pakistani side reaching $2.6 billion. Net investments from China to Pakistan also stood at $0.4 million only during 2004-05, which shows the disinterest that Chinese investors had in Pakistan.
Chinas contractual investment to Pakistan in 2005 totalled $3.67 million, and Pakistan invested in 19 projects in China, with contractual investment hitting $28.12 million and actual investment reaching $7.68 million.
Subsequently, steps were taken to address the matter and in 2006, the Early Harvest Program was launched to encourage bilateral trade, under which China will extend zero-rated tariffs on 767 items while Pakistan would reciprocate by extending the facility on 464 items.
Nevertheless, despite efforts the situation hasnt improved. Pakistans biggest export markets are the US, United Kingdom, United Arab Emirates and Germany. China does not even figure in the list of top ten export destinations.
The problem lies mainly because Pakistan is heavily dependent on the cotton and textile industry for its exports of which China itself is a major manufacturer and to improve on the trade volume, it needs to enlarge on its trade basket.
At the same time, Pakistan has tariffs on very few Chinese goods and has open quota for their products, which unfortunately is not the case vice versa. Though China has promised to reduce tariff on 767 Pakistani goods, the reduction does not make a significant impact.
Third, despite being neighbours, there is a lack of effective means of communication between them. The Karakoram Highway, which opened in 1978, could not be used to increase the volume of trade in any substantial manner.
Most importantly, the political situation greatly affects trade adversely. According to a data of the IPCS out of 400,000 Chinese private investors, only 31 are still present in Pakistan. The rest left after the threat of destabilization became prominent following the unrest in Balochistan and Waziristan and other parts of Pakistan.
Majyd Aziz, ex- President of Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry added Over the past decade India has swept away even our market because their private sector took the initiative. We should look at China as a buyer also rather than only a seller. Trade can increase over cross border deals just as India is doing and only then can this problem can be solved.
Bilateral Trade
Chinas Total Trade Volume with Pakistan and other countries
Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Pakistan* 1.07 (20.21) 0.915 (18.74) 0.971 (17.21) 1.09 (18.88) 1.30 (19.93) 1.80 (19.47) 2.43 (23.38) 3.1 (27.90) 4.26 (34.98)
India 1.83 1.92 1.98 2.77 3.60 4.94 7.6 13.6 18.73
SAARC 3.9 3.89 4.15 5.35 6.43 8.31 - - -
ASEAN 25.06 23.66 27.20 38.55 41.80 54.76 78.2 105.9 120
Japan 60.81 58.02 66.16 83.20 87.88 101.97 130 167.9 200
USA 49.03 54.99 61.49 83.30 80.61 97.31 126 169.4 211.63
(Billion Dollars)
* The figures in brackets refer to the Total External Trade Volume of Pakistan in
billion dollars.
(Sources: United Nations, Statistical Yearbook for Asia and Pacific,3 IMF, Direction of
Trade Statistics and various other sources4 and Economic Survey of Pakistan 2005-06)
Pakistan, China take initiative to solve trade imbalance